{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7166740042","doi":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355","title":"Bridging ai-driven risk detection and discrete-event simulation for quantitative supply chain risk evaluation","display_name":"Bridging ai-driven risk detection and discrete-event simulation for quantitative supply chain risk evaluation","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-06-23","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7166740042","doi":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355"},"language":null,"primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.7148/2026-0355","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355","pdf_url":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355","source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ECMS 2026 Proceedings edited by Filippo Sanfilippo, Florenc Demrozi, Fabio Sgarbossa, Mohammad Poursina","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355","any_repository_has_fulltext":null},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063830077","display_name":"Axel Wagenitz","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Axel Wagenitz","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5139673000","display_name":"Michael Toth","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michael Toth","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018788787","display_name":"Katja Klingebiel","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Katja Klingebiel","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"355","last_page":"361"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11864","display_name":"Supply Chain Resilience and Risk Management","score":0.5368000268936157,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11864","display_name":"Supply Chain Resilience and Risk Management","score":0.5368000268936157,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11807","display_name":"Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis","score":0.11760000139474869,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2205","display_name":"Civil and Structural Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10395","display_name":"Construction Project Management and Performance","score":0.10180000215768814,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bridging","display_name":"Bridging (networking)","score":0.7099000215530396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supply-chain","display_name":"Supply chain","score":0.6500999927520752},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/executable","display_name":"Executable","score":0.5985999703407288},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monte-carlo-method","display_name":"Monte Carlo method","score":0.5101000070571899},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-assessment","display_name":"Risk assessment","score":0.4968000054359436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pipeline","display_name":"Pipeline (software)","score":0.448199987411499},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-management","display_name":"Risk management","score":0.40389999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supply-chain-risk-management","display_name":"Supply chain risk management","score":0.39010000228881836}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C174348530","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188635","display_name":"Bridging (networking)","level":2,"score":0.7099000215530396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6779000163078308},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108713360","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1824206","display_name":"Supply chain","level":2,"score":0.6500999927520752},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C160145156","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q778586","display_name":"Executable","level":2,"score":0.5985999703407288},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C19499675","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q232207","display_name":"Monte Carlo method","level":2,"score":0.5101000070571899},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12174686","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1058438","display_name":"Risk assessment","level":2,"score":0.4968000054359436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43521106","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2165493","display_name":"Pipeline (software)","level":2,"score":0.448199987411499},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C32896092","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189447","display_name":"Risk management","level":2,"score":0.40389999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C192639820","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1114469","display_name":"Supply chain risk management","level":5,"score":0.39010000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C32230216","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7882499","display_name":"Uncertainty quantification","level":2,"score":0.37070000171661377},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2984588014","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q730675","display_name":"Quantitative assessment","level":2,"score":0.3479999899864197},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C95986675","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q185168","display_name":"Quantitative analysis (chemistry)","level":2,"score":0.3449000120162964},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.33889999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.33889999985694885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189430467","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7293293","display_name":"Ranking (information retrieval)","level":2,"score":0.32679998874664307},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12725497","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q810247","display_name":"Baseline (sea)","level":2,"score":0.3237999975681305},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158154518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310970","display_name":"Relevance (law)","level":2,"score":0.29120001196861267},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120060458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10145","display_name":"Milestone","level":2,"score":0.2888000011444092},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C79403827","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3988","display_name":"Real-time computing","level":1,"score":0.28630000352859497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200601418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2193887","display_name":"Reliability engineering","level":1,"score":0.2824999988079071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44104985","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q492886","display_name":"Supply chain management","level":3,"score":0.2766999900341034},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94361409","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7882500","display_name":"Uncertainty reduction theory","level":2,"score":0.26350000500679016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C52421305","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1151499","display_name":"Particle filter","level":3,"score":0.26100000739097595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115901376","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q184199","display_name":"Automation","level":2,"score":0.2603999972343445}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.7148/2026-0355","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355","pdf_url":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355","source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ECMS 2026 Proceedings edited by Filippo Sanfilippo, Florenc Demrozi, Fabio Sgarbossa, Mohammad Poursina","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.7148/2026-0355","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355","pdf_url":"https://doi.org/10.7148/2026-0355","source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ECMS 2026 Proceedings edited by Filippo Sanfilippo, Florenc Demrozi, Fabio Sgarbossa, Mohammad Poursina","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8221980333328247,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/14","display_name":"Life below water"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7166740042.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W7166740042.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Globally":[0],"dispersed,":[1],"project-driven":[2],"supply":[3,52,173],"chains":[4],"face":[5],"increasing":[6],"disruption":[7,78,84,103,121,159],"risks,":[8],"while":[9],"the":[10,26,144,149],"growing":[11],"volume":[12],"of":[13,29,143,151],"external":[14,33,158],"information":[15],"makes":[16],"manual":[17],"monitoring":[18],"impractical.":[19],"Large":[20],"language":[21],"models":[22],"(LLMs)":[23],"can":[24,123],"support":[25],"automated":[27,59,154],"detection":[28,66],"disruption-relevant":[30],"signals":[31,38,79,122,160],"in":[32,147,170],"text":[34],"sources,":[35],"but":[36],"these":[37],"do":[39],"not":[40],"directly":[41],"provide":[42],"quantitative":[43,73,163],"insight":[44],"into":[45,82,126,161],"their":[46],"potential":[47],"impact":[48],"on":[49,113],"a":[50,152],"specific":[51],"chain":[53],"configuration.":[54],"This":[55],"paper":[56,145],"proposes":[57],"an":[58],"end-to-end":[60],"methodology":[61],"that":[62,156],"combines":[63],"LLM-based":[64],"risk":[65,74,132,164],"with":[67],"discrete-event":[68],"simulation":[69],"(DES)":[70],"for":[71,166],"initial":[72,162],"evaluation.":[75],"Unstructured":[76],"textual":[77],"are":[80,105],"translated":[81],"structured":[83],"vectors":[85],"and":[86,97,102,107,130],"executable":[87],"SimPy-based":[88],"scenarios.":[89],"Through":[90],"ensemble-based":[91],"classification,":[92],"schema-constrained":[93],"extraction,":[94],"deterministic":[95],"validation,":[96],"Monte":[98],"Carlo":[99],"experimentation,":[100],"baseline":[101],"scenarios":[104],"generated":[106],"compared":[108],"automatically.":[109],"A":[110],"case":[111],"study":[112],"Red":[114],"Sea":[115],"piracy":[116],"disruptions":[117],"demonstrates":[118],"how":[119],"validated":[120],"be":[124],"transformed":[125],"measurable":[127],"lead-time":[128],"distributions":[129],"milestone":[131],"indicators,":[133],"revealing":[134],"substantial":[135],"delay":[136],"escalation":[137],"under":[138],"rerouting":[139],"conditions.":[140],"The":[141],"contribution":[142],"lies":[146],"demonstrating":[148],"feasibility":[150],"fully":[153],"pipeline":[155],"converts":[157],"indications":[165],"further":[167],"expert":[168],"assessment":[169],"complex,":[171],"project-oriented":[172],"chains.":[174]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-07-14T23:27:15.235271","created_date":"2026-07-01T00:00:00"}
