{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7133652271","doi":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2603.03338","title":"AI Researchers' Views on Automating AI R&amp;D and Intelligence Explosions","display_name":"AI Researchers' Views on Automating AI R&amp;D and Intelligence Explosions","publication_year":2026,"publication_date":"2026-02-13","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7133652271","doi":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2603.03338"},"language":null,"primary_location":{"id":"pmh:doi:10.48550/arxiv.2603.03338","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":null,"pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922384","display_name":"Open MIND","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5128176585","display_name":"Severin Field","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Field, Severin","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Douglas, Raymond","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Douglas, Raymond","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5128168200","display_name":"David Krueger","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Krueger, David","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.20196665,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10883","display_name":"Ethics and Social Impacts of AI","score":0.4357999861240387,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3311","display_name":"Safety Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10883","display_name":"Ethics and Social Impacts of AI","score":0.4357999861240387,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3311","display_name":"Safety Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11636","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare and Education","score":0.11479999870061874,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2718","display_name":"Health Informatics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13910","display_name":"Computational and Text Analysis Methods","score":0.042399998754262924,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3300","display_name":"General Social Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/skepticism","display_name":"Skepticism","score":0.6843000054359436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transformative-learning","display_name":"Transformative learning","score":0.5825999975204468},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/process","display_name":"Process (computing)","score":0.45809999108314514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/timeline","display_name":"Timeline","score":0.4571000039577484},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/frontier","display_name":"Frontier","score":0.45010000467300415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/corporate-governance","display_name":"Corporate governance","score":0.40939998626708984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/applications-of-artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Applications of artificial intelligence","score":0.40310001373291016}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18296254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1395219","display_name":"Skepticism","level":2,"score":0.6843000054359436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C70587473","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7834111","display_name":"Transformative learning","level":2,"score":0.5825999975204468},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.5720999836921692},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4869000017642975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.45809999108314514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4438859","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186117","display_name":"Timeline","level":2,"score":0.4571000039577484},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778571376","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1355821","display_name":"Frontier","level":2,"score":0.45010000467300415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39389867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q380767","display_name":"Corporate governance","level":2,"score":0.40939998626708984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C157170001","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4781507","display_name":"Applications of artificial intelligence","level":2,"score":0.40310001373291016},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58328972","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q184609","display_name":"Expert system","level":2,"score":0.37299999594688416},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.3285999894142151},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161301231","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3478658","display_name":"Knowledge representation and reasoning","level":2,"score":0.31769999861717224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.3174000084400177},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43521106","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2165493","display_name":"Pipeline (software)","level":2,"score":0.3156000077724457},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C56739046","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192060","display_name":"Knowledge management","level":1,"score":0.2930999994277954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55587333","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1133029","display_name":"Engineering ethics","level":1,"score":0.29170000553131104},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780233690","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q535347","display_name":"Transparency (behavior)","level":2,"score":0.2856000065803528},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188147891","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q147638","display_name":"Cognitive science","level":1,"score":0.2797999978065491},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C179518139","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5140297","display_name":"Coding (social sciences)","level":2,"score":0.27300000190734863},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C84857602","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5012668","display_name":"CLARION","level":2,"score":0.2678000032901764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.265500009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105002631","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4833645","display_name":"Subject-matter expert","level":3,"score":0.2556000053882599}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"pmh:doi:10.48550/arxiv.2603.03338","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":null,"pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922384","display_name":"Open MIND","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"doi:10.48550/arxiv.2603.03338","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2603.03338","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":null,"is_accepted":false,"is_published":null,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Preprint"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:doi:10.48550/arxiv.2603.03338","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":null,"pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922384","display_name":"Open MIND","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Many":[0],"leading":[1,37,52],"AI":[2,5,25,34,56,81,99,109,116,127,137,192,208],"researchers":[3,53,95,145,173],"expect":[4],"development":[6],"to":[7,29,38,73,88,135,200,220],"exceed":[8],"the":[9,22,31,93,104,148,177,214],"transformative":[10],"impact":[11],"of":[12,33,47,92,103,150,158,179],"all":[13,232],"previous":[14],"technological":[15],"revolutions.":[16],"This":[17],"belief":[18],"is":[19],"based":[20],"on":[21,77,113,155],"idea":[23],"that":[24,115],"will":[26,118],"be":[27,201],"able":[28,87],"automate":[30],"process":[32],"research":[35,100],"itself,":[36],"a":[39,227],"positive":[40],"feedback":[41],"loop.":[42],"In":[43],"August":[44],"and":[45,58,71,107,125,174],"September":[46],"2025,":[48],"we":[49],"interviewed":[50,96],"25":[51,94],"from":[54,62,131],"frontier":[55,171],"labs":[57],"academia,":[59],"including":[60],"participants":[61,190],"Google":[63],"DeepMind,":[64],"OpenAI,":[65],"Anthropic,":[66],"Meta,":[67],"UC":[68],"Berkeley,":[69],"Princeton,":[70],"Stanford":[72],"understand":[74],"researcher":[75],"perspectives":[76],"these":[78],"scenarios.":[79,187],"Though":[80],"systems":[82,193],"have":[83],"not":[84],"yet":[85],"been":[86],"recursively":[89],"improve,":[90],"20":[91],"identified":[97],"automating":[98],"as":[101,219],"one":[102],"most":[105],"severe":[106],"urgent":[108],"risks.":[110],"Participants":[111,216],"converged":[112],"predictions":[114,142],"agents":[117],"become":[119],"more":[120,182],"capable":[121],"at":[122,207],"coding,":[123],"math":[124],"eventually":[126],"development,":[128],"gradually":[129],"transitioning":[130],"`assistants'":[132],"or":[133,160,197,210],"`tools'":[134],"`autonomous":[136],"developers,'":[138],"after":[139],"which":[140,180],"point,":[141],"diverge.":[143],"While":[144],"agreed":[146],"upon":[147],"possibility":[149],"recursive":[151],"improvement,":[152],"they":[153],"disagreed":[154],"basic":[156],"questions":[157],"timelines":[159],"appropriate":[161],"governance":[162],"mechanisms.":[163],"For":[164],"example,":[165],"an":[166],"epistemic":[167],"divide":[168],"emerged":[169],"between":[170],"lab":[172],"academic":[175],"researchers,":[176],"latter":[178],"expressed":[181],"skepticism":[183],"about":[184],"explosive":[185],"growth":[186],"Additionally,":[188],"17/25":[189],"expected":[191],"with":[194],"advanced":[195],"coding":[196],"R&amp;D":[198],"capabilities":[199],"increasingly":[202],"reserved":[203],"for":[204],"internal":[205],"use":[206],"companies":[209],"governments,":[211],"unseen":[212],"by":[213],"public.":[215],"were":[217],"split":[218],"whether":[221],"setting":[222],"regulatory":[223],"``red":[224],"lines\"":[225],"was":[226],"good":[228],"idea,":[229],"though":[230],"almost":[231],"favored":[233],"transparency-based":[234],"mitigations.":[235]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-07-15T18:14:33.161393","created_date":"2026-03-06T00:00:00"}
