{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2346710800","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4338/aci-2015-09-ra-0127","title":"Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Hospital Census: Application to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit","display_name":"Time Series Analysis for Forecasting Hospital Census: Application to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-04-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2346710800","doi":"https://doi.org/10.4338/aci-2015-09-ra-0127","mag":"2346710800","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27437040"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.4338/aci-2015-09-ra-0127","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4338/aci-2015-09-ra-0127","pdf_url":"http://www.thieme-connect.de/products/ejournals/pdf/10.4338/ACI-2015-09-RA-0127.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S187139995","display_name":"Applied Clinical Informatics","issn_l":"1869-0327","issn":["1869-0327"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320000","host_organization_name":"Thieme Medical Publishers (Germany)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320000"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Thieme Medical Publishers (Germany)"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Applied Clinical Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"http://www.thieme-connect.de/products/ejournals/pdf/10.4338/ACI-2015-09-RA-0127.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5036400651","display_name":"Stephen Hoover","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3916-4577"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1281704429","display_name":"Christiana Care Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/02h905004","country_code":"US","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Stephen Hoover","raw_affiliation_strings":["Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute , Newark, DE","Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute, Newark, DE;"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute , Newark, DE","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute, Newark, DE;","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008822157","display_name":"Eric M. Jackson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9306-9290"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1281704429","display_name":"Christiana Care Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/02h905004","country_code":"US","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Eric Jackson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute , Newark, DE","Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute, Newark, DE;"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute , Newark, DE","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute, Newark, DE;","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5069675935","display_name":"David A. Paul","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2633-6341"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1281704429","display_name":"Christiana Care Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/02h905004","country_code":"US","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"David Paul","raw_affiliation_strings":["Christiana Care Health System, Division of Neonatology , Newark, DE","Christiana Care Health System, Division of Neonatology, Newark, DE"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Division of Neonatology , Newark, DE","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Division of Neonatology, Newark, DE","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048962996","display_name":"Robert Locke","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0375-9736"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1281704429","display_name":"Christiana Care Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/02h905004","country_code":"US","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Robert Locke","raw_affiliation_strings":["Christiana Care Health System, Division of Neonatology , Newark, DE","Christiana Care Health System, Division of Neonatology, Newark, DE"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Division of Neonatology , Newark, DE","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Division of Neonatology, Newark, DE","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013796744","display_name":"M\u00fcge Capan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3194-6117"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1281704429","display_name":"Christiana Care Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/02h905004","country_code":"US","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Muge Capan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute , Newark, DE","Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute, Newark, DE;"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute , Newark, DE","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Christiana Care Health System, Value Institute, Newark, DE;","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5013796744"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1281704429"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":6.2849,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":34,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96430331,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"07","issue":"02","first_page":"275","last_page":"289"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10391","display_name":"Healthcare Policy and Management","score":0.9972000122070312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10391","display_name":"Healthcare Policy and Management","score":0.9972000122070312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11095","display_name":"Emergency and Acute Care Studies","score":0.9965000152587891,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2711","display_name":"Emergency Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12174","display_name":"Hospital Admissions and Outcomes","score":0.9887999892234802,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2711","display_name":"Emergency Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/census","display_name":"Census","score":0.8921691179275513},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-integrated-moving-average","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","score":0.8688684701919556},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.4856051802635193},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.46853938698768616},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/linear-regression","display_name":"Linear regression","score":0.4126838445663452},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.3873390555381775},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.37405556440353394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.3396650552749634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.31961292028427124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population","display_name":"Population","score":0.27039292454719543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.22922688722610474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-health","display_name":"Environmental health","score":0.11077958345413208}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C52130261","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39825","display_name":"Census","level":3,"score":0.8921691179275513},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.8688684701919556},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.4856051802635193},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.46853938698768616},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48921125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q10861030","display_name":"Linear regression","level":2,"score":0.4126838445663452},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3873390555381775},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.37405556440353394},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3396650552749634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.31961292028427124},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.27039292454719543},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.22922688722610474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.11077958345413208}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007231","descriptor_name":"Infant, Newborn","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007231","descriptor_name":"Infant, Newborn","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007231","descriptor_name":"Infant, Newborn","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007363","descriptor_name":"Intensive Care Units, Neonatal","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007363","descriptor_name":"Intensive Care Units, Neonatal","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007363","descriptor_name":"Intensive Care Units, Neonatal","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019352","descriptor_name":"Censuses","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D019352","descriptor_name":"Censuses","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D019352","descriptor_name":"Censuses","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true}],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.4338/aci-2015-09-ra-0127","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4338/aci-2015-09-ra-0127","pdf_url":"http://www.thieme-connect.de/products/ejournals/pdf/10.4338/ACI-2015-09-RA-0127.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S187139995","display_name":"Applied Clinical Informatics","issn_l":"1869-0327","issn":["1869-0327"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320000","host_organization_name":"Thieme Medical Publishers (Germany)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320000"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Thieme Medical Publishers (Germany)"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Applied Clinical Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:27437040","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27437040","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Applied clinical informatics","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:4941839","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/4941839","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Appl Clin Inform","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.4338/aci-2015-09-ra-0127","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.4338/aci-2015-09-ra-0127","pdf_url":"http://www.thieme-connect.de/products/ejournals/pdf/10.4338/ACI-2015-09-RA-0127.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S187139995","display_name":"Applied Clinical Informatics","issn_l":"1869-0327","issn":["1869-0327"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320000","host_organization_name":"Thieme Medical Publishers (Germany)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320000"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Thieme Medical Publishers (Germany)"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Applied Clinical Informatics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2346710800.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2346710800.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":29,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W637484538","https://openalex.org/W1486034269","https://openalex.org/W1502942445","https://openalex.org/W1544274373","https://openalex.org/W1603304353","https://openalex.org/W1911761979","https://openalex.org/W1968193277","https://openalex.org/W1970414061","https://openalex.org/W1971832914","https://openalex.org/W1973518279","https://openalex.org/W1984633497","https://openalex.org/W2018481582","https://openalex.org/W2030365204","https://openalex.org/W2038746872","https://openalex.org/W2038804786","https://openalex.org/W2056060506","https://openalex.org/W2096880519","https://openalex.org/W2100825206","https://openalex.org/W2119012595","https://openalex.org/W2124517749","https://openalex.org/W2125475924","https://openalex.org/W2129413669","https://openalex.org/W2143085261","https://openalex.org/W2154531209","https://openalex.org/W2167018762","https://openalex.org/W2171241607","https://openalex.org/W2171838056","https://openalex.org/W2316551704","https://openalex.org/W4246841801"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3175321409","https://openalex.org/W4312561791","https://openalex.org/W2389894046","https://openalex.org/W2215717369","https://openalex.org/W4312309719","https://openalex.org/W2974356760","https://openalex.org/W2980748541","https://openalex.org/W3115491726","https://openalex.org/W4313123484","https://openalex.org/W4386362517"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Time":[0],"series":[1],"models":[2],"provide":[3],"higher":[4],"prediction":[5],"accuracy":[6],"under":[7],"different":[8],"census":[9,16,37],"conditions":[10],"compared":[11],"with":[12],"the":[13],"fixed":[14],"average":[15],"approach.":[17],"Presented":[18],"methodology":[19],"is":[20],"easily":[21],"applicable":[22],"in":[23],"clinical":[24],"practice,":[25],"can":[26],"be":[27],"generalized":[28],"to":[29],"other":[30],"care":[31],"settings,":[32],"support":[33],"short-":[34],"and":[35,39],"long-term":[36],"forecasting,":[38],"inform":[40],"staff":[41],"resource":[42],"planning.":[43]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-03-20T23:20:44.827607","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
