{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4414516043","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17101599","title":"Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Based on ICEEMDAN-TCN-BiLSTM-MHA","display_name":"Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Based on ICEEMDAN-TCN-BiLSTM-MHA","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-09-25","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4414516043","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17101599"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/sym17101599","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17101599","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/17/10/1599/pdf?version=1758788928","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S190787756","display_name":"Symmetry","issn_l":"2073-8994","issn":["2073-8994"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Symmetry","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/17/10/1599/pdf?version=1758788928","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101842115","display_name":"Yuan Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9338-2463"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I290007724","display_name":"Qinghai University for Nationalities","ror":"https://ror.org/01e7csr82","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I290007724"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yuan Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["The College of Civil Engineering and Transportation, Qinghai University of Nationalities, Xining 810007, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The College of Civil Engineering and Transportation, Qinghai University of Nationalities, Xining 810007, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I290007724"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Shiming Zhai","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I290007724","display_name":"Qinghai University for Nationalities","ror":"https://ror.org/01e7csr82","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I290007724"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Shiming Zhai","raw_affiliation_strings":["The College of Civil Engineering and Transportation, Qinghai University of Nationalities, Xining 810007, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The College of Civil Engineering and Transportation, Qinghai University of Nationalities, Xining 810007, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I290007724"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5119731600","display_name":"Guoyang Yi","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27357992","display_name":"Dalian University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/023hj5876","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27357992"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guoyang Yi","raw_affiliation_strings":["The State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27357992"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Shaoyun Pang","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27357992","display_name":"Dalian University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/023hj5876","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27357992"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shaoyun Pang","raw_affiliation_strings":["The State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27357992"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072686159","display_name":"Xu Luo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7260-029X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27357992","display_name":"Dalian University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/023hj5876","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27357992"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xu Luo","raw_affiliation_strings":["The State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The State Key Laboratory of Coastal and Offshore Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27357992"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I290007724"],"apc_list":{"value":2000,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":2227},"apc_paid":{"value":2000,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":2227},"fwci":5.0798,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95215856,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"17","issue":"10","first_page":"1599","last_page":"1599"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9983999729156494,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9983999729156494,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9919000267982483,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14444","display_name":"Power Systems and Renewable Energy","score":0.973800003528595,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2102","display_name":"Energy Engineering and Power Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/photovoltaic-system","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","score":0.6948999762535095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/robustness","display_name":"Robustness (evolution)","score":0.6351000070571899},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-irradiance","display_name":"Solar irradiance","score":0.5260000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/noise","display_name":"Noise (video)","score":0.5065000057220459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/hilbert\u2013huang-transform","display_name":"Hilbert\u2013Huang transform","score":0.38510000705718994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/stability","display_name":"Stability (learning theory)","score":0.38339999318122864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/numerical-weather-prediction","display_name":"Numerical weather prediction","score":0.3700999915599823},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/irradiance","display_name":"Irradiance","score":0.3637999892234802}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41291067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1897785","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","level":2,"score":0.6948999762535095},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6876999735832214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C63479239","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7353546","display_name":"Robustness (evolution)","level":3,"score":0.6351000070571899},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9695528","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7556707","display_name":"Solar irradiance","level":2,"score":0.5260000228881836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99498987","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2210247","display_name":"Noise (video)","level":3,"score":0.5065000057220459},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C25570617","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1006462","display_name":"Hilbert\u2013Huang transform","level":3,"score":0.38510000705718994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112972136","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7595718","display_name":"Stability (learning theory)","level":2,"score":0.38339999318122864},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147947694","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q837552","display_name":"Numerical weather prediction","level":2,"score":0.3700999915599823},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C46423501","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q830654","display_name":"Irradiance","level":2,"score":0.3637999892234802},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.3555999994277954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48677424","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6888088","display_name":"Mode (computer interface)","level":2,"score":0.3467000126838684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C167085575","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6803654","display_name":"Mean squared prediction error","level":2,"score":0.3458000123500824},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9652623","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q190109","display_name":"Field (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.3255999982357025},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47446073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5165890","display_name":"Control theory (sociology)","level":3,"score":0.325300008058548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89227174","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2388981","display_name":"Electric power system","level":3,"score":0.31369999051094055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.28700000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C67186912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q367664","display_name":"Data modeling","level":2,"score":0.27889999747276306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C179024874","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5395728","display_name":"Errors-in-variables models","level":2,"score":0.27869999408721924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777618391","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1483757","display_name":"Solar power","level":3,"score":0.2637999951839447},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21200559","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7451068","display_name":"Sensitivity (control systems)","level":2,"score":0.259799987077713}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3390/sym17101599","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17101599","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/17/10/1599/pdf?version=1758788928","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S190787756","display_name":"Symmetry","issn_l":"2073-8994","issn":["2073-8994"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Symmetry","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/sym17101599","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/sym17101599","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-8994/17/10/1599/pdf?version=1758788928","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S190787756","display_name":"Symmetry","issn_l":"2073-8994","issn":["2073-8994"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Symmetry","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1170597975","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"66M2024013","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4600245182","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"5236060138","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321630","display_name":"Dalian University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/023hj5876"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4414516043.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":43,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W3000604112","https://openalex.org/W3128276472","https://openalex.org/W3133181227","https://openalex.org/W3134570487","https://openalex.org/W3149839747","https://openalex.org/W3200008329","https://openalex.org/W3215548019","https://openalex.org/W4206329555","https://openalex.org/W4220758235","https://openalex.org/W4281486872","https://openalex.org/W4283522617","https://openalex.org/W4285384244","https://openalex.org/W4285585467","https://openalex.org/W4295979169","https://openalex.org/W4304689177","https://openalex.org/W4312032778","https://openalex.org/W4319458346","https://openalex.org/W4361273264","https://openalex.org/W4361281986","https://openalex.org/W4368370727","https://openalex.org/W4388870769","https://openalex.org/W4388991767","https://openalex.org/W4389504806","https://openalex.org/W4390590932","https://openalex.org/W4392951788","https://openalex.org/W4393931248","https://openalex.org/W4394894628","https://openalex.org/W4398206697","https://openalex.org/W4399011188","https://openalex.org/W4399376103","https://openalex.org/W4400086456","https://openalex.org/W4400105798","https://openalex.org/W4400584721","https://openalex.org/W4400859441","https://openalex.org/W4401182803","https://openalex.org/W4401487746","https://openalex.org/W4401550462","https://openalex.org/W4403482506","https://openalex.org/W4404211086","https://openalex.org/W4407857089","https://openalex.org/W4407983386","https://openalex.org/W4411154604","https://openalex.org/W4412456656"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0],"this":[1],"paper,":[2],"an":[3],"efficient":[4],"hybrid":[5],"photovoltaic":[6],"(PV)":[7],"power":[8,21,48,51,201],"forecasting":[9],"model":[10,76,90,149,165],"is":[11,39,121],"proposed":[12],"to":[13,41,123,162],"enhance":[14,79],"the":[15,28,50,61,71,80,84,112,130,146,151,163,180,185,197],"stability":[16,183],"and":[17,49,63,91,97,159,168,172,182,193],"accuracy":[18,99,181],"of":[19,66,74,83,184,199],"PV":[20,47,200],"prediction":[22,98],"under":[23,100],"typical":[24],"weather":[25],"conditions.":[26],"First,":[27],"Improved":[29],"Complementary":[30],"Ensemble":[31],"Empirical":[32],"Mode":[33],"Decomposition":[34],"with":[35],"Adaptive":[36],"Noise":[37],"(ICEEMDAN)":[38],"employed":[40,122],"decompose":[42],"both":[43],"meteorological":[44,127,136],"features":[45],"affecting":[46],"output":[52],"itself":[53],"into":[54,111],"intrinsic":[55],"mode":[56],"functions.":[57],"This":[58,178],"process":[59],"enhances":[60],"stationarity":[62],"noise":[64,140],"robustness":[65],"input":[67],"data":[68],"while":[69,138],"reducing":[70],"computational":[72],"complexity":[73],"subsequent":[75],"processing.":[77],"To":[78],"detail-capturing":[81],"capability":[82],"Bidirectional":[85],"Long":[86],"Short-Term":[87],"Memory":[88],"(BiLSTM)":[89],"improve":[92],"its":[93,190],"dynamic":[94],"response":[95],"speed":[96],"abrupt":[101],"irradiance":[102],"fluctuations,":[103],"we":[104],"integrate":[105],"a":[106,116],"Temporal":[107],"Convolutional":[108],"Network":[109],"(TCN)":[110],"BiLSTM":[113,164],"architecture.":[114],"Finally,":[115],"Multi-head":[117],"Self-Attention":[118],"(MHA)":[119],"mechanism":[120],"dynamically":[124],"weight":[125],"multivariate":[126],"features,":[128],"enhancing":[129],"model\u2019s":[131],"adaptive":[132],"focus":[133],"on":[134],"key":[135],"factors":[137],"suppressing":[139],"interference.":[141],"The":[142],"results":[143],"show":[144],"that":[145],"ICEEMDAN-TCN-BiLSTM-MHA":[147,186],"combined":[148,187],"reduces":[150],"Mean":[152],"Absolute":[153],"Percentage":[154],"Error":[155],"(MAPE)":[156],"by":[157,173],"78.46%":[158],"78.59%":[160],"compared":[161],"in":[166,175,196],"sunny":[167],"cloudy":[169],"scenarios,":[170],"respectively,":[171],"58.44%":[174],"rainy":[176],"scenarios.":[177],"validates":[179],"model,":[188],"demonstrating":[189],"application":[191],"potential":[192],"promotional":[194],"value":[195],"field":[198],"forecasting.":[202]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-07-22T07:51:19.307946","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}