{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4394837048","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081401","title":"Early Prediction of Regional Red Needle Cast Outbreaks Using Climatic Data Trends and Satellite-Derived Observations","display_name":"Early Prediction of Regional Red Needle Cast Outbreaks Using Climatic Data Trends and Satellite-Derived Observations","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-04-16","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4394837048","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081401"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/rs16081401","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081401","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/16/8/1401/pdf?version=1713270251","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S43295729","display_name":"Remote Sensing","issn_l":"2072-4292","issn":["2072-4292"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Remote Sensing","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/16/8/1401/pdf?version=1713270251","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5073649293","display_name":"Michael S. Watt","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6752-9134"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154136665","display_name":"Scion","ror":"https://ror.org/048r72142","country_code":"NZ","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154136665","https://openalex.org/I4405260297"]}],"countries":["NZ"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Michael S. Watt","raw_affiliation_strings":["Scion, 10 Kyle Street, Christchurch 8011, New Zealand"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Scion, 10 Kyle Street, Christchurch 8011, New Zealand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154136665"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5081359461","display_name":"Andrew Holdaway","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Andrew Holdaway","raw_affiliation_strings":["Indufor Asia Pacific Ltd., 55-65 Shortland Street, Auckland 1010, New Zealand"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Indufor Asia Pacific Ltd., 55-65 Shortland Street, Auckland 1010, New Zealand","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057802480","display_name":"Pete Watt","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8150-2381"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Pete Watt","raw_affiliation_strings":["Indufor Asia Pacific Ltd., 55-65 Shortland Street, Auckland 1010, New Zealand"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Indufor Asia Pacific Ltd., 55-65 Shortland Street, Auckland 1010, New Zealand","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5079458590","display_name":"Grant D. Pearse","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5277-2449"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I169541294","display_name":"Flinders University","ror":"https://ror.org/01kpzv902","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169541294"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Grant D. Pearse","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Sturt Road, Bedford Park 5042, Australia"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Science and Engineering, Flinders University, Sturt Road, Bedford Park 5042, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I169541294"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101766280","display_name":"Melanie E. Palmer","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0008-1938-096X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154136665","display_name":"Scion","ror":"https://ror.org/048r72142","country_code":"NZ","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154136665","https://openalex.org/I4405260297"]}],"countries":["NZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Melanie E. Palmer","raw_affiliation_strings":["Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154136665"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5014230718","display_name":"Benjamin S.C. Steer","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8242-8358"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154136665","display_name":"Scion","ror":"https://ror.org/048r72142","country_code":"NZ","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154136665","https://openalex.org/I4405260297"]}],"countries":["NZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Benjamin S. C. Steer","raw_affiliation_strings":["Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154136665"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013915833","display_name":"Nicol\u00f2 Camarretta","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7520-126X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154136665","display_name":"Scion","ror":"https://ror.org/048r72142","country_code":"NZ","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154136665","https://openalex.org/I4405260297"]}],"countries":["NZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nicol\u00f2 Camarretta","raw_affiliation_strings":["Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154136665"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5065945411","display_name":"Emily McLay","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1888-1112"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154136665","display_name":"Scion","ror":"https://ror.org/048r72142","country_code":"NZ","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154136665","https://openalex.org/I4405260297"]}],"countries":["NZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Emily McLay","raw_affiliation_strings":["Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154136665"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038193984","display_name":"Stuart Fraser","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0331-1889"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154136665","display_name":"Scion","ror":"https://ror.org/048r72142","country_code":"NZ","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154136665","https://openalex.org/I4405260297"]}],"countries":["NZ"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Stuart Fraser","raw_affiliation_strings":["Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Scion, 49 Sala Street, Rotorua 3046, New Zealand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154136665"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":9,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5073649293"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154136665"],"apc_list":{"value":2500,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":2707},"apc_paid":{"value":2500,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":2707},"fwci":11.3984,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":19,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9841236,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":98,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"16","issue":"8","first_page":"1401","last_page":"1401"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11771","display_name":"Plant Pathogens and Resistance","score":0.9980000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1110","display_name":"Plant Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11771","display_name":"Plant Pathogens and Resistance","score":0.9980000257492065,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1110","display_name":"Plant Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10111","display_name":"Remote Sensing in Agriculture","score":0.9979000091552734,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.9876000285148621,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.5771152973175049},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/satellite","display_name":"Satellite","score":0.4842078685760498},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/random-forest","display_name":"Random forest","score":0.4786437749862671},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/satellite-imagery","display_name":"Satellite imagery","score":0.4321005940437317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sunshine-duration","display_name":"Sunshine duration","score":0.41678690910339355},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/physical-geography","display_name":"Physical geography","score":0.4154318869113922},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climatology","display_name":"Climatology","score":0.3799677789211273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/relative-humidity","display_name":"Relative humidity","score":0.3215954303741455},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.3162224292755127},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.30920031666755676},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.12109693884849548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geology","display_name":"Geology","score":0.09248235821723938}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.5771152973175049},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C19269812","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q26540","display_name":"Satellite","level":2,"score":0.4842078685760498},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169258074","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q245748","display_name":"Random forest","level":2,"score":0.4786437749862671},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778102629","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q725252","display_name":"Satellite imagery","level":2,"score":0.4321005940437317},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197529216","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14907183","display_name":"Sunshine duration","level":3,"score":0.41678690910339355},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C100970517","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52107","display_name":"Physical geography","level":1,"score":0.4154318869113922},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.3799677789211273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158960510","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180600","display_name":"Relative humidity","level":2,"score":0.3215954303741455},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.3162224292755127},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.30920031666755676},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.12109693884849548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.09248235821723938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C146978453","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3798668","display_name":"Aerospace engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3390/rs16081401","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081401","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/16/8/1401/pdf?version=1713270251","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S43295729","display_name":"Remote Sensing","issn_l":"2072-4292","issn":["2072-4292"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Remote Sensing","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:c3787cbd8d124458b875a2f0abc30c00","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/c3787cbd8d124458b875a2f0abc30c00","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Remote Sensing, Vol 16, Iss 8, p 1401 (2024)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/rs16081401","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16081401","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/16/8/1401/pdf?version=1713270251","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S43295729","display_name":"Remote Sensing","issn_l":"2072-4292","issn":["2072-4292"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Remote Sensing","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.5400000214576721,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8346235188","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"C04X2101","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321983","funder_display_name":"Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321983","display_name":"Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment","ror":"https://ror.org/02jtq1b51"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4394837048.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":54,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W388444095","https://openalex.org/W1786893767","https://openalex.org/W1821964282","https://openalex.org/W1898091954","https://openalex.org/W1964409849","https://openalex.org/W1964835540","https://openalex.org/W1967437779","https://openalex.org/W1971404394","https://openalex.org/W1979347831","https://openalex.org/W1981984691","https://openalex.org/W2010261514","https://openalex.org/W2013369800","https://openalex.org/W2056435747","https://openalex.org/W2063255940","https://openalex.org/W2077653178","https://openalex.org/W2101234009","https://openalex.org/W2163559012","https://openalex.org/W2194775991","https://openalex.org/W2521750265","https://openalex.org/W2570400151","https://openalex.org/W2586395169","https://openalex.org/W2597944323","https://openalex.org/W2725897987","https://openalex.org/W2752394265","https://openalex.org/W2809262461","https://openalex.org/W2810869714","https://openalex.org/W2944680296","https://openalex.org/W2947004109","https://openalex.org/W2951827913","https://openalex.org/W2964309882","https://openalex.org/W2969485242","https://openalex.org/W3006993985","https://openalex.org/W3010225360","https://openalex.org/W3111938808","https://openalex.org/W3133307794","https://openalex.org/W3134738879","https://openalex.org/W3154671245","https://openalex.org/W3158964521","https://openalex.org/W3176879029","https://openalex.org/W3192793251","https://openalex.org/W3193939865","https://openalex.org/W3201874863","https://openalex.org/W4224322762","https://openalex.org/W4281252268","https://openalex.org/W4283643019","https://openalex.org/W4283753054","https://openalex.org/W4292977286","https://openalex.org/W4378619481","https://openalex.org/W4378637455","https://openalex.org/W4385738355","https://openalex.org/W4385805065","https://openalex.org/W4389240868","https://openalex.org/W4390881701","https://openalex.org/W6675354045"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2386916701","https://openalex.org/W2347799917","https://openalex.org/W2372155164","https://openalex.org/W2369537552","https://openalex.org/W2373077213","https://openalex.org/W2359744772","https://openalex.org/W2362311254","https://openalex.org/W2352043907","https://openalex.org/W2390166155","https://openalex.org/W1976683661"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Red":[0],"needle":[1],"cast":[2],"(RNC),":[3],"mainly":[4],"caused":[5],"by":[6,212],"Phytophthora":[7],"pluvialis,":[8],"is":[9],"a":[10,25,33,56,90,118,168,181],"very":[11],"damaging":[12],"disease":[13,101,125,141,173],"of":[14,27,43,52,93,99,171,193,199,210],"the":[15,41,49,72,82,85,94,97,104,136,146,158,172,185,208],"widely":[16],"grown":[17],"species":[18],"radiata":[19,46],"pine":[20,47],"within":[21,48,71],"New":[22,53],"Zealand.":[23],"Using":[24,180],"combination":[26],"satellite":[28,64],"imagery":[29,65],"and":[30,96,117,157,195,217],"weather":[31,130],"data,":[32],"novel":[34],"methodology":[35],"was":[36,66,121],"developed":[37],"to":[38,61,68,123,140,206],"pre-visually":[39],"predict":[40,124],"incidence":[42,126],"RNC":[44,79,211],"on":[45,214],"Gisborne":[50],"region":[51,73],"Zealand":[54],"over":[55],"five-year":[57],"period":[58],"from":[59,81,127],"2019":[60],"2023.":[62],"Sentinel-2":[63],"used":[67,122,205],"classify":[69],"areas":[70],"as":[74],"being":[75],"disease-free":[76,91],"or":[77],"showing":[78],"expression":[80,102],"difference":[83],"in":[84,103,145],"red/green":[86],"index":[87],"(R/Gdiff)":[88],"during":[89,135,163],"time":[92,98],"year":[95],"maximum":[100,159],"upper":[105],"canopy":[106],"(early":[107],"spring\u2013September).":[108],"Within":[109],"these":[110],"two":[111],"classes,":[112],"1976":[113],"plots":[114],"were":[115],"extracted,":[116],"classification":[119],"model":[120,150,189],"mean":[128],"monthly":[129],"data":[131],"for":[132],"key":[133],"variables":[134,144],"11":[137],"months":[138,175],"prior":[139],"expression.":[142,179],"The":[143],"final":[147,186],"random":[148,187],"forest":[149,188],"included":[151],"solar":[152],"radiation,":[153],"relative":[154],"humidity,":[155],"rainfall,":[156],"air":[160],"temperature":[161],"recorded":[162],"mid\u2013late":[164],"summer,":[165],"which":[166],"provided":[167],"pre-visual":[169],"prediction":[170],"7\u20138":[174],"before":[176],"its":[177],"peak":[178],"hold-out":[182],"test":[183],"dataset,":[184],"had":[190],"an":[191,196],"accuracy":[192],"89%":[194],"F1":[197],"score":[198],"0.89.":[200],"This":[201],"approach":[202],"can":[203],"be":[204],"mitigate":[207],"impact":[209],"focusing":[213],"early":[215],"surveillance":[216],"treatment":[218],"measures.":[219]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":14},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-03-27T05:58:40.876381","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}