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IN THE CURRENT STATE  DISASTER MANAGEMENT ORGANIZATIONS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES ARE NOT PREPARING SUFFICIENTLY FOR FLASH FLOODS. THE LACK OF AVAILABLE  ACCESSIBLE AND USABLE INFORMATION  COMBINED WITH A LACK OF CAPACITY TO TAKE ACTION  HAS LED TO A STATE OF INSUFFICIENT PREPAREDNESS. IN AN IDEAL STATE  FLASH FLOOD DECISION MAKING WILL BE USER DRIVEN AND INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING COMPONENTS; USER IDENTIFICATION OF ACTIONS THAT CAN BE TAKEN ON VARIOUS LEAD TIMES  CO-DEVELOPMENT OF A FLASH FLOOD EARLY WARNING EARLY ACTION (EWEA) SYSTEM ON RELEVANT LEAD TIMES  SETTING OF FORECAST THRESHOLDS WHICH TRIGGER A PREDEFINED SET OF  STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES . A DIVERSE SET OF STAKEHOLDERS SUCH AS FORECAST DEVELOPERS  DISASTER MANAGERS  GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS AND BOUNDARY ORGANIZATIONS WILL BE INVITED TO JOIN A TECHNICAL WORKING GROUP (TWG) FOR EWEA ON FLASH FLOODS. THE PRIMARY TASK OF THE TWG IS TO SYSTEMATICALLY IDENTIFY A SET OF FLASH FLOOD PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS THAT CAN BE TAKEN IF A SUITABLE FLASH FLOOD FORECAST EXISTED. THE SET OF ACTIONS WILL BE INCORPORATED INTO ACTION-FORECAST MATRIX. EOS (MODIS  EO-1  LANDSAT  SAR/SENTINEL  TRMM/GPM) WILL BE USED TO MODEL FLASH FLOOD RISK AND MONITOR FLASH FLOOD EVENTS  LEADING TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FLASH FLOOD GEOHAZARD MAP WHICH CAN BE A USEFUL TOOL IN UNDERSTANDING SHIFTS IN RISK  INCLUDING ON SEASONAL TO SUBSEASONAL  SEASONAL  INTERANNUAL AND DECADAL TIMESCALES. WHILE NASA EOS ARE INTEGRATED INTO ALL ASPECTS OF THE PROPOSAL  THEY ARE THE PRINCIPAL FEATURE OF THE  USER DRIVEN FLASH FLOOD FORECASTING RESEARCH  WORK PACKAGE. THIS SECTION WILL AIM FOR GLOBAL FORECASTS FOR FLASH FLOODS  WHICH COVER THE LEAD TIMES OF INTEREST TO DISASTER MANAGERS. TO ACHIEVE THIS  AN INTERCOMPARISON OF EXISTING FLASH FLOOD FORECASTS WILL BE CONDUCTED USING A NOVEL OBSERVATIONAL DATASETS AND USER DEFINED EVALUATION METRICS AND PROPERTIES. SECOND  THE IDENTIFIED GLOBAL HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS  FROM SYSTEMS BASED ON EF5 AND LISFLOOD  WILL BE COMPARED AND EVALUATED USING A DISASTER MANAGER S DEFINITION OF FORECAST UTILITY. NEXT  THE MODELS BASED ON EF5 WILL BE REFINED  GENERATING A GLOBAL HYDROLOGIC FORECASTING ENSEMBLE  DECREASING UNCERTAINTY. FINALLY  EF5 MODELS WILL BE RERUN FOR THE HISTORICAL PERIOD OF DATA WITH THE RESULTING ANALYSES BEING MADE AVAILABLE WITHIN A DATA COMMONS ARCHITECTURE. THIS WILL ENABLE BROAD OPEN ACCESS OF THE DATA TO THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY FOR FURTHER RESEARCH ON FLOODING. WE WILL FORMALLY RECONVENE THE TWG TO PRESENT THE RESULTS OF THE INTERCOMPARISON FOR THE TAILORED CASE STUDIES TO OUR END-USER COMMUNITY  WORKING WITH THEM TO EXPLORE SUITABILITY FOR FORECAST BASED ACTION AND POTENTIALLY DEVELOP SOPS. IT IS IMPORTANT TO NOTE THAT THE GOAL OF THE PROJECT IS NOT TO DEVELOP SOPS  BUT RATHER  PROVIDE THE TOOLS AND OPPORTUNITY FOR STAKEHOLDERS TO CO-DEVELOP SOPS FOR A NASA EOS DRIVEN FLASH FLOOD EWEA IF DESIRED. WE WILL PRIORITIZE INTERACTIVE AND ITERATIVE MONITORING EVALUATION THROUGHOUT THE PROJECT  WHICH WILL FOSTER BETTER COMMUNICATION BETWEEN REMOTE SENSING EXPERTS AND ENDUSERS. AN ASSESSMENT OF FORECAST VALUE  SUCH AS A COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS  OF A POTENTIAL EWEA SYSTEM IS PLANNED  WHICH WILL INCLUDE AN ANALYSIS OF AVERTED LOSSES AND PROVIDE A LENS INTO A SYSTEM WHERE THE CASE OF INCREASING AVERTED LOSS RATIO DRIVEN BY AN INCREASE IN LEAD TIME COULD DRIVE THE FUNDING TO INCREASE FORECAST SUITABILITY TO LONGER LEAD TIMES. WE FEEL THIS APPROACH REPRESENTS A PARADIGM SHIFT IN DISASTER MANAGEMENT EXPANDING ON PRINCIPALS FROM OPERATIONAL EWEA FRAMEWORKS SUCH AS THE RED CROSS FORECAST-BASED FINANCING AND WORLD FOOD PROGRAMME S FOODSECURE. THIS WOULD INCLUDE MOVING FROM THE UBIQUITOUS  OPT-IN  APPROACH WHERE REACHING A THRESHOLD IN A FORECAST COULD LEAD TO ACTION (BUT LIKELY NOTHING WILL HAPPEN) TO A SYSTEM WHEREBY STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES ARE AGREED UPON IN ADVANCE  TAKING ACTION IS MANDATORY.","funder_award_id":"80NSSC18K0342","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306101","funder_display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2951545441","display_name":"THE RECENT MOVEMENT OF ALMOST 700 000 ROHINGYA FROM MYANMAR TO BANGLADESH  SETTLING IN AREAS OF INCREASED RISK OF DISASTER IMPACTS  IS CREATING THE FASTEST GROWING REFUGEE CRISIS GLOBALLY. JUNE MARKS THE CLIMATOLOGICAL START OF THE MONSOON SEASON  TRIGGERING THE RISK OF HIGH LEVELS OF RAINFALL  ASSOCIATED GEOPHYSICAL HAZARDS (ESPECIALLY FLASH FLOODS  RIVERINE FLOODS AND LANDSLIDES)  AND SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT THROUGHOUT THE MONSOON SEASON  INTO THE SECOND CYCLONE SEASON (SEPTEMBER-NOVEMBER) AND THE PRE-MONSOON AND MONSOON SEASON OF 2019. ACTION IS REQUIRED NOW TO: 1. INFORM URGENT AND CRITICAL DECISIONS MADE DURING THE MONSOON SEASON USING HIGHER QUALITY AND/OR MORE APPROPRIATE GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND INFORMATION PRODUCTS. 2. IMPLEMENT A PROCESS BEFORE THE RAINY SEASON  WHERE DATA CAN BE COLLECTED NOW TO FEED POST-MONSOON DATA ANALYSIS THAT WILL IMPROVE PREPAREDNESS DECISION MAKING FOR NEXT MONSOON SEASON. BUILDING ON RECENT EXPERIENCES PROVIDING TECHNICAL SUPPORT TO THE INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR MIGRATION (IOM) AND TO THE INTER SECTOR COORDINATION GROUP (ISCG)  WE PROPOSE TO ENHANCE THE CAPACITY OF DECISION MAKERS TO BETTER ASSESS DISASTER RISK THROUGH THE USE OF EARTH OBSERVATIONS  WHICH WILL DIRECTLY INFORM CRITICAL AND URGENT WEATHER AND CLIMATE-SENSITIVE DECISIONS. ADDITIONALLY  MEDIUM- TO LONG-TERM DECISIONS FRAMED AROUND BUILDING RESILIENCE TO DISASTERS (I.E.  FLOODS AND LANDSLIDES) WILL BE ADDRESSED. IN TURN  WE PROPOSE TO INFORM THE NASA DISASTERS COMMUNITY OF LESSONS LEARNED IN CONNECTING AND TAILORING APPROPRIATE EARTH OBSERVATION DATA  MODEL PRODUCTS  AND SERVICES TO TARGETED DECISIONS REQUIRED THROUGHOUT THE CYCLE OF HUMANITARIAN CRISIS MANAGEMENT. TO ACHIEVE THIS  WE PROPOSE TWO WORK PACKAGES  DESIGNED TO BE CONDUCTED IN PARALLEL. WORK PACKAGE 1 CONSISTS IN ENHANCING THE CAPACITY OF DECISION MAKERS TO BETTER ASSESS DISASTER RISK THROUGH THE CO-DEVELOPMENT OF A DECISION SUPPORT PROTOTYPE WEB APP  BUILDING ON THE IDENTIFICATION OF CONCRETE AND SPECIFIC DECISIONS MADE IN THE CAMPS BY DECISION MAKERS FROM IOM  ISCG  UNHCR AND UNDP. WORK PACKAGE 2 FOCUSES ON THE ANALYSIS OF THE METHODS APPLIED IN WORK PACKAGE 1  IN ORDER TO DEEPEN THE UNDERSTANDING OF THE MECHANISMS REQUIRED TO BETTER MAINSTREAM EARTH OBSERVATIONS IN DECISION MAKING PROCESSES OF INTERNATIONAL ORGANIZATIONS IN OTHER CRISES CONTEXTS. AS SUSTAINABILITY IS MORE LIKELY TO BE ENSURED WHEN THE GOVERNANCE ELEMENTS ARE UNDERSTOOD AND ADHERED TO  A KEY ELEMENT OF THIS WORK IS TO UNDERSTAND THE INSTITUTIONAL PROCESSES OF THE ORGANIZATIONS INVOLVED IN THIS PROJECT BY LIAISING WITH REGIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL LEVELS OF USERS  TO EXPLORE THE CURRENT LANGUAGE RELATED TO FORECAST-BASED ACTION  AND ASSESS THE CAPACITY AND INTEREST FOR POTENTIAL SHIFTS. THE SUPPORT DESCRIBED WAS INITIALLY REQUESTED BY DECISION MAKERS IN THE CAMPS  AND SHAPED AROUND THEIR NEEDS. THE TOOLS SUGGESTED ARE DEVELOPED TO RESPOND TO THEIR SPECIFIC  CONCRETE AND OPERATIONAL DECISIONS  IN ORDER TO ENSURE ADEQUATE USABILITY OF THE OUTPUTS  AND USERS ENGAGEMENT IS CONTINUOUS THROUGHOUT ALL COMPONENTS OF THE PROJECT. IMPACT WILL BE ACHIEVED THROUGH ENHANCED DECISION MAKER CAPACITY TO BETTER ASSESS DISASTER RISK AND TAKE MORE APPROPRIATE PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS  IN THREE WAYS: 1. URGENT AND CRITICAL DECISIONS MADE DURING THE MONSOON SEASON WILL BE INFORMED BY HIGHER QUALITY AND/OR MORE APPROPRIATE GEOPHYSICAL DATA AND INFORMATION PRODUCTS. 2. MEDIUM- AND LONG-TERM DECISIONS ADDRESSING RISK REDUCTION FOR LANDSLIDES AND VARIOUS TYPES OF FLOODS WILL BE IDENTIFIED  AND PRODUCTS WILL BE SUGGESTED FOR CONSIDERATION EITHER AS QUALITY-CONTROLLED SINGLE PRODUCTS  OR THOSE THAT COULD COMPLEMENT EXISTING PRODUCTS. 3. LONG-TERM POLICIES OF THE USER GROUPS WILL BE INFLUENCED. THIS WORK WILL PROVIDE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR THE USERS TO RETHINK THEIR USE OF GEOPHYSICAL DATA TO MAKE CLIMATE-SCIENCE INFORMED DECISIONS THROUGH ADVOCACY AND CULTURAL INSTITUTIONAL CHANGE.","funder_award_id":"80NSSC18K1693","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306101","funder_display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306101","display_name":"National Aeronautics and Space Administration","ror":"https://ror.org/027ka1x80"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322037","display_name":"Nuclear Safety and Security 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