{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3106365912","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi9110676","title":"Forecasting of Short-Term Daily Tourist Flow Based on Seasonal Clustering Method and PSO-LSSVM","display_name":"Forecasting of Short-Term Daily Tourist Flow Based on Seasonal Clustering Method and PSO-LSSVM","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-11-13","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3106365912","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi9110676","mag":"3106365912"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/ijgi9110676","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi9110676","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/9/11/676/pdf?version=1605782620","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764431341","display_name":"ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information","issn_l":"2220-9964","issn":["2220-9964"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/9/11/676/pdf?version=1605782620","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5026208453","display_name":"Keqing Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5398-4486"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16365422","display_name":"Hefei University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02czkny70","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Keqing Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102023161","display_name":"Changyong Liang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9156-3885"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16365422","display_name":"Hefei University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02czkny70","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Changyong Liang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101095353","display_name":"Wenxing Lu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2273-430X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16365422","display_name":"Hefei University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02czkny70","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Wenxing Lu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103262248","display_name":"Chu Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8750-3748"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16365422","display_name":"Hefei University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02czkny70","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chu Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063314671","display_name":"Shuping Zhao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9832-9861"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16365422","display_name":"Hefei University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02czkny70","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shuping Zhao","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051775484","display_name":"Binyou Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8821-4120"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I16365422","display_name":"Hefei University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02czkny70","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Binyou Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Management, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5026208453"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I16365422"],"apc_list":{"value":1400,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1515},"apc_paid":{"value":1400,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1515},"fwci":4.8829,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":24,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95554137,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":93,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"9","issue":"11","first_page":"676","last_page":"676"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10055","display_name":"Diverse Aspects of Tourism Research","score":0.9980999827384949,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10055","display_name":"Diverse Aspects of Tourism Research","score":0.9980999827384949,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11474","display_name":"Sport and Mega-Event Impacts","score":0.9883999824523926,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12399","display_name":"Wine Industry and Tourism","score":0.921500027179718,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1409","display_name":"Tourism, Leisure and Hospitality Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cluster-analysis","display_name":"Cluster analysis","score":0.8034540414810181},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/particle-swarm-optimization","display_name":"Particle swarm optimization","score":0.7594071626663208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tourism","display_name":"Tourism","score":0.7513033151626587},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5574470162391663},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/flow","display_name":"Flow (mathematics)","score":0.4827936887741089},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.4806019961833954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/k-means-clustering","display_name":"k-means clustering","score":0.414756715297699},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.4127786457538605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/support-vector-machine","display_name":"Support vector machine","score":0.41119447350502014},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.321885347366333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.2273276150226593},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.21603980660438538},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.19088071584701538}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C73555534","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q622825","display_name":"Cluster analysis","level":2,"score":0.8034540414810181},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C85617194","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2072794","display_name":"Particle swarm optimization","level":2,"score":0.7594071626663208},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18918823","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q49389","display_name":"Tourism","level":2,"score":0.7513033151626587},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5574470162391663},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38349280","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1434290","display_name":"Flow (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.4827936887741089},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.4806019961833954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C207968372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q310401","display_name":"k-means clustering","level":3,"score":0.414756715297699},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.4127786457538605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12267149","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q282453","display_name":"Support vector machine","level":2,"score":0.41119447350502014},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.321885347366333},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.2273276150226593},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.21603980660438538},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.19088071584701538},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3390/ijgi9110676","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi9110676","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/9/11/676/pdf?version=1605782620","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764431341","display_name":"ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information","issn_l":"2220-9964","issn":["2220-9964"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:42b33c05baa74851ae427338f65e77f0","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/42b33c05baa74851ae427338f65e77f0","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, Vol 9, Iss 11, p 676 (2020)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:mdpi.com:/2220-9964/9/11/676/","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijgi9110676","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400947","display_name":"MDPI (MDPI AG)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210097602","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (Switzerland)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210097602"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information; Volume 9; Issue 11; Pages: 676","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/ijgi9110676","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi9110676","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2220-9964/9/11/676/pdf?version=1605782620","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764431341","display_name":"ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information","issn_l":"2220-9964","issn":["2220-9964"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.5600000023841858,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3106365912.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3106365912.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":42,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W107021117","https://openalex.org/W588468042","https://openalex.org/W1977200004","https://openalex.org/W2006437445","https://openalex.org/W2006746888","https://openalex.org/W2020832745","https://openalex.org/W2022349803","https://openalex.org/W2032957102","https://openalex.org/W2038642139","https://openalex.org/W2051795269","https://openalex.org/W2056570293","https://openalex.org/W2068315551","https://openalex.org/W2076736491","https://openalex.org/W2077756279","https://openalex.org/W2081486763","https://openalex.org/W2090882534","https://openalex.org/W2130778342","https://openalex.org/W2132878712","https://openalex.org/W2143084353","https://openalex.org/W2154291363","https://openalex.org/W2323881768","https://openalex.org/W2358544245","https://openalex.org/W2364177846","https://openalex.org/W2376862436","https://openalex.org/W2386336877","https://openalex.org/W2463743813","https://openalex.org/W2500086770","https://openalex.org/W2543580944","https://openalex.org/W2568246222","https://openalex.org/W2578185015","https://openalex.org/W2591025119","https://openalex.org/W2743361863","https://openalex.org/W2781195549","https://openalex.org/W2793598183","https://openalex.org/W2794287081","https://openalex.org/W2951484092","https://openalex.org/W2952174833","https://openalex.org/W2964954982","https://openalex.org/W2969751518","https://openalex.org/W4211124838","https://openalex.org/W6659761291","https://openalex.org/W7024577287"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4401883448","https://openalex.org/W2113424041","https://openalex.org/W4206175771","https://openalex.org/W2120258591","https://openalex.org/W2378227553","https://openalex.org/W1584028106","https://openalex.org/W2385548616","https://openalex.org/W4313193953","https://openalex.org/W2967215460","https://openalex.org/W1789480965"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,59,87],"accurate":[1],"prediction":[2,150],"of":[3,17,96,102,146],"tourist":[4,11,21,46,82,114,140,148],"flow":[5,22,47,83,141,149],"is":[6,26,50,89,134,151],"essential":[7],"to":[8,38,79,92,138],"appropriately":[9],"prepare":[10],"attractions":[12],"and":[13,33,68,124,188],"inform":[14],"the":[15,62,69,81,94,97,103,112,120,144,160,177,192],"decisions":[16],"tourism":[18,193],"companies.":[19],"However,":[20],"in":[23,52,84,180,191],"scenic":[24,85],"spots":[25],"a":[27,45,109],"dynamic":[28],"trend":[29],"with":[30,100,168],"daily":[31,113,147,197],"changes,":[32],"specialized":[34],"methods":[35],"are":[36,126],"necessary":[37],"measure":[39],"it":[40],"accurately.":[41],"For":[42],"this":[43,53,181],"purpose,":[44],"forecasting":[48],"method":[49,137,178],"proposed":[51,98,179],"research":[54,182],"based":[55,107,158],"on":[56,108,159],"seasonal":[57,66,132,165],"clustering.":[58,166],"experiment":[60],"employs":[61],"K-means":[63],"algorithm":[64,78],"considering":[65],"variations":[67],"particle":[70],"swarm":[71],"optimization-least":[72],"squares":[73],"support":[74],"vector":[75],"machine":[76],"(PSO-LSSVM)":[77],"forecast":[80],"spots.":[86],"LSSVM":[88],"also":[90],"used":[91],"compare":[93],"performance":[95],"model":[99,163],"that":[101,131],"existing":[104],"ones.":[105],"Experiments":[106],"dataset":[110],"comprising":[111],"data":[115],"for":[116],"Mountain":[117],"Huangshan":[118],"during":[119],"period":[121],"between":[122],"2014":[123],"2017":[125],"conducted.":[127],"Our":[128],"results":[129],"show":[130],"clustering":[133],"an":[135],"effective":[136],"improve":[139],"prediction,":[142],"besides,":[143],"accuracy":[145],"significantly":[152],"improved":[153],"by":[154],"nearly":[155],"3":[156],"percent":[157],"hybrid":[161],"optimized":[162],"combining":[164],"Compared":[167],"other":[169],"algorithms":[170],"which":[171],"provide":[172,184],"predictions":[173],"at":[174],"monthly":[175],"intervals,":[176],"can":[183],"more":[185],"timely":[186],"analysis":[187],"guide":[189],"professionals":[190],"industry":[194],"towards":[195],"better":[196],"management.":[198]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2020-11-23T00:00:00"}