{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1967936913","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/g2020200","title":"Market Entry Prediction Competition 2010","display_name":"Market Entry Prediction Competition 2010","publication_year":2011,"publication_date":"2011-04-12","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1967936913","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/g2020200","mag":"1967936913"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/g2020200","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/g2020200","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/2/2/200/pdf?version=1302593086","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S6552842","display_name":"Games","issn_l":"2073-4336","issn":["2073-4336"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Games","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/2/2/200/pdf?version=1302593086","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5017151092","display_name":"Wasilios Hariskos","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3298-9530"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I20431382","display_name":"University of Erfurt","ror":"https://ror.org/03606hw36","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I20431382"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Wasilios Hariskos","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Empirical Research in Economic and Behavioral Sciences (CEREB), University of Erfurt, 99089 Erfurt, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Empirical Research in Economic and Behavioral Sciences (CEREB), University of Erfurt, 99089 Erfurt, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I20431382"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5010088709","display_name":"Johannes Leder","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6413-4513"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I20431382","display_name":"University of Erfurt","ror":"https://ror.org/03606hw36","country_code":"DE","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I20431382"]}],"countries":["DE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Johannes Leder","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Empirical Research in Economic and Behavioral Sciences (CEREB), University of Erfurt, 99089 Erfurt, Germany"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Empirical Research in Economic and Behavioral Sciences (CEREB), University of Erfurt, 99089 Erfurt, Germany","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I20431382"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015454909","display_name":"Kinneret Teodorescu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9989-7158"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I174306211","display_name":"Technion \u2013 Israel Institute of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03qryx823","country_code":"IL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I174306211"]}],"countries":["IL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Kinneret Teodorescu","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Technion\u2013Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa 32000, Israel"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Technion\u2013Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa 32000, Israel","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I174306211"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5010088709","https://openalex.org/A5015454909","https://openalex.org/A5017151092"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I174306211","https://openalex.org/I20431382"],"apc_list":{"value":1400,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1515},"apc_paid":{"value":1400,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1515},"fwci":0.4232,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.66525367,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":"2","issue":"2","first_page":"200","last_page":"208"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9850999712944031,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9850999712944031,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9746999740600586,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.972599983215332,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/surprise","display_name":"Surprise","score":0.660919725894928},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/robustness","display_name":"Robustness (evolution)","score":0.6284483671188354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outcome","display_name":"Outcome (game theory)","score":0.6158333420753479},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.6010923981666565},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/competition","display_name":"Competition (biology)","score":0.46014177799224854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.3960950970649719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.33205991983413696},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.32626914978027344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-economics","display_name":"Mathematical economics","score":0.297046422958374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychology","display_name":"Psychology","score":0.101930171251297}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780343955","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333173","display_name":"Surprise","level":2,"score":0.660919725894928},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C63479239","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7353546","display_name":"Robustness (evolution)","level":3,"score":0.6284483671188354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C148220186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7111912","display_name":"Outcome (game theory)","level":2,"score":0.6158333420753479},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.6010923981666565},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91306197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q45767","display_name":"Competition (biology)","level":2,"score":0.46014177799224854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.3960950970649719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.33205991983413696},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.32626914978027344},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144237770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q747534","display_name":"Mathematical economics","level":1,"score":0.297046422958374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.101930171251297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55493867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7094","display_name":"Biochemistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C104317684","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7187","display_name":"Gene","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3390/g2020200","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/g2020200","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/2/2/200/pdf?version=1302593086","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S6552842","display_name":"Games","issn_l":"2073-4336","issn":["2073-4336"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Games","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:7b0f8a6bc27c4fb8bcd84e3023d6038b","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/7b0f8a6bc27c4fb8bcd84e3023d6038b","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Games, Vol 2, Iss 2, Pp 200-208 (2011)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:econstor.eu:10419/98551","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/10419/98551","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401696","display_name":"Econstor (Econstor)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"doc-type:article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/g2020200","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/g2020200","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4336/2/2/200/pdf?version=1302593086","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S6552842","display_name":"Games","issn_l":"2073-4336","issn":["2073-4336"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Games","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.7400000095367432,"display_name":"Reduced inequalities","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/10"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W1967936913.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":16,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W6242441","https://openalex.org/W1965819279","https://openalex.org/W2013543513","https://openalex.org/W2017871840","https://openalex.org/W2030684680","https://openalex.org/W2039236100","https://openalex.org/W2044917440","https://openalex.org/W2095521617","https://openalex.org/W2112818819","https://openalex.org/W2122508086","https://openalex.org/W2132726456","https://openalex.org/W2151040408","https://openalex.org/W2162180605","https://openalex.org/W2167087276","https://openalex.org/W3124896223","https://openalex.org/W4313429338"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4236382845","https://openalex.org/W4388712630","https://openalex.org/W2481168998","https://openalex.org/W2476994687","https://openalex.org/W642988558","https://openalex.org/W2324507472","https://openalex.org/W1999899047","https://openalex.org/W2173353921","https://openalex.org/W2810824260","https://openalex.org/W4385750187"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"We":[0],"submitted":[1],"three":[2],"models":[3,15,129],"to":[4,163],"the":[5,11,21,31,38,45,58,64,70,75,85,92,110,115,122,138,145,165],"competition":[6],"which":[7,30,101],"were":[8,119,161],"based":[9],"on":[10,144],"I-SAW":[12],"model.":[13,124],"The":[14],"introduced":[16,28],"four":[17,116],"new":[18,49,134],"assumptions.":[19],"In":[20,69,157],"first":[22],"model":[23,72],"an":[24,78],"adjustment":[25],"process":[26],"was":[27,35,51,67,102],"through":[29],"tendency":[32],"for":[33,104],"exploration":[34,46],"higher":[36],"at":[37,131],"beginning":[39],"and":[40,91,147,150],"decreased":[41],"over":[42],"time":[43],"in":[44,63,84,109,121],"stage.":[47],"Another":[48],"assumption":[50,143],"that":[52],"surprise":[53],"as":[54],"a":[55,61,89,95,98,105,153],"factor":[56],"influencing":[57],"weight":[59],"of":[60,77,80,88,94,97,114,127,141,155,167],"trial":[62],"sampling":[65],"procedure":[66],"added.":[68],"second":[71],"we":[73,136,160],"added":[74,117,169],"possibility":[76,93],"exclusion":[79],"unreliable":[81],"experiences":[82],"gained":[83],"early":[86],"trials":[87],"game":[90],"revision":[96],"reasonable":[99],"alternative":[100],"responsible":[103],"very":[106],"bad":[107],"outcome":[108],"previous":[111],"trial.":[112],"Three":[113],"assumptions":[118],"combined":[120],"third":[123],"Because":[125],"each":[126,142,168],"our":[128],"contains":[130],"least":[132],"two":[133],"assumptions,":[135],"estimated":[137],"relative":[139],"effect":[140],"estimation":[146],"prediction":[148],"scores":[149],"carried":[151],"out":[152],"test":[154],"robustness.":[156],"this":[158],"way,":[159],"able":[162],"clarify":[164],"usefulness":[166],"assumption.":[170]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-05-22T06:13:13.366637","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}