{"id":"https://openalex.org/W7117141734","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18010007","title":"Research and Application of a Model Selection Forecasting System for Wind Speed and Theoretical Power Generation","display_name":"Research and Application of a Model Selection Forecasting System for Wind Speed and Theoretical Power Generation","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-12-22","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W7117141734","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18010007"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/fi18010007","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18010007","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S34838331","display_name":"Future Internet","issn_l":"1999-5903","issn":["1999-5903"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Future Internet","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18010007","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5051335993","display_name":"Ming Zeng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9201-0000"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74872605","display_name":"China Southern Power Grid (China)","ror":"https://ror.org/03hkh9419","country_code":"CN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74872605"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I867306930","display_name":"Power Grid Corporation (India)","ror":"https://ror.org/0136vj189","country_code":"IN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I867306930"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210086825","display_name":"Guangzhou Education Bureau","ror":"https://ror.org/00479t136","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]}],"countries":["CN","IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ming Zeng","raw_affiliation_strings":["Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74872605","https://openalex.org/I867306930","https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5121220171","display_name":"Qianqian Jia","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210086825","display_name":"Guangzhou Education Bureau","ror":"https://ror.org/00479t136","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74872605","display_name":"China Southern Power Grid (China)","ror":"https://ror.org/03hkh9419","country_code":"CN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74872605"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I867306930","display_name":"Power Grid Corporation (India)","ror":"https://ror.org/0136vj189","country_code":"IN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I867306930"]}],"countries":["CN","IN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Qianqian Jia","raw_affiliation_strings":["Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74872605","https://openalex.org/I867306930","https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5121147774","display_name":"Zhenming Wen","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210122543","display_name":"Guangdong Polytechnic Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/02pcb5m77","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210122543"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zhenming Wen","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Mechatronic Engineering, Guangdong Polytechnic Normal University, Guangzhou 510450, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Mechatronic Engineering, Guangdong Polytechnic Normal University, Guangzhou 510450, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210122543"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5121177794","display_name":"Fang Mao","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74872605","display_name":"China Southern Power Grid (China)","ror":"https://ror.org/03hkh9419","country_code":"CN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74872605"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I867306930","display_name":"Power Grid Corporation (India)","ror":"https://ror.org/0136vj189","country_code":"IN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I867306930"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210086825","display_name":"Guangzhou Education Bureau","ror":"https://ror.org/00479t136","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]}],"countries":["CN","IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fang Mao","raw_affiliation_strings":["Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74872605","https://openalex.org/I867306930","https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102010856","display_name":"Hao Huang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6729-1987"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74872605","display_name":"China Southern Power Grid (China)","ror":"https://ror.org/03hkh9419","country_code":"CN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74872605"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I867306930","display_name":"Power Grid Corporation (India)","ror":"https://ror.org/0136vj189","country_code":"IN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I867306930"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210086825","display_name":"Guangzhou Education Bureau","ror":"https://ror.org/00479t136","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]}],"countries":["CN","IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Haotao Huang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74872605","https://openalex.org/I867306930","https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5121176001","display_name":"Jingyuan Pan","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210086825","display_name":"Guangzhou Education Bureau","ror":"https://ror.org/00479t136","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74872605","display_name":"China Southern Power Grid (China)","ror":"https://ror.org/03hkh9419","country_code":"CN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74872605"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I867306930","display_name":"Power Grid Corporation (India)","ror":"https://ror.org/0136vj189","country_code":"IN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I867306930"]}],"countries":["CN","IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jingyuan Pan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Guangzhou Power Supply Bureau, Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510520, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74872605","https://openalex.org/I867306930","https://openalex.org/I4210086825"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5121220171"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210086825","https://openalex.org/I74872605","https://openalex.org/I867306930"],"apc_list":{"value":1400,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1515},"apc_paid":{"value":1400,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1515},"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.57749612,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"18","issue":"1","first_page":"7","last_page":"7"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.965499997138977,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.965499997138977,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10424","display_name":"Electric Power System Optimization","score":0.011300000362098217,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11941","display_name":"Power System Reliability and Maintenance","score":0.0032999999821186066,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-power","display_name":"Wind power","score":0.7102000117301941},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-speed","display_name":"Wind speed","score":0.6568999886512756},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/wind-power-forecasting","display_name":"Wind power forecasting","score":0.567300021648407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/turbine","display_name":"Turbine","score":0.5457000136375427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/consistency","display_name":"Consistency (knowledge bases)","score":0.5112000107765198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electric-power-system","display_name":"Electric power system","score":0.4641000032424927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/selection","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","score":0.4577000141143799},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-forecasting","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","score":0.454800009727478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/grid","display_name":"Grid","score":0.3953000009059906}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7357000112533569},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78600449","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43302","display_name":"Wind power","level":2,"score":0.7102000117301941},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161067210","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1464943","display_name":"Wind speed","level":2,"score":0.6568999886512756},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781084341","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2583670","display_name":"Wind power forecasting","level":4,"score":0.567300021648407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778449969","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q130760","display_name":"Turbine","level":2,"score":0.5457000136375427},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776436953","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5163215","display_name":"Consistency (knowledge bases)","level":2,"score":0.5112000107765198},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89227174","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2388981","display_name":"Electric power system","level":3,"score":0.4641000032424927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81917197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q628760","display_name":"Selection (genetic algorithm)","level":2,"score":0.4577000141143799},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122282355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7246855","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","level":3,"score":0.454800009727478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187691185","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2020720","display_name":"Grid","level":2,"score":0.3953000009059906},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147947694","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q837552","display_name":"Numerical weather prediction","level":2,"score":0.3668999969959259},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.36340001225471497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149441793","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q200726","display_name":"Probability distribution","level":2,"score":0.34950000047683716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C423512","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q383973","display_name":"Electricity generation","level":3,"score":0.33000001311302185},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43214815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310987","display_name":"Reliability (semiconductor)","level":3,"score":0.3043000102043152},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C186370098","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q442787","display_name":"Energy (signal processing)","level":2,"score":0.29030001163482666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C188573790","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12705","display_name":"Renewable energy","level":2,"score":0.2775000035762787},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C93959086","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6888345","display_name":"Model selection","level":2,"score":0.27619999647140503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112972136","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7595718","display_name":"Stability (learning theory)","level":2,"score":0.27230000495910645},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200601418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2193887","display_name":"Reliability engineering","level":1,"score":0.26840001344680786},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21001229","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q182868","display_name":"Weather forecasting","level":2,"score":0.2605000138282776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C67186912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q367664","display_name":"Data modeling","level":2,"score":0.2597000002861023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50644808","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192776","display_name":"Artificial neural network","level":2,"score":0.2590999901294708},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.2565000057220459}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3390/fi18010007","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18010007","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S34838331","display_name":"Future Internet","issn_l":"1999-5903","issn":["1999-5903"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Future Internet","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:6fba3036442941aeb18c7ac58548fcc2","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/6fba3036442941aeb18c7ac58548fcc2","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Future Internet, Vol 18, Iss 1, p 7 (2025)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/fi18010007","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/fi18010007","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S34838331","display_name":"Future Internet","issn_l":"1999-5903","issn":["1999-5903"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Future Internet","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.836997389793396,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":53,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1510833811","https://openalex.org/W2966284335","https://openalex.org/W3123920941","https://openalex.org/W3197886029","https://openalex.org/W4205845053","https://openalex.org/W4295865380","https://openalex.org/W4324135644","https://openalex.org/W4372257357","https://openalex.org/W4381436124","https://openalex.org/W4387967410","https://openalex.org/W4388706177","https://openalex.org/W4389146848","https://openalex.org/W4389879917","https://openalex.org/W4389942479","https://openalex.org/W4391772729","https://openalex.org/W4395082343","https://openalex.org/W4401836727","https://openalex.org/W4404123926","https://openalex.org/W4405093178","https://openalex.org/W4405314462","https://openalex.org/W4406326872","https://openalex.org/W4406388002","https://openalex.org/W4406401398","https://openalex.org/W4407719259","https://openalex.org/W4409079507","https://openalex.org/W4409571872","https://openalex.org/W4409720600","https://openalex.org/W4410055233","https://openalex.org/W4410077978","https://openalex.org/W4410203820","https://openalex.org/W4410291877","https://openalex.org/W4410618017","https://openalex.org/W4410980122","https://openalex.org/W4411021232","https://openalex.org/W4411048601","https://openalex.org/W4411137207","https://openalex.org/W4411137416","https://openalex.org/W4411198933","https://openalex.org/W4411367783","https://openalex.org/W4411553871","https://openalex.org/W4411658967","https://openalex.org/W4411682279","https://openalex.org/W4411868675","https://openalex.org/W4411869053","https://openalex.org/W4411920685","https://openalex.org/W4411992798","https://openalex.org/W4412427769","https://openalex.org/W4412564477","https://openalex.org/W4412672827","https://openalex.org/W4413272172","https://openalex.org/W6921828979","https://openalex.org/W6959204436","https://openalex.org/W6959451439"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Accurate":[0],"short-term":[1,169],"wind":[2,9,44,87,107,170,177],"speed":[3,88,108],"forecasting":[4,23,77,102,144],"is":[5],"essential":[6],"for":[7,125,168,176],"mitigating":[8],"power":[10,112,119,181],"variability":[11,133],"and":[12,37,62,130,151,164,180],"supporting":[13],"stable":[14,143],"grid":[15],"operation.":[16],"This":[17],"study":[18],"proposes":[19],"a":[20,43,161],"model":[21,54],"selection":[22],"system":[24,115,182],"(MSFS)":[25],"that":[26,75,98],"dynamically":[27],"integrates":[28],"six":[29],"deep":[30],"learning":[31],"models":[32,66],"to":[33,67],"enhance":[34],"predictive":[35],"accuracy":[36],"robustness.":[38],"Using":[39],"multi-turbine":[40],"data":[41],"from":[42,134],"farm":[45,178],"in":[46],"northwest":[47],"China,":[48],"the":[49,52,64,85,91,114,156],"framework":[50,159],"identifies":[51],"optimal":[53],"at":[55,90],"each":[56],"time":[57],"step":[58],"through":[59],"iterative":[60],"evaluation":[61],"retrains":[63],"selected":[65],"further":[68],"improve":[69],"performance.":[70],"The":[71,138],"Kruskal\u2013Wallis":[72],"test":[73],"shows":[74],"all":[76],"models,":[78],"including":[79],"MSFS,":[80],"maintain":[81],"statistical":[82],"consistency":[83],"with":[84,110,173],"real":[86],"distribution":[89],"95%":[92],"confidence":[93],"level.":[94],"Uncertainty":[95],"analysis":[96],"demonstrates":[97],"MSFS":[99,147,158],"more":[100],"reliable":[101,117],"interval.":[103],"By":[104],"coupling":[105],"MSFS-derived":[106],"forecasts":[109],"turbine-specific":[111],"curves,":[113],"enables":[116],"theoretical":[118],"estimation,":[120],"offering":[121],"critical":[122],"reference":[123],"information":[124],"dispatch":[126],"planning,":[127],"reserve":[128],"allocation,":[129],"distinguishing":[131],"resource-driven":[132],"turbine":[135],"performance":[136],"deviations.":[137],"slightly":[139],"conservative":[140],"yet":[141],"highly":[142],"behavior":[145],"of":[146],"reduces":[148],"overestimation":[149],"risks":[150],"enhances":[152],"decision":[153],"reliability.":[154],"Overall,":[155],"proposed":[157],"provides":[160],"robust,":[162],"interpretable,":[163],"operationally":[165],"valuable":[166],"solution":[167],"energy":[171],"forecasting,":[172],"strong":[174],"potential":[175],"operation":[179],"management.":[183]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-02-27T16:54:17.756197","created_date":"2025-12-24T00:00:00"}