{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3095135228","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/e22111228","title":"Nowcasting Avalanches as Earthquakes and the Predictability of Strong Avalanches in the Olami-Feder-Christensen Model","display_name":"Nowcasting Avalanches as Earthquakes and the Predictability of Strong Avalanches in the Olami-Feder-Christensen Model","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-10-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3095135228","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/e22111228","mag":"3095135228","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33286996"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/e22111228","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/e22111228","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/11/1228/pdf?version=1603938714","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S195231649","display_name":"Entropy","issn_l":"1099-4300","issn":["1099-4300"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Entropy","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/11/1228/pdf?version=1603938714","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5085171268","display_name":"Jennifer P\u00e9rez-Oregon","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5731-8632"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200777214","display_name":"National and Kapodistrian University of Athens","ror":"https://ror.org/04gnjpq42","country_code":"GR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200777214"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I59361560","display_name":"Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico Nacional","ror":"https://ror.org/059sp8j34","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I59361560"]}],"countries":["GR","MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jennifer Perez-Oregon","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departamento de F\u00edsica, Escuela Superior de F\u00edsica y Matem\u00e1ticas, Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico Nacional, UP Zacatenco C.P., Mexico City 07738, Mexico","Solid Earth Physics Institute, Physics Department, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5731-8632","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departamento de F\u00edsica, Escuela Superior de F\u00edsica y Matem\u00e1ticas, Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico Nacional, UP Zacatenco C.P., Mexico City 07738, Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I59361560"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Solid Earth Physics Institute, Physics Department, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200777214"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5041031923","display_name":"F. Angulo\u2010Brown","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7965-890X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I59361560","display_name":"Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico Nacional","ror":"https://ror.org/059sp8j34","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I59361560"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fernando Angulo-Brown","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departamento de F\u00edsica, Escuela Superior de F\u00edsica y Matem\u00e1ticas, Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico Nacional, UP Zacatenco C.P., Mexico City 07738, Mexico"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7965-890X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departamento de F\u00edsica, Escuela Superior de F\u00edsica y Matem\u00e1ticas, Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico Nacional, UP Zacatenco C.P., Mexico City 07738, Mexico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I59361560"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5060854931","display_name":"N. V. Sarlis","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8483-519X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200777214","display_name":"National and Kapodistrian University of Athens","ror":"https://ror.org/04gnjpq42","country_code":"GR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200777214"]}],"countries":["GR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Nicholas Vassiliou Sarlis","raw_affiliation_strings":["Section of Condensed Matter Physics, Physics Department, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece","Solid Earth Physics Institute, Physics Department, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8483-519X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Section of Condensed Matter Physics, Physics Department, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200777214"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Solid Earth Physics Institute, Physics Department, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Panepistimiopolis, Zografos, 157 84 Athens, Greece","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200777214"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5060854931"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200777214"],"apc_list":{"value":2000,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":2165},"apc_paid":{"value":2000,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":2165},"fwci":4.8618,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":36,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95886395,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"22","issue":"11","first_page":"1228","last_page":"1228"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12424","display_name":"Earthquake Detection and Analysis","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1908","display_name":"Geophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12424","display_name":"Earthquake Detection and Analysis","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1908","display_name":"Geophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10110","display_name":"earthquake and tectonic studies","score":0.9983999729156494,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1908","display_name":"Geophysics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/19","display_name":"Earth and Planetary Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.998199999332428,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/nowcasting","display_name":"Nowcasting","score":0.9551310539245605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictability","display_name":"Predictability","score":0.8104485869407654},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/induced-seismicity","display_name":"Induced seismicity","score":0.5835774540901184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geology","display_name":"Geology","score":0.5675029158592224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seismology","display_name":"Seismology","score":0.5050264000892639},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.168156236410141},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.15782430768013}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781013037","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1433331","display_name":"Nowcasting","level":2,"score":0.9551310539245605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197640229","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2534066","display_name":"Predictability","level":2,"score":0.8104485869407654},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C83176761","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1394636","display_name":"Induced seismicity","level":2,"score":0.5835774540901184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.5675029158592224},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C165205528","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83371","display_name":"Seismology","level":1,"score":0.5050264000892639},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.168156236410141},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.15782430768013},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111368507","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43518","display_name":"Oceanography","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3390/e22111228","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/e22111228","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/11/1228/pdf?version=1603938714","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S195231649","display_name":"Entropy","issn_l":"1099-4300","issn":["1099-4300"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Entropy","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:33286996","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33286996","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:852c4e9740534fc79c9a19cdfd5a6bc3","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/852c4e9740534fc79c9a19cdfd5a6bc3","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Entropy, Vol 22, Iss 11, p 1228 (2020)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:mdpi.com:/1099-4300/22/11/1228/","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e22111228","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400947","display_name":"MDPI (MDPI AG)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210097602","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (Switzerland)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210097602"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Entropy; Volume 22; Issue 11; Pages: 1228","raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:7712535","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7712535","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Entropy (Basel)","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/e22111228","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/e22111228","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/1099-4300/22/11/1228/pdf?version=1603938714","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S195231649","display_name":"Entropy","issn_l":"1099-4300","issn":["1099-4300"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Entropy","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Climate action","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.4399999976158142}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3554667420","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"376516","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321739","funder_display_name":"Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnolog\u00eda"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8002088502","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"CVU No.376516","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321739","funder_display_name":"Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnolog\u00eda"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321739","display_name":"Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnolog\u00eda","ror":"https://ror.org/059ex5q34"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3095135228.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3095135228.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":103,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1859860849","https://openalex.org/W1904429860","https://openalex.org/W1905697235","https://openalex.org/W1965164129","https://openalex.org/W1972978214","https://openalex.org/W1974513556","https://openalex.org/W1975070447","https://openalex.org/W1975170652","https://openalex.org/W1978865637","https://openalex.org/W1979016077","https://openalex.org/W1980276147","https://openalex.org/W1980332264","https://openalex.org/W1980640041","https://openalex.org/W1983445675","https://openalex.org/W1985355566","https://openalex.org/W1985966920","https://openalex.org/W1987391205","https://openalex.org/W1989854679","https://openalex.org/W1995663448","https://openalex.org/W1996006269","https://openalex.org/W1996035449","https://openalex.org/W1996666013","https://openalex.org/W1999119996","https://openalex.org/W2000817338","https://openalex.org/W2004727181","https://openalex.org/W2007203681","https://openalex.org/W2008879046","https://openalex.org/W2020510671","https://openalex.org/W2021745986","https://openalex.org/W2021747460","https://openalex.org/W2026177910","https://openalex.org/W2029694543","https://openalex.org/W2032585166","https://openalex.org/W2041804068","https://openalex.org/W2042030855","https://openalex.org/W2043454054","https://openalex.org/W2045855138","https://openalex.org/W2056279338","https://openalex.org/W2056649249","https://openalex.org/W2058757440","https://openalex.org/W2059172780","https://openalex.org/W2071399084","https://openalex.org/W2072069774","https://openalex.org/W2073284810","https://openalex.org/W2077758286","https://openalex.org/W2078369625","https://openalex.org/W2082994582","https://openalex.org/W2084294564","https://openalex.org/W2086099663","https://openalex.org/W2088718237","https://openalex.org/W2091051182","https://openalex.org/W2091317668","https://openalex.org/W2093266575","https://openalex.org/W2098440306","https://openalex.org/W2102887630","https://openalex.org/W2109818012","https://openalex.org/W2111498322","https://openalex.org/W2119388990","https://openalex.org/W2143392227","https://openalex.org/W2144371956","https://openalex.org/W2147595228","https://openalex.org/W2157107475","https://openalex.org/W2157337303","https://openalex.org/W2158262018","https://openalex.org/W2158438651","https://openalex.org/W2158698691","https://openalex.org/W2160701304","https://openalex.org/W2163027631","https://openalex.org/W2171310929","https://openalex.org/W2275472599","https://openalex.org/W2297467195","https://openalex.org/W2314115852","https://openalex.org/W2327023559","https://openalex.org/W2496757646","https://openalex.org/W2556177276","https://openalex.org/W2592338251","https://openalex.org/W2605922915","https://openalex.org/W2757694675","https://openalex.org/W2758944096","https://openalex.org/W2790068857","https://openalex.org/W2803116869","https://openalex.org/W2803948398","https://openalex.org/W2887632914","https://openalex.org/W2895352061","https://openalex.org/W2900591955","https://openalex.org/W2900801560","https://openalex.org/W2905555965","https://openalex.org/W2909409430","https://openalex.org/W2913075478","https://openalex.org/W2920527950","https://openalex.org/W2949823959","https://openalex.org/W2950656253","https://openalex.org/W2973662360","https://openalex.org/W2987663915","https://openalex.org/W2994669495","https://openalex.org/W3047971913","https://openalex.org/W3101378815","https://openalex.org/W3101949794","https://openalex.org/W3102566024","https://openalex.org/W3103084736","https://openalex.org/W3122676403","https://openalex.org/W3159223345","https://openalex.org/W4299689471"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2098567841","https://openalex.org/W3124209601","https://openalex.org/W2238969010","https://openalex.org/W2189249776","https://openalex.org/W1526105959","https://openalex.org/W3193710367","https://openalex.org/W3122492506","https://openalex.org/W4388046081","https://openalex.org/W1778290058","https://openalex.org/W3143520838"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Nowcasting":[0],"earthquakes,":[1,67],"suggested":[2],"recently":[3],"as":[4],"a":[5,12,32,55],"method":[6,34,51],"to":[7,31,54,80],"estimate":[8],"the":[9,16,22,35,44,60,65,71],"state":[10],"of":[11,24,37,43,64],"fault":[13],"and":[14,70],"hence":[15],"seismic":[17],"risk,":[18],"is":[19,52],"based":[20],"on":[21],"concept":[23],"natural":[25],"time.":[26],"Here,":[27],"we":[28],"generalize":[29],"nowcasting":[30],"prediction":[33,50],"merits":[36],"which":[38],"are":[39],"evaluated":[40],"by":[41],"means":[42],"receiver":[45],"operating":[46],"characteristics.":[47],"This":[48],"new":[49],"applied":[53],"simple":[56],"(toy)":[57],"model":[58,74],"for":[59],"waiting":[61],"(natural)":[62],"time":[63],"stronger":[66],"real":[68],"seismicity,":[69],"Olami-Feder-Christensen":[72],"earthquake":[73],"with":[75],"interesting":[76],"results":[77],"revealing":[78],"acceptable":[79],"excellent":[81],"or":[82],"even":[83],"outstanding":[84],"performance.":[85]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":10}],"updated_date":"2026-05-21T09:19:25.381259","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}