{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4411806289","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/computers14070256","title":"An xLSTM\u2013XGBoost Ensemble Model for Forecasting Non-Stationary and Highly Volatile Gasoline Price","display_name":"An xLSTM\u2013XGBoost Ensemble Model for Forecasting Non-Stationary and Highly Volatile Gasoline Price","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-06-29","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4411806289","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3390/computers14070256"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/computers14070256","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/computers14070256","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-431X/14/7/256/pdf?version=1751182976","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210228075","display_name":"Computers","issn_l":"2073-431X","issn":["2073-431X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computers","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-431X/14/7/256/pdf?version=1751182976","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Fujiang Yuan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-6990-6701"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I174104030","display_name":"Taiyuan Normal University","ror":"https://ror.org/051k00p03","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I174104030"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Fujiang Yuan","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Technology, Taiyuan Normal University, Jinzhong 030619, China","Shanxi Key Laboratory of Intelligent Optimization Computing and Blockchain Technology, Jinzhong 030619, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0009-6990-6701","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Technology, Taiyuan Normal University, Jinzhong 030619, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I174104030"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Shanxi Key Laboratory of Intelligent Optimization Computing and Blockchain Technology, Jinzhong 030619, China","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100883377","display_name":"Xia Huang","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I50632499","display_name":"Chongqing University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04vgbd477","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xia Huang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100597989","display_name":"Hong Jiang","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I50632499","display_name":"Chongqing University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04vgbd477","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hong Jiang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028411238","display_name":"Yang Jiang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7769-3998"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I50632499","display_name":"Chongqing University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04vgbd477","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yang Jiang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Zihao Zuo","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I50632499","display_name":"Chongqing University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04vgbd477","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zihao Zuo","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101845291","display_name":"Lusheng Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9099-0444"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I50632499","display_name":"Chongqing University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04vgbd477","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lusheng Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038916409","display_name":"Yuxin Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4096-757X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210096899","display_name":"Jiangsu University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00tyjp878","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210096899"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yuxin Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Energy and Power, Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang 212100, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4096-757X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Energy and Power, Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang 212100, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210096899"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021477385","display_name":"Shaojie Gu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3995-3007"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I96036126","display_name":"Kumamoto University","ror":"https://ror.org/02cgss904","country_code":"JP","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I96036126"]}],"countries":["JP"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shaojie Gu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Magnesium Research Center, Kumamoto University, Kumamoto 860-8555, Japan"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3995-3007","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Magnesium Research Center, Kumamoto University, Kumamoto 860-8555, Japan","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I96036126"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019859685","display_name":"Yanhong Peng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2162-3798"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I50632499","display_name":"Chongqing University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04vgbd477","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Yanhong Peng","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2162-3798","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Mechanical Engineering, Chongqing University of Technology, Chongqing 400054, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5019859685"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I50632499"],"apc_list":{"value":1600,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1782},"apc_paid":{"value":1600,"currency":"CHF","value_usd":1782},"fwci":0.9918,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.7298022,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":96,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"14","issue":"7","first_page":"256","last_page":"256"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12617","display_name":"Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies","score":0.987500011920929,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12617","display_name":"Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies","score":0.987500011920929,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9817000031471252,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11588","display_name":"Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics","score":0.9672999978065491,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2306","display_name":"Global and Planetary Change"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/gasoline","display_name":"Gasoline","score":0.8115864992141724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ensemble-forecasting","display_name":"Ensemble forecasting","score":0.5068941712379456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.39309900999069214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.37168723344802856},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.2999894618988037},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.2823982834815979},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.13124233484268188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/waste-management","display_name":"Waste management","score":0.09416979551315308}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C103697071","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39558","display_name":"Gasoline","level":2,"score":0.8115864992141724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119898033","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3433888","display_name":"Ensemble forecasting","level":2,"score":0.5068941712379456},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.39309900999069214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.37168723344802856},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.2999894618988037},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.2823982834815979},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.13124233484268188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C548081761","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q180388","display_name":"Waste management","level":1,"score":0.09416979551315308}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3390/computers14070256","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/computers14070256","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-431X/14/7/256/pdf?version=1751182976","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210228075","display_name":"Computers","issn_l":"2073-431X","issn":["2073-431X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computers","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:83aa90cdf79c4197b3dcf35e3fbdcc88","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/83aa90cdf79c4197b3dcf35e3fbdcc88","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Computers, Vol 14, Iss 7, p 256 (2025)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.3390/computers14070256","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3390/computers14070256","pdf_url":"https://www.mdpi.com/2073-431X/14/7/256/pdf?version=1751182976","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210228075","display_name":"Computers","issn_l":"2073-431X","issn":["2073-431X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310310987","host_organization_name":"Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310310987"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computers","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6258306756","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"HZ2021011","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321133","funder_display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G796672346","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"CXQT19026","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324805","funder_display_name":"Chongqing Municipal Education Commission"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321133","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321135","display_name":"Chongqing University","ror":"https://ror.org/023rhb549"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322955","display_name":"Chongqing University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/04vgbd477"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324805","display_name":"Chongqing Municipal Education Commission","ror":"https://ror.org/031nm5713"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4411806289.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4411806289.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":39,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2026482073","https://openalex.org/W2295598076","https://openalex.org/W2808779485","https://openalex.org/W2944851425","https://openalex.org/W3024990888","https://openalex.org/W3128683270","https://openalex.org/W3136028401","https://openalex.org/W3185906304","https://openalex.org/W3215503926","https://openalex.org/W4280564806","https://openalex.org/W4319439968","https://openalex.org/W4376849658","https://openalex.org/W4385546210","https://openalex.org/W4385874936","https://openalex.org/W4385973149","https://openalex.org/W4387498430","https://openalex.org/W4387576675","https://openalex.org/W4396831446","https://openalex.org/W4401905899","https://openalex.org/W4402892313","https://openalex.org/W4402896307","https://openalex.org/W4403074418","https://openalex.org/W4403674766","https://openalex.org/W4403904881","https://openalex.org/W4404803461","https://openalex.org/W4405365182","https://openalex.org/W4406079397","https://openalex.org/W4406270716","https://openalex.org/W4406321940","https://openalex.org/W4406715453","https://openalex.org/W4406924816","https://openalex.org/W4408636813","https://openalex.org/W4408791994","https://openalex.org/W4408924948","https://openalex.org/W4408953978","https://openalex.org/W4409368837","https://openalex.org/W4410383709","https://openalex.org/W4410515541","https://openalex.org/W6678397702"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4391375266","https://openalex.org/W2899084033","https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2369937737","https://openalex.org/W2384596277","https://openalex.org/W1510602889","https://openalex.org/W2384342946","https://openalex.org/W2353927311","https://openalex.org/W2387109086","https://openalex.org/W133128842"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"High-frequency":[0],"fluctuations":[1],"in":[2,13,65],"the":[3,22,71,93,101,105,114,122,127,133,142],"international":[4],"crude":[5],"oil":[6,17,32],"market":[7],"have":[8],"led":[9],"to":[10,62,78,91,112,132,141],"multilevel":[11],"characteristics":[12],"China\u2019s":[14],"domestic":[15],"refined":[16],"pricing":[18],"mechanism.":[19],"To":[20],"address":[21],"poor":[23],"fitting":[24],"performance":[25],"of":[26],"single":[27],"deep":[28],"learning":[29],"models":[30,109],"on":[31,50],"price":[33,39,46,57],"data,":[34],"which":[35],"hampers":[36],"accurate":[37],"gasoline":[38,45,56],"prediction,":[40],"this":[41],"paper":[42],"proposes":[43],"a":[44,51,69],"prediction":[47,148],"method":[48],"based":[49],"combined":[52,111],"xLSTM\u2013XGBoost":[53,124],"model.":[54],"Using":[55],"data":[58,72],"from":[59,107],"June":[60],"2000":[61],"November":[63],"2024":[64],"Sichuan":[66],"Province":[67],"as":[68],"sample,":[70],"are":[73,110],"decomposed":[74],"via":[75],"STL":[76],"decomposition":[77],"extract":[79],"trend,":[80],"residual,":[81],"and":[82,95,137],"seasonal":[83,96],"components.":[84],"The":[85,117],"xLSTM":[86],"model":[87,125,136],"is":[88],"then":[89],"employed":[90],"predict":[92],"trend":[94],"components,":[97],"while":[98],"XGBoost":[99],"predicts":[100],"residual":[102],"component.":[103],"Finally,":[104],"predictions":[106],"both":[108],"produce":[113],"final":[115],"forecast.":[116],"experimental":[118],"results":[119],"demonstrate":[120],"that":[121],"proposed":[123],"reduces":[126],"MAE":[128],"by":[129,138],"14.8%":[130],"compared":[131,140],"second-best":[134],"sLSTM\u2013XGBoost":[135],"83%":[139],"traditional":[143],"LSTM":[144],"model,":[145],"significantly":[146],"enhancing":[147],"accuracy.":[149]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-07-22T07:51:19.307946","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
