{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2942263579","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3233/978-1-61499-959-1-135","title":"Predicting Blood Donations in a Tertiary Care Center Using Time Series Forecasting","display_name":"Predicting Blood Donations in a Tertiary Care Center Using Time Series Forecasting","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2942263579","doi":"https://doi.org/10.3233/978-1-61499-959-1-135","mag":"2942263579","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30942730"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.3233/978-1-61499-959-1-135","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3233/978-1-61499-959-1-135","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210179765","display_name":"Studies in health technology and informatics","issn_l":"0926-9630","issn":["0926-9630","1879-8365"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310318577","host_organization_name":"IOS Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310318577"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOS Press"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Studies in Health Technology and Informatics","raw_type":"book-chapter"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5069242851","display_name":"Francisco Bischoff","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5301-8672"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I182534213","display_name":"Universidade do Porto","ror":"https://ror.org/043pwc612","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I182534213"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210137384","display_name":"Centre for Health Technology and Services Research","ror":"https://ror.org/0434vme59","country_code":"PT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210137384"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Bischoff Francisco","raw_affiliation_strings":["CINTESIS & Faculty of Medicine of the University of Porto, Portugal"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CINTESIS & Faculty of Medicine of the University of Porto, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I182534213","https://openalex.org/I4210137384"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Koch Maria do Carmo","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3018176973","display_name":"Hospital de S\u00e3o Jo\u00e3o","ror":"https://ror.org/04qsnc772","country_code":"PT","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3018176973"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Koch Maria do Carmo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Centro Hospitalar de S\u00e3o Jo\u00e3o, Porto, Portugal"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Centro Hospitalar de S\u00e3o Jo\u00e3o, Porto, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3018176973"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Rodrigues Pedro Pereira","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I182534213","display_name":"Universidade do Porto","ror":"https://ror.org/043pwc612","country_code":"PT","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I182534213"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210137384","display_name":"Centre for Health Technology and Services Research","ror":"https://ror.org/0434vme59","country_code":"PT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210137384"]}],"countries":["PT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Rodrigues Pedro Pereira","raw_affiliation_strings":["CINTESIS & Faculty of Medicine of the University of Porto, Portugal"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CINTESIS & Faculty of Medicine of the University of Porto, Portugal","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I182534213","https://openalex.org/I4210137384"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5069242851"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I182534213","https://openalex.org/I4210137384"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.7971,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.85259728,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"258","issue":null,"first_page":"135","last_page":"139"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12735","display_name":"Blood donation and transfusion practices","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12735","display_name":"Blood donation and transfusion practices","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1405","display_name":"Management of Technology and Innovation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11163","display_name":"Organ Donation and Transplantation","score":0.9519000053405762,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10693","display_name":"Blood transfusion and management","score":0.9072999954223633,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2704","display_name":"Biochemistry"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-integrated-moving-average","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","score":0.713111937046051},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.5297008156776428},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/backup","display_name":"Backup","score":0.4718506336212158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-model","display_name":"Autoregressive model","score":0.44475388526916504},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.41056889295578003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-management","display_name":"Operations management","score":0.4090172350406647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.3640526533126831},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.34850525856018066},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.34605857729911804},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.31395792961120605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.13802063465118408},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/database","display_name":"Database","score":0.1286223828792572}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.713111937046051},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.5297008156776428},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780945871","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194274","display_name":"Backup","level":2,"score":0.4718506336212158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159877910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2202883","display_name":"Autoregressive model","level":2,"score":0.44475388526916504},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.41056889295578003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21547014","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1423657","display_name":"Operations management","level":1,"score":0.4090172350406647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.3640526533126831},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.34850525856018066},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.34605857729911804},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.31395792961120605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.13802063465118408},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77088390","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8513","display_name":"Database","level":1,"score":0.1286223828792572}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D001782","descriptor_name":"Blood Donors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D001782","descriptor_name":"Blood Donors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D001782","descriptor_name":"Blood Donors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D001792","descriptor_name":"Blood Platelets","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D001792","descriptor_name":"Blood Platelets","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D001792","descriptor_name":"Blood Platelets","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013996","descriptor_name":"Time and Motion Studies","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D013996","descriptor_name":"Time and Motion Studies","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D013996","descriptor_name":"Time and Motion Studies","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D062606","descriptor_name":"Tertiary Care Centers","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D062606","descriptor_name":"Tertiary Care Centers","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D062606","descriptor_name":"Tertiary Care Centers","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.3233/978-1-61499-959-1-135","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.3233/978-1-61499-959-1-135","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210179765","display_name":"Studies in health technology and informatics","issn_l":"0926-9630","issn":["0926-9630","1879-8365"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310318577","host_organization_name":"IOS Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310318577"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IOS Press"],"type":"book series"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Studies in Health Technology and Informatics","raw_type":"book-chapter"},{"id":"pmid:30942730","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30942730","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Studies in health technology and informatics","raw_type":null}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.46000000834465027,"display_name":"Partnerships for the goals","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/17"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":9,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1934779620","https://openalex.org/W1988526468","https://openalex.org/W1996503125","https://openalex.org/W2049310673","https://openalex.org/W2088403234","https://openalex.org/W2146182924","https://openalex.org/W2165526940","https://openalex.org/W2340904647","https://openalex.org/W3124291671"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3175321409","https://openalex.org/W4312561791","https://openalex.org/W2389894046","https://openalex.org/W2215717369","https://openalex.org/W2146461990","https://openalex.org/W4312309719","https://openalex.org/W4391216528","https://openalex.org/W2980748541","https://openalex.org/W4399581288","https://openalex.org/W4313123484"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,52],"current":[1],"algorithm":[2],"to":[3,18,37,46,58,65,70,95],"support":[4],"platelets":[5,40,77],"stock":[6],"management":[7],"assumes":[8],"that":[9],"there":[10,33],"are":[11,139],"always":[12],"sufficient":[13],"whole":[14],"blood":[15,27,83],"donations":[16,84,138],"(WBD)":[17],"produce":[19],"the":[20,35,60,88,109,154,157],"required":[21],"amount":[22],"of":[23,49,54,63,76,91,123,137,151,164],"pooled":[24,39],"platelets.":[25],"Unfortunately,":[26],"donation":[28],"rate":[29],"is":[30,34],"uncertain":[31],"so":[32],"need":[36,158],"backup":[38],"productions":[41],"with":[42,120],"single-donor":[43],"(apheresis)":[44],"collections":[45],"compensate":[47],"periods":[48],"low":[50],"WBD.":[51],"aim":[53],"this":[55],"work":[56],"was":[57,93],"predict":[59],"daily":[61,89],"number":[62],"WBD":[64],"a":[66,74,121,149],"tertiary":[67],"care":[68],"center":[69],"preemptively":[71],"account":[72],"for":[73,159],"decrease":[75],"production.":[78],"We":[79],"have":[80,116],"collected":[81],"62,248":[82],"during":[85],"3":[86],"years,":[87],"count":[90],"which":[92,105],"used":[94],"feed":[96],"(standalone":[97],"and":[98],"ensemble":[99],"versions":[100],"of)":[101],"six":[102],"prediction":[103],"models,":[104],"were":[106],"evaluated":[107],"using":[108,130,148],"Mean":[110],"Absolute":[111],"Error":[112],"(MAE).":[113],"Forecast":[114],"models":[115],"shown":[117],"better":[118,128,140],"performances":[119],"MAE":[122],"about":[124],"8.6":[125],"donations,":[126],"34%":[127],"than":[129],"means":[131],"or":[132],"medians":[133],"alone.":[134],"Trend":[135],"lines":[136],"modeled":[141],"by":[142],"autoregressive":[143],"integrated":[144],"moving":[145],"average":[146],"(ARIMA)":[147],"frequency":[150],"365":[152],"days,":[153],"trade-off":[155],"being":[156],"at":[160],"least":[161],"two":[162],"years":[163],"data.":[165]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-04-16T08:26:57.006410","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
