{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4414359433","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2025/1102","title":"Beyond Patterns: Harnessing Causal Logic for Autonomous Driving Trajectory Prediction","display_name":"Beyond Patterns: Harnessing Causal Logic for Autonomous Driving Trajectory Prediction","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-09-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4414359433","doi":"https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2025/1102"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.24963/ijcai.2025/1102","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2025/1102","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Thirty-Fourth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5037763576","display_name":"Bonan Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0413-886X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Bonan Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5032304100","display_name":"Haicheng Liao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0207-5087"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Haicheng Liao","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5084288560","display_name":"Chengyue Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0000-6957-5468"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chengyue Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015537541","display_name":"Bin Rao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9805-3028"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bin Rao","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5074810849","display_name":"Yanchen Guan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0008-7839-1976"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yanchen Guan","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5082250747","display_name":"Guyang Yu","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guyang Yu","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075523554","display_name":"Jiaxun Zhang","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jiaxun Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086484127","display_name":"Songning Lai","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-3132-9414"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Songning Lai","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100569901","display_name":"Chengzhong Xu","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chengzhong Xu","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078491548","display_name":"Zhenning Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6323-1506"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204512498","display_name":"University of Macau","ror":"https://ror.org/01r4q9n85","country_code":"MO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}],"countries":["MO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zhenning Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Macau"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Macau","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":10,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5037763576"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204512498"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":5.6662,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96042678,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"9918","last_page":"9926"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.9751999974250793,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.9751999974250793,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11099","display_name":"Autonomous Vehicle Technology and Safety","score":0.9659000039100647,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2203","display_name":"Automotive Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10799","display_name":"Data Visualization and Analytics","score":0.9513999819755554,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1707","display_name":"Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trajectory","display_name":"Trajectory","score":0.7681000232696533},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/spurious-relationship","display_name":"Spurious relationship","score":0.7257000207901001},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/key","display_name":"Key (lock)","score":0.5863999724388123},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inference","display_name":"Inference","score":0.5361999869346619},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/causal-inference","display_name":"Causal inference","score":0.5120000243186951},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/causal-reasoning","display_name":"Causal reasoning","score":0.5116999745368958},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/causal-model","display_name":"Causal model","score":0.3986000120639801}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13662910","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q193139","display_name":"Trajectory","level":2,"score":0.7681000232696533},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97256817","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1462316","display_name":"Spurious relationship","level":2,"score":0.7257000207901001},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6614000201225281},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26517878","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228039","display_name":"Key (lock)","level":2,"score":0.5863999724388123},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.5821999907493591},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776214188","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q408386","display_name":"Inference","level":2,"score":0.5361999869346619},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158600405","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5054566","display_name":"Causal inference","level":2,"score":0.5120000243186951},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C115086926","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17004651","display_name":"Causal reasoning","level":3,"score":0.5116999745368958},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.4456000030040741},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11671645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5054567","display_name":"Causal model","level":2,"score":0.3986000120639801},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33954974","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q486494","display_name":"Sensor fusion","level":2,"score":0.3882000148296356},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134261354","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q938438","display_name":"Statistical inference","level":2,"score":0.3122999966144562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C167085575","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6803654","display_name":"Mean squared prediction error","level":2,"score":0.28630000352859497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.26330000162124634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.2624000012874603},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114289077","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3284399","display_name":"Statistical model","level":2,"score":0.259799987077713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777735758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q817765","display_name":"Path (computing)","level":2,"score":0.25920000672340393},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64357122","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1149766","display_name":"Causality (physics)","level":2,"score":0.2578999996185303},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C67186912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q367664","display_name":"Data modeling","level":2,"score":0.25619998574256897}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.24963/ijcai.2025/1102","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.24963/ijcai.2025/1102","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the Thirty-Fourth International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Accurate":[0],"trajectory":[1,37,128],"prediction":[2,38],"has":[3],"long":[4],"been":[5],"a":[6,35,74],"major":[7],"challenge":[8],"for":[9,133],"autonomous":[10],"driving":[11],"(AD).":[12],"Traditional":[13],"data-driven":[14],"models":[15],"predominantly":[16],"rely":[17],"on":[18,91],"statistical":[19],"correlations,":[20,66],"often":[21],"overlooking":[22],"the":[23,53,121,131],"causal":[24,42,69,124],"relationships":[25],"that":[26,40],"govern":[27],"traffic":[28],"behavior.":[29],"In":[30],"this":[31],"paper,":[32],"we":[33],"introduce":[34],"novel":[36],"framework":[39],"leverages":[41],"inference":[43],"to":[44,78,126],"enhance":[45],"predictive":[46],"robustness,":[47],"generalization,":[48],"and":[49,57,63,86,98,116],"accuracy.":[50],"By":[51],"decomposing":[52],"environment":[54],"into":[55],"spatial":[56],"temporal":[58],"components,":[59],"our":[60,100],"approach":[61],"identifies":[62],"mitigates":[64],"spurious":[65],"uncovering":[67],"genuine":[68],"relationships.":[70],"We":[71],"also":[72],"employ":[73],"progressive":[75],"fusion":[76],"strategy":[77],"integrate":[79],"multimodal":[80],"information,":[81],"simulating":[82],"human-like":[83],"reasoning":[84,125],"processes":[85],"enabling":[87],"real-time":[88],"inference.":[89],"Evaluations":[90],"five":[92],"real-world":[93],"datasets\u2014ApolloScape,":[94],"nuScenes,":[95],"NGSIM,":[96],"HighD,":[97],"MoCAD\u2014demonstrate":[99],"model's":[101],"superiority":[102],"over":[103],"existing":[104],"state-of-the-art":[105],"(SOTA)":[106],"methods,":[107],"with":[108],"improvements":[109],"in":[110],"key":[111],"metrics":[112],"such":[113],"as":[114],"RMSE":[115],"FDE.":[117],"Our":[118],"findings":[119],"highlight":[120],"potential":[122],"of":[123],"transform":[127],"prediction,":[129],"paving":[130],"way":[132],"robust":[134],"AD":[135],"systems.":[136]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-03-07T16:01:11.037858","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
