{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4406255349","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010","title":"CoreCast: Leveraging Project Metrics to Predict Core Contributor Trends in Open Source C57","display_name":"CoreCast: Leveraging Project Metrics to Predict Core Contributor Trends in Open Source C57","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-10-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4406255349","doi":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.18293/seke2024-010","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010","pdf_url":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4220650826","display_name":"Proceedings/Proceedings of the ... International Conference on Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering","issn_l":"2325-9000","issn":["2325-9000","2325-9086"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Conferences on Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5039854676","display_name":"Zhiling Zhu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3878-0391"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I168879160","display_name":"Zhejiang University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05mx0wr29","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I168879160"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I55712492","display_name":"Zhejiang University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02djqfd08","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I55712492"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zhiling Zhu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University of Technology , Hangzhou , 310014 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University of Technology , Hangzhou , 310014 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I168879160","https://openalex.org/I55712492"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5056827411","display_name":"Tieming Chen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4664-3311"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I168879160","display_name":"Zhejiang University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05mx0wr29","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I168879160"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I55712492","display_name":"Zhejiang University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02djqfd08","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I55712492"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tieming Chen","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University of Technology , Hangzhou , 310014 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University of Technology , Hangzhou , 310014 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I168879160","https://openalex.org/I55712492"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5002135958","display_name":"Wu Lian","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0183-7542"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I168879160","display_name":"Zhejiang University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05mx0wr29","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I168879160"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I55712492","display_name":"Zhejiang University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02djqfd08","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I55712492"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lizi Wu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University of Technology , Hangzhou , 310014 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University of Technology , Hangzhou , 310014 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I168879160","https://openalex.org/I55712492"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038333716","display_name":"Q. Chelsea Song","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0910-1281"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I168879160","display_name":"Zhejiang University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05mx0wr29","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I168879160"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I55712492","display_name":"Zhejiang University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02djqfd08","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I55712492"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Qijie Song","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University of Technology , Hangzhou , 310014 , China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science and Technology Zhejiang University of Technology , Hangzhou , 310014 , China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I168879160","https://openalex.org/I55712492"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.53617391,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":"2024","issue":null,"first_page":"351","last_page":"356"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11986","display_name":"Scientific Computing and Data Management","score":0.9394000172615051,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1802","display_name":"Information Systems and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11986","display_name":"Scientific Computing and Data Management","score":0.9394000172615051,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1802","display_name":"Information Systems and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12127","display_name":"Software System Performance and Reliability","score":0.9099000096321106,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1705","display_name":"Computer Networks and Communications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6836340427398682},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/open-source","display_name":"Open source","score":0.682244062423706},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/core","display_name":"Core (optical fiber)","score":0.6293113231658936},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/open-source-software","display_name":"Open source software","score":0.4744245409965515},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.42635378241539},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/public-domain-software","display_name":"Public domain software","score":0.419948548078537},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/telecommunications","display_name":"Telecommunications","score":0.1428276002407074},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/software","display_name":"Software","score":0.140838623046875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operating-system","display_name":"Operating system","score":0.10544329881668091}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6836340427398682},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018397939","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3644502","display_name":"Open source","level":3,"score":0.682244062423706},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2164484","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5170150","display_name":"Core (optical fiber)","level":2,"score":0.6293113231658936},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2988343187","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130645","display_name":"Open source software","level":3,"score":0.4744245409965515},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.42635378241539},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C172092558","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1037852","display_name":"Public domain software","level":4,"score":0.419948548078537},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.1428276002407074},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777904410","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7397","display_name":"Software","level":2,"score":0.140838623046875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.10544329881668091}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.18293/seke2024-010","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010","pdf_url":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4220650826","display_name":"Proceedings/Proceedings of the ... International Conference on Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering","issn_l":"2325-9000","issn":["2325-9000","2325-9086"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Conferences on Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.18293/seke2024-010","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010","pdf_url":"https://doi.org/10.18293/seke2024-010","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4220650826","display_name":"Proceedings/Proceedings of the ... International Conference on Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering","issn_l":"2325-9000","issn":["2325-9000","2325-9086"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"International Conferences on Software Engineering and Knowledge Engineering","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1317677795","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"U1936215","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3558286546","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"62002324","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8825203574","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"U22B2028","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4406255349.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4406255349.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4319870556","https://openalex.org/W2108777707","https://openalex.org/W4404390849","https://openalex.org/W2041169587","https://openalex.org/W4286377578","https://openalex.org/W2056828497","https://openalex.org/W2171191843","https://openalex.org/W2066276518","https://openalex.org/W2902006350","https://openalex.org/W1983748582"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0],"collaborative":[1],"model":[2,75],"of":[3,27,50,107],"open-source":[4],"software":[5],"(OSS)":[6],"development":[7],"significantly":[8],"enhances":[9],"efficiency":[10],"and":[11,37,48,64,120,126,136],"fosters":[12],"innovation":[13],"by":[14],"enabling":[15],"diverse":[16],"global":[17],"contributors":[18,54],"to":[19,77],"collaborate":[20],"seamlessly.Core":[21],"contributors,":[22],"who":[23],"provide":[24],"the":[25,46,140],"majority":[26],"code":[28],"commits,":[29],"are":[30,116,128],"crucial":[31,117],"for":[32,60,118,133],"maintaining":[33],"project":[34,62,85,123],"direction,":[35],"quality,":[36],"momentum.Despite":[38],"their":[39],"importance,":[40],"there":[41],"is":[42,58],"limited":[43],"research":[44,135],"on":[45],"dynamics":[47],"prediction":[49],"changes":[51],"in":[52,139],"core":[53,80],"over":[55],"time,":[56],"which":[57],"essential":[59],"sustaining":[61,121],"growth":[63,113],"stability.To":[65],"bridge":[66],"this":[67],"gap,":[68],"we":[69],"introduce":[70],"CoreCast,":[71],"an":[72],"innovative":[73],"predictive":[74],"designed":[76],"forecast":[78],"future":[79,134],"contributor":[81],"numbers":[82],"using":[83],"comprehensive":[84],"data.By":[86],"analyzing":[87],"multidimensional":[88],"metrics":[89],"from":[90],"high-quality":[91],"OSS":[92,122],"projects,":[93],"CoreCast":[94],"trains":[95],"models":[96],"that":[97,115],"outperform":[98],"traditional":[99],"methods,":[100],"achieving":[101],"a":[102],"mean":[103],"absolute":[104],"error":[105],"(MAE)":[106],"0.7866.Our":[108],"findings":[109],"reveal":[110],"seven":[111],"significant":[112],"trends":[114],"understanding":[119],"development.All":[124],"data":[125],"scripts":[127],"open-sourced,":[129],"providing":[130],"valuable":[131],"resources":[132],"further":[137],"advancements":[138],"field.":[141]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-07-29T14:22:42.915294","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
