{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3092091390","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","title":"Time varying methods to infer extremes in dengue transmission dynamics","display_name":"Time varying methods to infer extremes in dengue transmission dynamics","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-10-12","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3092091390","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","mag":"3092091390","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33044957"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279&type=printable","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5072522537","display_name":"Jue Tao Lim","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2245-0331"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165932596","display_name":"National University of Singapore","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgyzw49","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210150261","display_name":"National University Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/05tjjsh18","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210150261"]}],"countries":["SG"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Jue Tao Lim","raw_affiliation_strings":["Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2245-0331","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210150261","https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5001358028","display_name":"Yiting Han","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9758-2531"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I24943067","display_name":"Fudan University","ror":"https://ror.org/013q1eq08","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I24943067"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yiting Han","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Pharmacy, Fudan University, Shanghai, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9758-2531","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Pharmacy, Fudan University, Shanghai, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I24943067"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5003705301","display_name":"Borame Sue Lee Dickens","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1592-1745"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165932596","display_name":"National University of Singapore","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgyzw49","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210150261","display_name":"National University Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/05tjjsh18","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210150261"]}],"countries":["SG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Borame Sue Lee Dickens","raw_affiliation_strings":["Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1592-1745","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210150261","https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112339793","display_name":"Lee Ching Ng","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I146586912","display_name":"National Environment Agency","ror":"https://ror.org/00z4nbg03","country_code":"SG","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I146586912","https://openalex.org/I4210165108"]}],"countries":["SG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lee Ching Ng","raw_affiliation_strings":["Environmental Health Institute, National Environmental Agency, Singapore"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Environmental Health Institute, National Environmental Agency, Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I146586912"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090573013","display_name":"Alex R. Cook","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6271-5832"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165932596","display_name":"National University of Singapore","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgyzw49","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210150261","display_name":"National University Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/05tjjsh18","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210150261"]}],"countries":["SG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alex R. Cook","raw_affiliation_strings":["Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6271-5832","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Saw Swee Hock School of Public Health, National University of Singapore and National University Health System, Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210150261","https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5072522537"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165932596","https://openalex.org/I4210150261"],"apc_list":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"apc_paid":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"fwci":1.4424,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":8,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.83787514,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"16","issue":"10","first_page":"e1008279","last_page":"e1008279"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10166","display_name":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10166","display_name":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","score":0.9991999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9898999929428101,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10091","display_name":"Malaria Research and Control","score":0.9753000140190125,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/dengue-fever","display_name":"Dengue fever","score":0.9022611379623413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/extreme-weather","display_name":"Extreme weather","score":0.7118141055107117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/arbovirus","display_name":"Arbovirus","score":0.5927644371986389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outbreak","display_name":"Outbreak","score":0.592144787311554},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/extreme-value-theory","display_name":"Extreme value theory","score":0.5881561040878296},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quantile","display_name":"Quantile","score":0.5195772647857666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population","display_name":"Population","score":0.4582826495170593},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.43990007042884827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climatology","display_name":"Climatology","score":0.3496537506580353},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.3434268832206726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.3213965594768524},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demography","display_name":"Demography","score":0.2829029858112335},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"Climate change","score":0.23264077305793762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/biology","display_name":"Biology","score":0.2285155951976776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.18507108092308044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecology","display_name":"Ecology","score":0.1706123948097229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/virology","display_name":"Virology","score":0.12043428421020508}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C533803919","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q30953","display_name":"Dengue fever","level":2,"score":0.9022611379623413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205537798","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1277161","display_name":"Extreme weather","level":3,"score":0.7118141055107117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778116200","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q630622","display_name":"Arbovirus","level":3,"score":0.5927644371986389},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116675565","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3241045","display_name":"Outbreak","level":2,"score":0.592144787311554},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147581598","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q729429","display_name":"Extreme value theory","level":2,"score":0.5881561040878296},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118671147","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q578714","display_name":"Quantile","level":2,"score":0.5195772647857666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4582826495170593},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.43990007042884827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49204034","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139","display_name":"Climatology","level":1,"score":0.3496537506580353},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.3434268832206726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3213965594768524},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.2829029858112335},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.23264077305793762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.2285155951976776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.18507108092308044},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.1706123948097229},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.12043428421020508},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522874641","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q808","display_name":"Virus","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D003715","descriptor_name":"Dengue","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003715","descriptor_name":"Dengue","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003715","descriptor_name":"Dengue","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003715","descriptor_name":"Dengue","qualifier_ui":"Q000635","qualifier_name":"transmission","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003715","descriptor_name":"Dengue","qualifier_ui":"Q000635","qualifier_name":"transmission","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003715","descriptor_name":"Dengue","qualifier_ui":"Q000635","qualifier_name":"transmission","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012846","descriptor_name":"Singapore","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012846","descriptor_name":"Singapore","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012846","descriptor_name":"Singapore","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014887","descriptor_name":"Weather","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014887","descriptor_name":"Weather","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014887","descriptor_name":"Weather","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":6,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:33044957","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33044957","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS computational biology","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:scholarbank.nus.edu.sg:10635/199447","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://scholarbank.nus.edu.sg/handle/10635/199447","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407052290","display_name":"National University of Singapore","issn_l":null,"issn":[],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Scopus OA2020","raw_type":"Article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:plo:pcbi00:1008279","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:8826e1442ec047748b64bb2776bef523","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/8826e1442ec047748b64bb2776bef523","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 16, Iss 10, p e1008279 (2020)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:7595636","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7595636","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Comput Biol","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008279&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.6299999952316284,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6589738822","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"NMRC/CG/C026/2017","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320329281","funder_display_name":"Singapore Population Health Improvement Centre"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320327250","display_name":"National University Health System","ror":"https://ror.org/05tjjsh18"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320329281","display_name":"Singapore Population Health Improvement Centre","ror":null},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334626","display_name":"Medical Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/03x94j517"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334737","display_name":"National Medical Research Council","ror":"https://ror.org/04x3cxs03"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3092091390.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W3092091390.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":51,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W240718041","https://openalex.org/W1500657154","https://openalex.org/W1501586228","https://openalex.org/W1792497079","https://openalex.org/W1880189740","https://openalex.org/W1974519824","https://openalex.org/W1982652137","https://openalex.org/W1986834289","https://openalex.org/W1987286802","https://openalex.org/W1990379089","https://openalex.org/W1994930576","https://openalex.org/W1999138782","https://openalex.org/W2009846705","https://openalex.org/W2017384700","https://openalex.org/W2021284105","https://openalex.org/W2037182792","https://openalex.org/W2047021810","https://openalex.org/W2056530754","https://openalex.org/W2059671843","https://openalex.org/W2061802350","https://openalex.org/W2067462392","https://openalex.org/W2076545815","https://openalex.org/W2097045093","https://openalex.org/W2099560789","https://openalex.org/W2103363823","https://openalex.org/W2103958165","https://openalex.org/W2123009908","https://openalex.org/W2129010749","https://openalex.org/W2131222241","https://openalex.org/W2201261223","https://openalex.org/W2206296596","https://openalex.org/W2290129031","https://openalex.org/W2333736406","https://openalex.org/W2338936985","https://openalex.org/W2410035948","https://openalex.org/W2443273310","https://openalex.org/W2462625274","https://openalex.org/W2531458834","https://openalex.org/W2793899222","https://openalex.org/W2801997617","https://openalex.org/W2807663762","https://openalex.org/W2887889066","https://openalex.org/W2907616905","https://openalex.org/W2918909418","https://openalex.org/W2944116815","https://openalex.org/W2987109794","https://openalex.org/W2995406372","https://openalex.org/W3020826406","https://openalex.org/W4210433968","https://openalex.org/W4234011292","https://openalex.org/W4297888513"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4381663654","https://openalex.org/W2068304598","https://openalex.org/W1488761988","https://openalex.org/W2807168341","https://openalex.org/W2725116932","https://openalex.org/W1532472631","https://openalex.org/W2065111490","https://openalex.org/W2338129420","https://openalex.org/W2007272289","https://openalex.org/W2250060982"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Dengue":[0],"is":[1,204],"an":[2],"arbovirus":[3],"affecting":[4],"global":[5],"populations.":[6],"Frequent":[7],"outbreaks":[8,288],"occur,":[9],"especially":[10],"in":[11,64,115,159,174,180,271,289],"equatorial":[12],"cities":[13],"such":[14],"as":[15,132,134],"Singapore,":[16],"where":[17],"year-round":[18],"tropical":[19],"climate,":[20],"large":[21],"daily":[22],"influx":[23],"of":[24,44,74,100,113,123,128,136,209,221,267,274,287],"travelers":[25],"and":[26,72,80,106,120,171,212,224],"population":[27],"density":[28],"provide":[29,261],"the":[30,42,70,97,160,181,185,196,238,254,265,272,284,290],"ideal":[31],"conditions":[32],"for":[33,96,163],"dengue":[34,45,75,101,124,143,156,176],"to":[35,52,61,69,94,141,236,248,282],"transmit.":[36],"Little":[37],"work":[38],"has,":[39],"however,":[40],"quantified":[41],"peaks":[43],"outbreaks,":[46],"when":[47],"health":[48,280],"systems":[49],"are":[50],"likely":[51,285],"be":[53],"most":[54,186],"stretched.":[55],"Nor":[56],"have":[57],"methods":[58,93],"been":[59],"developed":[60,87],"infer":[62],"differences":[63,114],"exogenous":[65],"factors":[66],"which":[67,270],"lead":[68,247],"rise":[71,252],"fall":[73],"case":[76,102,125,144,157,215,241,273],"counts":[77,103,158,216],"across":[78,104,118],"extreme":[79,90,105,121,182,207],"non-extreme":[81,107,119,164],"periods.":[82,108,183],"In":[83],"this":[84],"paper,":[85],"we":[86,149,190],"time":[88,268],"varying":[89],"mixture":[91],"(tvEM)":[92],"account":[95],"temporal":[98,130],"dependence":[99,131],"This":[109],"approach":[110,259],"permits":[111],"inference":[112,263],"climatic":[116],"forcing":[117],"periods":[122,220],"counts,":[126,242],"quantification":[127],"their":[129],"well":[133],"estimation":[135],"thresholds":[137],"with":[138,206],"associated":[139],"uncertainties":[140],"determine":[142],"count":[145],"extremities.":[146],"Using":[147,184],"tvEM,":[148],"found":[150,191,235],"no":[151],"evidence":[152],"that":[153,167,192],"weather":[154],"affects":[155],"near":[161],"term":[162],"periods,":[165],"but":[166,243],"it":[168],"has":[169],"non-linear":[170],"mixed":[172],"signals":[173],"influencing":[175],"through":[177],"tvEM":[178,188,258],"parameters":[179,228],"appropriate":[187],"specification,":[189],"a":[193,230,249],"threshold":[194],"at":[195,218,229],"70th":[197],"(95%":[198],"credible":[199],"interval":[200],"41.1,":[201],"83.8)":[202],"quantile":[203],"optimal,":[205],"events":[208],"526.6,":[210],"1052.2":[211],"1183.6":[213],"weekly":[214],"expected":[217,240,251],"return":[219],"5,":[222],"50":[223],"75":[225],"years.":[226],"Weather":[227],"1%":[231],"scaled":[232],"increase":[233],"was":[234],"decrease":[237],"long-run":[239],"larger":[244],"increases":[245],"would":[246],"drastic":[250],"from":[253],"baseline":[255],"correspondingly.":[256],"The":[257],"can":[260],"valuable":[262],"on":[264],"extremes":[266],"series,":[269],"infectious":[275],"disease":[276],"notifications,":[277],"allows":[278],"public":[279],"officials":[281],"understand":[283],"scale":[286],"long":[291],"run.":[292]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-01-13T01:12:25.745995","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}