{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2767019443","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749","title":"Seasonality in risk of pandemic influenza emergence","display_name":"Seasonality in risk of pandemic influenza emergence","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-10-19","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2767019443","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749","mag":"2767019443","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29049288"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749&type=printable","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057464567","display_name":"Spencer J. Fox","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1969-3778"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86519309","display_name":"The University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Spencer J. Fox","raw_affiliation_strings":["Integrative Biology, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States of America"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Integrative Biology, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5102959104","display_name":"Joel C. Miller","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4426-0405"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210108985","display_name":"Bellevue Hospital Center","ror":"https://ror.org/01ky34z31","country_code":"US","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1283621791","https://openalex.org/I4210086933","https://openalex.org/I4210108985"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210161647","display_name":"Institute for Disease Modeling","ror":"https://ror.org/0532gcg76","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210161647"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I56590836","display_name":"Monash University","ror":"https://ror.org/02bfwt286","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I56590836"]}],"countries":["AU","US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Joel C. Miller","raw_affiliation_strings":["Mathematical Sciences, Monash University, Frankston, Victoria, Australia","The Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Mathematical Sciences, Monash University, Frankston, Victoria, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I56590836"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Institute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, Washington, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210161647","https://openalex.org/I4210108985"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5088820305","display_name":"Lauren Ancel Meyers","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5828-8874"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1308548392","display_name":"Santa Fe Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/01arysc35","country_code":"US","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1308548392"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I86519309","display_name":"The University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lauren Ancel Meyers","raw_affiliation_strings":["Integrative Biology, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States of America","The Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, New Mexico, United States of America"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Integrative Biology, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Santa Fe Institute, Santa Fe, New Mexico, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1308548392"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5057464567"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I86519309"],"apc_list":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"apc_paid":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"fwci":3.6267,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":54,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.93727729,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"10","first_page":"e1005749","last_page":"e1005749"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10167","display_name":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10167","display_name":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11560","display_name":"Animal Disease Management and Epidemiology","score":0.9912999868392944,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1102","display_name":"Agronomy and Crop Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pandemic","display_name":"Pandemic","score":0.9129616022109985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-influenza","display_name":"Seasonal influenza","score":0.5429229140281677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coronavirus-disease-2019","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","score":0.5389196872711182},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonality","display_name":"Seasonality","score":0.4526004195213318},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transmission","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","score":0.442624032497406},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/severe-acute-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-2","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","score":0.43309009075164795},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/influenza-pandemic","display_name":"Influenza pandemic","score":0.43272578716278076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/flu-season","display_name":"Flu season","score":0.42704036831855774},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.42241644859313965},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/influenza-a-virus","display_name":"Influenza A virus","score":0.41929566860198975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/virology","display_name":"Virology","score":0.4109455943107605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/biology","display_name":"Biology","score":0.3460976481437683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demography","display_name":"Demography","score":0.32326534390449524},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vaccination","display_name":"Vaccination","score":0.21907079219818115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecology","display_name":"Ecology","score":0.212417870759964},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/virus","display_name":"Virus","score":0.19332340359687805},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.18322357535362244},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease","display_name":"Disease","score":0.18251559138298035},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/infectious-disease","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","score":0.15294155478477478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.09380567073822021}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89623803","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12184","display_name":"Pandemic","level":5,"score":0.9129616022109985},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018751465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4120645","display_name":"Seasonal influenza","level":5,"score":0.5429229140281677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.5389196872711182},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C125403950","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2111082","display_name":"Seasonality","level":2,"score":0.4526004195213318},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C761482","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q118093","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","level":2,"score":0.442624032497406},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3007834351","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82069695","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","level":5,"score":0.43309009075164795},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3019926118","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2723958","display_name":"Influenza pandemic","level":5,"score":0.43272578716278076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776289493","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4120645","display_name":"Flu season","level":3,"score":0.42704036831855774},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.42241644859313965},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777546802","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q834390","display_name":"Influenza A virus","level":3,"score":0.41929566860198975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.4109455943107605},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.3460976481437683},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.32326534390449524},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22070199","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q192995","display_name":"Vaccination","level":2,"score":0.21907079219818115},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.212417870759964},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522874641","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q808","display_name":"Virus","level":2,"score":0.19332340359687805},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.18322357535362244},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.18251559138298035},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.15294155478477478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.09380567073822021},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000276","qualifier_name":"immunology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000276","qualifier_name":"immunology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000276","qualifier_name":"immunology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D012306","descriptor_name":"Risk","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012306","descriptor_name":"Risk","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012306","descriptor_name":"Risk","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058873","descriptor_name":"Pandemics","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058873","descriptor_name":"Pandemics","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058873","descriptor_name":"Pandemics","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:29049288","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29049288","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS computational biology","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:aad71579480e428da4a18de80d82bb2b","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/aad71579480e428da4a18de80d82bb2b","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 13, Iss 10, p e1005749 (2017)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:figshare.com:article/5515225","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Seasonality_in_risk_of_pandemic_influenza_emergence/5515225","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196282","display_name":"Figshare","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210132348","host_organization_name":"Figshare (United Kingdom)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210132348"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Dataset"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:5654262","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/5654262","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Comput Biol","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005749&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8899999856948853,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","display_name":"Good health and well-being"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5251015864","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"R25GM102149","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","funder_display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G951069562","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"U01GM087719","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","funder_display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320310620","display_name":"University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332260","display_name":"Graduate School, University of Texas, Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332414","display_name":"Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Texas at Austin","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj54h04"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04q48ey07"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2767019443.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2767019443.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":109,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1471337471","https://openalex.org/W1801109637","https://openalex.org/W1811768630","https://openalex.org/W1967978543","https://openalex.org/W1973131317","https://openalex.org/W1980928919","https://openalex.org/W1981012806","https://openalex.org/W1982711070","https://openalex.org/W1986482847","https://openalex.org/W1992060243","https://openalex.org/W1993577147","https://openalex.org/W1996339806","https://openalex.org/W2001454912","https://openalex.org/W2004826528","https://openalex.org/W2005174722","https://openalex.org/W2007137115","https://openalex.org/W2013574284","https://openalex.org/W2016054270","https://openalex.org/W2020891730","https://openalex.org/W2026370792","https://openalex.org/W2029402506","https://openalex.org/W2033834340","https://openalex.org/W2034817320","https://openalex.org/W2035692177","https://openalex.org/W2036319813","https://openalex.org/W2043857544","https://openalex.org/W2053721642","https://openalex.org/W2053746900","https://openalex.org/W2054733960","https://openalex.org/W2059044331","https://openalex.org/W2063408296","https://openalex.org/W2064168048","https://openalex.org/W2068005913","https://openalex.org/W2073456281","https://openalex.org/W2076213364","https://openalex.org/W2078153134","https://openalex.org/W2084485640","https://openalex.org/W2087998303","https://openalex.org/W2090164911","https://openalex.org/W2095552243","https://openalex.org/W2096287634","https://openalex.org/W2096888964","https://openalex.org/W2099901384","https://openalex.org/W2100316471","https://openalex.org/W2101785912","https://openalex.org/W2102486896","https://openalex.org/W2104611361","https://openalex.org/W2104838840","https://openalex.org/W2108253190","https://openalex.org/W2108504782","https://openalex.org/W2111359724","https://openalex.org/W2112061028","https://openalex.org/W2112170460","https://openalex.org/W2115040920","https://openalex.org/W2117002055","https://openalex.org/W2118852506","https://openalex.org/W2119560885","https://openalex.org/W2119611042","https://openalex.org/W2121009566","https://openalex.org/W2121157266","https://openalex.org/W2124574957","https://openalex.org/W2128383865","https://openalex.org/W2128718394","https://openalex.org/W2132986084","https://openalex.org/W2136829296","https://openalex.org/W2137378887","https://openalex.org/W2139796037","https://openalex.org/W2140984072","https://openalex.org/W2143521244","https://openalex.org/W2144551261","https://openalex.org/W2147171518","https://openalex.org/W2148121615","https://openalex.org/W2148357338","https://openalex.org/W2149081924","https://openalex.org/W2150125436","https://openalex.org/W2153336132","https://openalex.org/W2153708508","https://openalex.org/W2153749443","https://openalex.org/W2154781494","https://openalex.org/W2155418451","https://openalex.org/W2155528202","https://openalex.org/W2158112812","https://openalex.org/W2160077285","https://openalex.org/W2164186079","https://openalex.org/W2164239649","https://openalex.org/W2164876260","https://openalex.org/W2165532966","https://openalex.org/W2169258494","https://openalex.org/W2170834676","https://openalex.org/W2171520681","https://openalex.org/W2208291701","https://openalex.org/W2261105966","https://openalex.org/W2312463092","https://openalex.org/W2326079572","https://openalex.org/W2461148724","https://openalex.org/W2553154513","https://openalex.org/W2557207823","https://openalex.org/W2580095392","https://openalex.org/W2582523481","https://openalex.org/W2598305571","https://openalex.org/W2770587522","https://openalex.org/W2949579713","https://openalex.org/W4292550103","https://openalex.org/W4300585525","https://openalex.org/W4387723339","https://openalex.org/W6671909851","https://openalex.org/W6692979800","https://openalex.org/W7046969508","https://openalex.org/W7049152281"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4214561472","https://openalex.org/W2183506300","https://openalex.org/W2037771355","https://openalex.org/W2913664802","https://openalex.org/W3205943223","https://openalex.org/W2766370518","https://openalex.org/W2102692422","https://openalex.org/W3005317990","https://openalex.org/W2595708043","https://openalex.org/W4236044431"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Influenza":[0],"pandemics":[1,14],"can":[2],"emerge":[3],"unexpectedly":[4],"and":[5,91,102,109,119,125],"wreak":[6],"global":[7],"devastation.":[8],"However,":[9],"each":[10],"of":[11,57,64,81,94,107,122,127],"the":[12,19,24,45,62,78,105,123],"six":[13],"since":[15],"1889":[16],"emerged":[17],"in":[18,88],"Northern":[20],"Hemisphere":[21],"just":[22],"after":[23],"flu":[25,41,52,66],"season,":[26],"suggesting":[27],"that":[28,50,60],"pandemic":[29,89,97],"timing":[30,80],"may":[31,99],"be":[32,100],"predictable.":[33],"Using":[34],"a":[35,54,72],"stochastic":[36],"model":[37],"fit":[38],"to":[39],"seasonal":[40,51,101,116],"surveillance":[42,118],"data":[43],"from":[44],"United":[46],"States,":[47],"we":[48],"find":[49],"leaves":[53],"transient":[55],"wake":[56],"heterosubtypic":[58,128],"immunity":[59],"impedes":[61],"emergence":[63],"novel":[65],"viruses.":[67],"This":[68],"refractory":[69],"period":[70],"provides":[71],"simple":[73],"explanation":[74],"for":[75],"not":[76],"only":[77],"spring-summer":[79],"historical":[82],"pandemics,":[83],"but":[84],"also":[85],"early":[86],"increases":[87],"severity":[90],"multiple":[92],"waves":[93],"transmission.":[95],"Thus,":[96],"risk":[98,111],"predictable,":[103],"with":[104],"accuracy":[106],"pre-pandemic":[108],"real-time":[110],"assessments":[112],"hinging":[113],"on":[114],"reliable":[115],"influenza":[117],"precise":[120],"estimates":[121],"breadth":[124],"duration":[126],"immunity.":[129]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-04-10T15:06:20.359241","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
