{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4282935388","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161","title":"Inference and dynamic simulation of malaria using a simple climate-driven entomological model of malaria transmission","display_name":"Inference and dynamic simulation of malaria using a simple climate-driven entomological model of malaria transmission","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-06-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4282935388","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35679241"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161&type=printable","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023525504","display_name":"Israel Ukawuba","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7472-4229"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78577930","display_name":"Columbia University","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj8s172","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Israel Ukawuba","raw_affiliation_strings":["Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7472-4229","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5006605951","display_name":"Jeffrey Shaman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7216-7809"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78577930","display_name":"Columbia University","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj8s172","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jeffrey Shaman","raw_affiliation_strings":["Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7216-7809","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Columbia University, Mailman School of Public Health, New York, New York, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5023525504"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"],"apc_list":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"apc_paid":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"fwci":2.3942,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":13,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.88112998,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"18","issue":"6","first_page":"e1010161","last_page":"e1010161"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10091","display_name":"Malaria Research and Control","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10091","display_name":"Malaria Research and Control","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10166","display_name":"Mosquito-borne diseases and control","score":0.9983000159263611,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10895","display_name":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","score":0.9970999956130981,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2302","display_name":"Ecological Modeling"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/malaria","display_name":"Malaria","score":0.8662201762199402},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transmission","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","score":0.6138834953308105},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vector","display_name":"Vector (molecular biology)","score":0.5732212066650391},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/inference","display_name":"Inference","score":0.505643367767334},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ecology","display_name":"Ecology","score":0.4930243194103241},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-change","display_name":"Climate change","score":0.46374425292015076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-model","display_name":"Climate model","score":0.42154672741889954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/biology","display_name":"Biology","score":0.35197967290878296},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.3221820592880249},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.10759034752845764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/immunology","display_name":"Immunology","score":0.09324720501899719}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778048844","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12156","display_name":"Malaria","level":2,"score":0.8662201762199402},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C761482","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q118093","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","level":2,"score":0.6138834953308105},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C92087593","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q427389","display_name":"Vector (molecular biology)","level":4,"score":0.5732212066650391},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776214188","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q408386","display_name":"Inference","level":2,"score":0.505643367767334},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18903297","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150","display_name":"Ecology","level":1,"score":0.4930243194103241},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C132651083","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942","display_name":"Climate change","level":2,"score":0.46374425292015076},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168754636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q620920","display_name":"Climate model","level":3,"score":0.42154672741889954},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.35197967290878296},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.3221820592880249},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.10759034752845764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C203014093","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101929","display_name":"Immunology","level":1,"score":0.09324720501899719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C104317684","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7187","display_name":"Gene","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C40767141","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q285697","display_name":"Recombinant DNA","level":3,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55493867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7094","display_name":"Biochemistry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000072138","descriptor_name":"Mosquito Vectors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000072138","descriptor_name":"Mosquito Vectors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000072138","descriptor_name":"Mosquito Vectors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001499","descriptor_name":"Bayes Theorem","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001499","descriptor_name":"Bayes Theorem","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D001499","descriptor_name":"Bayes Theorem","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002980","descriptor_name":"Climate","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002980","descriptor_name":"Climate","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002980","descriptor_name":"Climate","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008288","descriptor_name":"Malaria","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008288","descriptor_name":"Malaria","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008288","descriptor_name":"Malaria","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D009033","descriptor_name":"Culicidae","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D009033","descriptor_name":"Culicidae","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D009033","descriptor_name":"Culicidae","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true}],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:35679241","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35679241","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS computational biology","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:99a50f16ef754af2b25e6e3ad3c94d4d","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/99a50f16ef754af2b25e6e3ad3c94d4d","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 18, Iss 6, p e1010161 (2022)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:9182318","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/9182318","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Comput Biol","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010161&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.5799999833106995,"display_name":"Climate action"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G642022175","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"ES023770","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337361","funder_display_name":"National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7450922683","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"U01GM110748","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","funder_display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7986248144","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"ES007322","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337361","funder_display_name":"National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320330879","display_name":"Rwanda Biomedical Centre","ror":"https://ror.org/03jggqf79"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04q48ey07"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337361","display_name":"National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/00j4k1h63"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4282935388.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4282935388.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":140,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W49283392","https://openalex.org/W62850339","https://openalex.org/W89724148","https://openalex.org/W1483447478","https://openalex.org/W1524258011","https://openalex.org/W1539923755","https://openalex.org/W1562216876","https://openalex.org/W1667249325","https://openalex.org/W1698150934","https://openalex.org/W1948183053","https://openalex.org/W1963900503","https://openalex.org/W1964908822","https://openalex.org/W1965706297","https://openalex.org/W1967715790","https://openalex.org/W1971156759","https://openalex.org/W1973192869","https://openalex.org/W1973200069","https://openalex.org/W1973313221","https://openalex.org/W1974573928","https://openalex.org/W1976592304","https://openalex.org/W1977786447","https://openalex.org/W1983674180","https://openalex.org/W1983876149","https://openalex.org/W1985149691","https://openalex.org/W1985342844","https://openalex.org/W1996091785","https://openalex.org/W2001951466","https://openalex.org/W2006801759","https://openalex.org/W2013035959","https://openalex.org/W2017707667","https://openalex.org/W2019448011","https://openalex.org/W2022197650","https://openalex.org/W2022570380","https://openalex.org/W2032712630","https://openalex.org/W2033707368","https://openalex.org/W2036343733","https://openalex.org/W2037730550","https://openalex.org/W2038055756","https://openalex.org/W2038943886","https://openalex.org/W2042094287","https://openalex.org/W2044567838","https://openalex.org/W2045621855","https://openalex.org/W2048834380","https://openalex.org/W2050811145","https://openalex.org/W2052701751","https://openalex.org/W2054218588","https://openalex.org/W2061212700","https://openalex.org/W2062973231","https://openalex.org/W2066245205","https://openalex.org/W2069175765","https://openalex.org/W2071906583","https://openalex.org/W2076212031","https://openalex.org/W2076892331","https://openalex.org/W2077472149","https://openalex.org/W2079884780","https://openalex.org/W2081635625","https://openalex.org/W2095035017","https://openalex.org/W2097730132","https://openalex.org/W2099754414","https://openalex.org/W2100253428","https://openalex.org/W2100601116","https://openalex.org/W2101642122","https://openalex.org/W2102869476","https://openalex.org/W2104726108","https://openalex.org/W2107301400","https://openalex.org/W2108124558","https://openalex.org/W2109129448","https://openalex.org/W2109483062","https://openalex.org/W2109689682","https://openalex.org/W2110904326","https://openalex.org/W2112977667","https://openalex.org/W2115398829","https://openalex.org/W2116721397","https://openalex.org/W2117360094","https://openalex.org/W2118548950","https://openalex.org/W2118726788","https://openalex.org/W2120216087","https://openalex.org/W2120463581","https://openalex.org/W2124130955","https://openalex.org/W2125722892","https://openalex.org/W2126992261","https://openalex.org/W2127527567","https://openalex.org/W2130960762","https://openalex.org/W2131962601","https://openalex.org/W2134252637","https://openalex.org/W2136547339","https://openalex.org/W2138003016","https://openalex.org/W2140931333","https://openalex.org/W2141188595","https://openalex.org/W2141645933","https://openalex.org/W2141788589","https://openalex.org/W2143138689","https://openalex.org/W2143327511","https://openalex.org/W2143469080","https://openalex.org/W2145226768","https://openalex.org/W2151301366","https://openalex.org/W2156213211","https://openalex.org/W2156360666","https://openalex.org/W2157937240","https://openalex.org/W2159967349","https://openalex.org/W2164998467","https://openalex.org/W2165853589","https://openalex.org/W2169006847","https://openalex.org/W2169129486","https://openalex.org/W2170571942","https://openalex.org/W2172114008","https://openalex.org/W2179584279","https://openalex.org/W2182268191","https://openalex.org/W2186157879","https://openalex.org/W2223528641","https://openalex.org/W2235132345","https://openalex.org/W2271242314","https://openalex.org/W2302162838","https://openalex.org/W2302232969","https://openalex.org/W2372638476","https://openalex.org/W2398159137","https://openalex.org/W2418130754","https://openalex.org/W2425984739","https://openalex.org/W2578940280","https://openalex.org/W2589339869","https://openalex.org/W2626352674","https://openalex.org/W2743355247","https://openalex.org/W2765256800","https://openalex.org/W2774791819","https://openalex.org/W2781716635","https://openalex.org/W2791320401","https://openalex.org/W2800406862","https://openalex.org/W2897289757","https://openalex.org/W2904335946","https://openalex.org/W2911662841","https://openalex.org/W2929535294","https://openalex.org/W2945808102","https://openalex.org/W2947171849","https://openalex.org/W2953184019","https://openalex.org/W2953605036","https://openalex.org/W3092122377","https://openalex.org/W3119169317","https://openalex.org/W4229580509","https://openalex.org/W6602039512","https://openalex.org/W7073624733"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2115261803","https://openalex.org/W4367362025","https://openalex.org/W2108574175","https://openalex.org/W2347627655","https://openalex.org/W1477123016","https://openalex.org/W2386208584","https://openalex.org/W2226154164","https://openalex.org/W2368864186","https://openalex.org/W3122661184","https://openalex.org/W1996264081"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Given":[0],"the":[1,18,56,84,94,105,145,164,181,188,214,251],"crucial":[2],"role":[3,58],"of":[4,12,23,49,55,79,93,96,107,121,170,178,180,253,264],"climate":[5,24,47,61,262],"in":[6,26,62,155,184,196,213,225],"malaria":[7,13,31,63,73,174,185,197,226,242,258,265],"transmission,":[8],"many":[9],"mechanistic":[10,36],"models":[11,37,259],"represent":[14],"vector":[15,41,108],"biology":[16],"and":[17,117,137,143,176,201,236,267],"parasite":[19,118],"lifecycle":[20],"as":[21],"functions":[22],"variables":[25],"order":[27],"to":[28,148,192,204,240],"accurately":[29,171],"capture":[30],"transmission":[32,50,80,151,198,219],"dynamics.":[33,243],"Lower":[34],"dimension":[35,256],"that":[38,163],"utilize":[39],"implicit":[40,71],"dynamics":[42,175],"have":[43],"relied":[44],"on":[45],"indirect":[46],"modulation":[48,78],"processes,":[51],"which":[52,122,132,208],"compromises":[53],"investigation":[54],"ecological":[57],"played":[59],"by":[60,125,135,260],"transmission.":[64,268],"In":[65,244],"this":[66,129,246],"study,":[67],"we":[68],"develop":[69],"an":[70],"process-based":[72],"model":[74,189,215,220,248],"with":[75,139],"direct":[76],"climate-mediated":[77],"pressure":[81],"borne":[82],"through":[83],"Entomological":[85],"Inoculation":[86],"Rate":[87],"(EIR).":[88],"The":[89,217],"EIR,":[90],"a":[91],"measure":[92],"number":[95],"infectious":[97],"bites":[98],"per":[99,101],"person":[100],"unit":[102],"time,":[103],"includes":[104],"effects":[106],"dynamics,":[109],"resulting":[110],"from":[111],"mosquito":[112],"development,":[113,119],"survivorship,":[114],"feeding":[115],"activity":[116],"all":[120],"are":[123],"moderated":[124],"climate.":[126],"We":[127],"combine":[128],"EIR-model":[130,166],"framework,":[131],"is":[133,168],"driven":[134],"rainfall":[136],"temperature,":[138],"Bayesian":[140],"inference":[141],"methods,":[142],"evaluate":[144],"model's":[146],"ability":[147],"simulate":[149],"local":[150],"across":[152,228],"42":[153],"regions":[154],"Rwanda":[156],"over":[157],"four":[158],"years.":[159],"Our":[160],"findings":[161],"indicate":[162],"biologically-motivated,":[165],"framework":[167],"capable":[169],"simulating":[172],"seasonal":[173,241],"capturing":[177],"some":[179],"inter-annual":[182],"variation":[183,224],"incidence.":[186],"However,":[187],"unsurprisingly":[190],"failed":[191],"reproduce":[193],"large":[194],"declines":[195],"during":[199],"2018":[200],"2019":[202],"due":[203],"elevated":[205],"anti-malaria":[206],"measures,":[207],"were":[209],"not":[210],"accounted":[211],"for":[212],"structure.":[216],"climate-driven":[218],"also":[221],"captured":[222],"regional":[223],"incidence":[227],"Rwanda's":[229],"diverse":[230],"climate,":[231],"while":[232],"identifying":[233],"key":[234],"entomological":[235],"epidemiological":[237],"parameters":[238],"important":[239],"general,":[245],"new":[247],"construct":[249],"advances":[250],"capabilities":[252],"implicitly-forced":[254],"lower":[255],"dynamical":[257],"leveraging":[261],"drivers":[263],"ecology":[266]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-01-13T01:12:25.745995","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}