{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2991460415","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","title":"Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.","display_name":"Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S.","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-11-22","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2991460415","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","mag":"2991460415","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31756193"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5071543888","display_name":"Nicholas G Reich","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3503-9899"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I24603500","display_name":"University of Massachusetts Amherst","ror":"https://ror.org/0072zz521","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Nicholas G. Reich","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3503-9899","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5036966035","display_name":"Craig McGowan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6298-0185"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1289490764","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12","country_code":"US","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764","https://openalex.org/I1299022934"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Craig J. McGowan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028627359","display_name":"Teresa K. Yamana","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78577930","display_name":"Columbia University","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj8s172","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Teresa K. Yamana","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8349-3151","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075905404","display_name":"Abhinav Tushar","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7137-0728"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I24603500","display_name":"University of Massachusetts Amherst","ror":"https://ror.org/0072zz521","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Abhinav Tushar","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Computer Science, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7137-0728","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Computer Science, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5065779040","display_name":"Evan L Ray","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4035-0243"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I150693791","display_name":"Mount Holyoke College","ror":"https://ror.org/031z8pr38","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I150693791"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Evan L. Ray","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Mount Holyoke College, South Hadley, Massachusetts, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4035-0243","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Mount Holyoke College, South Hadley, Massachusetts, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I150693791"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078718261","display_name":"Dave Osthus","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4681-091X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1343871089","display_name":"Los Alamos National Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/01e41cf67","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1330989302","https://openalex.org/I1343871089","https://openalex.org/I198811213","https://openalex.org/I4210120050"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Dave Osthus","raw_affiliation_strings":["Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4681-091X","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Statistical Sciences Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, New Mexico, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1343871089"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5071924787","display_name":"Sasikiran Kandula","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6248-9097"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78577930","display_name":"Columbia University","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj8s172","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Sasikiran Kandula","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6248-9097","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5002493473","display_name":"Logan Brooks","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0877-4978"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74973139","display_name":"Carnegie Mellon University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x2bcf33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Logan C. Brooks","raw_affiliation_strings":["Computer Science Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Computer Science Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023596311","display_name":"Willow Crawford-Crudell","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I202524275","display_name":"Smith College","ror":"https://ror.org/0497crr92","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I202524275"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Willow Crawford-Crudell","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Smith College, Northampton, Massachusetts, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Smith College, Northampton, Massachusetts, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I202524275"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103009735","display_name":"Graham Casey Gibson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0370-9846"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I24603500","display_name":"University of Massachusetts Amherst","ror":"https://ror.org/0072zz521","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Graham Casey Gibson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5067205026","display_name":"Evan Moore","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I24603500","display_name":"University of Massachusetts Amherst","ror":"https://ror.org/0072zz521","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Evan Moore","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts-Amherst, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028779863","display_name":"Rebecca Silva","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I177605424","display_name":"Amherst College","ror":"https://ror.org/028vqfs63","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I177605424"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Rebecca Silva","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Amherst College, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Amherst College, Amherst, Massachusetts, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177605424"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061518977","display_name":"Matthew Biggerstaff","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5108-8311"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1289490764","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12","country_code":"US","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764","https://openalex.org/I1299022934"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Matthew Biggerstaff","raw_affiliation_strings":["Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5108-8311","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5073651652","display_name":"Michael A. Johansson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5090-7722"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1289490764","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12","country_code":"US","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764","https://openalex.org/I1299022934"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Michael A. Johansson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, San Juan, Puerto Rico, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1289490764"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040906638","display_name":"Roni Rosenfeld","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3274-5862"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74973139","display_name":"Carnegie Mellon University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x2bcf33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Roni Rosenfeld","raw_affiliation_strings":["Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3274-5862","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5006605951","display_name":"Jeffrey Shaman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7216-7809"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78577930","display_name":"Columbia University","ror":"https://ror.org/00hj8s172","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jeffrey Shaman","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7216-7809","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Environmental Health Sciences, Columbia University, New York, New York, United States of America","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78577930"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":16,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5071543888"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I24603500"],"apc_list":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"apc_paid":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"fwci":14.2175,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":195,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.99323265,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"15","issue":"11","first_page":"e1007486","last_page":"e1007486"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11819","display_name":"Data-Driven Disease Surveillance","score":0.9940000176429749,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11819","display_name":"Data-Driven Disease Surveillance","score":0.9940000176429749,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10167","display_name":"Influenza Virus Research Studies","score":0.9925000071525574,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9800999760627747,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ensemble-forecasting","display_name":"Ensemble forecasting","score":0.5712717175483704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/seasonal-influenza","display_name":"Seasonal influenza","score":0.5307616591453552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outbreak","display_name":"Outbreak","score":0.4839380383491516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/component","display_name":"Component (thermodynamics)","score":0.4357425570487976},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease-control","display_name":"Disease control","score":0.42913079261779785},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/ensemble-learning","display_name":"Ensemble learning","score":0.4259076416492462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.40691307187080383},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.3877650499343872},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.33474254608154297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.2813946008682251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coronavirus-disease-2019","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","score":0.25605514645576477},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease","display_name":"Disease","score":0.20955324172973633},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.20717459917068481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.20456790924072266},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-health","display_name":"Environmental health","score":0.1782827377319336},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/infectious-disease","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","score":0.10424405336380005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/virology","display_name":"Virology","score":0.09301277995109558}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119898033","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3433888","display_name":"Ensemble forecasting","level":2,"score":0.5712717175483704},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3018751465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4120645","display_name":"Seasonal influenza","level":5,"score":0.5307616591453552},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116675565","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3241045","display_name":"Outbreak","level":2,"score":0.4839380383491516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C168167062","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1117970","display_name":"Component (thermodynamics)","level":2,"score":0.4357425570487976},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2987315675","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1773974","display_name":"Disease control","level":2,"score":0.42913079261779785},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45942800","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q245652","display_name":"Ensemble learning","level":2,"score":0.4259076416492462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.40691307187080383},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3877650499343872},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.33474254608154297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.2813946008682251},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.25605514645576477},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.20955324172973633},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.20717459917068481},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.20456790924072266},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.1782827377319336},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.10424405336380005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.09301277995109558},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C97355855","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11473","display_name":"Thermodynamics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000068598","descriptor_name":"Data Accuracy","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000068598","descriptor_name":"Data Accuracy","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000068598","descriptor_name":"Data Accuracy","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000068598","descriptor_name":"Data Accuracy","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000068598","descriptor_name":"Data Accuracy","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000068598","descriptor_name":"Data Accuracy","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000069550","descriptor_name":"Machine Learning","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000069550","descriptor_name":"Machine Learning","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000069550","descriptor_name":"Machine Learning","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000069550","descriptor_name":"Machine Learning","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000069550","descriptor_name":"Machine Learning","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000069550","descriptor_name":"Machine Learning","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002487","descriptor_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002487","descriptor_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002487","descriptor_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002487","descriptor_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002487","descriptor_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002487","descriptor_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003625","descriptor_name":"Data Collection","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003625","descriptor_name":"Data Collection","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003625","descriptor_name":"Data Collection","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003625","descriptor_name":"Data Collection","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003625","descriptor_name":"Data Collection","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003625","descriptor_name":"Data Collection","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D004196","descriptor_name":"Disease Outbreaks","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005544","descriptor_name":"Forecasting","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D007251","descriptor_name":"Influenza, Human","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008962","descriptor_name":"Models, Theoretical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008962","descriptor_name":"Models, Theoretical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008962","descriptor_name":"Models, Theoretical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008962","descriptor_name":"Models, Theoretical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008962","descriptor_name":"Models, Theoretical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008962","descriptor_name":"Models, Theoretical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011634","descriptor_name":"Public Health","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011634","descriptor_name":"Public Health","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011634","descriptor_name":"Public Health","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011634","descriptor_name":"Public Health","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011634","descriptor_name":"Public Health","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011634","descriptor_name":"Public Health","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D012621","descriptor_name":"Seasons","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014481","descriptor_name":"United States","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014481","descriptor_name":"United States","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014481","descriptor_name":"United States","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014481","descriptor_name":"United States","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014481","descriptor_name":"United States","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D014481","descriptor_name":"United States","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015233","descriptor_name":"Models, Statistical","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015994","descriptor_name":"Incidence","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015994","descriptor_name":"Incidence","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015994","descriptor_name":"Incidence","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015994","descriptor_name":"Incidence","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015994","descriptor_name":"Incidence","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015994","descriptor_name":"Incidence","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":7,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:31756193","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31756193","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS computational biology","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:osti.gov:1604056","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1604056","pdf_url":"https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1604056","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402487","display_name":"OSTI OAI (U.S. Department of Energy Office of Scientific and Technical Information)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I139351228","host_organization_name":"Office of Scientific and Technical Information","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I139351228"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:plo:pcbi00:1007486","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:8fddc76ce8384bd69afafa34f538fa07","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/8fddc76ce8384bd69afafa34f538fa07","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 15, Iss 11, p e1007486 (2019)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:figshare.com:article/10820069","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://figshare.com/articles/Accuracy_of_real-time_multi-model_ensemble_forecasts_for_seasonal_influenza_in_the_U_S_/10820069","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196282","display_name":"Figshare","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210132348","host_organization_name":"Figshare (United Kingdom)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210132348"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:6897420","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/6897420","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"public-domain","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/public-domain","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Comput Biol","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007486","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.7900000214576721,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1319351997","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"HDTRA1-18","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332186","funder_display_name":"Defense Threat Reduction Agency"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2094680684","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"GM110748","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332161","funder_display_name":"National Institutes of Health"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2180245026","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"1252522","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G245228647","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"HDTRA1-18-C-0008","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332186","funder_display_name":"Defense Threat Reduction Agency"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G255524836","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DGE-1252522","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2584449986","display_name":"Graduate Research Fellowship Program (GRFP)","funder_award_id":"1745016","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3736084344","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"GM110748","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","funder_display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4863571209","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"DGE-1745016","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5697406166","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"5U54GM088491","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","funder_display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5985179709","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"R35GM119582","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","funder_display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6019723203","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"YFA16 D16AP00144","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332180","funder_display_name":"Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6541015203","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"HDTRA1","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332186","funder_display_name":"Defense Threat Reduction Agency"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6995210142","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"89233218CNA000001","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332369","funder_display_name":"National Nuclear Security Administration"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G70659677","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"89233218CNA000001","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7500863821","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"89233218CNA000001","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320338304","funder_display_name":"Los Alamos National Laboratory"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7630059610","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"D16AP00144","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332180","funder_display_name":"Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8055256997","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"0946825","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8659807574","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"89233218CNA000001","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","funder_display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306084","display_name":"U.S. Department of Energy","ror":"https://ror.org/01bj3aw27"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332161","display_name":"National Institutes of Health","ror":"https://ror.org/01cwqze88"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332162","display_name":"Centers for Disease Control and Prevention","ror":"https://ror.org/042twtr12"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332180","display_name":"Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency","ror":"https://ror.org/02caytj08"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332186","display_name":"Defense Threat Reduction Agency","ror":"https://ror.org/04tz64554"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332369","display_name":"National Nuclear Security Administration","ror":"https://ror.org/03sk1we31"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320332815","display_name":"Advanced Research Projects Agency","ror":"https://ror.org/02caytj08"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337354","display_name":"National Institute of General Medical Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/04q48ey07"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320338304","display_name":"Los Alamos National Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/01e41cf67"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":41,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W28412257","https://openalex.org/W1480376833","https://openalex.org/W1490743737","https://openalex.org/W1970729574","https://openalex.org/W1986528915","https://openalex.org/W1988289682","https://openalex.org/W2021510303","https://openalex.org/W2025720061","https://openalex.org/W2079884780","https://openalex.org/W2100253428","https://openalex.org/W2130094219","https://openalex.org/W2138937646","https://openalex.org/W2158840489","https://openalex.org/W2165410407","https://openalex.org/W2167917621","https://openalex.org/W2509512661","https://openalex.org/W2530063888","https://openalex.org/W2531458834","https://openalex.org/W2584549161","https://openalex.org/W2592009533","https://openalex.org/W2593085308","https://openalex.org/W2593710968","https://openalex.org/W2604976044","https://openalex.org/W2747968860","https://openalex.org/W2751559265","https://openalex.org/W2767498642","https://openalex.org/W2767745493","https://openalex.org/W2787894218","https://openalex.org/W2791420655","https://openalex.org/W2807817751","https://openalex.org/W2909758842","https://openalex.org/W2912023657","https://openalex.org/W2913728931","https://openalex.org/W2918770662","https://openalex.org/W2964396548","https://openalex.org/W2975053335","https://openalex.org/W2976061511","https://openalex.org/W3124216392","https://openalex.org/W3206850486","https://openalex.org/W4300998919","https://openalex.org/W6759528078"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2794896638","https://openalex.org/W2891633941","https://openalex.org/W3202800081","https://openalex.org/W3101614107","https://openalex.org/W1909207154","https://openalex.org/W4390971112","https://openalex.org/W3036530763","https://openalex.org/W3124390867","https://openalex.org/W1514365828","https://openalex.org/W3204228978"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Seasonal":[0],"influenza":[1,21,73,161],"results":[2],"in":[3,9,33,100,169,190,236,242],"substantial":[4],"annual":[5],"morbidity":[6],"and":[7,13,27,52,67,186,239,259,264,273,295],"mortality":[8],"the":[10,25,30,60,77,81,97,104,143,159,165,170,191,197,203,215,243,266],"United":[11,61],"States":[12,62],"worldwide.":[14],"Accurate":[15],"forecasts":[16,287],"of":[17,20,29,46,89,139,164,210,245,261,282],"key":[18],"features":[19],"epidemics,":[22],"such":[23,252],"as":[24,253],"timing":[26],"severity":[28],"peak":[31],"incidence":[32],"a":[34,93,112,123,127,136,207],"given":[35],"season,":[36,83,162],"can":[37,232],"inform":[38],"public":[39,57,270,290],"health":[40,58,271,291],"response":[41,292],"to":[42,49,110,214,227,249,278,285,288,293],"outbreaks.":[43],"As":[44],"part":[45],"ongoing":[47],"efforts":[48,223],"incorporate":[50],"data":[51],"advanced":[53],"analytical":[54],"methods":[55],"into":[56,122],"decision-making,":[59],"Centers":[63],"for":[64,145],"Disease":[65],"Control":[66],"Prevention":[68],"(CDC)":[69],"has":[70],"organized":[71],"seasonal":[72,167,294],"forecasting":[74,216,230,262],"challenges":[75],"since":[76],"2013/2014":[78],"season.":[79],"In":[80,158],"2017/2018":[82,105,160],"22":[84],"teams":[85,91,226],"participated.":[86],"A":[87],"subset":[88],"four":[90],"created":[92,201],"research":[94,225],"consortium":[95],"called":[96,131],"FluSight":[98],"Network":[99],"early":[101],"2017.":[102],"During":[103],"season":[106],"they":[107],"worked":[108],"together":[109],"produce":[111],"collaborative":[113,222],"multi-model":[114,175,199],"ensemble":[115,153,176,200,229],"that":[116,205,221,255],"combined":[117],"21":[118],"separate":[119],"component":[120,147,184],"models":[121,185,212,263],"single":[124],"model":[125],"using":[126],"machine":[128],"learning":[129],"technique":[130],"stacking.":[132],"This":[133,218],"approach":[134],"creates":[135],"weighted":[137],"average":[138,180,209],"predictive":[140],"densities":[141],"where":[142],"weight":[144],"each":[146],"is":[148],"determined":[149],"by":[150,202],"maximizing":[151],"overall":[152,189],"accuracy":[154,238],"over":[155],"past":[156],"seasons.":[157],"one":[163],"largest":[166],"outbreaks":[168],"last":[171],"15":[172],"years,":[173],"this":[174],"performed":[177],"better":[178],"on":[179],"than":[181],"all":[182,211],"individual":[183],"placed":[187],"second":[188],"CDC":[192,204],"challenge.":[193,217],"It":[194],"also":[195],"outperformed":[196],"baseline":[198],"took":[206],"simple":[208],"submitted":[213],"project":[219],"shows":[220],"between":[224,269],"develop":[228],"approaches":[231],"bring":[233],"measurable":[234],"improvements":[235],"forecast":[237],"important":[240],"reductions":[241],"variability":[244],"performance":[246],"from":[247],"year":[248],"year.":[250],"Efforts":[251],"this,":[254],"emphasize":[256],"real-time":[257],"testing":[258],"evaluation":[260],"facilitate":[265],"close":[267],"collaboration":[268],"officials":[272],"modeling":[274],"researchers,":[275],"are":[276],"essential":[277],"improving":[279],"our":[280],"understanding":[281],"how":[283],"best":[284],"use":[286],"improve":[289],"emerging":[296],"epidemic":[297],"threats.":[298]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":14},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":24},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":27},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":41},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":32},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":37},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-04-24T08:23:43.765630","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}