{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2523139794","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","title":"Forecasting Human African Trypanosomiasis Prevalences from Population Screening Data Using Continuous Time Models","display_name":"Forecasting Human African Trypanosomiasis Prevalences from Population Screening Data Using Continuous Time Models","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-09-22","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2523139794","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","mag":"2523139794","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27657937"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103&type=printable","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5011505899","display_name":"Harwin de Vries","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4012-2913"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I913958620","display_name":"Erasmus University Rotterdam","ror":"https://ror.org/057w15z03","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I913958620"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Harwin de Vries","raw_affiliation_strings":["Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4012-2913","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I913958620"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5029859706","display_name":"Albert Wagelmans","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4803-8262"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I913958620","display_name":"Erasmus University Rotterdam","ror":"https://ror.org/057w15z03","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I913958620"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Albert P. M. Wagelmans","raw_affiliation_strings":["Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4803-8262","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I913958620"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075383511","display_name":"Epco Hasker","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3154-0419"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78281549","display_name":"Instituut voor Tropische Geneeskunde","ror":"https://ror.org/03xq4x896","country_code":"BE","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78281549"]}],"countries":["BE"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Epco Hasker","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Public Health, Institute Of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Public Health, Institute Of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78281549"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023745735","display_name":"Crispin Lumbala","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8892-1610"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210143526","display_name":"Programme National Multisectoriel de Lutte contre le sida","ror":"https://ror.org/043dpbz34","country_code":"CD","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210143526"]}],"countries":["CD"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Crispin Lumbala","raw_affiliation_strings":["Programme National de Lutte contre la Trypanosomiase Humaine Africain (PNLTHA), Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Programme National de Lutte contre la Trypanosomiase Humaine Africain (PNLTHA), Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210143526"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5107466335","display_name":"Pascal Lutumba","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I34942010","display_name":"University of Kinshasa","ror":"https://ror.org/05rrz2q74","country_code":"CD","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I34942010"]}],"countries":["CD"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Pascal Lutumba","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Kinshasa, Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I34942010"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058545014","display_name":"Sake J. de Vlas","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1830-5668"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2801952686","display_name":"Erasmus MC","ror":"https://ror.org/018906e22","country_code":"NL","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2801952686"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Sake J. de Vlas","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2801952686"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086072148","display_name":"Joris van de Klundert","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4151-5089"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I913958620","display_name":"Erasmus University Rotterdam","ror":"https://ror.org/057w15z03","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I913958620"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Joris van de Klundert","raw_affiliation_strings":["Institute of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Institute of Health Policy and Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I913958620"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":7,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5011505899","https://openalex.org/A5023745735","https://openalex.org/A5029859706","https://openalex.org/A5058545014","https://openalex.org/A5075383511","https://openalex.org/A5086072148","https://openalex.org/A5107466335"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2801952686","https://openalex.org/I34942010","https://openalex.org/I4210143526","https://openalex.org/I78281549","https://openalex.org/I913958620"],"apc_list":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"apc_paid":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"fwci":1.4311,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":17,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.82779965,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"12","issue":"9","first_page":"e1005103","last_page":"e1005103"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10890","display_name":"Trypanosoma species research and implications","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10890","display_name":"Trypanosoma species research and implications","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2713","display_name":"Epidemiology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10695","display_name":"Parasites and Host Interactions","score":0.9602000117301941,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2405","display_name":"Parasitology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/24","display_name":"Immunology and Microbiology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12134","display_name":"Insect symbiosis and bacterial influences","score":0.9521999955177307,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1109","display_name":"Insect Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/11","display_name":"Agricultural and Biological Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/african-trypanosomiasis","display_name":"African trypanosomiasis","score":0.7396029829978943},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/neglected-tropical-diseases","display_name":"Neglected tropical diseases","score":0.551449179649353},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population","display_name":"Population","score":0.4837667942047119},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/trypanosomiasis","display_name":"Trypanosomiasis","score":0.44489988684654236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.4125634431838989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.37205392122268677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.3620480000972748},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.3498248755931854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.32438233494758606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-health","display_name":"Environmental health","score":0.2947644293308258},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/virology","display_name":"Virology","score":0.183026522397995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease","display_name":"Disease","score":0.16266000270843506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.15945333242416382},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/pathology","display_name":"Pathology","score":0.08519789576530457}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778792689","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q203133","display_name":"African trypanosomiasis","level":3,"score":0.7396029829978943},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776246342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q929451","display_name":"Neglected tropical diseases","level":3,"score":0.551449179649353},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4837667942047119},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778143080","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2443552","display_name":"Trypanosomiasis","level":2,"score":0.44489988684654236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4125634431838989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.37205392122268677},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3620480000972748},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3498248755931854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.32438233494758606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99454951","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q932068","display_name":"Environmental health","level":1,"score":0.2947644293308258},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.183026522397995},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.16266000270843506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.15945333242416382},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.08519789576530457}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":10,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:27657937","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27657937","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS computational biology","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:eur:oai:pure.eur.nl:publications/0ad7c3a9-ec76-49f3-8237-ff9f3dd8cd49","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pure.eur.nl/en/publications/0ad7c3a9-ec76-49f3-8237-ff9f3dd8cd49","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401843","display_name":"Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1322597698","host_organization_name":"Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1322597698"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology (online), 12(9):e1005103. Public Library of Science","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:eur:oai:repub.eur.nl:93574","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/1765/93574","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401843","display_name":"Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1322597698","host_organization_name":"Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1322597698"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology, 12(9)","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:plo:pcbi00:1005103","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:ea57ee259a844f24b03038afca4c1ec2","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/ea57ee259a844f24b03038afca4c1ec2","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 12, Iss 9, p e1005103 (2016)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:figshare.com:article/3855186","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/Forecasting_Human_African_Trypanosomiasis_Prevalences_from_Population_Screening_Data_Using_Continuous_Time_Models/3855186","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196282","display_name":"Figshare","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210132348","host_organization_name":"Figshare (United Kingdom)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210132348"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Dataset"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:5033383","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/5033383","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Comput Biol","raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.eur.nl:publications/0ad7c3a9-ec76-49f3-8237-ff9f3dd8cd49","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":null,"pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401266","display_name":"EUR Research Repository (Erasmus University Rotterdam)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I913958620","host_organization_name":"Erasmus University Rotterdam","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I913958620"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":""},{"id":"pmh:oai:repub.eur.nl:93574","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://repub.eur.nl/pub/93574","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400997","display_name":"RePub (Erasmus University, Rotterdam)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I913958620","host_organization_name":"Erasmus University Rotterdam","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I913958620"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology vol. 12 no. 9","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005103&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","score":0.8600000143051147,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2988156085","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"OPP1084252","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306137","funder_display_name":"Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306137","display_name":"Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/0456r8d26"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2523139794.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2523139794.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":39,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W201748526","https://openalex.org/W1484689379","https://openalex.org/W1523273578","https://openalex.org/W1547951121","https://openalex.org/W1572755861","https://openalex.org/W1583213794","https://openalex.org/W1596700768","https://openalex.org/W1835810119","https://openalex.org/W1981629041","https://openalex.org/W1990751847","https://openalex.org/W1997985246","https://openalex.org/W2010931722","https://openalex.org/W2027894375","https://openalex.org/W2041572706","https://openalex.org/W2065548118","https://openalex.org/W2070266940","https://openalex.org/W2078762627","https://openalex.org/W2085343037","https://openalex.org/W2108901534","https://openalex.org/W2116099427","https://openalex.org/W2126295663","https://openalex.org/W2127063113","https://openalex.org/W2133970549","https://openalex.org/W2140660394","https://openalex.org/W2141247767","https://openalex.org/W2142335204","https://openalex.org/W2151877638","https://openalex.org/W2152924435","https://openalex.org/W2156160213","https://openalex.org/W2164589566","https://openalex.org/W2167573438","https://openalex.org/W2169580347","https://openalex.org/W2218422944","https://openalex.org/W2283401987","https://openalex.org/W2412210440","https://openalex.org/W3121496089","https://openalex.org/W3145814904","https://openalex.org/W4299635948","https://openalex.org/W7075696428"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4383562910","https://openalex.org/W2145476839","https://openalex.org/W4246762309","https://openalex.org/W2408861667","https://openalex.org/W4387464331","https://openalex.org/W2004696862","https://openalex.org/W2343575195","https://openalex.org/W2119204264","https://openalex.org/W2162509748","https://openalex.org/W3036407655"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"To":[0],"eliminate":[1],"and":[2,37,55,76,141,199,207],"eradicate":[3],"gambiense":[4],"human":[5],"African":[6],"trypanosomiasis":[7],"(HAT),":[8],"maximizing":[9],"the":[10,23,29,64,79,83,89,95,110,117,132,147,163,182,187],"effectiveness":[11],"of":[12,17,22,31,66,88,112,119,181],"active":[13],"case":[14,159],"finding":[15],"is":[16,25,170],"key":[18],"importance.":[19],"The":[20],"progression":[21],"epidemic":[24,97],"largely":[26],"influenced":[27],"by":[28,94],"planning":[30,120],"these":[32],"operations.":[33,124],"This":[34,190],"paper":[35,191],"introduces":[36],"analyzes":[38],"five":[39],"models":[40],"for":[41,102,122,131,145,197,204],"predicting":[42,103],"HAT":[43,104,198],"prevalence":[44,53,67,105],"in":[45,59,70,73],"a":[46,142,154,202],"given":[47,155],"village":[48],"based":[49,77],"on":[50,63,78,194],"past":[51,56],"observed":[52],"levels":[54],"screening":[57,123,133,169,188],"activities":[58],"that":[60,167],"village.":[61],"Based":[62],"quality":[65],"level":[68],"predictions":[69,165],"143":[71],"villages":[72],"Kwamouth":[74],"(DRC),":[75],"theoretical":[80],"foundation":[81],"underlying":[82],"models,":[84],"we":[85,108],"consider":[86],"variants":[87],"Logistic":[90],"Model-a":[91],"model":[92,114,164],"inspired":[93],"SIS":[96],"model-to":[98],"be":[99],"most":[100],"suitable":[101],"levels.":[106],"Furthermore,":[107,162],"demonstrate":[109],"applicability":[111],"this":[113],"to":[115,136,150,173,175],"predict":[116],"effects":[118],"policies":[121],"Our":[125],"analysis":[126],"yields":[127],"an":[128],"analytical":[129],"expression":[130],"frequency":[134,148],"required":[135,149],"reach":[137,151],"eradication":[138,176],"(zero":[139],"prevalence)":[140],"simple":[143],"approach":[144],"determining":[146],"elimination":[152],"within":[153],"time":[156],"frame":[157],"(one":[158],"per":[160],"10000).":[161],"suggest":[166],"annual":[168],"only":[171],"expected":[172],"lead":[174],"if":[177],"at":[178],"least":[179],"half":[180],"cases":[183],"are":[184],"detected":[185],"during":[186],"rounds.":[189],"extends":[192],"knowledge":[193],"control":[195],"strategies":[196],"serves":[200],"as":[201],"basis":[203],"further":[205],"modeling":[206],"optimization":[208],"studies.":[209]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-05-06T08:25:59.206177","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}