{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2159891898","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","title":"Predicting Epidemic Risk from Past Temporal Contact Data","display_name":"Predicting Epidemic Risk from Past Temporal Contact Data","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-03-12","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2159891898","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","mag":"2159891898","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25763816"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["arxiv","crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152&type=printable","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015478086","display_name":"Eugenio Valdano","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9246-6195"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154526488","display_name":"Inserm","ror":"https://ror.org/02vjkv261","country_code":"FR","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210133907","display_name":"Institut Pierre Louis d\u2018\u00c9pid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique","ror":"https://ror.org/02qqh1125","country_code":"FR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488","https://openalex.org/I39804081","https://openalex.org/I4210133907"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39804081","display_name":"Sorbonne Universit\u00e9","ror":"https://ror.org/02en5vm52","country_code":"FR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39804081"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Eugenio Valdano","raw_affiliation_strings":["INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France; Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France; Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210133907","https://openalex.org/I154526488"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210133907","https://openalex.org/I39804081"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5014048759","display_name":"Chiara Poletto","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4051-1716"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154526488","display_name":"Inserm","ror":"https://ror.org/02vjkv261","country_code":"FR","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210133907","display_name":"Institut Pierre Louis d\u2018\u00c9pid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique","ror":"https://ror.org/02qqh1125","country_code":"FR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488","https://openalex.org/I39804081","https://openalex.org/I4210133907"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39804081","display_name":"Sorbonne Universit\u00e9","ror":"https://ror.org/02en5vm52","country_code":"FR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39804081"]}],"countries":["FR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chiara Poletto","raw_affiliation_strings":["INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France; Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France; Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210133907","https://openalex.org/I154526488"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210133907","https://openalex.org/I39804081"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5079235287","display_name":"Armando Giovannini","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5006-5564"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210144814","display_name":"Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell'Abruzzo e del Molise G. Caporale","ror":"https://ror.org/04es49j42","country_code":"IT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210144814"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Armando Giovannini","raw_affiliation_strings":["Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale Abruzzo-Molise G. Caporale Campo Boario, 64100 Teramo, Italy"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale Abruzzo-Molise G. Caporale Campo Boario, 64100 Teramo, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210144814"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5022358271","display_name":"Diana Palma","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1414-5027"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210144814","display_name":"Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell'Abruzzo e del Molise G. Caporale","ror":"https://ror.org/04es49j42","country_code":"IT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210144814"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Diana Palma","raw_affiliation_strings":["Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale Abruzzo-Molise G. Caporale Campo Boario, 64100 Teramo, Italy"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale Abruzzo-Molise G. Caporale Campo Boario, 64100 Teramo, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210144814"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5036281933","display_name":"Lara Savini","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6175-7793"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210144814","display_name":"Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale dell'Abruzzo e del Molise G. Caporale","ror":"https://ror.org/04es49j42","country_code":"IT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210144814"]}],"countries":["IT"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lara Savini","raw_affiliation_strings":["Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale Abruzzo-Molise G. Caporale Campo Boario, 64100 Teramo, Italy"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Istituto Zooprofilattico Sperimentale Abruzzo-Molise G. Caporale Campo Boario, 64100 Teramo, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210144814"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025218537","display_name":"Vittoria Colizza","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2113-2374"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154526488","display_name":"Inserm","ror":"https://ror.org/02vjkv261","country_code":"FR","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I134940468","display_name":"Institute for Scientific Interchange","ror":"https://ror.org/00te2x188","country_code":"IT","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I134940468"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210133907","display_name":"Institut Pierre Louis d\u2018\u00c9pid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique","ror":"https://ror.org/02qqh1125","country_code":"FR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154526488","https://openalex.org/I39804081","https://openalex.org/I4210133907"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I39804081","display_name":"Sorbonne Universit\u00e9","ror":"https://ror.org/02en5vm52","country_code":"FR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I39804081"]}],"countries":["FR","IT"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Vittoria Colizza","raw_affiliation_strings":["INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France; Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France; ISI Foundation Via Alassio 11/c, 10126 Torino, Italy","INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","ISI Foundation Via Alassio 11/c, 10126 Torino, Italy","Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France; Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol-CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France; ISI Foundation Via Alassio 11/c, 10126 Torino, Italy","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"INSERM, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393-75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210133907","https://openalex.org/I154526488"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"ISI Foundation Via Alassio 11/c, 10126 Torino, Italy","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I134940468"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Sorbonne Universit\u00e9s, UPMC Univ Paris 06, UMR-S 1136, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epid\u00e9miologie et de Sant\u00e9 Publique, F-75013 56 bd Vincent Auriol\u2014CS 81393 - 75646 Paris Cedex 13, France","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210133907","https://openalex.org/I39804081"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5025218537"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I134940468","https://openalex.org/I154526488","https://openalex.org/I39804081","https://openalex.org/I4210133907"],"apc_list":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"apc_paid":{"value":2655,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2655},"fwci":5.9624,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":83,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.96617404,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"11","issue":"3","first_page":"e1004152","last_page":"e1004152"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9961000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9961000084877014,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9950000047683716,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11252","display_name":"Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation","score":0.983299970626831,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/generalizability-theory","display_name":"Generalizability theory","score":0.7736413478851318},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.66401606798172},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/node","display_name":"Node (physics)","score":0.5312027335166931},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-analysis","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","score":0.5188847184181213},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.5092190504074097},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.4765373170375824},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/focus","display_name":"Focus (optics)","score":0.44702696800231934},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transmission","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","score":0.4164992570877075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/intervention","display_name":"Intervention (counseling)","score":0.41158080101013184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.20612847805023193},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.1562325656414032},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.12496992945671082}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C27158222","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5532422","display_name":"Generalizability theory","level":2,"score":0.7736413478851318},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.66401606798172},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62611344","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1062658","display_name":"Node (physics)","level":2,"score":0.5312027335166931},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112930515","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4389547","display_name":"Risk analysis (engineering)","level":1,"score":0.5188847184181213},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.5092190504074097},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.4765373170375824},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C192209626","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q190909","display_name":"Focus (optics)","level":2,"score":0.44702696800231934},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C761482","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q118093","display_name":"Transmission (telecommunications)","level":2,"score":0.4164992570877075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780665704","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q959298","display_name":"Intervention (counseling)","level":2,"score":0.41158080101013184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.20612847805023193},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.1562325656414032},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.12496992945671082},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C66938386","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q633538","display_name":"Structural engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118552586","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7867","display_name":"Psychiatry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120665830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14620","display_name":"Optics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000818","descriptor_name":"Animals","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002417","descriptor_name":"Cattle","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002417","descriptor_name":"Cattle","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002417","descriptor_name":"Cattle","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002418","descriptor_name":"Cattle Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002418","descriptor_name":"Cattle Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002418","descriptor_name":"Cattle Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003141","descriptor_name":"Communicable Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003141","descriptor_name":"Communicable Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003141","descriptor_name":"Communicable Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D008954","descriptor_name":"Models, Biological","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":true},{"descriptor_ui":"D011477","descriptor_name":"Sex Work","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011477","descriptor_name":"Sex Work","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011477","descriptor_name":"Sex Work","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013997","descriptor_name":"Time Factors","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D016208","descriptor_name":"Databases, Factual","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D016208","descriptor_name":"Databases, Factual","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D016208","descriptor_name":"Databases, Factual","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D016358","descriptor_name":"Contact Tracing","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D016358","descriptor_name":"Contact Tracing","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D016358","descriptor_name":"Contact Tracing","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D018570","descriptor_name":"Risk Assessment","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D018570","descriptor_name":"Risk Assessment","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D018570","descriptor_name":"Risk Assessment","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D019295","descriptor_name":"Computational Biology","qualifier_ui":"Q000379","qualifier_name":"methods","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D058872","descriptor_name":"Epidemics","qualifier_ui":"Q000706","qualifier_name":"statistics & numerical data","is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":10,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:25763816","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/25763816","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLoS computational biology","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:arXiv.org:1406.1449","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://arxiv.org/abs/1406.1449","pdf_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/1406.1449","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.749.87","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.749.87","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"http://arxiv.org/pdf/1406.1449.pdf","raw_type":"text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:HAL:hal-01224104v1","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hal.sorbonne-universite.fr/hal-01224104","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402512","display_name":"HAL (Le Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1294671590","host_organization_name":"Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1294671590"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology, 2015, 11 (3), pp.e1004152. ⟨10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152⟩","raw_type":"Journal articles"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:plo:pcbi00:1004152","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:b5215cb5e0fe45d99cfebc7de0cb12be","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/b5215cb5e0fe45d99cfebc7de0cb12be","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 11, Iss 3, p e1004152 (2015)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:europepmc.org:3332608","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/4357450","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400806","display_name":"Europe PMC (PubMed Central)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1303153112","host_organization_name":"European Bioinformatics Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1303153112"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:figshare.com:article/1333768","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://figshare.com/articles/dataset/_Predicting_Epidemic_Risk_from_Past_Temporal_Contact_Data_/1333768","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196282","display_name":"Figshare","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210132348","host_organization_name":"Figshare (United Kingdom)","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210132348"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"Dataset"},{"id":"pmh:oai:www.research.unipd.it:11577/3480908","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://hdl.handle.net/11577/3480908","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4377196283","display_name":"Research Padua  Archive (University of Padua)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I138689650","host_organization_name":"University of Padua","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I138689650"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152","pdf_url":"https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1004152&type=printable","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S86033158","display_name":"PLoS Computational Biology","issn_l":"1553-734X","issn":["1553-734X","1553-7358"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315706","host_organization_name":"Public Library of Science","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315706"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Public Library of Science"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"PLOS Computational Biology","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3","score":0.7099999785423279}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6702880738","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"ANR-12","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320883","funder_display_name":"Agence Nationale de la Recherche"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6793151536","display_name":"Harmonising multiple scales for data-driven computational approaches to the modeling of influenza spread.","funder_award_id":"ANR-12-MONU-0018","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320883","funder_display_name":"Agence Nationale de la Recherche"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6917351465","display_name":"Prediction and Control of Vector- and Movement-Borne Livestock Epidemics","funder_award_id":"ANR-13-ANWA-0007","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320883","funder_display_name":"Agence Nationale de la Recherche"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320316509","display_name":"Animal Health and Welfare ERA-Net","ror":null},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320883","display_name":"Agence Nationale de la Recherche","ror":"https://ror.org/00rbzpz17"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321781","display_name":"Ministero della Salute","ror":"https://ror.org/00789fa95"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2159891898.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2159891898.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":70,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1606697907","https://openalex.org/W1782565250","https://openalex.org/W1848478910","https://openalex.org/W1911061567","https://openalex.org/W1964778716","https://openalex.org/W1965297469","https://openalex.org/W1975443659","https://openalex.org/W1977470776","https://openalex.org/W1981136949","https://openalex.org/W1983280144","https://openalex.org/W1984841045","https://openalex.org/W1988115140","https://openalex.org/W1991288592","https://openalex.org/W1993099985","https://openalex.org/W1995364830","https://openalex.org/W2007145989","https://openalex.org/W2007687973","https://openalex.org/W2010965902","https://openalex.org/W2017549600","https://openalex.org/W2021524494","https://openalex.org/W2022101730","https://openalex.org/W2025550035","https://openalex.org/W2029598733","https://openalex.org/W2030539428","https://openalex.org/W2034413844","https://openalex.org/W2038195874","https://openalex.org/W2040594970","https://openalex.org/W2043890595","https://openalex.org/W2053507997","https://openalex.org/W2056909789","https://openalex.org/W2056944867","https://openalex.org/W2059763605","https://openalex.org/W2065769502","https://openalex.org/W2067755834","https://openalex.org/W2071802245","https://openalex.org/W2072129360","https://openalex.org/W2072678733","https://openalex.org/W2073627497","https://openalex.org/W2074329989","https://openalex.org/W2075892055","https://openalex.org/W2087346837","https://openalex.org/W2088340842","https://openalex.org/W2089803230","https://openalex.org/W2090687169","https://openalex.org/W2095179547","https://openalex.org/W2096145431","https://openalex.org/W2100346081","https://openalex.org/W2104972875","https://openalex.org/W2105585871","https://openalex.org/W2110919848","https://openalex.org/W2114082014","https://openalex.org/W2116670929","https://openalex.org/W2116870694","https://openalex.org/W2123098252","https://openalex.org/W2131499531","https://openalex.org/W2133131640","https://openalex.org/W2133690989","https://openalex.org/W2135313865","https://openalex.org/W2141113219","https://openalex.org/W2146096050","https://openalex.org/W2148154695","https://openalex.org/W2154656661","https://openalex.org/W2163753340","https://openalex.org/W2165579348","https://openalex.org/W2171193101","https://openalex.org/W2259935733","https://openalex.org/W3037819556","https://openalex.org/W3103071483","https://openalex.org/W3147310958","https://openalex.org/W4384817650"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2118717649","https://openalex.org/W2413243053","https://openalex.org/W410723623","https://openalex.org/W2015341305","https://openalex.org/W2035068594","https://openalex.org/W4225593417","https://openalex.org/W2573498121","https://openalex.org/W3022298670","https://openalex.org/W3160494304","https://openalex.org/W3006162251"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Understanding":[0],"how":[1],"epidemics":[2],"spread":[3],"in":[4,67,112,138],"a":[5,8,94,124,133,147,175,203],"system":[6],"is":[7,52,86,199,216,227],"crucial":[9,234],"step":[10],"to":[11,50,82,88,99,153],"prevent":[12],"and":[13,24,40,44,132,162,182,187],"control":[14,45],"outbreaks,":[15],"with":[16,156,167],"broad":[17],"implications":[18],"on":[19,119,184],"the":[20,33,53,59,101,143,157,168,222,237],"system's":[21,95],"functioning,":[22],"health,":[23],"associated":[25],"costs.":[26],"This":[27],"can":[28,232],"be":[29],"achieved":[30],"by":[31,201],"identifying":[32],"elements":[34,107,159],"at":[35],"higher":[36],"risk":[37,102,176],"of":[38,55,63,93,97,103,105,114,135,150,213,224,239],"infection":[39,104],"implementing":[41],"targeted":[42,240],"surveillance":[43],"measures.":[46],"One":[47],"important":[48,164],"ingredient":[49],"consider":[51],"pattern":[54,96,189],"disease-transmission":[56],"contacts":[57,98,155],"among":[58,129],"elements,":[60],"however":[61],"lack":[62],"data":[64,92],"or":[65],"delays":[66],"providing":[68],"updated":[69,115],"records":[70],"may":[71],"hinder":[72],"its":[73,106,151],"use,":[74],"especially":[75],"for":[76,194,206,236],"time-varying":[77],"patterns.":[78],"Here":[79],"we":[80],"explore":[81],"what":[83],"extent":[84],"it":[85],"possible":[87,225],"use":[89],"past":[90,185],"temporal":[91,122,188,209],"predict":[100],"during":[108],"an":[109],"emerging":[110],"outbreak,":[111],"absence":[113],"data.":[116],"We":[117,141,172],"focus":[118],"two":[120],"real-world":[121],"systems;":[123],"livestock":[125],"displacements":[126],"trade":[127],"network":[128,134],"animal":[130],"holdings,":[131],"sexual":[136],"encounters":[137],"high-end":[139],"prostitution.":[140],"define":[142],"node's":[144,169],"loyalty":[145],"as":[146],"local":[148],"measure":[149],"tendency":[152],"maintain":[154],"same":[158],"over":[160],"time,":[161],"uncover":[163],"non-trivial":[165],"correlations":[166],"epidemic":[170],"risk.":[171],"show":[173],"that":[174],"assessment":[177],"analysis":[178],"incorporating":[179],"this":[180],"knowledge":[181],"based":[183],"structural":[186],"properties":[190],"provides":[191],"accurate":[192],"predictions":[193,215,226],"both":[195],"systems.":[196],"Its":[197],"generalizability":[198],"tested":[200],"introducing":[202],"theoretical":[204],"model":[205],"generating":[207],"synthetic":[208],"networks.":[210],"High":[211],"accuracy":[212],"our":[214],"recovered":[217],"across":[218],"different":[219],"settings,":[220],"while":[221],"amount":[223],"system-specific.":[228],"The":[229],"proposed":[230],"method":[231],"provide":[233],"information":[235],"setup":[238],"intervention":[241],"strategies.":[242]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-06-22T08:00:12.763002","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}