{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2788203361","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1681","title":"Parametric Prediction from Parametric Agents","display_name":"Parametric Prediction from Parametric Agents","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-02-21","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2788203361","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1681","mag":"2788203361"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1287/opre.2017.1681","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1681","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S125775545","display_name":"Operations Research","issn_l":"0030-364X","issn":["0030-364X","1526-5463"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315699","host_organization_name":"Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315699"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Operations Research","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101495749","display_name":"Yuan Luo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5129-0130"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I177725633","display_name":"Chinese University of Hong Kong","ror":"https://ror.org/00t33hh48","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I177725633"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I47508984","display_name":"Imperial College London","ror":"https://ror.org/041kmwe10","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I47508984"]}],"countries":["GB","HK"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Yuan Luo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computing, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, United Kingdom; and Department of Information Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5129-0130","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computing, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, United Kingdom; and Department of Information Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177725633","https://openalex.org/I47508984"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034272491","display_name":"Nihar B. Shah","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5158-9677"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nihar B. Shah","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5158-9677","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5062346297","display_name":"Jianwei Huang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6631-1096"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I177725633","display_name":"Chinese University of Hong Kong","ror":"https://ror.org/00t33hh48","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I177725633"]}],"countries":["HK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jianwei Huang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Information Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6631-1096","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Information Engineering, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177725633"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5041937901","display_name":"Jean Walrand","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1460-6826"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I95457486","display_name":"University of California, Berkeley","ror":"https://ror.org/01an7q238","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jean Walrand","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California 94720","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I95457486"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5101495749"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177725633","https://openalex.org/I47508984"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.4413,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.67788695,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"66","issue":"2","first_page":"313","last_page":"326"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11182","display_name":"Auction Theory and Applications","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11182","display_name":"Auction Theory and Applications","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11704","display_name":"Mobile Crowdsensing and Crowdsourcing","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1706","display_name":"Computer Science Applications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10764","display_name":"Privacy-Preserving Technologies in Data","score":0.9886000156402588,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mechanism-design","display_name":"Mechanism design","score":0.7353765368461609},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7146239280700684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/incentive","display_name":"Incentive","score":0.6874539852142334},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/private-information-retrieval","display_name":"Private information retrieval","score":0.6292572617530823},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crowdsourcing","display_name":"Crowdsourcing","score":0.6160244345664978},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/principal","display_name":"Principal (computer security)","score":0.6063286662101746},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/incentive-compatibility","display_name":"Incentive compatibility","score":0.5830888152122498},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/profit","display_name":"Profit (economics)","score":0.5549604296684265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/parametric-statistics","display_name":"Parametric statistics","score":0.542119562625885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-optimization","display_name":"Mathematical optimization","score":0.5248658657073975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mechanism","display_name":"Mechanism (biology)","score":0.47249332070350647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quadratic-equation","display_name":"Quadratic equation","score":0.4521326422691345},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/prediction-market","display_name":"Prediction market","score":0.4262966513633728},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.4046599864959717},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3432050347328186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.2644459307193756},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/microeconomics","display_name":"Microeconomics","score":0.23235300183296204},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.18440648913383484},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.15903058648109436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-security","display_name":"Computer security","score":0.0955355167388916}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153517567","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q26090","display_name":"Mechanism design","level":2,"score":0.7353765368461609},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7146239280700684},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29122968","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1414816","display_name":"Incentive","level":2,"score":0.6874539852142334},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C99221444","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1532069","display_name":"Private information retrieval","level":2,"score":0.6292572617530823},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62230096","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q275969","display_name":"Crowdsourcing","level":2,"score":0.6160244345664978},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144559511","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2986279","display_name":"Principal (computer security)","level":2,"score":0.6063286662101746},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C91810955","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7731670","display_name":"Incentive compatibility","level":3,"score":0.5830888152122498},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C181622380","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q26911","display_name":"Profit (economics)","level":2,"score":0.5549604296684265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C117251300","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1849855","display_name":"Parametric statistics","level":2,"score":0.542119562625885},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126255220","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q141495","display_name":"Mathematical optimization","level":1,"score":0.5248658657073975},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89611455","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6804646","display_name":"Mechanism (biology)","level":2,"score":0.47249332070350647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C129844170","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q41299","display_name":"Quadratic equation","level":2,"score":0.4521326422691345},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780021719","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q282283","display_name":"Prediction market","level":2,"score":0.4262966513633728},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.4046599864959717},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3432050347328186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.2644459307193756},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.23235300183296204},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.18440648913383484},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.15903058648109436},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.0955355167388916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111472728","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9471","display_name":"Epistemology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1287/opre.2017.1681","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1681","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S125775545","display_name":"Operations Research","issn_l":"0030-364X","issn":["0030-364X","1526-5463"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315699","host_organization_name":"Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315699"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Operations Research","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":20,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W643132379","https://openalex.org/W1548462700","https://openalex.org/W1603577318","https://openalex.org/W1940286639","https://openalex.org/W1988520084","https://openalex.org/W1999617766","https://openalex.org/W2029050771","https://openalex.org/W2040034367","https://openalex.org/W2045955195","https://openalex.org/W2049868065","https://openalex.org/W2053910446","https://openalex.org/W2054844093","https://openalex.org/W2063782051","https://openalex.org/W2073241381","https://openalex.org/W2109304399","https://openalex.org/W2118913196","https://openalex.org/W2163522723","https://openalex.org/W2744670858","https://openalex.org/W3121701465","https://openalex.org/W3123857276"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2967583135","https://openalex.org/W3090704701","https://openalex.org/W3125698784","https://openalex.org/W3004278692","https://openalex.org/W2593952096","https://openalex.org/W2342298771","https://openalex.org/W2775564956","https://openalex.org/W2188090365","https://openalex.org/W3126058812","https://openalex.org/W3108689511","https://openalex.org/W2895049884","https://openalex.org/W2912131985","https://openalex.org/W2513121402","https://openalex.org/W3122507942","https://openalex.org/W2295319371","https://openalex.org/W334161119","https://openalex.org/W3212188679","https://openalex.org/W3147729530","https://openalex.org/W3010151722","https://openalex.org/W2978786594"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"We":[0],"consider":[1],"a":[2,22,26,98,121],"problem":[3],"of":[4,29,74],"prediction":[5,20,35,64],"based":[6],"on":[7],"opinions":[8],"elicited":[9],"from":[10],"heterogeneous":[11,39],"rational":[12],"agents":[13,45,88,127,158],"with":[14,21,46,108,128],"private":[15,41],"information.":[16],"Making":[17],"an":[18,58],"accurate":[19],"minimal":[23],"cost":[24],"requires":[25],"joint":[27,60],"design":[28,57],"the":[30,34,52,72,83,87,92,102,106,109,114,132,141],"incentive":[31,61],"mechanism":[32,62,123],"and":[33,43,63,69],"algorithm.":[36],"To":[37],"elicit":[38],"agents\u2019":[40],"information":[42],"incentivize":[44],"different":[47,129],"capabilities":[48,130],"to":[49,97,120,152],"act":[50],"in":[51,91,148],"principal\u2019s":[53,142],"best":[54],"interest,":[55],"we":[56],"optimal":[59],"algorithm":[65],"called":[66],"COPE":[67,95,118,139],"(COst":[68],"Prediction":[70],"Elicitation),":[71],"analysis":[73],"which":[75],"offers":[76],"several":[77],"valuable":[78],"engineering":[79],"insights.":[80],"First,":[81],"when":[82,113],"costs":[84,115],"incurred":[85],"by":[86],"are":[89,116],"linear":[90],"exerted":[93],"effort,":[94],"corresponds":[96,119],"\u201ccrowd-contending\u201d":[99],"mechanism,":[100],"where":[101],"principal":[103],"only":[104],"employs":[105,125],"agent":[107],"highest":[110],"capability.":[111],"Second,":[112],"quadratic,":[117],"\u201ccrowdsourcing\u201d":[122],"that":[124,138,155],"multiple":[126],"at":[131,167],"same":[133],"time.":[134],"Numerical":[135],"simulations":[136],"show":[137],"improves":[140],"profit":[143],"(The":[144],"improvement":[145],"is":[146,165],"5%\u201330%":[147],"our":[149],"simulations),":[150],"comparing":[151],"those":[153],"mechanisms":[154],"assume":[156],"all":[157],"have":[159],"equal":[160],"capabilities.":[161],"The":[162],"online":[163],"appendix":[164],"available":[166],"https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.2017.1681":[168],".":[169]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2012,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
