{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2004993751","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1207/s15327744joce1202_01","title":"Multiperiod Scenario Development Using Group Support Systems: An Application to the Future of Hong Kong","display_name":"Multiperiod Scenario Development Using Group Support Systems: An Application to the Future of Hong Kong","publication_year":2002,"publication_date":"2002-06-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2004993751","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1207/s15327744joce1202_01","mag":"2004993751"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1207/s15327744joce1202_01","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1207/s15327744joce1202_01","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S128779766","display_name":"Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce","issn_l":"1054-1721","issn":["1054-1721","1091-9392","1532-7744"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5074808860","display_name":"Robert W. Blanning","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Robert W. Blanning","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057727976","display_name":"Bruce A. Reinig","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0666-214X"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bruce A. Reinig","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.9181,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.7652274,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":"12","issue":"2","first_page":"105","last_page":"119"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11810","display_name":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","score":0.9805999994277954,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11810","display_name":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","score":0.9805999994277954,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11976","display_name":"Capital Investment and Risk Analysis","score":0.9696999788284302,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2003","display_name":"Finance"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/futures-contract","display_name":"Futures contract","score":0.9174472093582153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/construct","display_name":"Construct (python library)","score":0.8580716848373413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/markov-chain","display_name":"Markov chain","score":0.6790608167648315},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6007930040359497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/state","display_name":"State (computer science)","score":0.5535703301429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/period","display_name":"Period (music)","score":0.5206436514854431},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/work","display_name":"Work (physics)","score":0.44615864753723145},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.4278026223182678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/group","display_name":"Group (periodic table)","score":0.4179995656013489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.191206693649292},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.15904703736305237},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/financial-economics","display_name":"Financial economics","score":0.140701562166214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.12088015675544739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.10502234101295471},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.08581441640853882}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106306483","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q183984","display_name":"Futures contract","level":2,"score":0.9174472093582153},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780801425","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5164392","display_name":"Construct (python library)","level":2,"score":0.8580716848373413},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98763669","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176645","display_name":"Markov chain","level":2,"score":0.6790608167648315},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6007930040359497},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48103436","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q599031","display_name":"State (computer science)","level":2,"score":0.5535703301429749},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781291010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q178580","display_name":"Period (music)","level":2,"score":0.5206436514854431},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18762648","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42213","display_name":"Work (physics)","level":2,"score":0.44615864753723145},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.4278026223182678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781311116","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83306","display_name":"Group (periodic table)","level":2,"score":0.4179995656013489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.191206693649292},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.15904703736305237},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106159729","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2294553","display_name":"Financial economics","level":1,"score":0.140701562166214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.12088015675544739},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.10502234101295471},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.08581441640853882},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24890656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82811","display_name":"Acoustics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C178790620","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11351","display_name":"Organic chemistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78519656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101333","display_name":"Mechanical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1207/s15327744joce1202_01","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1207/s15327744joce1202_01","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S128779766","display_name":"Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce","issn_l":"1054-1721","issn":["1054-1721","1091-9392","1532-7744"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320547","host_organization_name":"Taylor & Francis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320547"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Taylor & Francis"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Organizational Computing and Electronic Commerce","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.5099999904632568,"display_name":"Partnerships for the goals","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/17"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":18,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W169030327","https://openalex.org/W197883199","https://openalex.org/W584069860","https://openalex.org/W588780936","https://openalex.org/W1532995108","https://openalex.org/W1954293576","https://openalex.org/W1964749554","https://openalex.org/W1966333491","https://openalex.org/W1989071085","https://openalex.org/W2040492739","https://openalex.org/W2066470190","https://openalex.org/W2067852440","https://openalex.org/W2068314534","https://openalex.org/W2159360545","https://openalex.org/W2567396024","https://openalex.org/W2607173700","https://openalex.org/W4242142111","https://openalex.org/W4301377693"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2366107444","https://openalex.org/W4388145910","https://openalex.org/W1482302761","https://openalex.org/W1976205134","https://openalex.org/W2381570729","https://openalex.org/W2494020708","https://openalex.org/W2080194917","https://openalex.org/W2230611034","https://openalex.org/W4248336175","https://openalex.org/W4387762087"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Managers":[0],"facing":[1],"substantial":[2],"uncertainties":[3],"often":[4],"find":[5],"it":[6],"helpful":[7],"to":[8,24,38,50,86,97,113,133],"construct":[9,98],"scenarios":[10,57,100,136],"describing":[11],"alternative":[12],"futures.":[13],"Knowledgeable":[14],"people":[15],"may":[16,34],"have":[17,47],"useful":[18,52],"information,":[19],"observations,":[20],"and":[21,31,55],"impressions":[22],"relevant":[23],"these":[25,59],"futures,":[26],"but":[27],"in":[28,53],"some":[29],"organizations":[30],"societies":[32],"they":[33],"also":[35],"be":[36,51,95],"reluctant":[37],"openly":[39],"discuss":[40],"their":[41],"ideas.":[42],"Group":[43],"support":[44],"systems":[45],"(GSS)":[46],"been":[48],"shown":[49],"constructing":[54],"analyzing":[56],"under":[58],"conditions.":[60],"However,":[61],"much":[62],"of":[63,76,81,123],"this":[64,111,131],"work":[65],"is":[66],"based":[67],"on":[68],"single-period":[69],"views":[70],"that":[71,101,137],"describe":[72,138],"the":[73,87,120],"end":[74,88],"state":[75],"a":[77,124],"system":[78],"without":[79],"examination":[80],"intermediate":[82,104],"states":[83],"leading":[84],"up":[85],"state.":[89,105],"We":[90,128],"show":[91],"how":[92],"GSS":[93],"can":[94,109],"used":[96],"2-period":[99,135],"include":[102],"1":[103],"In":[106],"addition,":[107],"one":[108],"use":[110],"information":[112],"estimate":[114],"long":[115],"run":[116],"effects":[117],"by":[118],"calculating":[119],"equilibrium":[121],"probabilities":[122],"stationary":[125],"Markov":[126],"chain.":[127],"then":[129],"apply":[130],"approach":[132],"develop":[134],"possible":[139],"futures":[140],"for":[141],"Hong":[142],"Kong.":[143]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}