{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4408234020","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","title":"Sub-spatial prediction of votes integrating socioeconomic, educational, and age strata with machine learning and topological data analysis","display_name":"Sub-spatial prediction of votes integrating socioeconomic, educational, and age strata with machine learning and topological data analysis","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-03-07","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4408234020","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","pdf_url":"https://journalofbigdata.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737955091","display_name":"Journal Of Big Data","issn_l":"2196-1115","issn":["2196-1115"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Big Data","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://journalofbigdata.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5116552746","display_name":"Salvador Mancilla","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I98461037","display_name":"Tecnol\u00f3gico de Monterrey","ror":"https://ror.org/03ayjn504","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I98461037"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Salvador Mancilla","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departamento de Matem\u00e1ticas, Instituto Tecnol\u00f3gico de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey, Eugenio Garza Sada 2501 Sur, Monterrey, 56400, Nuevo Le\u00f3n, M\u00e9xico"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departamento de Matem\u00e1ticas, Instituto Tecnol\u00f3gico de Estudios Superiores de Monterrey, Eugenio Garza Sada 2501 Sur, Monterrey, 56400, Nuevo Le\u00f3n, M\u00e9xico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98461037"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5015149972","display_name":"Giovanni Wences","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3745-2118"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200362191","display_name":"Universidad Aut\u00f3noma Metropolitana","ror":"https://ror.org/02kta5139","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200362191"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I3130105584","display_name":"Universidad Aut\u00f3noma de Guerrero","ror":"https://ror.org/054tbkd46","country_code":"MX","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I3130105584"]}],"countries":["MX"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Giovanni Wences","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departamento de Qu\u00edmica, UAM-Iztapalapa, Av. San Rafael Atlixco 186, Leyes de Reforma 1ra Secc, Iztapalapa, 09340, CDMX, M\u00e9xico","Universidad Aut\u00f3noma de Guerrero, Escuela Superior de Matem\u00e1ticas No. 2, Av. Las delicias s/n, Nuevo Horizonte, Ciudad Altamirano, 40664, Guerrero, M\u00e9xico"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departamento de Qu\u00edmica, UAM-Iztapalapa, Av. San Rafael Atlixco 186, Leyes de Reforma 1ra Secc, Iztapalapa, 09340, CDMX, M\u00e9xico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200362191"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad Aut\u00f3noma de Guerrero, Escuela Superior de Matem\u00e1ticas No. 2, Av. Las delicias s/n, Nuevo Horizonte, Ciudad Altamirano, 40664, Guerrero, M\u00e9xico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I3130105584"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5032174296","display_name":"Eymard Hern\u00e1ndez\u2013L\u00f3pez","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9285-4219"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I177097968","display_name":"University of Tennessee at Chattanooga","ror":"https://ror.org/00nqb1v70","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I177097968"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210147945","display_name":"Instituto de Salud del Estado de M\u00e9xico","ror":"https://ror.org/03z7zv664","country_code":"MX","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210095685","https://openalex.org/I4210147945"]}],"countries":["MX","US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Eymard Hern\u00e1ndez-L\u00f3pez","raw_affiliation_strings":["Posgrado e Investigaci\u00f3n, TecNM-Tecnol\u00f3gico de Estudios Superiores Oriente del Estado de M\u00e9xico, Paraje de San Isidro s/n, M\u00e9xico, 56400, Estado de M\u00e9xico, M\u00e9xico","University of Tennessee, Department of Mathematics, 615 McCallie Ave, Chattanooga, 37403, TN, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Posgrado e Investigaci\u00f3n, TecNM-Tecnol\u00f3gico de Estudios Superiores Oriente del Estado de M\u00e9xico, Paraje de San Isidro s/n, M\u00e9xico, 56400, Estado de M\u00e9xico, M\u00e9xico","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210147945"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Tennessee, Department of Mathematics, 615 McCallie Ave, Chattanooga, 37403, TN, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I177097968"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5052748677","display_name":"Ismael Cohen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2305-6974"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I142879360","display_name":"Universidad del Norte","ror":"https://ror.org/031e6xm45","country_code":"CO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I142879360"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I274899335","display_name":"University of Atl\u00e1ntico","ror":"https://ror.org/05mm1w714","country_code":"CO","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I274899335"]}],"countries":["CO"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ismael Cohen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Departmento de Matem\u00e1ticas, Universidad del Norte, V\u00eda Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, Atl\u00e1ntico, Colombia","Universidad del Norte, Departamento de Matem\u00e1ticas y Estad\u00edstica, Km. 5 V\u00eda Antigua Puerto, Barranquilla, 081007, Colombia"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Departmento de Matem\u00e1ticas, Universidad del Norte, V\u00eda Puerto Colombia, Barranquilla, Atl\u00e1ntico, Colombia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142879360","https://openalex.org/I274899335"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidad del Norte, Departamento de Matem\u00e1ticas y Estad\u00edstica, Km. 5 V\u00eda Antigua Puerto, Barranquilla, 081007, Colombia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I142879360"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5116552746"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I98461037"],"apc_list":{"value":1060,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1300},"apc_paid":{"value":1060,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1300},"fwci":1.5925,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.81830331,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"12","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12536","display_name":"Topological and Geometric Data Analysis","score":0.9753999710083008,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1703","display_name":"Computational Theory and Mathematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12536","display_name":"Topological and Geometric Data Analysis","score":0.9753999710083008,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1703","display_name":"Computational Theory and Mathematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/topological-data-analysis","display_name":"Topological data analysis","score":0.7350270748138428},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6839759349822998},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/socioeconomic-status","display_name":"Socioeconomic status","score":0.6033239364624023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computational-science-and-engineering","display_name":"Computational Science and Engineering","score":0.4759801924228668},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.45556047558784485},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.45532137155532837},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics-education","display_name":"Mathematics education","score":0.3678954839706421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.36524462699890137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/topology","display_name":"Topology (electrical circuits)","score":0.3595433235168457},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.3540192246437073},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demography","display_name":"Demography","score":0.12997719645500183},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.11944878101348877},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.11855563521385193},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sociology","display_name":"Sociology","score":0.08879286050796509}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776477805","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4460773","display_name":"Topological data analysis","level":2,"score":0.7350270748138428},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6839759349822998},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C147077947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1515895","display_name":"Socioeconomic status","level":3,"score":0.6033239364624023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C68597687","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q362601","display_name":"Computational Science and Engineering","level":2,"score":0.4759801924228668},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.45556047558784485},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.45532137155532837},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C145420912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q853077","display_name":"Mathematics education","level":1,"score":0.3678954839706421},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.36524462699890137},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C184720557","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7825049","display_name":"Topology (electrical circuits)","level":2,"score":0.3595433235168457},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.3540192246437073},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.12997719645500183},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.11944878101348877},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.11855563521385193},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.08879286050796509},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","pdf_url":"https://journalofbigdata.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737955091","display_name":"Journal Of Big Data","issn_l":"2196-1115","issn":["2196-1115"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Big Data","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:ce67a8e391974133ba6369c9581d85a6","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/ce67a8e391974133ba6369c9581d85a6","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Big Data, Vol 12, Iss 1, Pp 1-28 (2025)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","pdf_url":"https://journalofbigdata.springeropen.com/counter/pdf/10.1186/s40537-025-01112-x","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737955091","display_name":"Journal Of Big Data","issn_l":"2196-1115","issn":["2196-1115"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Big Data","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4408234020.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":41,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W10887640","https://openalex.org/W1607787316","https://openalex.org/W1989757660","https://openalex.org/W1991566301","https://openalex.org/W2009414912","https://openalex.org/W2087347434","https://openalex.org/W2102794349","https://openalex.org/W2119387367","https://openalex.org/W2132549764","https://openalex.org/W2161741939","https://openalex.org/W2566828544","https://openalex.org/W2613074217","https://openalex.org/W2757483057","https://openalex.org/W2911964244","https://openalex.org/W2930389570","https://openalex.org/W2981265119","https://openalex.org/W3019824773","https://openalex.org/W3043670008","https://openalex.org/W3046336220","https://openalex.org/W3091630994","https://openalex.org/W3106861220","https://openalex.org/W3127037230","https://openalex.org/W3185358404","https://openalex.org/W3195441652","https://openalex.org/W3207040585","https://openalex.org/W4226023378","https://openalex.org/W4229070799","https://openalex.org/W4229079973","https://openalex.org/W4229875153","https://openalex.org/W4239510810","https://openalex.org/W4256178460","https://openalex.org/W4313031069","https://openalex.org/W4360994592","https://openalex.org/W4366545230","https://openalex.org/W4386098658","https://openalex.org/W4387642594","https://openalex.org/W4388284198","https://openalex.org/W4390746850","https://openalex.org/W4392038913","https://openalex.org/W4399293046","https://openalex.org/W4403459450"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4294536920","https://openalex.org/W3036427183","https://openalex.org/W3148130686","https://openalex.org/W2037749514","https://openalex.org/W2411338097","https://openalex.org/W2375836089","https://openalex.org/W4388832383","https://openalex.org/W2504367709","https://openalex.org/W2015666588","https://openalex.org/W2043566625"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,95],"problem":[1],"of":[2,56,92,109],"election":[3,51],"outcome":[4],"prediction":[5],"has":[6,19],"been":[7],"widely":[8],"studied":[9],"with":[10,22],"various":[11],"tools,":[12],"and":[13,41,73],"in":[14,47,52,114],"recent":[15],"years":[16],"the":[17,48,53,89],"study":[18],"grown":[20],"considerably":[21],"methods":[23],"taking":[24],"spatial":[25],"information":[26],"into":[27],"account.":[28],"We":[29],"present":[30],"an":[31],"innovative":[32],"approach":[33],"by":[34,104],"integrating":[35],"machine":[36],"learning,":[37],"topological":[38],"data":[39],"analysis,":[40],"geostatistics":[42],"to":[43,67,100,112],"predict":[44,68,88],"voting":[45,102],"preferences":[46,103],"2021":[49],"gubernatorial":[50],"Mexican":[54],"state":[55],"Nuevo":[57],"Le\u00f3n,":[58],"Mexico.":[59],"In":[60],"addition,":[61],"we":[62,86],"propose":[63],"two":[64],"classification":[65],"models":[66],"voter":[69],"preference,":[70],"one":[71,74],"geospatial":[72,96],"non-geospatial,":[75],"which":[76,106],"result":[77],"from":[78],"evaluating":[79],"multiple":[80],"models.":[81],"With":[82],"these":[83],"proposed":[84],"models,":[85],"can":[87],"actual":[90],"winner":[91],"that":[93],"election.":[94],"model":[97],"allows":[98],"us":[99],"explore":[101],"area,":[105],"could":[107],"be":[108],"great":[110],"importance":[111],"candidates":[113],"their":[115],"electoral":[116],"campaigns.":[117]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-03-18T14:38:29.013473","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
