{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4402633011","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w","title":"Machine learning and deep learning models based grid search cross validation for short-term solar irradiance forecasting","display_name":"Machine learning and deep learning models based grid search cross validation for short-term solar irradiance forecasting","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-09-18","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4402633011","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737955091","display_name":"Journal Of Big Data","issn_l":"2196-1115","issn":["2196-1115"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Big Data","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5032097112","display_name":"Doaa El-Shahat","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1681-5039"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I192398990","display_name":"Zagazig University","ror":"https://ror.org/053g6we49","country_code":"EG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I192398990"]}],"countries":["EG"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Doaa El-Shahat","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Zagazig University, Zagazig, 44519, Egypt"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Zagazig University, Zagazig, 44519, Egypt","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I192398990"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5057171369","display_name":"A. S. Tolba","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5800-0287"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I192398990","display_name":"Zagazig University","ror":"https://ror.org/053g6we49","country_code":"EG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I192398990"]}],"countries":["EG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ahmed Tolba","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Zagazig University, Zagazig, 44519, Egypt"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Zagazig University, Zagazig, 44519, Egypt","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I192398990"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5068555962","display_name":"Mohamed Abouhawwash","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2846-4707"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I159247623","display_name":"Mansoura University","ror":"https://ror.org/01k8vtd75","country_code":"EG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I159247623"]}],"countries":["EG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mohamed Abouhawwash","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura, 35516, Egypt"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura, 35516, Egypt","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I159247623"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5079704928","display_name":"Mohamed Abdel\u2010Basset","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2794-3936"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I192398990","display_name":"Zagazig University","ror":"https://ror.org/053g6we49","country_code":"EG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I192398990"]}],"countries":["EG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mohamed Abdel-Basset","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Zagazig University, Zagazig, 44519, Egypt"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Computer Science, Faculty of Computers and Informatics, Zagazig University, Zagazig, 44519, Egypt","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I192398990"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5032097112"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I192398990"],"apc_list":{"value":1060,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1300},"apc_paid":{"value":1060,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1300},"fwci":12.2728,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":39,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9891488,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":99,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"11","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9923999905586243,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10468","display_name":"Photovoltaic System Optimization Techniques","score":0.9908999800682068,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2105","display_name":"Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/21","display_name":"Energy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.7530354261398315},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7485103011131287},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/grid","display_name":"Grid","score":0.6298119425773621},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/irradiance","display_name":"Irradiance","score":0.5670710206031799},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-irradiance","display_name":"Solar irradiance","score":0.5260294079780579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computational-science-and-engineering","display_name":"Computational Science and Engineering","score":0.46783414483070374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.46682208776474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/deep-learning","display_name":"Deep learning","score":0.43279415369033813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.4097737967967987},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.16009002923965454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geology","display_name":"Geology","score":0.07325845956802368}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.7530354261398315},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7485103011131287},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187691185","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2020720","display_name":"Grid","level":2,"score":0.6298119425773621},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C46423501","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q830654","display_name":"Irradiance","level":2,"score":0.5670710206031799},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9695528","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7556707","display_name":"Solar irradiance","level":2,"score":0.5260294079780579},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C68597687","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q362601","display_name":"Computational Science and Engineering","level":2,"score":0.46783414483070374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.46682208776474},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108583219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q197536","display_name":"Deep learning","level":2,"score":0.43279415369033813},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.4097737967967987},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.16009002923965454},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127313418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069","display_name":"Geology","level":0,"score":0.07325845956802368},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13280743","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q131089","display_name":"Geodesy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737955091","display_name":"Journal Of Big Data","issn_l":"2196-1115","issn":["2196-1115"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Big Data","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:454ecca6808540f196021c9c73e422c2","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/454ecca6808540f196021c9c73e422c2","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Big Data, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp 1-39 (2024)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w","pdf_url":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1186/s40537-024-00991-w.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2737955091","display_name":"Journal Of Big Data","issn_l":"2196-1115","issn":["2196-1115"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319900","host_organization_name":"Springer Science+Business Media","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319900","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Science+Business Media","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Journal of Big Data","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321655","display_name":"Science and Technology Development Fund","ror":"https://ror.org/044vr6g03"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320325716","display_name":"Mansoura University","ror":"https://ror.org/01k8vtd75"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4402633011.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4402633011.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":121,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1980395498","https://openalex.org/W2054217036","https://openalex.org/W2088794999","https://openalex.org/W2095413996","https://openalex.org/W2302881059","https://openalex.org/W2402626049","https://openalex.org/W2514173981","https://openalex.org/W2560370080","https://openalex.org/W2569349941","https://openalex.org/W2586209592","https://openalex.org/W2622999711","https://openalex.org/W2763749451","https://openalex.org/W2781551947","https://openalex.org/W2783069604","https://openalex.org/W2783369445","https://openalex.org/W2788148336","https://openalex.org/W2789876780","https://openalex.org/W2790103198","https://openalex.org/W2791648058","https://openalex.org/W2792326773","https://openalex.org/W2807775569","https://openalex.org/W2885420314","https://openalex.org/W2901312569","https://openalex.org/W2904289578","https://openalex.org/W2907788173","https://openalex.org/W2910890149","https://openalex.org/W2911705200","https://openalex.org/W2912623183","https://openalex.org/W2953352227","https://openalex.org/W2962949934","https://openalex.org/W2965479259","https://openalex.org/W2981993535","https://openalex.org/W2987211354","https://openalex.org/W3002217632","https://openalex.org/W3003806916","https://openalex.org/W3004531838","https://openalex.org/W3005829171","https://openalex.org/W3017116930","https://openalex.org/W3018056692","https://openalex.org/W3024916513","https://openalex.org/W3025185639","https://openalex.org/W3037712939","https://openalex.org/W3041316999","https://openalex.org/W3090232294","https://openalex.org/W3092132485","https://openalex.org/W3111518852","https://openalex.org/W3121581480","https://openalex.org/W3128227151","https://openalex.org/W3129469040","https://openalex.org/W3130710265","https://openalex.org/W3134364980","https://openalex.org/W3134570487","https://openalex.org/W3135477757","https://openalex.org/W3135716056","https://openalex.org/W3146796711","https://openalex.org/W3157975087","https://openalex.org/W3162538709","https://openalex.org/W3163153668","https://openalex.org/W3176714582","https://openalex.org/W3191161296","https://openalex.org/W3195944081","https://openalex.org/W3203641671","https://openalex.org/W3217371780","https://openalex.org/W4200567002","https://openalex.org/W4225857325","https://openalex.org/W4230186041","https://openalex.org/W4243150065","https://openalex.org/W4243936012","https://openalex.org/W4252208101","https://openalex.org/W4283819629","https://openalex.org/W4285248049","https://openalex.org/W4285331835","https://openalex.org/W4285794683","https://openalex.org/W4286489440","https://openalex.org/W4288901802","https://openalex.org/W4292379757","https://openalex.org/W4292928688","https://openalex.org/W4293212972","https://openalex.org/W4293761122","https://openalex.org/W4296025732","https://openalex.org/W4297021430","https://openalex.org/W4304731443","https://openalex.org/W4306361675","https://openalex.org/W4306803852","https://openalex.org/W4307029612","https://openalex.org/W4307142726","https://openalex.org/W4308487931","https://openalex.org/W4309947258","https://openalex.org/W4311063856","https://openalex.org/W4312204616","https://openalex.org/W4312221408","https://openalex.org/W4312462851","https://openalex.org/W4313419130","https://openalex.org/W4315652041","https://openalex.org/W4318182852","https://openalex.org/W4319444151","https://openalex.org/W4320484822","https://openalex.org/W4321382230","https://openalex.org/W4321611068","https://openalex.org/W4362580634","https://openalex.org/W4366990820","https://openalex.org/W4368351295","https://openalex.org/W4376127538","https://openalex.org/W4376149261","https://openalex.org/W4378701374","https://openalex.org/W4382052972","https://openalex.org/W4382361374","https://openalex.org/W4382677476","https://openalex.org/W4382677487","https://openalex.org/W4385336938","https://openalex.org/W4385595398","https://openalex.org/W4386074448","https://openalex.org/W4386602495","https://openalex.org/W4387696222","https://openalex.org/W4388285349","https://openalex.org/W4388921078","https://openalex.org/W4389734412","https://openalex.org/W4391757240","https://openalex.org/W4392022306","https://openalex.org/W4396237192","https://openalex.org/W7018000040"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W1530649511","https://openalex.org/W3104379783","https://openalex.org/W2131174359","https://openalex.org/W4322211974","https://openalex.org/W2884263184","https://openalex.org/W2995848355","https://openalex.org/W1749313231","https://openalex.org/W3201088759","https://openalex.org/W2023949803","https://openalex.org/W1578057650"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Abstract":[0],"In":[1],"late":[2],"2023,":[3],"the":[4,32,102,124,163,181,193,197,284,287],"United":[5],"Nations":[6],"conference":[7],"on":[8],"climate":[9],"change":[10],"(COP28),":[11],"which":[12],"was":[13,143],"held":[14],"in":[15,56,63,145],"Dubai,":[16],"encouraged":[17],"a":[18,120,148],"quick":[19],"move":[20],"from":[21,151],"fossil":[22],"fuels":[23],"to":[24,61,88,153,174,191],"renewable":[25],"energy.":[26],"Solar":[27],"energy":[28,37,87],"is":[29,39,80,172,250],"one":[30],"of":[31,36,69,93,104,183,231,242,261,266,276],"most":[33,125],"promising":[34],"forms":[35],"that":[38,226],"both":[40],"sustainable":[41,73],"and":[42,54,108,130,176,217,272],"renewable.":[43],"Generally,":[44],"photovoltaic":[45],"systems":[46,107],"transform":[47],"solar":[48,57,70,78,86,94,115,138],"irradiance":[49,71,79,139],"into":[50,100],"electricity.":[51],"Unfortunately,":[52],"instability":[53],"intermittency":[55],"radiation":[58],"can":[59,84],"lead":[60],"interruptions":[62],"electricity":[64],"production.":[65],"The":[66,141,222],"accurate":[67,112,159],"forecasting":[68,253],"guarantees":[72],"power":[74],"production":[75],"even":[76],"when":[77],"not":[81,111],"present.":[82],"Batteries":[83],"store":[85],"be":[89,110],"used":[90,190],"during":[91,147],"periods":[92],"absence.":[95],"Additionally,":[96],"deterministic":[97],"models":[98,178,235],"take":[99],"account":[101],"specification":[103],"technical":[105],"PV":[106],"may":[109],"for":[113,123,136,179,282],"low":[114],"irradiance.":[116],"This":[117],"paper":[118],"presents":[119],"comparative":[121],"study":[122],"common":[126],"Deep":[127],"Learning":[128,132],"(DL)":[129],"Machine":[131],"(ML)":[133],"algorithms":[134],"employed":[135],"short-term":[137],"forecasting.":[140],"dataset":[142],"gathered":[144],"Islamabad":[146],"five-year":[149],"period,":[150],"2015":[152],"2019,":[154],"at":[155],"hourly":[156],"intervals":[157],"with":[158,169,236,255],"meteorological":[160],"sensors.":[161],"Furthermore,":[162,270],"Grid":[164],"Search":[165],"Cross":[166],"Validation":[167],"(GSCV)":[168],"five":[170],"folds":[171],"introduced":[173],"ML":[175,245,268],"DL":[177,234],"optimizing":[180],"hyperparameters":[182],"these":[184],"models.":[185,269],"Several":[186],"performance":[187],"metrics":[188],"are":[189,274],"assess":[192],"algorithms,":[194,246],"such":[195],"as":[196],"Adjusted":[198,237,256],"R":[199,238,257],"2":[200,239,258],"score":[201,240,259],",":[202],"Normalized":[203],"Root":[204],"Mean":[205,209,213,218],"Square":[206,219],"Error":[207,215,220],"(NRMSE),":[208],"Absolute":[210,214],"Deviation":[211],"(MAD),":[212],"(MAE)":[216],"(MSE).":[221],"statistical":[223],"analysis":[224],"shows":[225],"CNN-LSTM":[227],"outperforms":[228],"its":[229,264],"counterparts":[230],"nine":[232],"well-known":[233],"value":[241,260],"0.984.":[243],"For":[244],"gradient":[247],"boosting":[248],"regression":[249],"an":[251],"effective":[252],"method":[254],"0.962,":[262],"beating":[263],"rivals":[265],"six":[267],"SHAP":[271],"LIME":[273],"examples":[275],"explainable":[277],"Artificial":[278],"Intelligence":[279],"(XAI)":[280],"utilized":[281],"understanding":[283],"reasons":[285],"behind":[286],"obtained":[288],"results.":[289]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":33}],"updated_date":"2026-05-21T06:26:12.895304","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
