{"id":"https://openalex.org/W1509872532","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","title":"Description and validation of a Markov model of survival for individuals free of cardiovascular disease that uses Framingham risk factors","display_name":"Description and validation of a Markov model of survival for individuals free of cardiovascular disease that uses Framingham risk factors","publication_year":2004,"publication_date":"2004-05-24","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W1509872532","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","mag":"1509872532","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15157279"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","pdf_url":"https://bmcmedinformdecismak.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S107516304","display_name":"BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making","issn_l":"1472-6947","issn":["1472-6947"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320256","host_organization_name":"BioMed Central","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320256","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["BioMed Central","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://bmcmedinformdecismak.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101538753","display_name":"Christopher Martin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5914-8873"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210134505","display_name":"Primary Health Care","ror":"https://ror.org/03djtgh02","country_code":"QA","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210134505"]}],"countries":["QA"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Chris Martin","raw_affiliation_strings":["Laindon Health Centre Primary Care Research Team, Essex, SS15 5TR, United Kingdom. chris.martin@laindonhc.org.uk","Laindon Health Centre Primary Care Research Team, Laindon, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Laindon Health Centre Primary Care Research Team, Essex, SS15 5TR, United Kingdom. chris.martin@laindonhc.org.uk","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210134505"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Laindon Health Centre Primary Care Research Team, Laindon, United Kingdom","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5062764204","display_name":"Mark Vanderpump","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I45129253","display_name":"University College London","ror":"https://ror.org/02jx3x895","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I124357947","https://openalex.org/I45129253"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2801138448","display_name":"The Royal Free Hospital","ror":"https://ror.org/01ge67z96","country_code":"GB","type":"healthcare","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I169248724","https://openalex.org/I2801138448"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mark Vanderpump","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Endocrinology, Royal Free Hospital, London, NW3 2QG, United Kingdom","Department of Endocrinology, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Endocrinology, Royal Free Hospital, London, NW3 2QG, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2801138448","https://openalex.org/I45129253"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Endocrinology, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2801138448","https://openalex.org/I45129253"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112332212","display_name":"JOYCE M. FRENCH","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I78757542","display_name":"University of Newcastle Australia","ror":"https://ror.org/00eae9z71","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I78757542"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I84884186","display_name":"Newcastle University","ror":"https://ror.org/01kj2bm70","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I84884186"]}],"countries":["AU","GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Joyce French","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Statistics, University of Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 7RU, United Kingdom","Department of Statistics, University of Newcastle, , United Kingdom"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics, University of Newcastle, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 7RU, United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I84884186"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Statistics, University of Newcastle, , United Kingdom","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I78757542"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5101538753"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210134505"],"apc_list":{"value":1570,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1925},"apc_paid":{"value":1570,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1925},"fwci":0.9673,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":15,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.76618523,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"4","issue":"1","first_page":"6","last_page":"6"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10144","display_name":"Blood Pressure and Hypertension Studies","score":0.4187000095844269,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2705","display_name":"Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10144","display_name":"Blood Pressure and Hypertension Studies","score":0.4187000095844269,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2705","display_name":"Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10394","display_name":"Lipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health","score":0.10440000146627426,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2746","display_name":"Surgery"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10027","display_name":"Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins","score":0.05130000039935112,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2712","display_name":"Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.8202627301216125},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cohort","display_name":"Cohort","score":0.7119091749191284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/framingham-risk-score","display_name":"Framingham Risk Score","score":0.6908347606658936},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/blood-pressure","display_name":"Blood pressure","score":0.5542181134223938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/framingham-heart-study","display_name":"Framingham Heart Study","score":0.5210980176925659},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease","display_name":"Disease","score":0.5093258619308472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/proportional-hazards-model","display_name":"Proportional hazards model","score":0.5010216236114502},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cohort-study","display_name":"Cohort study","score":0.49094346165657043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-assessment","display_name":"Risk assessment","score":0.4516812562942505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/risk-factor","display_name":"Risk factor","score":0.4241163730621338},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/internal-medicine","display_name":"Internal medicine","score":0.3970417380332947},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demography","display_name":"Demography","score":0.34447574615478516}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.8202627301216125},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C72563966","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1303415","display_name":"Cohort","level":2,"score":0.7119091749191284},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11783203","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5478027","display_name":"Framingham Risk Score","level":3,"score":0.6908347606658936},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C84393581","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82642","display_name":"Blood pressure","level":2,"score":0.5542181134223938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111815664","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1440693","display_name":"Framingham Heart Study","level":4,"score":0.5210980176925659},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.5093258619308472},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50382708","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q223218","display_name":"Proportional hazards model","level":2,"score":0.5010216236114502},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201903717","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1778788","display_name":"Cohort study","level":2,"score":0.49094346165657043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12174686","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1058438","display_name":"Risk assessment","level":2,"score":0.4516812562942505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50440223","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1475848","display_name":"Risk factor","level":2,"score":0.4241163730621338},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126322002","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11180","display_name":"Internal medicine","level":1,"score":0.3970417380332947},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.34447574615478516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[{"descriptor_ui":"D000328","descriptor_name":"Adult","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000328","descriptor_name":"Adult","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000328","descriptor_name":"Adult","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000368","descriptor_name":"Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000368","descriptor_name":"Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D000368","descriptor_name":"Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002318","descriptor_name":"Cardiovascular Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000401","qualifier_name":"mortality","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002318","descriptor_name":"Cardiovascular Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000401","qualifier_name":"mortality","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002318","descriptor_name":"Cardiovascular Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000401","qualifier_name":"mortality","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002318","descriptor_name":"Cardiovascular Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002318","descriptor_name":"Cardiovascular Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D002318","descriptor_name":"Cardiovascular Diseases","qualifier_ui":"Q000453","qualifier_name":"epidemiology","is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003198","descriptor_name":"Computer Simulation","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003658","descriptor_name":"Decision Making, Computer-Assisted","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003658","descriptor_name":"Decision Making, Computer-Assisted","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D003658","descriptor_name":"Decision Making, Computer-Assisted","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D005260","descriptor_name":"Female","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006113","descriptor_name":"United Kingdom","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006113","descriptor_name":"United Kingdom","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006113","descriptor_name":"United Kingdom","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D006801","descriptor_name":"Humans","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008297","descriptor_name":"Male","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008390","descriptor_name":"Markov Chains","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008390","descriptor_name":"Markov Chains","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008390","descriptor_name":"Markov Chains","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008875","descriptor_name":"Middle Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008875","descriptor_name":"Middle Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D008875","descriptor_name":"Middle Aged","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011237","descriptor_name":"Predictive Value of Tests","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011237","descriptor_name":"Predictive Value of Tests","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D011237","descriptor_name":"Predictive Value of Tests","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013534","descriptor_name":"Survival","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013534","descriptor_name":"Survival","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D013534","descriptor_name":"Survival","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015331","descriptor_name":"Cohort Studies","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015331","descriptor_name":"Cohort Studies","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false},{"descriptor_ui":"D015331","descriptor_name":"Cohort Studies","qualifier_ui":null,"qualifier_name":null,"is_major_topic":false}],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","pdf_url":"https://bmcmedinformdecismak.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S107516304","display_name":"BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making","issn_l":"1472-6947","issn":["1472-6947"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320256","host_organization_name":"BioMed Central","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320256","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["BioMed Central","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:15157279","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/15157279","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"BMC medical informatics and decision making","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:386ed3ae563e475ab923fa0ccb4180a1","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/386ed3ae563e475ab923fa0ccb4180a1","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making, Vol 4, Iss 1, p 6 (2004)","raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:434521","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/434521","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"BMC Med Inform Decis Mak","raw_type":"Text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","pdf_url":"https://bmcmedinformdecismak.biomedcentral.com/track/pdf/10.1186/1472-6947-4-6","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S107516304","display_name":"BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making","issn_l":"1472-6947","issn":["1472-6947"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320256","host_organization_name":"BioMed Central","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320256","https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["BioMed Central","Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8999999761581421,"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320320286","display_name":"University College London","ror":"https://ror.org/02jx3x895"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W1509872532.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W1509872532.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":25,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1599595176","https://openalex.org/W1918449402","https://openalex.org/W1965142216","https://openalex.org/W1995265537","https://openalex.org/W2004950751","https://openalex.org/W2025959073","https://openalex.org/W2039410401","https://openalex.org/W2039852979","https://openalex.org/W2042163209","https://openalex.org/W2044274972","https://openalex.org/W2052176508","https://openalex.org/W2060203449","https://openalex.org/W2078332901","https://openalex.org/W2093380756","https://openalex.org/W2099656186","https://openalex.org/W2110304036","https://openalex.org/W2118681259","https://openalex.org/W2120836816","https://openalex.org/W2124664397","https://openalex.org/W2154161925","https://openalex.org/W2163207768","https://openalex.org/W2164654252","https://openalex.org/W4247414321","https://openalex.org/W4301518376","https://openalex.org/W6805886512"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2000066325","https://openalex.org/W1851016917","https://openalex.org/W2184315123","https://openalex.org/W2028768364","https://openalex.org/W4224236266","https://openalex.org/W2486562175","https://openalex.org/W1586792637","https://openalex.org/W2037583569","https://openalex.org/W1965747315","https://openalex.org/W4322754521"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"BACKGROUND:":[0],"Estimation":[1],"of":[2,18,27,41,45,54,57,62,86,95,123,157,165,173,212,293,300],"cardiovascular":[3,31,96,124,294],"disease":[4,32,97,138,295],"risk":[5,33,133,139,296],"is":[6],"increasingly":[7],"used":[8],"to":[9,23,64,75,82,228,278],"inform":[10],"decisions":[11],"on":[12],"interventions,":[13],"such":[14,87],"as":[15,66,297],"the":[16,25,42,55,71,84,131,166,171,180,195,213,221,232,249,291,307,312,322,327,342],"use":[17,91],"antihypertensives":[19],"and":[20,51,98,140,146,175,194,204,243,246,258,317],"statins,":[21],"or":[22,276],"communicate":[24],"risks":[26,34,56],"smoking.":[28,58],"Crude":[29],"10-year":[30],"may":[35,73],"not":[36],"give":[37],"a":[38,49,67,88,105,270,298,346],"realistic":[39],"view":[40],"likely":[43],"impact":[44],"an":[46],"intervention":[47],"over":[48,209],"lifetime":[50],"will":[52],"underestimate":[53],"A":[59,110],"validated":[60],"model":[61,89,188,262,334],"survival":[63,158,182,191,197,206,338],"act":[65],"decision":[68],"aid":[69],"in":[70,142,266,287,311,326,339],"consultation":[72],"help":[74],"address":[76],"these":[77],"problems.":[78],"This":[79,333],"study":[80],"aims":[81],"describe":[83],"development":[85],"for":[90,134,162,190,220,231,248,305,320],"with":[92,152,179,269,345],"people":[93,268],"free":[94],"evaluates":[99],"its":[100],"accuracy":[101],"against":[102],"data":[103],"from":[104,226,290,341],"United":[106,127],"Kingdom":[107,128],"cohort.":[108],"METHODS:":[109],"Markov":[111],"cycle":[112],"tree":[113],"evaluated":[114],"using":[115],"cohort":[116,169,214,344],"simulation":[117],"was":[118,192,198,207,302],"developed":[119],"utilizing":[120],"Framingham":[121],"estimates":[122,156,336],"risk,":[125],"1998":[126],"mortality":[129,265],"data,":[130],"relative":[132],"smoking":[135],"related":[136],"non-cardiovascular":[137],"changes":[141],"systolic":[143,236,271,347],"blood":[144,237,272,348],"pressure":[145,238,273,349],"serum":[147],"total":[148,150,253],"cholesterol":[149,151,254],"age.":[153],"The":[154,187,200,261,284],"model's":[155],"at":[159,183],"20":[160],"years":[161,304,319],"1391":[163],"members":[164],"Whickham":[167,343],"survey":[168],"between":[170,202,240,256],"ages":[172],"35":[174,227,308,323],"65":[176],"were":[177],"compared":[178],"observed":[181,196,205],"20-year":[184,337],"follow-up.":[185],"RESULTS:":[186],"estimate":[189],"75%":[193],"75.4%.":[199],"correlation":[201],"estimated":[203,217],"0.933":[208],"39":[210],"subgroups":[211],"stratified":[215],"by":[216],"survival,":[218],"0.992":[219],"seven":[222],"5-year":[223],"age":[224],"bands":[225,239,255],"64,":[229],"0.936":[230],"ten":[233],"10":[234],"mmHg":[235,242,280],"100":[241],"200":[244],"mmHg,":[245],"0.693":[247],"fifteen":[250],"0.5":[251],"mmol/l":[252],"3.0":[257],"10.0":[259],"mmol/l.":[260],"significantly":[263],"underestimated":[264],"those":[267],"greater":[274],"than":[275],"equal":[277],"180":[279,351],"(p":[281],"=":[282,315,330],"0.006).":[283],"average":[285],"gain":[286],"life":[288],"expectancy":[289],"elimination":[292],"cause":[299],"death":[301],"4.0":[303],"all":[306,321],"year-old":[309,324],"men":[310],"sample":[313,328],"(n":[314,329],"24),":[316],"1.8":[318],"women":[325],"32).":[331],"CONCLUSIONS:":[332],"accurately":[335],"subjects":[340],"below":[350],"mmHg.":[352]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-05-06T08:25:59.206177","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
