{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4382536438","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/dint_a_00215","title":"Total Electricity Consumption Forecasting Based on Temperature Composite Index and Mixed-Frequency Models","display_name":"Total Electricity Consumption Forecasting Based on Temperature Composite Index and Mixed-Frequency Models","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4382536438","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1162/dint_a_00215"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1162/dint_a_00215","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/dint_a_00215","pdf_url":"https://direct.mit.edu/dint/article-pdf/doi/10.1162/dint_a_00215/2127025/dint_a_00215.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210186383","display_name":"Data Intelligence","issn_l":"2096-7004","issn":["2096-7004","2641-435X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Data Intelligence","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"diamond","oa_url":"https://direct.mit.edu/dint/article-pdf/doi/10.1162/dint_a_00215/2127025/dint_a_00215.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101687440","display_name":"Xuerong Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1090-3970"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210107616","display_name":"Institute of Economic Forecasting","ror":"https://ror.org/01p8wcy85","country_code":"RU","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1313323035","https://openalex.org/I4210107616","https://openalex.org/I4210120228"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120485","display_name":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science","ror":"https://ror.org/02jkmyk67","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210120485"]}],"countries":["CN","RU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xuerong Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China","MOE Social Science Laboratory of Digital Economic Forecasts and Policy Simulation at UCAS"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120485","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"MOE Social Science Laboratory of Digital Economic Forecasts and Policy Simulation at UCAS","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210107616"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103285314","display_name":"Wei Shang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5121-4592"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210107616","display_name":"Institute of Economic Forecasting","ror":"https://ror.org/01p8wcy85","country_code":"RU","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1313323035","https://openalex.org/I4210107616","https://openalex.org/I4210120228"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120485","display_name":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science","ror":"https://ror.org/02jkmyk67","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210120485"]}],"countries":["CN","RU"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Wei Shang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China","MOE Social Science Laboratory of Digital Economic Forecasts and Policy Simulation at UCAS"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120485","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"MOE Social Science Laboratory of Digital Economic Forecasts and Policy Simulation at UCAS","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210107616"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035358896","display_name":"Xun Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5502-2974"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I19820366","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35","country_code":"CN","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210120485","display_name":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science","ror":"https://ror.org/02jkmyk67","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210120485"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xun Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210120485","https://openalex.org/I19820366"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083070039","display_name":"Baoguo Shan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6718-3302"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210094970","display_name":"Energy Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/00ndnb620","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210094970","https://openalex.org/I4210142748"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Baoguo Shan","raw_affiliation_strings":["State Grid Energy Research Institute CO., LTD, Beijing 102209, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"State Grid Energy Research Institute CO., LTD, Beijing 102209, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210094970"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100389063","display_name":"Xiang Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1791-3909"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210094970","display_name":"Energy Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/00ndnb620","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210094970","https://openalex.org/I4210142748"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xiang Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["State Grid Energy Research Institute CO., LTD, Beijing 102209, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"State Grid Energy Research Institute CO., LTD, Beijing 102209, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210094970"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5103285314"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I19820366","https://openalex.org/I4210107616","https://openalex.org/I4210120485"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.4985,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.63295343,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"5","issue":"3","first_page":"750","last_page":"766"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9796000123023987,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9142000079154968,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/tec","display_name":"TEC","score":0.9257006645202637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/index","display_name":"Index (typography)","score":0.7386887669563293},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity","display_name":"Electricity","score":0.5939002633094788},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/composite-index","display_name":"Composite index","score":0.5644876956939697},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/consumption","display_name":"Consumption (sociology)","score":0.5564607977867126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science","display_name":"Environmental science","score":0.5509280562400818},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.5100703835487366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.42123302817344666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.3457060158252716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.32193803787231445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.2132544219493866},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.11925479769706726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.1183946430683136},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/composite-indicator","display_name":"Composite indicator","score":0.09823516011238098}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C176379880","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q18031939","display_name":"TEC","level":3,"score":0.9257006645202637},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777382242","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6017816","display_name":"Index (typography)","level":2,"score":0.7386887669563293},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206658404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12725","display_name":"Electricity","level":2,"score":0.5939002633094788},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778098375","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q19596433","display_name":"Composite index","level":3,"score":0.5644876956939697},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C30772137","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5164762","display_name":"Consumption (sociology)","level":2,"score":0.5564607977867126},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39432304","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847","display_name":"Environmental science","level":0,"score":0.5509280562400818},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.5100703835487366},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.42123302817344666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.3457060158252716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.32193803787231445},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.2132544219493866},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.11925479769706726},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.1183946430683136},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2992405062","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q18208028","display_name":"Composite indicator","level":2,"score":0.09823516011238098},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1276947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333","display_name":"Astronomy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36289849","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q34749","display_name":"Social science","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116403925","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q162219","display_name":"Ionosphere","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1162/dint_a_00215","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/dint_a_00215","pdf_url":"https://direct.mit.edu/dint/article-pdf/doi/10.1162/dint_a_00215/2127025/dint_a_00215.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210186383","display_name":"Data Intelligence","issn_l":"2096-7004","issn":["2096-7004","2641-435X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Data Intelligence","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:2aaa2456fe064607b1bd800350d6673a","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/2aaa2456fe064607b1bd800350d6673a","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Data Intelligence, Vol 5, Iss 3 (2023)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1162/dint_a_00215","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1162/dint_a_00215","pdf_url":"https://direct.mit.edu/dint/article-pdf/doi/10.1162/dint_a_00215/2127025/dint_a_00215.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4210186383","display_name":"Data Intelligence","issn_l":"2096-7004","issn":["2096-7004","2641-435X"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310315718","host_organization_name":"The MIT Press","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310315718"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["The MIT Press"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Data Intelligence","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3371596208","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"1400-202157207A-0-0-00","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320326707","funder_display_name":"State Grid Corporation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8794723799","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"72273137","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320326707","display_name":"State Grid Corporation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/05twwhs70"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320335967","display_name":"Science and Technology Project of State Grid","ror":null}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4382536438.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":31,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1972982031","https://openalex.org/W2019927839","https://openalex.org/W2020707839","https://openalex.org/W2037484690","https://openalex.org/W2085987121","https://openalex.org/W2093938910","https://openalex.org/W2102611386","https://openalex.org/W2107758023","https://openalex.org/W2146134639","https://openalex.org/W2155963925","https://openalex.org/W2198386013","https://openalex.org/W2297311015","https://openalex.org/W2528510132","https://openalex.org/W2774222824","https://openalex.org/W3025194661","https://openalex.org/W3090894057","https://openalex.org/W3091935322","https://openalex.org/W3099116679","https://openalex.org/W3110953966","https://openalex.org/W3114921025","https://openalex.org/W3123109518","https://openalex.org/W3124161489","https://openalex.org/W4205777192","https://openalex.org/W4282978077","https://openalex.org/W4307958708","https://openalex.org/W4307994740","https://openalex.org/W4311474518","https://openalex.org/W4320478292","https://openalex.org/W6655814299","https://openalex.org/W6728255908","https://openalex.org/W6728337331"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4320519862","https://openalex.org/W3049374486","https://openalex.org/W1608529797","https://openalex.org/W2347765579","https://openalex.org/W2361441833","https://openalex.org/W3136869357","https://openalex.org/W3200447293","https://openalex.org/W2394265970","https://openalex.org/W3145615753","https://openalex.org/W111110976"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"ABSTRACT":[0],"The":[1],"total":[2],"electricity":[3],"consumption":[4],"(TEC)":[5],"can":[6,21,106],"accurately":[7],"reflect":[8],"the":[9,12,16,19,24,34,51,94,102],"operation":[10],"of":[11,18,36],"national":[13],"economy,":[14],"and":[15,41,67,83,101],"forecasting":[17],"TEC":[20],"help":[22],"predict":[23,50],"economic":[25],"development":[26],"trend,":[27],"as":[28,30],"well":[29],"provide":[31,45],"insights":[32],"for":[33],"formulation":[35],"macro":[37],"policies.":[38],"Nowadays,":[39],"high-frequency":[40,64],"massive":[42],"multi-source":[43,74],"data":[44,76],"a":[46,56,68],"new":[47],"way":[48],"to":[49],"TEC.":[52],"In":[53],"this":[54],"paper,":[55],"\u201cseasonal-cumulative":[57,103],"temperature":[58,65,104],"index\u201d":[59,105],"is":[60,88],"constructed":[61],"based":[62,72],"on":[63,73],"data,":[66],"mixed-frequency":[69],"prediction":[70,99,108],"model":[71,96],"big":[75],"(Mixed":[77],"Data":[78],"Sampling":[79],"with":[80],"Monthly":[81],"Temperature":[82,85],"Daily":[84],"index,":[86],"MIDAS-MT-DT)":[87],"proposed.":[89],"Experimental":[90],"results":[91],"show":[92],"that":[93],"MIDAS-MT-DT":[95],"achieves":[97],"higher":[98],"accuracy,":[100],"improve":[107],"accuracy.":[109]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-05-21T06:26:12.895304","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
