{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4293106301","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/2431611","title":"Rolling Prediction of Emergency Supplies Based on Postdisaster Multisource Time\u2010Varying Information","display_name":"Rolling Prediction of Emergency Supplies Based on Postdisaster Multisource Time\u2010Varying Information","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4293106301","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/2431611"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1155/2022/2431611","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/2431611","pdf_url":"https://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/2431611.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/2431611.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100317994","display_name":"Wei Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7015-7335"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210123833","display_name":"Civil Aviation Management Institute of China","ror":"https://ror.org/03eh3c696","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210123833"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Wei Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Zhe Jiang Key Laboratory of General Aviation Operation Technology, Civil Aviation Management Institute of China, Hangzhou 311612, China","Zhe Jiang Key Laboratory of General Aviation Operation Technology, Civil Aviation Management Institute of China, Hangzhou 311612"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Zhe Jiang Key Laboratory of General Aviation Operation Technology, Civil Aviation Management Institute of China, Hangzhou 311612, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210123833"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Zhe Jiang Key Laboratory of General Aviation Operation Technology, Civil Aviation Management Institute of China, Hangzhou 311612","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210123833"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013747973","display_name":"Ming Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3085-3074"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I9842412","display_name":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics","ror":"https://ror.org/01scyh794","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ming Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China","Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3085-3074","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008389208","display_name":"Boquan Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0002-0865-7368"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I9842412","display_name":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics","ror":"https://ror.org/01scyh794","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Boquan Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China","Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048511790","display_name":"Songrui Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8579-8247"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I9842412","display_name":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics","ror":"https://ror.org/01scyh794","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Songrui Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China","Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025546736","display_name":"Zhifeng Qiu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7076-4343"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I9842412","display_name":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics","ror":"https://ror.org/01scyh794","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zhifeng Qiu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China","Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 210016","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5013747973"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I9842412"],"apc_list":{"value":2550,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2550},"apc_paid":{"value":2550,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2550},"fwci":0.2055,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.58826042,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":91,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"2022","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11502","display_name":"Facility Location and Emergency Management","score":0.973800003528595,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1407","display_name":"Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11502","display_name":"Facility Location and Emergency Management","score":0.973800003528595,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1407","display_name":"Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11500","display_name":"Evacuation and Crowd Dynamics","score":0.9014999866485596,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2212","display_name":"Ocean Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7472202181816101},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/support-vector-machine","display_name":"Support vector machine","score":0.6026774048805237},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.5872451663017273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/set","display_name":"Set (abstract data type)","score":0.4747771918773651},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-prediction","display_name":"Long-term prediction","score":0.45269519090652466},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.32610881328582764}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7472202181816101},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12267149","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q282453","display_name":"Support vector machine","level":2,"score":0.6026774048805237},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.5872451663017273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177264268","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1514741","display_name":"Set (abstract data type)","level":2,"score":0.4747771918773651},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776537626","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4047883","display_name":"Long-term prediction","level":2,"score":0.45269519090652466},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.32610881328582764},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1155/2022/2431611","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/2431611","pdf_url":"https://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/2431611.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:hin:complx:2431611","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/2431611.xml","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:4cd9315d6dd848d1b3773dfc65781c6d","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/4cd9315d6dd848d1b3773dfc65781c6d","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401280","display_name":"DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Complexity, Vol 2022 (2022)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1155/2022/2431611","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/2431611","pdf_url":"https://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/2431611.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action","score":0.7200000286102295}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1617483628","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"71731001","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2090819026","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"U1633119","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3409737136","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"1433203","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3992728137","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"U1533119","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G507823254","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"ZDRW-KT-2020-21\u20132","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321133","funder_display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6818732504","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"U1933130","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7489348343","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"ZDRW-KT-2020-21-2","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321133","display_name":"Chinese Academy of Sciences","ror":"https://ror.org/034t30j35"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4293106301.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4293106301.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":43,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W8684702","https://openalex.org/W115318953","https://openalex.org/W970944711","https://openalex.org/W1914925038","https://openalex.org/W1988497925","https://openalex.org/W2009648355","https://openalex.org/W2014233412","https://openalex.org/W2021761040","https://openalex.org/W2040793519","https://openalex.org/W2044445985","https://openalex.org/W2046708299","https://openalex.org/W2054585614","https://openalex.org/W2065901849","https://openalex.org/W2066747762","https://openalex.org/W2072257488","https://openalex.org/W2075658009","https://openalex.org/W2075760991","https://openalex.org/W2076203497","https://openalex.org/W2081083228","https://openalex.org/W2268148706","https://openalex.org/W2287057386","https://openalex.org/W2346416669","https://openalex.org/W2406268549","https://openalex.org/W2418014651","https://openalex.org/W2493441348","https://openalex.org/W2510137959","https://openalex.org/W2516138216","https://openalex.org/W2599547177","https://openalex.org/W2613057837","https://openalex.org/W2618803797","https://openalex.org/W2746069120","https://openalex.org/W2803224758","https://openalex.org/W2845527733","https://openalex.org/W2891675231","https://openalex.org/W2934115591","https://openalex.org/W2944147810","https://openalex.org/W2973706984","https://openalex.org/W3016219303","https://openalex.org/W3026404307","https://openalex.org/W3036417315","https://openalex.org/W3080948845","https://openalex.org/W4234449265","https://openalex.org/W6604728036"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2090763504","https://openalex.org/W148178222","https://openalex.org/W2104657898","https://openalex.org/W1948992892","https://openalex.org/W1886884218","https://openalex.org/W1910826599","https://openalex.org/W1980100242","https://openalex.org/W2530420969","https://openalex.org/W2051187167","https://openalex.org/W4315815996"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Accurate":[0],"prediction":[1,21,26,72,85,164,183,191,206],"of":[2,12,19,109,185,193,208,251],"material":[3,41,49,149,158,236],"demands":[4,50,150],"is":[5,54,174,214],"key":[6],"to":[7,83,162],"ensuring":[8],"the":[9,17,20,23,30,88,101,129,133,144,148,152,157,163,171,188,198,203,209,212,217,247],"overall":[10,31],"efficiency":[11],"emergency":[13,75,252],"rescue":[14],"operations.":[15],"From":[16],"perspective":[18],"method,":[22],"single\u2010material":[24],"static":[25,199],"method":[27,36,73,90,105,146,173,218],"based":[28,77,113],"on":[29,65,78,114],"data":[32,44,47,64,99,111],"has":[33,58,219],"limitations.":[34],"This":[35,67],"cannot":[37],"flexibly":[38],"adjust":[39],"multiperiod":[40],"demands.":[42],"Considering":[43],"sources,":[45],"acquiring":[46],"regarding":[48],"in":[51,123,151,166,197,211],"historical":[52,92],"disasters":[53],"more":[55,59],"difficult":[56],"and":[57,96,118,136,222,243,249],"uncertainty":[60],"compared":[61],"with":[62,179],"statistical":[63],"deaths.":[66],"study":[68],"investigates":[69],"a":[70,138,167,180,233],"rolling":[71,125,130],"for":[74,235,246],"supplies":[76],"postdisaster":[79],"multisource":[80],"time\u2010varying":[81],"information":[82],"ensure":[84],"accuracy.":[86],"First,":[87],"proposed":[89,145,172],"uses":[91],"cases,":[93],"real\u2010time":[94],"disasters,":[95],"time\u2010sharing":[97],"simulation":[98],"as":[100,132,232],"source":[102],"data.":[103],"The":[104],"implements":[106],"attribute":[107],"reduction":[108],"original":[110],"samples":[112],"rough":[115],"set":[116],"theory":[117],"predicts":[119],"cumulative":[120],"death":[121],"tolls":[122],"each":[124],"period":[126,154],"by":[127,155,176],"using":[128,156],"time\u2010domain":[131],"basic":[134],"framework":[135],"combining":[137],"support":[139],"vector":[140],"machine":[141],"(SVM).":[142],"Second,":[143],"estimates":[147],"corresponding":[153],"demand":[159],"model":[160],"according":[161],"results":[165,226],"single":[168],"period.":[169],"Finally,":[170],"verified":[175],"an":[177],"experiment":[178],"general":[181,189,204],"mean":[182,190,205],"error":[184,192,207],"10.96%.":[186],"However,":[187],"SVM":[194],"reaches":[195],"17.77%":[196],"multistep":[200],"prediction.":[201],"Moreover,":[202],"methods":[210],"references":[213,245],"14.13%.":[215],"Overall,":[216],"high":[220],"accuracy":[221],"strong":[223],"timeliness.":[224],"Prediction":[225],"can":[227],"not":[228],"only":[229],"be":[230],"used":[231],"basis":[234],"estimation,":[237],"but":[238],"also":[239],"provide":[240],"several":[241],"scientific":[242],"effective":[244],"allocation":[248],"scheduling":[250],"supplies.":[253]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-08-01T09:00:35.917206","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}