{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4220836348","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/1516419","title":"Effect of Overconfidence on Product Diffusion in Online Social Networks: A Multiagent Simulation Based on Evolutionary Game and Overconfidence Theory","display_name":"Effect of Overconfidence on Product Diffusion in Online Social Networks: A Multiagent Simulation Based on Evolutionary Game and Overconfidence Theory","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4220836348","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/1516419"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1155/2022/1516419","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/1516419","pdf_url":"https://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/1516419.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/1516419.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049016105","display_name":"Xiaochao Wei","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1394-2729"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I196699116","display_name":"Wuhan University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03fe7t173","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Xiaochao Wei","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economy, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economy, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031333620","display_name":"Qi Liao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9732-8883"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I196699116","display_name":"Wuhan University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03fe7t173","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Qi Liao","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economy, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economy, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100349291","display_name":"Yanfei Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5305-6353"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I196699116","display_name":"Wuhan University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03fe7t173","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yanfei Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economy, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economy, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040467461","display_name":"Guihua Nie","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5474-4345"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I196699116","display_name":"Wuhan University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/03fe7t173","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guihua Nie","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Economy, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Economy, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430070, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5049016105"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I196699116"],"apc_list":{"value":2300,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2300},"apc_paid":{"value":2300,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2300},"fwci":0.6779,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.71229922,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"2022","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12659","display_name":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","score":0.9891999959945679,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12659","display_name":"Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting","score":0.9891999959945679,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11252","display_name":"Evolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation","score":0.987500011920929,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11118","display_name":"Evolutionary Psychology and Human Behavior","score":0.9778000116348267,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3205","display_name":"Experimental and Cognitive Psychology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/32","display_name":"Psychology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/overconfidence-effect","display_name":"Overconfidence effect","score":0.9800662994384766},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/microeconomics","display_name":"Microeconomics","score":0.5280854105949402},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/product","display_name":"Product (mathematics)","score":0.4664579927921295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/evolutionary-game-theory","display_name":"Evolutionary game theory","score":0.44384077191352844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/irrational-number","display_name":"Irrational number","score":0.43299269676208496},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.4080350995063782},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/game-theory","display_name":"Game theory","score":0.3600108027458191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.31522953510284424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychology","display_name":"Psychology","score":0.31038057804107666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-psychology","display_name":"Social psychology","score":0.2716028690338135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.12313896417617798}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C51110983","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q16503490","display_name":"Overconfidence effect","level":2,"score":0.9800662994384766},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.5280854105949402},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C90673727","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q901718","display_name":"Product (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.4664579927921295},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C20249471","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2298789","display_name":"Evolutionary game theory","level":3,"score":0.44384077191352844},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94931360","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q607728","display_name":"Irrational number","level":2,"score":0.43299269676208496},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.4080350995063782},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C177142836","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q44455","display_name":"Game theory","level":2,"score":0.3600108027458191},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.31522953510284424},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.31038057804107666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.2716028690338135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.12313896417617798},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1155/2022/1516419","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/1516419","pdf_url":"https://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/1516419.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:hin:complx:1516419","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/1516419.xml","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:d490ce5121584f499ffab28b313d185d","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/d490ce5121584f499ffab28b313d185d","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Complexity, Vol 2022 (2022)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1155/2022/1516419","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/1516419","pdf_url":"https://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2022/1516419.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8","score":0.4099999964237213}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2082826544","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"Postdoctoral","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2087396116","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"China","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3317480652","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"Science","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3744313044","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"Social","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G391238517","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":", and","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4020255992","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"Project","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5208499209","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"2018T110814","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321543","funder_display_name":"China Postdoctoral Science Foundation"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5994120800","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"Natural","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6033052552","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"2014M552102","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321543","funder_display_name":"China Postdoctoral Science Foundation"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6555805408","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"7160115","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G7943736635","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"71601151","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321543","display_name":"China Postdoctoral Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/0426zh255"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322724","display_name":"Ministry of Education, India","ror":"https://ror.org/048xjjh50"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4220836348.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4220836348.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":47,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W105140810","https://openalex.org/W1017801758","https://openalex.org/W1531491638","https://openalex.org/W1536153634","https://openalex.org/W1556479605","https://openalex.org/W2002985831","https://openalex.org/W2007524903","https://openalex.org/W2010358070","https://openalex.org/W2022643974","https://openalex.org/W2025872303","https://openalex.org/W2030655015","https://openalex.org/W2040689732","https://openalex.org/W2047624089","https://openalex.org/W2060042435","https://openalex.org/W2060112278","https://openalex.org/W2074315705","https://openalex.org/W2076332737","https://openalex.org/W2086240082","https://openalex.org/W2105353140","https://openalex.org/W2108874781","https://openalex.org/W2116481527","https://openalex.org/W2139244020","https://openalex.org/W2164646550","https://openalex.org/W2167324016","https://openalex.org/W2169616263","https://openalex.org/W2208124799","https://openalex.org/W2265720734","https://openalex.org/W2567514223","https://openalex.org/W2785582718","https://openalex.org/W2946402395","https://openalex.org/W2964005199","https://openalex.org/W2964100231","https://openalex.org/W2977198023","https://openalex.org/W2998348104","https://openalex.org/W3037158713","https://openalex.org/W3085869332","https://openalex.org/W3092268293","https://openalex.org/W3094473687","https://openalex.org/W3121860914","https://openalex.org/W3122121843","https://openalex.org/W3123271477","https://openalex.org/W3123502919","https://openalex.org/W3124620626","https://openalex.org/W3167851022","https://openalex.org/W3173232108","https://openalex.org/W4230292544","https://openalex.org/W4231372403"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2388808575","https://openalex.org/W2505734641","https://openalex.org/W2131463044","https://openalex.org/W2374666693","https://openalex.org/W1966422684","https://openalex.org/W2380020769","https://openalex.org/W2611659488","https://openalex.org/W2325817968","https://openalex.org/W2108913771","https://openalex.org/W1503189112"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,110],"rapid":[1],"development":[2],"of":[3,35,68,149,157],"online":[4,13],"social":[5,14],"media":[6],"has":[7],"significantly":[8],"promoted":[9,165],"product":[10,63,166,199],"diffusion":[11,64],"in":[12,27,65,126,180],"networks":[15],"(PDOSN).":[16],"However,":[17],"prior":[18],"studies":[19],"focusing":[20],"on":[21,37,52,123,177,198],"irrational":[22,69],"behavior,":[23],"such":[24],"as":[25],"overconfidence,":[26,86],"PDOSN":[28,93],"are":[29],"scarce.":[30],"To":[31],"investigate":[32],"the":[33,66,107,124,133,146,178],"effect":[34,122,148],"overconfidence":[36,42,78,96,140,144,169,172],"PDOSN,":[38],"this":[39,74,185],"study":[40,75,186],"combined":[41,55,187],"and":[43,82,84,98,116,138,160,170],"an":[44,58],"evolutionary":[45],"game":[46],"to":[47,61,105],"conduct":[48],"a":[49,88,100,120,154,174],"multiagent":[50,89],"simulation":[51,90,191],"PDOSN.":[53],"This":[54],"method":[56],"provided":[57],"effective":[59],"reference":[60],"examine":[62],"context":[67],"behavior.":[70],"After":[71],"careful":[72],"consideration,":[73],"identified":[76],"three":[77],"scenarios,":[79,97],"benefit,":[80],"cost,":[81],"benefit":[83,137,143],"cost":[85,139,150,171],"developed":[87],"model":[91],"for":[92,195],"using":[94],"various":[95],"conducted":[99],"comparison":[101],"with":[102,190],"real\u2010world":[103],"cases":[104],"validate":[106],"model\u2019s":[108],"feasibility.":[109],"findings":[111],"indicated":[112],"that":[113],"adoption":[114,130],"benefits":[115],"betrayal":[117],"penalties":[118],"had":[119,132,173],"positive":[121],"results":[125,179],"all":[127],"models,":[128],"while":[129],"costs":[131],"opposite":[134],"effect.":[135],"When":[136],"occurred":[141],"simultaneously,":[142],"offset":[145],"negative":[147],"overconfidence.":[151],"Moderate":[152],"connectivity,":[153],"large":[155],"number":[156],"core":[158],"nodes,":[159],"high":[161],"reconnection":[162],"probability":[163],"fully":[164],"diffusion.":[167,200],"Benefit":[168],"significant":[175],"impact":[176],"different":[181],"networks.":[182],"As":[183],"such,":[184],"psychological":[188],"theory":[189],"methods,":[192],"providing":[193],"insights":[194],"future":[196],"research":[197]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-04-05T17:49:38.594831","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}