{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2783735155","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/8539740","title":"Study of the Bullwhip Effect under Various Forecasting Methods in Electronics Supply Chain with Dual Retailers considering Market Share","display_name":"Study of the Bullwhip Effect under Various Forecasting Methods in Electronics Supply Chain with Dual Retailers considering Market Share","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2783735155","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/8539740","mag":"2783735155"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1155/2018/8539740","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/8539740","pdf_url":"http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2018/8539740.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2018/8539740.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5037162105","display_name":"Junhai Ma","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0827-5143"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I162868743","display_name":"Tianjin University","ror":"https://ror.org/012tb2g32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Junhai Ma","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China","College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086548040","display_name":"Jing Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1042-7433"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I162868743","display_name":"Tianjin University","ror":"https://ror.org/012tb2g32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jing Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China","College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5046151900","display_name":"Liqing Zhu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6076-1352"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I136765683","display_name":"Tianjin University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00zbe0w13","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I136765683"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I162868743","display_name":"Tianjin University","ror":"https://ror.org/012tb2g32","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Liqing Zhu","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China","School of HUAXIN Software, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China","School of HUAXIN Software, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384","College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of HUAXIN Software, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I136765683"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of HUAXIN Software, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I136765683"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I162868743"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5046151900"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I136765683","https://openalex.org/I162868743"],"apc_list":{"value":2300,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2300},"apc_paid":{"value":2300,"currency":"USD","value_usd":2300},"fwci":0.9949,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.79073935,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":"2018","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10328","display_name":"Supply Chain and Inventory Management","score":0.9995999932289124,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1404","display_name":"Management Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10328","display_name":"Supply Chain and Inventory Management","score":0.9995999932289124,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1404","display_name":"Management Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10539","display_name":"Sustainable Supply Chain Management","score":0.9944999814033508,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9824000000953674,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bullwhip-effect","display_name":"Bullwhip effect","score":0.9576467275619507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supply-chain","display_name":"Supply chain","score":0.6258209347724915},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/order","display_name":"Order (exchange)","score":0.5213407278060913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5139500498771667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/moving-average","display_name":"Moving average","score":0.48846521973609924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.43546798825263977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/market-share","display_name":"Market share","score":0.43360480666160583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"Demand forecasting","score":0.43287724256515503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/entropy","display_name":"Entropy (arrow of time)","score":0.432742178440094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.34179210662841797},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.3355955481529236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.2743120789527893},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/supply-chain-management","display_name":"Supply chain management","score":0.2690771818161011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.21785172820091248},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/marketing","display_name":"Marketing","score":0.19851839542388916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.08598557114601135}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C178595485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1343909","display_name":"Bullwhip effect","level":4,"score":0.9576467275619507},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108713360","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1824206","display_name":"Supply chain","level":2,"score":0.6258209347724915},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182306322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1779371","display_name":"Order (exchange)","level":2,"score":0.5213407278060913},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5139500498771667},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175706884","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130194","display_name":"Moving average","level":2,"score":0.48846521973609924},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.43546798825263977},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C16051113","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q828814","display_name":"Market share","level":2,"score":0.43360480666160583},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.43287724256515503},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106301342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4117933","display_name":"Entropy (arrow of time)","level":2,"score":0.432742178440094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.34179210662841797},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3355955481529236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.2743120789527893},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44104985","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q492886","display_name":"Supply chain management","level":3,"score":0.2690771818161011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.21785172820091248},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.19851839542388916},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.08598557114601135},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31972630","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q844240","display_name":"Computer vision","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1155/2018/8539740","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/8539740","pdf_url":"http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2018/8539740.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:RePEc:hin:complx:8539740","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/8503/2018/8539740.xml","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401271","display_name":"RePEc: Research Papers in Economics","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I77793887","host_organization_name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I77793887"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:doaj.org/article:d241ee8911624839a4846d120db0e350","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doaj.org/article/d241ee8911624839a4846d120db0e350","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S112646816","display_name":"SHILAP Revista de lepidopterolog\u00eda","issn_l":"0300-5267","issn":["0300-5267","2340-4078"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Complexity, Vol 2018 (2018)","raw_type":"article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1155/2018/8539740","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/8539740","pdf_url":"http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2018/8539740.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S207319443","display_name":"Complexity","issn_l":"1076-2787","issn":["1076-2787","1099-0526"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319869","host_organization_name":"Hindawi Publishing Corporation","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319869"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Hindawi Publishing Corporation"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Complexity","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.550000011920929,"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1537600410","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"71571131","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2087396116","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"China","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3317480652","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"Science","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5994120800","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"Natural","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"}],"has_content":{"pdf":true,"grobid_xml":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2783735155.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2783735155.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":22,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1606566855","https://openalex.org/W1963833123","https://openalex.org/W1965067925","https://openalex.org/W1985008713","https://openalex.org/W2003965326","https://openalex.org/W2029694542","https://openalex.org/W2033868917","https://openalex.org/W2043052381","https://openalex.org/W2058428373","https://openalex.org/W2063917843","https://openalex.org/W2082436586","https://openalex.org/W2092994211","https://openalex.org/W2097638519","https://openalex.org/W2104925392","https://openalex.org/W2116342152","https://openalex.org/W2123594576","https://openalex.org/W2166304961","https://openalex.org/W2177895527","https://openalex.org/W2489611997","https://openalex.org/W2491811284","https://openalex.org/W2512317035","https://openalex.org/W4237496831"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2378532152","https://openalex.org/W2391761644","https://openalex.org/W2383583652","https://openalex.org/W2050023151","https://openalex.org/W2116342152","https://openalex.org/W2093839928","https://openalex.org/W2039675282","https://openalex.org/W2029694542","https://openalex.org/W2386731430","https://openalex.org/W3161556095"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"We":[0,63],"establish":[1],"in":[2,22,107,117],"this":[3],"paper":[4,36],"a":[5,18,129,160],"new":[6],"two\u2010stage":[7],"supply":[8,119],"chain":[9,120],"with":[10,28,71,159],"one":[11],"manufacturer":[12],"and":[13,25,58,90,93],"two":[14],"retailers":[15],"which":[16],"have":[17],"fixed":[19],"market":[20,27,51,154],"share":[21,52,155],"the":[23,41,46,50,54,59,66,69,72,80,87,102,110,114,132,136,140,144,148,151,153,157,165,167,174],"mature":[24],"stable":[26],"specific":[29],"reference":[30],"to":[31,109],"consumer":[32],"electronics":[33],"industry.":[34],"This":[35],"offers":[37],"insights":[38],"into":[39],"how":[40],"three":[42],"forecasting":[43,175],"methods":[44,92],"affect":[45],"bullwhip":[47,83,115,141,168],"effect":[48,84,116,169],"considering":[49],"under":[53,86],"ARMA(1,1)":[55],"demand":[56],"process":[57],"order\u2010up\u2010to":[60],"inventory":[61],"policy.":[62],"also":[64],"discuss":[65],"stability":[67],"of":[68,74,82,156],"order":[70],"theory":[73],"entropy.":[75],"In":[76],"particular,":[77],"we":[78],"derive":[79],"expressions":[81],"measure":[85],"MMSE,":[88],"MA,":[89],"ES":[91,111],"compare":[94],"them":[95],"by":[96],"numerical":[97],"simulations.":[98],"Results":[99],"show":[100],"that":[101],"MA":[103,145],"is":[104,126,135,147],"always":[105],"better":[106],"contrast":[108],"for":[112,138],"reducing":[113,139],"our":[118],"model.":[121],"When":[122],"moving":[123],"average":[124],"coefficient":[125],"lower":[127],"than":[128],"certain":[130],"value,":[131],"MMSE":[133],"method":[134,146,176],"best":[137],"effect;":[142],"otherwise,":[143],"best.":[149],"Moreover,":[150],"larger":[152],"retailer":[158],"long":[161],"lead":[162],"time":[163],"is,":[164,170],"greater":[166],"no":[171],"matter":[172],"what":[173],"is.":[177]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-04-18T07:56:08.524223","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}