{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4399120423","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3659211.3659363","title":"Forecasting Analysis of Logistics Freight Volume Based on ARIMA Model","display_name":"Forecasting Analysis of Logistics Freight Volume Based on ARIMA Model","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-12-08","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4399120423","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3659211.3659363"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/3659211.3659363","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3659211.3659363","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 2023 4th International Conference on Big Data Economy and Information Management","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031529722","display_name":"Yanfang Pan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-9013-7699"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210136834","display_name":"Guangxi Transportation Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cqe69","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Yanfang Pan","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Traffic and Transportation, Nanning University, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0004-9013-7699","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Traffic and Transportation, Nanning University, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031701983","display_name":"Bote Liu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0008-4041-7958"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210136834","display_name":"Guangxi Transportation Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cqe69","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bote Liu","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Traffic and Transportation, Nanning University, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0008-4041-7958","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Traffic and Transportation, Nanning University, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090485305","display_name":"Shiyu Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-1176-0852"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210136834","display_name":"Guangxi Transportation Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cqe69","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shiyu Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Traffic and Transportation, Nanning University, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-1176-0852","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Traffic and Transportation, Nanning University, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5039730356","display_name":"Huan Xiong","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9701-9890"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I5343935","display_name":"Guilin University of Electronic Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/05arjae42","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I5343935"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Huan Xiong","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9701-9890","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Architecture and Transportation Engineering, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I5343935"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5001339691","display_name":"Benxiao Lou","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-3320-2077"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I139660479","display_name":"Central South University","ror":"https://ror.org/00f1zfq44","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I139660479"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Benxiao Lou","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Traffic &amp; Transportation Engineering, Central South University, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0001-3320-2077","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Traffic &amp; Transportation Engineering, Central South University, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I139660479"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048536420","display_name":"Guobin Gu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6299-5996"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210136834","display_name":"Guangxi Transportation Research Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cqe69","country_code":"CN","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guobin Gu","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Traffic and Transportation, Nanning University, China"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6299-5996","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Traffic and Transportation, Nanning University, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":6,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5031529722"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210136834"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.2431125,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"882","last_page":"887"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12306","display_name":"Urban and Freight Transport Logistics","score":0.9818999767303467,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12306","display_name":"Urban and Freight Transport Logistics","score":0.9818999767303467,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11223","display_name":"Maritime Ports and Logistics","score":0.9643999934196472,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2209","display_name":"Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/traffic-management","display_name":"Traffic management","score":0.8668566942214966},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-integrated-moving-average","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","score":0.7945883274078369},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/futures-studies","display_name":"Futures studies","score":0.7198963761329651},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/volume","display_name":"Volume (thermodynamics)","score":0.5507482290267944},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.49369940161705017},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/production","display_name":"Production (economics)","score":0.4505321979522705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transport-engineering","display_name":"Transport engineering","score":0.4402177929878235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"Demand forecasting","score":0.4366321563720703},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/industrial-organization","display_name":"Industrial organization","score":0.380129337310791},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.36594778299331665},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.2803648114204407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.19936811923980713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.1865413784980774},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.1463257074356079},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/marketing","display_name":"Marketing","score":0.10930332541465759}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C532444271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2516403","display_name":"Traffic management","level":2,"score":0.8668566942214966},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.7945883274078369},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64848388","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188867","display_name":"Futures studies","level":2,"score":0.7198963761329651},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C20556612","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4469374","display_name":"Volume (thermodynamics)","level":2,"score":0.5507482290267944},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.49369940161705017},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778348673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q739302","display_name":"Production (economics)","level":2,"score":0.4505321979522705},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C22212356","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775325","display_name":"Transport engineering","level":1,"score":0.4402177929878235},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.4366321563720703},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C40700","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1411783","display_name":"Industrial organization","level":1,"score":0.380129337310791},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.36594778299331665},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.2803648114204407},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.19936811923980713},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.1865413784980774},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.1463257074356079},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.10930332541465759},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1145/3659211.3659363","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3659211.3659363","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 2023 4th International Conference on Big Data Economy and Information Management","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":1,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2795570771"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2370236282","https://openalex.org/W3156023083","https://openalex.org/W1591960464","https://openalex.org/W589447001","https://openalex.org/W4205616969","https://openalex.org/W602120612","https://openalex.org/W2365851909","https://openalex.org/W612144171","https://openalex.org/W575144393","https://openalex.org/W41858379"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"With":[0],"the":[1,4,7,13,27,38,44,50,54,64,89],"development":[2],"of":[3,9,16,29,40,46,81],"economy":[5],"and":[6,19,26,31,43,77,106,108,118,120],"improvement":[8],"people's":[10],"living":[11],"standards,":[12],"total":[14],"volume":[15,28,67,84,93],"domestic":[17],"logistics":[18,30,65,82,91],"freight":[20,32,66,83,92],"transport":[21,33,41,51],"has":[22],"been":[23],"growing":[24],"continuously,":[25],"is":[34],"an":[35],"indicator":[36],"reflecting":[37],"results":[39],"production":[42],"amount":[45],"services":[47],"provided":[48],"by":[49],"industry":[52],"for":[53,88,102,113],"national":[55],"economy.":[56],"ARIMA":[57],"(0,":[58],"1,":[59],"1)":[60],"model":[61,80],"to":[62,70,85,98,109],"predict":[63],"from":[68],"2022":[69],"2025.":[71],"This":[72],"paper":[73],"establishes":[74],"a":[75],"reasonable":[76],"scientific":[78],"forecasting":[79],"provide":[86,99,110],"foresight":[87],"future":[90,103],"in":[94,115],"China,":[95],"so":[96],"as":[97],"theoretical":[100],"guidance":[101],"traffic":[104],"planning":[105],"management,":[107],"cost":[111],"control":[112],"enterprises":[114],"matching":[116],"supply":[117],"demand":[119],"inventory":[121],"management.":[122]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
