{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4402963785","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3627673.3680073","title":"Causal Interventional Prediction System for Robust and Explainable Effect Forecasting","display_name":"Causal Interventional Prediction System for Robust and Explainable Effect Forecasting","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-10-20","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4402963785","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3627673.3680073"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/3627673.3680073","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3627673.3680073","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 33rd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"preprint","indexed_in":["arxiv","crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2407.19688","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5008967163","display_name":"Zhixuan Chu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6075-1816"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76130692","display_name":"Zhejiang University","ror":"https://ror.org/00a2xv884","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76130692"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Zhixuan Chu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China","The State Key Laboratory of Blockchain and Data Security, Zhejiang University","Hangzhou High-Tech Zone (Binjiang) Institute of Blockchain and Data Security"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76130692"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The State Key Laboratory of Blockchain and Data Security, Zhejiang University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76130692"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Hangzhou High-Tech Zone (Binjiang) Institute of Blockchain and Data Security","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103864809","display_name":"Hui Ding","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8524-5944"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hui Ding","raw_affiliation_strings":["Ant Group, Hangzhou, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Ant Group, Hangzhou, China","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5104056530","display_name":"Guoyuan Zeng","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Guang Zeng","raw_affiliation_strings":["Ant Group, Hangzhou, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Ant Group, Hangzhou, China","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5056134655","display_name":"Shiyu Wang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5376-6761"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shiyu Wang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Ant Group, Hangzhou, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Ant Group, Hangzhou, China","institution_ids":[]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100346332","display_name":"Yiming Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2258-265X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I172675005","display_name":"Nanyang Technological University","ror":"https://ror.org/02e7b5302","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I172675005"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76130692","display_name":"Zhejiang University","ror":"https://ror.org/00a2xv884","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76130692"]}],"countries":["CN","SG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yiming Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore","Hangzhou High-Tech Zone (Binjiang) Institute of Blockchain and Data Security","The State Key Laboratory of Blockchain and Data Security, Zhejiang University"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I172675005"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Hangzhou High-Tech Zone (Binjiang) Institute of Blockchain and Data Security","institution_ids":[]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"The State Key Laboratory of Blockchain and Data Security, Zhejiang University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76130692"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5008967163"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76130692"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.695,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":2,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.75965003,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":95,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"4431","last_page":"4438"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.9918000102043152,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.9918000102043152,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9848999977111816,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10136","display_name":"Statistical Methods and Inference","score":0.9842000007629395,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6091252565383911},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.44558489322662354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3525744080543518}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6091252565383911},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.44558489322662354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3525744080543518}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1145/3627673.3680073","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3627673.3680073","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 33rd ACM International Conference on Information and Knowledge Management","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:arXiv.org:2407.19688","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.19688","pdf_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2407.19688","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:arXiv.org:2407.19688","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.19688","pdf_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/2407.19688","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"text"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":21,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1845661996","https://openalex.org/W1978108654","https://openalex.org/W2065974896","https://openalex.org/W2102252264","https://openalex.org/W2115098571","https://openalex.org/W2132917208","https://openalex.org/W2140833774","https://openalex.org/W2145278812","https://openalex.org/W2145429839","https://openalex.org/W2145473366","https://openalex.org/W2295598076","https://openalex.org/W2486285194","https://openalex.org/W3086082883","https://openalex.org/W3100105905","https://openalex.org/W3171353004","https://openalex.org/W4213113494","https://openalex.org/W4221153138","https://openalex.org/W4292949783","https://openalex.org/W4385282755","https://openalex.org/W4393159623","https://openalex.org/W4396757523"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2961085424","https://openalex.org/W4306674287","https://openalex.org/W3046775127","https://openalex.org/W3107602296","https://openalex.org/W4394896187","https://openalex.org/W3170094116","https://openalex.org/W4386462264","https://openalex.org/W4364306694","https://openalex.org/W4312192474","https://openalex.org/W4283697347"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Although":[0],"the":[1,28,39,53,58,100],"widespread":[2],"use":[3],"of":[4,43,52,94,102],"AI":[5,14],"systems":[6,15],"in":[7,27,57,114],"today's":[8],"world":[9],"is":[10],"growing,":[11],"many":[12],"current":[13],"are":[16],"found":[17],"vulnerable":[18],"due":[19],"to":[20],"hidden":[21],"bias":[22],"and":[23,41,62,74,90,108,112],"missing":[24],"information,":[25],"especially":[26],"most":[29],"commonly":[30],"used":[31],"forecasting":[32,45],"system.":[33],"In":[34],"this":[35],"work,":[36],"we":[37,77],"explore":[38],"robustness":[40],"explainability":[42],"AI-based":[44],"systems.":[46],"We":[47],"provide":[48],"an":[49],"in-depth":[50],"analysis":[51],"underlying":[54],"causality":[55],"involved":[56],"effect":[59],"prediction":[60,82],"task":[61],"further":[63],"establish":[64],"a":[65,79,87],"causal":[66,80],"graph":[67],"based":[68,85],"on":[69,86],"treatment,":[70],"adjustment":[71],"variable,":[72],"confounder,":[73],"outcome.":[75],"Correspondingly,":[76],"design":[78],"interventional":[81],"system":[83,104],"(CIPS)":[84],"variational":[88],"autoencoder":[89],"fully":[91],"conditional":[92],"specification":[93],"multiple":[95],"imputations.":[96],"Extensive":[97],"results":[98],"demonstrate":[99],"superiority":[101],"our":[103],"over":[105],"state-of-the-art":[106],"methods":[107],"show":[109],"remarkable":[110],"versatility":[111],"extensibility":[113],"practice.":[115]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-03-27T05:58:40.876381","created_date":"2024-09-30T00:00:00"}
