{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2981544815","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3358528.3358547","title":"Forecasting of Thailand's Rice Exports Price","display_name":"Forecasting of Thailand's Rice Exports Price","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-08-28","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2981544815","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3358528.3358547","mag":"2981544815"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/3358528.3358547","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3358528.3358547","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Big Data Technologies","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5004610419","display_name":"Petchaluck Boonyakunakorn","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I48076826","display_name":"Chiang Mai University","ror":"https://ror.org/05m2fqn25","country_code":"TH","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48076826"]}],"countries":["TH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Petchaluck Boonyakunakorn","raw_affiliation_strings":["Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48076826"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028573782","display_name":"Chonrada Nunti","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1851-446X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I48076826","display_name":"Chiang Mai University","ror":"https://ror.org/05m2fqn25","country_code":"TH","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48076826"]}],"countries":["TH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chonrada Nunti","raw_affiliation_strings":["Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48076826"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5020022323","display_name":"Woraphon Yamaka","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0787-1437"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I48076826","display_name":"Chiang Mai University","ror":"https://ror.org/05m2fqn25","country_code":"TH","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I48076826"]}],"countries":["TH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Woraphon Yamaka","raw_affiliation_strings":["Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Chiang Mai University, Chiang Mai, Thailand","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48076826"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I48076826"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.5858,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":4,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.82921175,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":96},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"354","last_page":"357"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12428","display_name":"Global Trade and Competitiveness","score":0.9693999886512756,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12428","display_name":"Global Trade and Competitiveness","score":0.9693999886512756,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1408","display_name":"Strategy and Management"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11871","display_name":"Advanced Statistical Methods and Models","score":0.9434999823570251,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11443","display_name":"Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring","score":0.9373999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/multicollinearity","display_name":"Multicollinearity","score":0.8637517690658569},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/vietnamese","display_name":"Vietnamese","score":0.6935234069824219},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/lasso","display_name":"Lasso (programming language)","score":0.5758300423622131},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/production","display_name":"Production (economics)","score":0.5379818677902222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.4887988269329071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exchange-rate","display_name":"Exchange rate","score":0.44313958287239075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/population","display_name":"Population","score":0.4222603440284729},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/agricultural-economics","display_name":"Agricultural economics","score":0.3905768394470215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/regression-analysis","display_name":"Regression analysis","score":0.37037038803100586},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.3381836414337158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.3284286856651306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.20965576171875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.13482460379600525},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monetary-economics","display_name":"Monetary economics","score":0.0929771363735199},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/macroeconomics","display_name":"Macroeconomics","score":0.07235342264175415}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C189285262","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1332350","display_name":"Multicollinearity","level":3,"score":0.8637517690658569},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C103621254","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9199","display_name":"Vietnamese","level":2,"score":0.6935234069824219},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C37616216","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3218363","display_name":"Lasso (programming language)","level":2,"score":0.5758300423622131},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778348673","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q739302","display_name":"Production (economics)","level":2,"score":0.5379818677902222},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.4887988269329071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776988154","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q66100","display_name":"Exchange rate","level":2,"score":0.44313958287239075},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.4222603440284729},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C48824518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q396340","display_name":"Agricultural economics","level":1,"score":0.3905768394470215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C152877465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q208042","display_name":"Regression analysis","level":2,"score":0.37037038803100586},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3381836414337158},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.3284286856651306},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.20965576171875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.13482460379600525},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C556758197","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q580018","display_name":"Monetary economics","level":1,"score":0.0929771363735199},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.07235342264175415},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41895202","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8162","display_name":"Linguistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1145/3358528.3358547","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3358528.3358547","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Big Data Technologies","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/8","display_name":"Decent work and economic growth","score":0.5699999928474426}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":3,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W2044391169","https://openalex.org/W2125459357","https://openalex.org/W3122503089"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4317475364","https://openalex.org/W4392841950","https://openalex.org/W2136196209","https://openalex.org/W4283715790","https://openalex.org/W2268505974","https://openalex.org/W2387884177","https://openalex.org/W1127100678","https://openalex.org/W2907586934","https://openalex.org/W3188410990","https://openalex.org/W4380592025"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Forecasting":[0],"Thai":[1,49,87,119,125,132],"rice":[2,50,59,88,91,95,98,102,106,113,126,133],"exports":[3,51,60,134],"price":[4,61],"is":[5],"principal":[6],"for":[7],"both":[8],"producers":[9],"and":[10,28,45,75,121],"buyers.":[11],"The":[12,78],"broad":[13],"set":[14],"of":[15,55,57,117,123],"potential":[16],"factors":[17],"influence":[18],"the":[19,39,128],"price,":[20,104,115],"which":[21],"might":[22],"lead":[23],"to":[24,33,47],"multicollinearity":[25],"problems.":[26],"Ridge":[27],"Lasso":[29,64],"regressions":[30],"are":[31],"able":[32],"solve":[34],"these":[35],"problems":[36],"via":[37],"shrinking":[38],"parameters.":[40],"Thus,":[41],"we":[42],"employ":[43],"ridge":[44,82],"lasso":[46],"forecast":[48],"price.":[52,135],"Estimated":[53],"results":[54,80],"forecasting":[56,68],"Thailand's":[58],"show":[62],"that":[63,86],"model":[65],"provides":[66],"better":[67],"performance":[69],"based":[70],"on":[71,131],"MAE,":[72],"MSE,":[73],"RMSE,":[74],"MAPE":[76],"criterion.":[77],"estimated":[79],"from":[81],"regression":[83],"also":[84],"suggest":[85],"production,":[89,96],"Indian":[90,94,97,101],"export":[92,103,107,114],"quantity,":[93,108],"ending":[99],"stock,":[100],"Vietnamese":[105,109,112],"exchange":[110],"rate":[111],"GDP":[116],"importer":[118,124],"rice,":[120],"population":[122],"have":[127],"positive":[129],"effects":[130]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-07-29T14:22:42.915294","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}