{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2982017774","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3331453.3361318","title":"An Adaptive Grey Forecasting Model NGM(1, 1, k2) and Its Application for Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction","display_name":"An Adaptive Grey Forecasting Model NGM(1, 1, k2) and Its Application for Short-term Traffic Flow Prediction","publication_year":2019,"publication_date":"2019-10-21","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2982017774","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3331453.3361318","mag":"2982017774"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/3331453.3361318","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3331453.3361318","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306523809","display_name":"Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Computer Science and Application Engineering","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Computer Science and Application Engineering","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5012760333","display_name":"Ziheng Wu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4633-6012"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I92178344","display_name":"Anhui University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02qdtrq21","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I92178344"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ziheng Wu","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Electrical and Information Engineering, AnHui University of Technology, Maanshan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Electrical and Information Engineering, AnHui University of Technology, Maanshan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I92178344"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5086185434","display_name":"Cong Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7544-8262"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I92178344","display_name":"Anhui University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02qdtrq21","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I92178344"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Cong Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Electrical and Information Engineering, AnHui University of Technology, Maanshan, China"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Electrical and Information Engineering, AnHui University of Technology, Maanshan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I92178344"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I92178344"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":0,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.17236256,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"4"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12368","display_name":"Grey System Theory Applications","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9958999752998352,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13882","display_name":"Research studies in Vietnam","score":0.9585999846458435,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2303","display_name":"Ecology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/23","display_name":"Environmental Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/particle-swarm-optimization","display_name":"Particle swarm optimization","score":0.7155959606170654},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-optimization","display_name":"Mathematical optimization","score":0.5877353549003601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.5782000422477722},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5185894966125488},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/approximation-error","display_name":"Approximation error","score":0.5137837529182434},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quadratic-equation","display_name":"Quadratic equation","score":0.5105815529823303},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/applied-mathematics","display_name":"Applied mathematics","score":0.4679998755455017},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/value","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","score":0.46413370966911316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/estimation-theory","display_name":"Estimation theory","score":0.4432172477245331},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/constant","display_name":"Constant (computer programming)","score":0.43953073024749756},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/least-squares-function-approximation","display_name":"Least-squares function approximation","score":0.42367294430732727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/function","display_name":"Function (biology)","score":0.418654203414917},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/algorithm","display_name":"Algorithm","score":0.3993718922138214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.39170175790786743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.23642706871032715}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C85617194","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2072794","display_name":"Particle swarm optimization","level":2,"score":0.7155959606170654},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126255220","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q141495","display_name":"Mathematical optimization","level":1,"score":0.5877353549003601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.5782000422477722},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5185894966125488},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122383733","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q865920","display_name":"Approximation error","level":2,"score":0.5137837529182434},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C129844170","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q41299","display_name":"Quadratic equation","level":2,"score":0.5105815529823303},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C28826006","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q33521","display_name":"Applied mathematics","level":1,"score":0.4679998755455017},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776291640","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2912517","display_name":"Value (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.46413370966911316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C167928553","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1376021","display_name":"Estimation theory","level":2,"score":0.4432172477245331},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777027219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1284190","display_name":"Constant (computer programming)","level":2,"score":0.43953073024749756},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9936470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6510405","display_name":"Least-squares function approximation","level":3,"score":0.42367294430732727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C14036430","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3736076","display_name":"Function (biology)","level":2,"score":0.418654203414917},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.3993718922138214},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.39170175790786743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.23642706871032715},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78458016","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q840400","display_name":"Evolutionary biology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2524010","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087","display_name":"Geometry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185429906","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130160","display_name":"Estimator","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1145/3331453.3361318","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3331453.3361318","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306523809","display_name":"Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Computer Science and Application Engineering","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Computer Science and Application Engineering","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G1761476650","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"1908085QF253","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334897","funder_display_name":"Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334897","display_name":"Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province","ror":null}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":8,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1551012688","https://openalex.org/W2013377700","https://openalex.org/W2029624237","https://openalex.org/W2084349912","https://openalex.org/W2408940203","https://openalex.org/W2432465520","https://openalex.org/W2494809744","https://openalex.org/W3140035943"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3019402777","https://openalex.org/W2031835531","https://openalex.org/W2388590088","https://openalex.org/W4386596916","https://openalex.org/W1969166468","https://openalex.org/W2122371747","https://openalex.org/W2097519318","https://openalex.org/W1990764232","https://openalex.org/W2131248431","https://openalex.org/W4317840379"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"One":[0],"of":[1,11,43,71,90,117,119,130],"the":[2,9,12,20,26,31,41,44,64,68,72,102,107,115,126,131],"most":[3],"important":[4,37],"factors":[5],"that":[6],"lead":[7],"to":[8,39,66],"instability":[10],"traditional":[13,73],"grey":[14,45,53,74],"NGM(1,":[15,75],"1,":[16,76],"k2)":[17,77],"model":[18,54,78],"is":[19,35,59,79,99,111],"parameter":[21,32,92],"estimation":[22,33],"error.":[23],"Based":[24],"on":[25,114],"background":[27,69],"value":[28,70,85,105],"optimization,":[29],"studying":[30],"method":[34,38],"an":[36],"improve":[40,67],"performance":[42],"model.":[46,134],"In":[47],"this":[48],"paper,":[49],"a":[50,87],"new":[51,88],"adpative":[52],"with":[55],"quadratic":[56],"time-varying":[57],"parameters":[58],"put":[60],"forward":[61],"in":[62,106],"which":[63],"formula":[65],"deduced":[80],"by":[81,94],"using":[82],"Lagrange":[83],"mean":[84],"theorem,":[86],"kind":[89],"adaptve":[91],"optimized":[93],"particle":[95],"swarm":[96],"optimization":[97,133],"algorithm":[98],"introduced,":[100],"and":[101,128],"optimal":[103],"constant":[104],"time":[108],"response":[109],"function":[110],"derived":[112],"based":[113],"sum":[116],"squares":[118],"relative":[120],"errors.":[121],"Experimental":[122],"results":[123],"have":[124],"shown":[125],"practicality":[127],"effectiveness":[129],"presented":[132]},"counts_by_year":[],"updated_date":"2026-07-29T14:22:42.915294","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}