{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4298854966","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3038912.3052650","title":"Expecting to be HIP","display_name":"Expecting to be HIP","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-04-03","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4298854966","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3038912.3052650"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/3038912.3052650","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3038912.3052650","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"conference-paper","indexed_in":["arxiv","crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3038912.3052650","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5069685493","display_name":"Marian-Andrei Rizoiu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0381-669X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I118347636","display_name":"Australian National University","ror":"https://ror.org/019wvm592","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I118347636"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1292875679","display_name":"Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation","ror":"https://ror.org/03qn8fb07","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I42894916","display_name":"Data61","ror":"https://ror.org/03q397159","country_code":"AU","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I42894916","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Marian-Andrei Rizoiu","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Australian National University & Data61 CSIRO, Canberra, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Australian National University & Data61 CSIRO, Canberra, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I118347636","https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I42894916"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049449495","display_name":"Lexing Xie","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8319-0118"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I118347636","display_name":"Australian National University","ror":"https://ror.org/019wvm592","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I118347636"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1292875679","display_name":"Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation","ror":"https://ror.org/03qn8fb07","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I42894916","display_name":"Data61","ror":"https://ror.org/03q397159","country_code":"AU","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I42894916","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lexing Xie","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Australian National University & Data61 CSIRO, Canberra, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Australian National University & Data61 CSIRO, Canberra, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I118347636","https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I42894916"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028174137","display_name":"Scott Sanner","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7984-8394"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I185261750","display_name":"University of Toronto","ror":"https://ror.org/03dbr7087","country_code":"CA","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I185261750"]}],"countries":["CA"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Scott Sanner","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I185261750"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5017095669","display_name":"Manuel Cebri\u00e1n","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3681-7982"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1292875679","display_name":"Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation","ror":"https://ror.org/03qn8fb07","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I42894916","display_name":"Data61","ror":"https://ror.org/03q397159","country_code":"AU","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I42894916","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Manuel Cebrian","raw_affiliation_strings":["Data61 CSIRO, Melbourne, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Data61 CSIRO, Melbourne, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I42894916"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025712098","display_name":"Honglin Yu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5330-2182"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I118347636","display_name":"Australian National University","ror":"https://ror.org/019wvm592","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I118347636"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1292875679","display_name":"Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation","ror":"https://ror.org/03qn8fb07","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I42894916","display_name":"Data61","ror":"https://ror.org/03q397159","country_code":"AU","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I42894916","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Honglin Yu","raw_affiliation_strings":["The Australian National University & Data61 CSIRO, Canberra, Australia"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"The Australian National University & Data61 CSIRO, Canberra, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I118347636","https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I42894916"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035808622","display_name":"Pascal Van Hentenryck","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7085-9994"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I27837315","display_name":"University of Michigan","ror":"https://ror.org/00jmfr291","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Pascal Van Hentenryck","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I27837315"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":3,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":104,"citation_normalized_percentile":null,"cited_by_percentile_year":null,"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"735","last_page":"744"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9994999766349792,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12592","display_name":"Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence","score":0.9980999827384949,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13187","display_name":"Diffusion and Search Dynamics","score":0.9919000267982483,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1312","display_name":"Molecular Biology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/13","display_name":"Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/1","display_name":"Life Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/popularity","display_name":"Popularity","score":0.9870087504386902},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7039604187011719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/promotion","display_name":"Promotion (chess)","score":0.6965835094451904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/viral-marketing","display_name":"Viral marketing","score":0.5179723501205444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-media","display_name":"Social media","score":0.5137423276901245},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/advertising","display_name":"Advertising","score":0.3762020766735077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/internet-privacy","display_name":"Internet privacy","score":0.32383954524993896},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/world-wide-web","display_name":"World Wide Web","score":0.2885230779647827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.13018161058425903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/psychology","display_name":"Psychology","score":0.12565240263938904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/political-science","display_name":"Political science","score":0.07542538642883301}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780586970","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1357284","display_name":"Popularity","level":2,"score":0.9870087504386902},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7039604187011719},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98147612","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q215599","display_name":"Promotion (chess)","level":3,"score":0.6965835094451904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187008535","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q204255","display_name":"Viral marketing","level":3,"score":0.5179723501205444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518677369","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q202833","display_name":"Social media","level":2,"score":0.5137423276901245},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C112698675","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37038","display_name":"Advertising","level":1,"score":0.3762020766735077},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108827166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q175975","display_name":"Internet privacy","level":1,"score":0.32383954524993896},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.2885230779647827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.13018161058425903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.12565240263938904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.07542538642883301},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1145/3038912.3052650","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3038912.3052650","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:arXiv.org:1602.06033","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://arxiv.org/abs/1602.06033","pdf_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/1602.06033","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":"2331-8422","issn":["2331-8422"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/3038912.3052650","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/3038912.3052650","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on World Wide Web","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G2859274456","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"FA2386-15-1-4018","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320338294","funder_display_name":"Air Force Research Laboratory"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320312169","display_name":"National Computational Infrastructure","ror":"https://ror.org/04yx6dh41"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320315885","display_name":"Australian Government","ror":"https://ror.org/0314h5y94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320337351","display_name":"National Cancer Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/040gcmg81"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320338294","display_name":"Air Force Research Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/02e2egq70"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":55,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1508765177","https://openalex.org/W1814023381","https://openalex.org/W1954020979","https://openalex.org/W1964869462","https://openalex.org/W1966027336","https://openalex.org/W1967579779","https://openalex.org/W1968714482","https://openalex.org/W1977672204","https://openalex.org/W1983280144","https://openalex.org/W1996263819","https://openalex.org/W2000042664","https://openalex.org/W2037970810","https://openalex.org/W2042034885","https://openalex.org/W2051434435","https://openalex.org/W2061820396","https://openalex.org/W2069849731","https://openalex.org/W2073926352","https://openalex.org/W2076219102","https://openalex.org/W2097343308","https://openalex.org/W2109275736","https://openalex.org/W2119148740","https://openalex.org/W2127492100","https://openalex.org/W2136789464","https://openalex.org/W2137630814","https://openalex.org/W2141250202","https://openalex.org/W2143428876","https://openalex.org/W2171817276","https://openalex.org/W2178225550","https://openalex.org/W2265595858","https://openalex.org/W2276587416","https://openalex.org/W2330168953","https://openalex.org/W2366404242","https://openalex.org/W2404281481","https://openalex.org/W2510535358","https://openalex.org/W2949377321","https://openalex.org/W2953100823","https://openalex.org/W2963597852","https://openalex.org/W2964269387","https://openalex.org/W3099263499","https://openalex.org/W3103362336","https://openalex.org/W3104250540","https://openalex.org/W3104987177","https://openalex.org/W3105291472","https://openalex.org/W3121315632","https://openalex.org/W3122471732","https://openalex.org/W3125952634","https://openalex.org/W4232212779","https://openalex.org/W4250050336","https://openalex.org/W4251749444","https://openalex.org/W4256558080","https://openalex.org/W4299802090","https://openalex.org/W4300870773","https://openalex.org/W4301406033","https://openalex.org/W6676028428","https://openalex.org/W7024782547"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2748952813","https://openalex.org/W2368605798","https://openalex.org/W2518037665","https://openalex.org/W2348524959","https://openalex.org/W2477036161","https://openalex.org/W2368049389","https://openalex.org/W2384861574","https://openalex.org/W4294565801","https://openalex.org/W2093123876","https://openalex.org/W4388192780"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Modeling":[0],"and":[1,19,48,71,110,159,181],"predicting":[2],"the":[3,13,39,42,49,57,75,87,94,131,138,143,147,178,186],"popularity":[4,43,96,129,169,195],"of":[5,15,29,44,98,105,108,120,133,140,177],"online":[6,46],"content":[7,76],"is":[8],"a":[9,83,117,173,204],"significant":[10],"problem":[11],"for":[12,214],"practice":[14],"information":[16],"dissemination,":[17],"advertising,":[18],"consumption.":[20],"Recent":[21],"work":[22,55],"analyzing":[23],"massive":[24],"datasets":[25],"advances":[26],"our":[27],"understanding":[28],"popularity,":[30],"but":[31],"one":[32],"major":[33],"gap":[34],"remains:":[35],"To":[36],"precisely":[37],"quantify":[38],"relationship":[40],"between":[41,60],"an":[45,123,134],"item":[47],"external":[50],"promotions":[51,141,171,216],"it":[52,183],"receives.":[53],"This":[54,126],"supplies":[56,116],"missing":[58],"link":[59],"exogenous":[61],"inputs":[62],"from":[63,142,191],"public":[64],"social":[65],"media":[66],"platforms,":[67],"such":[68,78],"as":[69,79,130,210,212],"Twitter,":[70],"endogenous":[72],"responses":[73],"within":[74],"platform,":[77],"YouTube.":[80],"We":[81,162],"develop":[82],"novel":[84],"mathematical":[85],"model,":[86],"Hawkes":[88],"intensity":[89],"process,":[90],"which":[91,215],"can":[92,199],"explain":[93],"complex":[95],"history":[97],"each":[99],"video":[100,148],"according":[101],"to":[102,112,157,166,184,207],"its":[103],"type":[104],"content,":[106],"network":[107],"diffusion,":[109],"sensitivity":[111,156],"promotion.":[113],"Our":[114],"model":[115,165],"prototypical":[118],"description":[119],"videos,":[121,180],"called":[122],"endo-exo":[124],"map.":[125],"map":[127],"explains":[128],"result":[132],"extrinsic":[135],"factor":[136],"--":[137,155],"amount":[139],"outside":[144],"world":[145],"that":[146,202],"receives,":[149],"acting":[150],"upon":[151],"two":[152],"intrinsic":[153],"factors":[154],"promotion,":[158],"inherent":[160],"virality.":[161],"use":[163],"this":[164],"forecast":[167],"future":[168],"given":[170],"on":[172,194],"large":[174],"5-months":[175],"feed":[176],"most-tweeted":[179],"found":[182],"lower":[185],"average":[187],"error":[188],"by":[189],"28.6%":[190],"approaches":[192],"based":[193],"history.":[196],"Finally,":[197],"we":[198],"identify":[200],"videos":[201],"have":[203,218],"high":[205],"potential":[206],"become":[208],"viral,":[209],"well":[211],"those":[213],"will":[217],"hardly":[219],"any":[220],"effect.":[221]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":16},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":10},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2026-07-28T07:46:37.118299","created_date":"2022-10-02T00:00:00"}