{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2560439977","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2978771","title":"Prediction of Virality Timing Using Cascades in Social Media","display_name":"Prediction of Virality Timing Using Cascades in Social Media","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-12-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2560439977","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2978771","mag":"2560439977"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/2978771","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2978771","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S19610489","display_name":"ACM Transactions on Multimedia Computing Communications and Applications","issn_l":"1551-6857","issn":["1551-6857","1551-6865"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319798","host_organization_name":"Association for Computing Machinery","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319798"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Association for Computing Machinery"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ACM Transactions on Multimedia Computing, Communications, and Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013947092","display_name":"Ming Cheung","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4646-1980"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I889458895","display_name":"University of Hong Kong","ror":"https://ror.org/02zhqgq86","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I889458895"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200769079","display_name":"Hong Kong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00q4vv597","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200769079"]}],"countries":["HK"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Ming Cheung","raw_affiliation_strings":["HKUST-NIE Social Media Lab, Kowloon, Hong Kong"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"HKUST-NIE Social Media Lab, Kowloon, Hong Kong","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200769079","https://openalex.org/I889458895"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5014779317","display_name":"James She","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7250-8220"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200769079","display_name":"Hong Kong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00q4vv597","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200769079"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I889458895","display_name":"University of Hong Kong","ror":"https://ror.org/02zhqgq86","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I889458895"]}],"countries":["HK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"James She","raw_affiliation_strings":["HKUST-NIE Social Media Lab, Kowloon, Hong Kong"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"HKUST-NIE Social Media Lab, Kowloon, Hong Kong","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200769079","https://openalex.org/I889458895"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040865464","display_name":"Alvin Junus","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8819-0472"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I889458895","display_name":"University of Hong Kong","ror":"https://ror.org/02zhqgq86","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I889458895"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200769079","display_name":"Hong Kong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00q4vv597","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200769079"]}],"countries":["HK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Alvin Junus","raw_affiliation_strings":["HKUST-NIE Social Media Lab, Kowloon, Hong Kong"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"HKUST-NIE Social Media Lab, Kowloon, Hong Kong","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200769079","https://openalex.org/I889458895"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101410590","display_name":"Lei Cao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2572-6951"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I200769079","display_name":"Hong Kong University of Science and Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/00q4vv597","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I200769079"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I889458895","display_name":"University of Hong Kong","ror":"https://ror.org/02zhqgq86","country_code":"HK","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I889458895"]}],"countries":["HK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Lei Cao","raw_affiliation_strings":["HKUST-NIE Social Media Lab, Kowloon, Hong Kong"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"HKUST-NIE Social Media Lab, Kowloon, Hong Kong","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200769079","https://openalex.org/I889458895"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5013947092"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I200769079","https://openalex.org/I889458895"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.8839,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":11,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.76606511,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":"13","issue":"1","first_page":"1","last_page":"23"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10064","display_name":"Complex Network Analysis Techniques","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11478","display_name":"Caching and Content Delivery","score":0.9958000183105469,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1705","display_name":"Computer Networks and Communications"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12016","display_name":"Web Data Mining and Analysis","score":0.9742000102996826,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1710","display_name":"Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/popularity","display_name":"Popularity","score":0.8850089907646179},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/viral-marketing","display_name":"Viral marketing","score":0.7800573706626892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7587548494338989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-media","display_name":"Social media","score":0.542211651802063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/social-network","display_name":"Social network (sociolinguistics)","score":0.49814581871032715},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3585015535354614},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.3260415196418762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/world-wide-web","display_name":"World Wide Web","score":0.17007976770401}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780586970","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1357284","display_name":"Popularity","level":2,"score":0.8850089907646179},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C187008535","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q204255","display_name":"Viral marketing","level":3,"score":0.7800573706626892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7587548494338989},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C518677369","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q202833","display_name":"Social media","level":2,"score":0.542211651802063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4727928","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17164759","display_name":"Social network (sociolinguistics)","level":3,"score":0.49814581871032715},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3585015535354614},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.3260415196418762},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136764020","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466","display_name":"World Wide Web","level":1,"score":0.17007976770401},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77805123","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161272","display_name":"Social psychology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C15744967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9418","display_name":"Psychology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1145/2978771","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2978771","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S19610489","display_name":"ACM Transactions on Multimedia Computing Communications and Applications","issn_l":"1551-6857","issn":["1551-6857","1551-6865"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319798","host_organization_name":"Association for Computing Machinery","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319798"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Association for Computing Machinery"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ACM Transactions on Multimedia Computing, Communications, and Applications","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":57,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W171462922","https://openalex.org/W863049760","https://openalex.org/W1497522841","https://openalex.org/W1607773540","https://openalex.org/W1742402942","https://openalex.org/W1752870744","https://openalex.org/W1856548066","https://openalex.org/W1943015726","https://openalex.org/W1964869462","https://openalex.org/W1965964177","https://openalex.org/W1976537089","https://openalex.org/W1976811884","https://openalex.org/W1977935992","https://openalex.org/W1984328578","https://openalex.org/W1992537918","https://openalex.org/W1996263819","https://openalex.org/W2005562282","https://openalex.org/W2020221730","https://openalex.org/W2021884758","https://openalex.org/W2024490641","https://openalex.org/W2027135291","https://openalex.org/W2028055861","https://openalex.org/W2037970810","https://openalex.org/W2041157860","https://openalex.org/W2054121119","https://openalex.org/W2058465497","https://openalex.org/W2073926352","https://openalex.org/W2078939860","https://openalex.org/W2087398646","https://openalex.org/W2097343308","https://openalex.org/W2107559689","https://openalex.org/W2109647581","https://openalex.org/W2111708605","https://openalex.org/W2112056172","https://openalex.org/W2112681514","https://openalex.org/W2118519969","https://openalex.org/W2124532437","https://openalex.org/W2127267264","https://openalex.org/W2129679208","https://openalex.org/W2135966709","https://openalex.org/W2142306706","https://openalex.org/W2156716308","https://openalex.org/W2170826378","https://openalex.org/W2184179640","https://openalex.org/W2214702106","https://openalex.org/W2295812470","https://openalex.org/W2397184385","https://openalex.org/W2949377321","https://openalex.org/W3004555699","https://openalex.org/W3098234360","https://openalex.org/W3098684887","https://openalex.org/W3103616114","https://openalex.org/W3104010597","https://openalex.org/W3104987177","https://openalex.org/W3122471732","https://openalex.org/W3125952634","https://openalex.org/W4392366624"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2093123876","https://openalex.org/W4388192780","https://openalex.org/W2217604302","https://openalex.org/W2030628044","https://openalex.org/W2120116197","https://openalex.org/W4386893809","https://openalex.org/W2806516768","https://openalex.org/W159653547","https://openalex.org/W2998073084","https://openalex.org/W2794938251"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Predicting":[0],"content":[1,38,70,103,158,202],"going":[2],"viral":[3,10,102],"in":[4,22,60,98,121],"social":[5,99,136,208],"networks":[6],"is":[7,72,87,129,176,196],"attractive":[8],"for":[9],"marketing,":[11],"advertisement,":[12],"entertainment,":[13],"and":[14,67,95,138,149],"other":[15],"applications,":[16],"but":[17,104],"it":[18],"remains":[19],"a":[20,50,182],"challenge":[21],"the":[23,34,41,62,65,93,111,115,119,156,170,173,186,190,197],"big":[24,78],"data":[25,79,86,160],"era":[26],"today.":[27],"Previous":[28],"works":[29],"mainly":[30],"focus":[31],"on":[32],"predicting":[33],"possible":[35],"popularity":[36,71],"of":[37,43,69,101,118,155,172,192],"rather":[39],"than":[40],"timing":[42,66,113,117,175,204],"reaching":[44,165],"such":[45],"popularity.":[46],"This":[47],"work":[48,199],"proposes":[49],"novel":[51],"yet":[52],"practical":[53],"iterative":[54,123],"algorithm":[55,128],"to":[56,91,109,178],"predict":[57],"virality":[58,120,159,168,203],"timing,":[59],"which":[61],"correlation":[63],"between":[64],"growth":[68],"captured":[73],"by":[74,131,206],"using":[75],"its":[76,166],"own":[77],"naturally":[80],"generated":[81],"from":[82,133,185],"users\u2019":[83],"sharing.":[84],"Such":[85],"not":[88],"only":[89],"able":[90],"correlate":[92],"dynamics":[94],"associated":[96],"timings":[97],"cascades":[100,209],"also":[105],"can":[106],"be":[107,179],"useful":[108],"self-correct":[110],"predicted":[112,174],"against":[114],"actual":[116,167,187],"each":[122],"prediction.":[124],"The":[125],"proposed":[126],"prediction":[127],"verified":[130],"datasets":[132,144],"two":[134,142],"popular":[135],"networks\u2014Twitter":[137],"Digg\u2014as":[139],"well":[140],"as":[141],"synthesized":[143],"with":[145],"extreme":[146],"network":[147],"densities":[148],"infection":[150],"rates.":[151],"With":[152],"about":[153],"50%":[154],"required":[157],"available":[161],"(i.e.,":[162],"halfway":[163],"before":[164],"timing),":[169],"error":[171],"proven":[177],"bounded":[180],"within":[181],"40%":[183],"deviation":[184],"timing.":[188],"To":[189],"best":[191],"our":[193],"knowledge,":[194],"this":[195],"first":[198],"that":[200],"predicts":[201],"iteratively":[205],"capturing":[207],"dynamics.":[210]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}