{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2069473687","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2362383.2362387","title":"Forecasting in the NBA and other team sports","display_name":"Forecasting in the NBA and other team sports","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-10-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2069473687","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2362383.2362387","mag":"2069473687"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/2362383.2362387","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2362383.2362387","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S41523882","display_name":"ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data","issn_l":"1556-4681","issn":["1556-4681","1556-472X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319798","host_organization_name":"Association for Computing Machinery","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319798"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Association for Computing Machinery"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023882015","display_name":"Pedro O. S. Vaz de Melo","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9749-0151"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I110200422","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Pedro O. S. Vaz de Melo","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais#TAB#"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5058840149","display_name":"Virg\u0131\u0301lio Almeida","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6452-0361"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I110200422","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Virgilio A. F. Almeida","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais#TAB#"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5076640892","display_name":"Ant\u00f4nio A. F. Loureiro","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5250-1785"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I110200422","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Antonio A. F. Loureiro","raw_affiliation_strings":["Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais#TAB#"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais#TAB#","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035605036","display_name":"Christos Faloutsos","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2996-9790"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I74973139","display_name":"Carnegie Mellon University","ror":"https://ror.org/05x2bcf33","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Christos Faloutsos","raw_affiliation_strings":["Carnegie Mellon University"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Carnegie Mellon University","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I74973139"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5023882015"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.4123,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":28,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.9132785,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"6","issue":"3","first_page":"1","last_page":"27"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11674","display_name":"Sports Analytics and Performance","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10799","display_name":"Data Visualization and Analytics","score":0.9624999761581421,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1707","display_name":"Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10942","display_name":"Sports, Gender, and Society","score":0.9434999823570251,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3318","display_name":"Gender Studies"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/league","display_name":"League","score":0.9062309861183167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/outcome","display_name":"Outcome (game theory)","score":0.720414936542511},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/basketball","display_name":"Basketball","score":0.7019978761672974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.643621563911438},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/task","display_name":"Task (project management)","score":0.5529806017875671},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/rank","display_name":"Rank (graph theory)","score":0.5010488033294678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/construct","display_name":"Construct (python library)","score":0.4774352014064789},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/work","display_name":"Work (physics)","score":0.46515971422195435},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/football","display_name":"Football","score":0.42407214641571045},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/event","display_name":"Event (particle physics)","score":0.4198649227619171},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.37297993898391724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.3704308867454529},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.37019917368888855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.3368757963180542},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.13811355829238892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.13384902477264404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.1180371642112732},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/microeconomics","display_name":"Microeconomics","score":0.10344734787940979},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/geography","display_name":"Geography","score":0.09353676438331604}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C207456731","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q660818","display_name":"League","level":2,"score":0.9062309861183167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C148220186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7111912","display_name":"Outcome (game theory)","level":2,"score":0.720414936542511},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C103189561","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5372","display_name":"Basketball","level":2,"score":0.7019978761672974},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.643621563911438},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780451532","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q759676","display_name":"Task (project management)","level":2,"score":0.5529806017875671},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C164226766","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7293202","display_name":"Rank (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.5010488033294678},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780801425","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5164392","display_name":"Construct (python library)","level":2,"score":0.4774352014064789},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18762648","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42213","display_name":"Work (physics)","level":2,"score":0.46515971422195435},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778444522","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1081491","display_name":"Football","level":2,"score":0.42407214641571045},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779662365","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5416694","display_name":"Event (particle physics)","level":2,"score":0.4198649227619171},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.37297993898391724},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.3704308867454529},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.37019917368888855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3368757963180542},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.13811355829238892},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.13384902477264404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.1180371642112732},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175444787","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39072","display_name":"Microeconomics","level":1,"score":0.10344734787940979},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205649164","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1071","display_name":"Geography","level":0,"score":0.09353676438331604},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78519656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101333","display_name":"Mechanical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1276947","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333","display_name":"Astronomy","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C166957645","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q23498","display_name":"Archaeology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1145/2362383.2362387","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2362383.2362387","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S41523882","display_name":"ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data","issn_l":"1556-4681","issn":["1556-4681","1556-472X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319798","host_organization_name":"Association for Computing Machinery","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319798"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Association for Computing Machinery"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320322025","display_name":"Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient\u00edfico e Tecnol\u00f3gico","ror":"https://ror.org/03swz6y49"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324369","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32"}],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":25,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1488370856","https://openalex.org/W1491107198","https://openalex.org/W1535228543","https://openalex.org/W1791808111","https://openalex.org/W1971421925","https://openalex.org/W2012158465","https://openalex.org/W2012557827","https://openalex.org/W2039680857","https://openalex.org/W2061503185","https://openalex.org/W2065353443","https://openalex.org/W2078162400","https://openalex.org/W2083494125","https://openalex.org/W2091789084","https://openalex.org/W2116706583","https://openalex.org/W2135775480","https://openalex.org/W2148123869","https://openalex.org/W2148606196","https://openalex.org/W2153387921","https://openalex.org/W2161623414","https://openalex.org/W2162439408","https://openalex.org/W2321684664","https://openalex.org/W2903401939","https://openalex.org/W6638242899","https://openalex.org/W6682100860","https://openalex.org/W6683767419"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4390888910","https://openalex.org/W2391781024","https://openalex.org/W1971660097","https://openalex.org/W596417597","https://openalex.org/W2217861862","https://openalex.org/W2372215460","https://openalex.org/W2353353369","https://openalex.org/W3147676070","https://openalex.org/W72114162","https://openalex.org/W2073857110"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0],"multi-million":[1],"sports-betting":[2],"market":[3],"is":[4,20,56,85],"based":[5],"on":[6],"the":[7,10,14,25,43,61,81,86,98,146,155,164,197,202,208,222,228,232],"fact":[8],"that":[9,109],"task":[11],"of":[12,16,27,31,45,64,76,100,196,231],"predicting":[13,65],"outcome":[15,44],"a":[17,38,46,49,115,135,139,171,178,183,236],"sports":[18,66,72,103,130,136,200],"event":[19],"very":[21],"hard.":[22],"Even":[23],"with":[24,170,190,221],"aid":[26],"an":[28],"uncountable":[29],"number":[30],"descriptive":[32],"statistics":[33],"and":[34,68,78,118,143,152,207],"background":[35],"information,":[36],"only":[37,82],"few":[39],"can":[40,123],"correctly":[41],"guess":[42],"game":[47],"or":[48],"league.":[50,131],"In":[51],"this":[52,160],"work,":[53],"our":[54,187,244],"approach":[55],"to":[57,70,96,127,162],"move":[58],"away":[59],"from":[60],"traditional":[62],"way":[63],"events,":[67],"instead":[69],"model":[71,214],"leagues":[73],"as":[74,138],"networks":[75],"players":[77],"teams":[79,101],"where":[80],"information":[83],"available":[84],"work":[87],"relationships":[88],"among":[89],"them.":[90],"We":[91,185],"propose":[92],"two":[93,195],"network-based":[94,165],"models":[95,106,189,193,224],"predict":[97],"behavior":[99],"in":[102,141,194,219],"leagues.":[104],"These":[105],"are":[107,120],"parameter-free,":[108],"is,":[110],"they":[111,122],"do":[112],"not":[113],"have":[114],"single":[116],"parameter,":[117],"moreover":[119],"sport-agnostic:":[121],"be":[124],"applied":[125],"directly":[126],"any":[128],"team":[129,179],"First,":[132],"we":[133,144,158,234],"view":[134],"league":[137],"network":[140,150,229],"evolution,":[142],"infer":[145],"implicit":[147],"feedback":[148],"behind":[149],"changes":[151],"properties":[153,230],"over":[154,182,243],"years.":[156],"Then,":[157],"use":[159],"knowledge":[161],"construct":[163],"prediction":[166,192,240],"models,":[167],"which":[168],"can,":[169],"significantly":[172],"high":[173],"probability,":[174],"indicate":[175],"how":[176],"well":[177],"will":[180],"perform":[181],"season.":[184],"compare":[186],"proposed":[188],"other":[191,223],"most":[198],"popular":[199],"leagues:":[201],"National":[203],"Basketball":[204],"Association":[205],"(NBA)":[206],"Major":[209],"League":[210],"Baseball":[211],"(MLB).":[212],"Our":[213],"shows":[215],"consistently":[216],"good":[217],"results":[218],"comparison":[220],"and,":[225],"relying":[226],"upon":[227],"teams,":[233],"achieved":[235],"\u2248":[237],"14%":[238],"rank":[239],"accuracy":[241],"improvement":[242],"best":[245],"competitor.":[246]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}