{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2161433505","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2331140.2331145","title":"Bayesian Kriging Analysis and Design for Stochastic Simulations","display_name":"Bayesian Kriging Analysis and Design for Stochastic Simulations","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-08-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2161433505","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2331140.2331145","mag":"2161433505"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/2331140.2331145","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2331140.2331145","pdf_url":"https://dl.acm.org/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1145%2F2331140.2331145&file=a17-ng_appendix.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S38703467","display_name":"ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation","issn_l":"1049-3301","issn":["1049-3301","1558-1195"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319798","host_organization_name":"Association for Computing Machinery","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319798"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Association for Computing Machinery"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"bronze","oa_url":"https://dl.acm.org/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1145%2F2331140.2331145&file=a17-ng_appendix.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5000310523","display_name":"Szu Hui Ng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4651-4176"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165932596","display_name":"National University of Singapore","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgyzw49","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}],"countries":["SG"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Szu Hui Ng","raw_affiliation_strings":["National University of Singapore"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National University of Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5028216648","display_name":"Jun Yin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2706-0620"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I165932596","display_name":"National University of Singapore","ror":"https://ror.org/01tgyzw49","country_code":"SG","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}],"countries":["SG"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jun Yin","raw_affiliation_strings":["National University of Singapore"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"National University of Singapore","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5000310523"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I165932596"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":4.3803,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":38,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.94956647,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"22","issue":"3","first_page":"1","last_page":"26"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10848","display_name":"Advanced Multi-Objective Optimization Algorithms","score":0.9972000122070312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1703","display_name":"Computational Theory and Mathematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10848","display_name":"Advanced Multi-Objective Optimization Algorithms","score":0.9972000122070312,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1703","display_name":"Computational Theory and Mathematics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11195","display_name":"Simulation Techniques and Applications","score":0.9531000256538391,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11798","display_name":"Optimal Experimental Design Methods","score":0.9366999864578247,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/kriging","display_name":"Kriging","score":0.7984098792076111},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/metamodeling","display_name":"Metamodeling","score":0.7909680604934692},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6324792504310608},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/estimator","display_name":"Estimator","score":0.5717752575874329},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/markov-chain-monte-carlo","display_name":"Markov chain Monte Carlo","score":0.5627909302711487},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/stochastic-simulation","display_name":"Stochastic simulation","score":0.5461316108703613},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-probability","display_name":"Bayesian probability","score":0.5382291078567505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/monte-carlo-method","display_name":"Monte Carlo method","score":0.4811305105686188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-optimization","display_name":"Mathematical optimization","score":0.4793146848678589},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/variance","display_name":"Variance (accounting)","score":0.4124869406223297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.22507676482200623},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.21617358922958374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.18496596813201904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.1266954243183136}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C81692654","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q225926","display_name":"Kriging","level":2,"score":0.7984098792076111},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86610423","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1925081","display_name":"Metamodeling","level":2,"score":0.7909680604934692},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6324792504310608},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185429906","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130160","display_name":"Estimator","level":2,"score":0.5717752575874329},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111350023","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1191869","display_name":"Markov chain Monte Carlo","level":3,"score":0.5627909302711487},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C25915931","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4180825","display_name":"Stochastic simulation","level":2,"score":0.5461316108703613},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.5382291078567505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C19499675","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q232207","display_name":"Monte Carlo method","level":2,"score":0.4811305105686188},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C126255220","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q141495","display_name":"Mathematical optimization","level":1,"score":0.4793146848678589},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C196083921","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7915758","display_name":"Variance (accounting)","level":2,"score":0.4124869406223297},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.22507676482200623},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.21617358922958374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.18496596813201904},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.1266954243183136},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121955636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4116214","display_name":"Accounting","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1145/2331140.2331145","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2331140.2331145","pdf_url":"https://dl.acm.org/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1145%2F2331140.2331145&file=a17-ng_appendix.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S38703467","display_name":"ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation","issn_l":"1049-3301","issn":["1049-3301","1558-1195"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319798","host_organization_name":"Association for Computing Machinery","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319798"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Association for Computing Machinery"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:scholarbank.nus.edu.sg:10635/63042","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://scholarbank.nus.edu.sg/handle/10635/63042","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S7407052290","display_name":"National University of Singapore","issn_l":null,"issn":[],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Scopus","raw_type":"Article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1145/2331140.2331145","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1145/2331140.2331145","pdf_url":"https://dl.acm.org/action/downloadSupplement?doi=10.1145%2F2331140.2331145&file=a17-ng_appendix.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S38703467","display_name":"ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation","issn_l":"1049-3301","issn":["1049-3301","1558-1195"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319798","host_organization_name":"Association for Computing Machinery","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319798"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Association for Computing Machinery"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":true,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2161433505.pdf","grobid_xml":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W2161433505.grobid-xml"},"referenced_works_count":38,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1510052597","https://openalex.org/W1623862448","https://openalex.org/W1965732395","https://openalex.org/W1970662304","https://openalex.org/W1973333099","https://openalex.org/W1982539084","https://openalex.org/W1982668418","https://openalex.org/W1986884571","https://openalex.org/W1987516878","https://openalex.org/W1991413021","https://openalex.org/W1991788899","https://openalex.org/W1992870153","https://openalex.org/W2001842014","https://openalex.org/W2013999002","https://openalex.org/W2018044188","https://openalex.org/W2018493675","https://openalex.org/W2024697317","https://openalex.org/W2045656233","https://openalex.org/W2050760828","https://openalex.org/W2063180182","https://openalex.org/W2068332748","https://openalex.org/W2081709852","https://openalex.org/W2083027289","https://openalex.org/W2091309479","https://openalex.org/W2099109324","https://openalex.org/W2101754110","https://openalex.org/W2102862543","https://openalex.org/W2126163471","https://openalex.org/W2143022286","https://openalex.org/W2163286960","https://openalex.org/W2167947983","https://openalex.org/W2169740263","https://openalex.org/W2496675188","https://openalex.org/W2573715514","https://openalex.org/W2795495912","https://openalex.org/W4232383088","https://openalex.org/W4244393914","https://openalex.org/W4249753629"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3150130873","https://openalex.org/W2104827390","https://openalex.org/W2969571561","https://openalex.org/W2620550997","https://openalex.org/W1525931652","https://openalex.org/W2076301380","https://openalex.org/W3121339476","https://openalex.org/W3147153020","https://openalex.org/W206305700","https://openalex.org/W2125285777"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Kriging":[0],"is":[1,83,155],"an":[2,61,68],"increasingly":[3],"popular":[4],"metamodeling":[5,78],"tool":[6],"in":[7,13,54,70,149,191],"simulation":[8,31],"due":[9],"to":[10,60,88,115,184,193],"its":[11],"flexibility":[12],"global":[14],"fitting":[15,20],"and":[16,67,104,123,135,188,197],"prediction.":[17],"In":[18,73,157],"the":[19,24,30,39,64,71,93,98,121,129,152,162,167,179,195,199,202],"of":[21,63,165,181,201],"this":[22,74],"metamodel,":[23],"parameters":[25,122],"are":[26],"often":[27],"estimated":[28],"from":[29],"data,":[32],"which":[33,50],"introduces":[34],"parameter":[35,94],"estimation":[36],"uncertainties":[37,196],"into":[38],"overall":[40],"prediction":[41,82],"error.":[42],"Traditional":[43],"plug-in":[44],"estimators":[45],"usually":[46],"ignore":[47],"these":[48],"uncertainties,":[49],"can":[51],"be":[52],"substantial":[53],"stochastic":[55,86,153],"simulations.":[56],"This":[57],"typically":[58],"leads":[59],"underestimation":[62],"total":[65],"variability":[66,154],"overconfidence":[69],"results.":[72],"article,":[75],"a":[76,107,140,172],"Bayesian":[77,130],"approach":[79,114,131,175],"for":[80,85,92],"kriging":[81,146],"proposed":[84,142],"simulations":[87],"more":[89,117],"appropriately":[90],"account":[91],"uncertainties.":[95],"We":[96,170],"derive":[97],"predictive":[99,137],"distribution":[100],"under":[101],"certain":[102],"assumptions":[103,119],"also":[105],"provide":[106],"general":[108,118],"Markov":[109],"Chain":[110],"Monte":[111],"Carlo":[112],"analysis":[113],"handle":[116],"on":[120],"design.":[124,169],"Numerical":[125],"results":[126],"indicate":[127],"that":[128,176],"has":[132],"better":[133,136],"coverage":[134],"variance":[138],"than":[139],"previously":[141],"modified":[143],"nugget":[144],"effect":[145],"model,":[147],"especially":[148],"cases":[150],"where":[151],"high.":[156],"addition,":[158],"we":[159],"further":[160],"consider":[161],"important":[163],"problem":[164],"planning":[166],"experimental":[168],"propose":[171],"two-stage":[173],"design":[174,186],"systematically":[177],"balances":[178],"allocation":[180],"computing":[182],"resources":[183],"new":[185],"points":[187],"replication":[189],"numbers":[190],"order":[192],"reduce":[194],"improve":[198],"accuracy":[200],"predictions.":[203]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2014,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2013,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
