{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2257386165","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","title":"Wikipedia traffic data and electoral prediction: towards theoretically informed models","display_name":"Wikipedia traffic data and electoral prediction: towards theoretically informed models","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-06-17","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2257386165","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","mag":"2257386165"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2504380752","display_name":"EPJ Data Science","issn_l":"2193-1127","issn":["2193-1127"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"EPJ Data Science","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["arxiv","crossref","doaj"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"gold","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Taha Yasseri","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Taha Yasseri","raw_affiliation_strings":["Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, 1 St Giles\u2019, Oxford, OX1 3JS, UK"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, 1 St Giles\u2019, Oxford, OX1 3JS, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":null,"display_name":"Jonathan Bright","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I40120149","display_name":"University of Oxford","ror":"https://ror.org/052gg0110","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jonathan Bright","raw_affiliation_strings":["Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, 1 St Giles\u2019, Oxford, OX1 3JS, UK"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Oxford Internet Institute, University of Oxford, 1 St Giles\u2019, Oxford, OX1 3JS, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I40120149"],"apc_list":{"value":1190,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1459},"apc_paid":{"value":1190,"currency":"GBP","value_usd":1459},"fwci":5.7801,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":31,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.95205778,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"5","issue":"1","first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12478","display_name":"Wikis in Education and Collaboration","score":0.6061000227928162,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3315","display_name":"Communication"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12478","display_name":"Wikis in Education and Collaboration","score":0.6061000227928162,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3315","display_name":"Communication"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10557","display_name":"Social Media and Politics","score":0.12470000237226486,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3315","display_name":"Communication"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11147","display_name":"Misinformation and Its Impacts","score":0.03579999879002571,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/turnout","display_name":"Turnout","score":0.7089999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/variety","display_name":"Variety (cybernetics)","score":0.6827999949455261},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/incentive","display_name":"Incentive","score":0.6388000249862671},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/parliament","display_name":"Parliament","score":0.5726000070571899},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/aggregate","display_name":"Aggregate (composite)","score":0.48510000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/work","display_name":"Work (physics)","score":0.4528000056743622},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/aggregate-data","display_name":"Aggregate data","score":0.39890000224113464}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779838221","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7856080","display_name":"Turnout","level":4,"score":0.7089999914169312},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136197465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1729295","display_name":"Variety (cybernetics)","level":2,"score":0.6827999949455261},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C29122968","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1414816","display_name":"Incentive","level":2,"score":0.6388000249862671},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6291999816894531},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2781440851","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q35749","display_name":"Parliament","level":3,"score":0.5726000070571899},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C4679612","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q866298","display_name":"Aggregate (composite)","level":2,"score":0.48510000109672546},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18762648","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42213","display_name":"Work (physics)","level":2,"score":0.4528000056743622},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778058735","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4692253","display_name":"Aggregate data","level":2,"score":0.39890000224113464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.3869999945163727},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C158154518","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310970","display_name":"Relevance (law)","level":2,"score":0.3555000126361847},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C520049643","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189760","display_name":"Voting","level":3,"score":0.32260000705718994},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108827166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q175975","display_name":"Internet privacy","level":1,"score":0.30250000953674316},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777267654","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3519023","display_name":"Test (biology)","level":2,"score":0.29670000076293945},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.29420000314712524},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778334786","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1586270","display_name":"Variation (astronomy)","level":2,"score":0.28519999980926514},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C89611455","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6804646","display_name":"Mechanism (biology)","level":2,"score":0.2696000039577484},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C39549134","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q133080","display_name":"Public relations","level":1,"score":0.2685000002384186},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169900460","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2200417","display_name":"Cognition","level":2,"score":0.26840001344680786}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2504380752","display_name":"EPJ Data Science","issn_l":"2193-1127","issn":["2193-1127"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"EPJ Data Science","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:arXiv.org:1505.01818","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://arxiv.org/abs/1505.01818","pdf_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/1505.01818","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"text"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"doi:10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds/s13688-016-0083-3","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2504380752","display_name":"EPJ Data Science","issn_l":"2193-1127","issn":["2193-1127"],"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319965","host_organization_name":"Springer Nature","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319965"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Springer Nature"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"EPJ Data Science","raw_type":"journal-article"},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G8949379951","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"CZD06990","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334943","funder_display_name":"John Fell Fund, University of Oxford"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334943","display_name":"John Fell Fund, University of Oxford","ror":null}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":18,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1899862662","https://openalex.org/W1904380837","https://openalex.org/W2006766231","https://openalex.org/W2012967345","https://openalex.org/W2037607319","https://openalex.org/W2056590539","https://openalex.org/W2083476171","https://openalex.org/W2099668057","https://openalex.org/W2116646433","https://openalex.org/W2117239687","https://openalex.org/W2122458119","https://openalex.org/W2127418443","https://openalex.org/W2147634746","https://openalex.org/W2148299999","https://openalex.org/W2159397589","https://openalex.org/W2159531218","https://openalex.org/W3123712780","https://openalex.org/W4235193380"],"related_works":[],"abstract_inverted_index":{"This":[0],"aim":[1],"of":[2,11,24,44,102,156],"this":[3,69,92],"article":[4],"is":[5],"to":[6,21,30,73,84,149],"explore":[7],"the":[8,45,105,154],"potential":[9],"use":[10],"Wikipedia":[12,116],"page":[13],"view":[14],"data":[15,29],"for":[16,142],"predicting":[17],"electoral":[18,75],"results.":[19],"Responding":[20],"previous":[22],"critiques":[23],"work":[25],"using":[26],"socially":[27],"generated":[28],"predict":[31],"elections,":[32],"which":[33,47,56],"have":[34],"argued":[35],"that":[36,114,165],"these":[37],"predictions":[38],"take":[39],"place":[40],"without":[41],"any":[42],"understanding":[43],"mechanism":[46],"enables":[48],"them,":[49],"we":[50],"first":[51],"develop":[52],"a":[53,95,100],"theoretical":[54],"model":[55,93],"highlights":[57],"why":[58],"people":[59],"might":[60,71],"seek":[61,171],"information":[62,80,128,161,172],"online":[63,160],"at":[64,134],"election":[65],"time,":[66],"and":[67,87,107,136],"how":[68],"activity":[70],"relate":[72],"overall":[74,132],"outcomes,":[76,123],"focussing":[77],"especially":[78],"on":[79,94],"seeking":[81],"incentives":[82],"related":[83],"swing":[85],"voters":[86,166],"new":[88],"parties.":[89,144],"We":[90,112],"test":[91],"novel":[96],"dataset":[97],"drawn":[98],"from":[99],"variety":[101],"countries":[103],"in":[104,131,139,159],"2009":[106],"2014":[108],"European":[109],"Parliament":[110],"elections.":[111],"show":[113],"while":[115],"offers":[117],"little":[118],"insight":[119],"into":[120],"absolute":[121],"vote":[122,140],"it":[124],"does":[125],"offer":[126],"good":[127],"about":[129,137,153],"changes":[130,138],"turnout":[133],"elections":[135],"share":[141],"particular":[143],"These":[145],"results":[146],"are":[147,167],"used":[148],"enhance":[150],"existing":[151],"theories":[152],"drivers":[155],"aggregate":[157],"patterns":[158],"seeking,":[162],"by":[163],"suggesting":[164],"cognitive":[168],"misers":[169],"who":[170],"only":[173],"when":[174],"considering":[175],"changing":[176],"their":[177],"vote.":[178]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":3}],"updated_date":"2026-04-09T08:11:56.329763","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
