{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3106694785","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mcse.2020.3040700","title":"Discrete-Time Modeling of COVID-19 Propagation in Argentina with Explicit Delays","display_name":"Discrete-Time Modeling of COVID-19 Propagation in Argentina with Explicit Delays","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-11-27","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3106694785","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mcse.2020.3040700","mag":"3106694785","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35939270"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/mcse.2020.3040700","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mcse.2020.3040700","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S107923245","display_name":"Computing in Science & Engineering","issn_l":"1521-9615","issn":["1521-9615","1558-366X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320061","host_organization_name":"AIP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320061","https://openalex.org/P4310320257"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["AIP Publishing","American Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computing in Science &amp; Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/9280810","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5078678418","display_name":"Mariana Bergonzi","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210107757","display_name":"Centro Cient\u00edfico Tecn\u00f3logico - Rosario","ror":"https://ror.org/01qkxb782","country_code":"AR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I151201029","https://openalex.org/I4210107757","https://openalex.org/I4210123736","https://openalex.org/I4387155568"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210109384","display_name":"Centro Internacional Franco-Argentino de Ciencias de la Informaci\u00f3n y de Sistemas","ror":"https://ror.org/02m19wv39","country_code":"AR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I151201029","https://openalex.org/I21491767","https://openalex.org/I4141589","https://openalex.org/I4210107757","https://openalex.org/I4210109384","https://openalex.org/I4210123736","https://openalex.org/I4387155568"]}],"countries":["AR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Mariana Bergonzi","raw_affiliation_strings":["CIFASIS-CONICET, FCEIA-UNR, Rosario, Argentina"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CIFASIS-CONICET, FCEIA-UNR, Rosario, Argentina","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210107757","https://openalex.org/I4210109384"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5016833227","display_name":"Ezequiel Pecker Marcosig","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0884-6353"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210144290","display_name":"Institute of Astronomy and Space Physics","ror":"https://ror.org/03rq94151","country_code":"AR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I151201029","https://openalex.org/I24354313","https://openalex.org/I4210123736","https://openalex.org/I4210144290","https://openalex.org/I4387155568"]}],"countries":["AR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ezequiel Pecker-Marcosig","raw_affiliation_strings":["ICC-CONICET, FI-UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"ICC-CONICET, FI-UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210144290"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5005907522","display_name":"Ernesto Kofman","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7657-3612"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210107757","display_name":"Centro Cient\u00edfico Tecn\u00f3logico - Rosario","ror":"https://ror.org/01qkxb782","country_code":"AR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I151201029","https://openalex.org/I4210107757","https://openalex.org/I4210123736","https://openalex.org/I4387155568"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210109384","display_name":"Centro Internacional Franco-Argentino de Ciencias de la Informaci\u00f3n y de Sistemas","ror":"https://ror.org/02m19wv39","country_code":"AR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I151201029","https://openalex.org/I21491767","https://openalex.org/I4141589","https://openalex.org/I4210107757","https://openalex.org/I4210109384","https://openalex.org/I4210123736","https://openalex.org/I4387155568"]}],"countries":["AR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ernesto Kofman","raw_affiliation_strings":["CIFASIS-CONICET, FCEIA-UNR, Rosario, Argentina"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7657-3612","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"CIFASIS-CONICET, FCEIA-UNR, Rosario, Argentina","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210107757","https://openalex.org/I4210109384"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5048142182","display_name":"Rodrigo Castro","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4038-5999"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210144290","display_name":"Institute of Astronomy and Space Physics","ror":"https://ror.org/03rq94151","country_code":"AR","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I151201029","https://openalex.org/I24354313","https://openalex.org/I4210123736","https://openalex.org/I4210144290","https://openalex.org/I4387155568"]}],"countries":["AR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Rodrigo Castro","raw_affiliation_strings":["ICC-CONICET, FI-UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4038-5999","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"ICC-CONICET, FI-UBA, Buenos Aires, Argentina","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210144290"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5078678418"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210107757","https://openalex.org/I4210109384"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.1401,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.54782428,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"23","issue":"1","first_page":"35","last_page":"45"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10410","display_name":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","score":0.9998000264167786,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2611","display_name":"Modeling and Simulation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10482","display_name":"Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models","score":0.9179999828338623,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2739","display_name":"Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/27","display_name":"Medicine"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/coronavirus-disease-2019","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","score":0.7126744985580444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6643686890602112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/discrete-time-and-continuous-time","display_name":"Discrete time and continuous time","score":0.4896688759326935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/key","display_name":"Key (lock)","score":0.47454819083213806},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/basic-reproduction-number","display_name":"Basic reproduction number","score":0.46455118060112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/severe-acute-respiratory-syndrome-coronavirus-2","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","score":0.4463462233543396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/epidemic-model","display_name":"Epidemic model","score":0.43699485063552856},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/latency","display_name":"Latency (audio)","score":0.4338078796863556},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/infectious-disease","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","score":0.4310714602470398},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scheme","display_name":"Scheme (mathematics)","score":0.4247887432575226},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/2019-20-coronavirus-outbreak","display_name":"2019-20 coronavirus outbreak","score":0.413432776927948},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.3331308960914612},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/control-theory","display_name":"Control theory (sociology)","score":0.3304762840270996},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/applied-mathematics","display_name":"Applied mathematics","score":0.3241530656814575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/control","display_name":"Control (management)","score":0.2894552946090698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.26867586374282837},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.1944591999053955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.19236209988594055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/disease","display_name":"Disease","score":0.1630786955356598},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/virology","display_name":"Virology","score":0.11806893348693848},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-security","display_name":"Computer security","score":0.0915115475654602},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/biology","display_name":"Biology","score":0.09055018424987793},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/telecommunications","display_name":"Telecommunications","score":0.07671692967414856}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3008058167","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q84263196","display_name":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)","level":4,"score":0.7126744985580444},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6643686890602112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55689738","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q15963867","display_name":"Discrete time and continuous time","level":2,"score":0.4896688759326935},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C26517878","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q228039","display_name":"Key (lock)","level":2,"score":0.47454819083213806},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204264503","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q901464","display_name":"Basic reproduction number","level":3,"score":0.46455118060112},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3007834351","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q82069695","display_name":"Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)","level":5,"score":0.4463462233543396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C1627819","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2572354","display_name":"Epidemic model","level":3,"score":0.43699485063552856},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C82876162","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q17096504","display_name":"Latency (audio)","level":2,"score":0.4338078796863556},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C524204448","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q788926","display_name":"Infectious disease (medical specialty)","level":3,"score":0.4310714602470398},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77618280","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1155772","display_name":"Scheme (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.4247887432575226},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C3006700255","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81068910","display_name":"2019-20 coronavirus outbreak","level":3,"score":0.413432776927948},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.3331308960914612},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C47446073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5165890","display_name":"Control theory (sociology)","level":3,"score":0.3304762840270996},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C28826006","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q33521","display_name":"Applied mathematics","level":1,"score":0.3241530656814575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2775924081","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q55608371","display_name":"Control (management)","level":2,"score":0.2894552946090698},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.26867586374282837},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.1944591999053955},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.19236209988594055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779134260","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12136","display_name":"Disease","level":2,"score":0.1630786955356598},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159047783","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7215","display_name":"Virology","level":1,"score":0.11806893348693848},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C38652104","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3510521","display_name":"Computer security","level":1,"score":0.0915115475654602},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.09055018424987793},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.07671692967414856},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149923435","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q37732","display_name":"Demography","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C142724271","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7208","display_name":"Pathology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C116675565","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3241045","display_name":"Outbreak","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2908647359","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2625603","display_name":"Population","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":4,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/mcse.2020.3040700","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/mcse.2020.3040700","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S107923245","display_name":"Computing in Science & Engineering","issn_l":"1521-9615","issn":["1521-9615","1558-366X"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320061","host_organization_name":"AIP Publishing","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320061","https://openalex.org/P4310320257"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["AIP Publishing","American Institute of Physics"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computing in Science &amp; Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:35939270","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35939270","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"Computing in science & engineering","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:9280810","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/9280810","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Comput Sci Eng","raw_type":"Text"},{"id":"pmh:oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/135185","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/11336/135185","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306401400","display_name":"Conicet","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210104196","host_organization_name":"Centro Cient\u00edfico Tecnol\u00f3gico - Nordeste","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210104196"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-sa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-sa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/article"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:pubmedcentral.nih.gov:9280810","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/9280810","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S2764455111","display_name":"PubMed Central","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Comput Sci Eng","raw_type":"Text"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8500000238418579,"display_name":"Good health and well-being","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/3"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G3405762000","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"COVID-19 IP-311","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334832","funder_display_name":"Agencia Nacional de Promoci\u00f3n Cient\u00edfica y Tecnol\u00f3gica"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320334832","display_name":"Agencia Nacional de Promoci\u00f3n Cient\u00edfica y Tecnol\u00f3gica","ror":"https://ror.org/03stxzb56"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":15,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W650496038","https://openalex.org/W1994320166","https://openalex.org/W2071747085","https://openalex.org/W2148301044","https://openalex.org/W2152459976","https://openalex.org/W3010619285","https://openalex.org/W3018422079","https://openalex.org/W3023190093","https://openalex.org/W3026587320","https://openalex.org/W3029419531","https://openalex.org/W3032725243","https://openalex.org/W3040288973","https://openalex.org/W3041423444","https://openalex.org/W4292156591","https://openalex.org/W6780353105"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4320351350","https://openalex.org/W2230721379","https://openalex.org/W2376250553","https://openalex.org/W3138234900","https://openalex.org/W2356839139","https://openalex.org/W4388177052","https://openalex.org/W3113377908","https://openalex.org/W2032448025","https://openalex.org/W4293088316","https://openalex.org/W4282960359"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"We":[0,100,115],"present":[1,108],"a":[2,122,133],"new":[3],"deterministic":[4],"discrete-time":[5],"compartmental":[6],"model":[7,42,120],"of":[8,21,34,57,68,80,118,130,143],"COVID-19":[9],"that":[10,142],"explicitly":[11],"takes":[12],"into":[13],"account":[14],"relevant":[15],"delays":[16,131],"related":[17],"to":[18,30,39,73],"the":[19,22,32,41,55,58,66,69,92,97,103,119,127],"stages":[20],"disease,":[23],"its":[24],"diagnosis":[25],"and":[26,83,85,95,107],"report":[27,79],"system,":[28],"allowing":[29],"represent":[31],"presence":[33,129],"imported":[35],"cases.":[36],"In":[37],"addition":[38],"developing":[40],"equations,":[43],"we":[44],"describe":[45],"an":[46],"automatic":[47],"parameter":[48],"fitting":[49],"mechanism":[50],"using":[51],"official":[52],"data":[53],"on":[54],"spread":[56],"virus":[59],"in":[60,91,96,121,136],"Argentina.":[61],"The":[62],"result":[63],"consistently":[64],"reflects":[65],"behavior":[67],"disease":[70],"with":[71],"respect":[72],"characteristic":[74],"times:":[75],"latency,":[76],"infectious":[77],"period,":[78],"cases":[81],"(confirmed":[82],"dead),":[84],"allows":[86],"for":[87],"detecting":[88],"automatically":[89],"changes":[90],"reproductive":[93],"number":[94],"mortality":[98],"factor.":[99],"also":[101],"analyse":[102],"model's":[104],"prediction":[105],"capability":[106],"simulation":[109],"results":[110],"assuming":[111],"different":[112],"future":[113],"scenarios.":[114],"discuss":[116],"usage":[117],"closed-loop":[123],"control":[124],"scheme,":[125],"where":[126],"explicit":[128],"plays":[132],"key":[134],"role":[135],"projecting":[137],"more":[138],"realistic":[139],"dynamics":[140],"than":[141],"classic":[144],"continuous-time":[145],"models.":[146]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2020-12-07T00:00:00"}
