{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2902601607","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icacci.2018.8554422","title":"Forecasting of Annual Crime Rate in India: A case Study","display_name":"Forecasting of Annual Crime Rate in India: A case Study","publication_year":2018,"publication_date":"2018-09-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2902601607","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icacci.2018.8554422","mag":"2902601607"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/icacci.2018.8554422","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icacci.2018.8554422","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2018 International Conference on Advances in Computing, Communications and Informatics (ICACCI)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5088954347","display_name":"Manish Kumar","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I68695296","display_name":"Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Kerala","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cdh50","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Manish Kumar","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049701930","display_name":"S. Athulya","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I68695296","display_name":"Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Kerala","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cdh50","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"S. Athulya","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101045003","display_name":"Mary Minu M.B.","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I68695296","display_name":"Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Kerala","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cdh50","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mary Minu M.B.","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5097813029","display_name":"Vidya Vinodini","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I68695296","display_name":"Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Kerala","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cdh50","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Vidya Vinodini M.D.","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5103826668","display_name":"Aiswaria Lakshmi","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I68695296","display_name":"Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Kerala","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cdh50","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Aiswaria Lakshmi K.G.","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5059361438","display_name":"S. Anjana","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I68695296","display_name":"Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Kerala","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cdh50","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"S. Anjana","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5112396488","display_name":"T.K. Manojkumar","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I68695296","display_name":"Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management, Kerala","ror":"https://ror.org/02w9cdh50","country_code":"IN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"T.K. Manojkumar","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Excellence in Data Engineering and Computational Modeling, Indian Institute of Information Technology and Management-Kerala (IIITM-K)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":7,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5088954347"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I68695296"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.6769,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":13,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.7843213,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"2087","last_page":"2092"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11512","display_name":"Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications","score":0.9635000228881836,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11512","display_name":"Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications","score":0.9635000228881836,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10574","display_name":"Crime Patterns and Interventions","score":0.9463000297546387,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11871","display_name":"Advanced Statistical Methods and Models","score":0.9314000010490417,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2613","display_name":"Statistics and Probability"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/26","display_name":"Mathematics"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/autoregressive-integrated-moving-average","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","score":0.9320271015167236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/exponential-smoothing","display_name":"Exponential smoothing","score":0.9263625144958496},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.5658870935440063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5604375600814819},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crime-analysis","display_name":"Crime analysis","score":0.473458468914032},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.4577949643135071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/interval","display_name":"Interval (graph theory)","score":0.4382106065750122},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/moving-average","display_name":"Moving average","score":0.4334675669670105},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/crime-rate","display_name":"Crime rate","score":0.4330212473869324},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.33800438046455383},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.19084683060646057},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.1803474724292755},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.14152395725250244},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.13019448518753052},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/criminology","display_name":"Criminology","score":0.06160944700241089}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C24338571","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2566298","display_name":"Autoregressive integrated moving average","level":3,"score":0.9320271015167236},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C133710760","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q775837","display_name":"Exponential smoothing","level":2,"score":0.9263625144958496},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.5658870935440063},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5604375600814819},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776876444","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2845200","display_name":"Crime analysis","level":2,"score":0.473458468914032},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4577949643135071},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778067643","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q166507","display_name":"Interval (graph theory)","level":2,"score":0.4382106065750122},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C175706884","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1130194","display_name":"Moving average","level":2,"score":0.4334675669670105},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2993718618","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q330344","display_name":"Crime rate","level":2,"score":0.4330212473869324},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.33800438046455383},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.19084683060646057},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.1803474724292755},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.14152395725250244},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.13019448518753052},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C73484699","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q161733","display_name":"Criminology","level":1,"score":0.06160944700241089},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31972630","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q844240","display_name":"Computer vision","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144024400","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21201","display_name":"Sociology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C114614502","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q76592","display_name":"Combinatorics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/icacci.2018.8554422","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/icacci.2018.8554422","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2018 International Conference on Advances in Computing, Communications and Informatics (ICACCI)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.8199999928474426,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","display_name":"Peace, Justice and strong institutions"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":17,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W100628223","https://openalex.org/W980173571","https://openalex.org/W2009912562","https://openalex.org/W2016287239","https://openalex.org/W2024558842","https://openalex.org/W2026783478","https://openalex.org/W2040600081","https://openalex.org/W2098432333","https://openalex.org/W2102314894","https://openalex.org/W2124437815","https://openalex.org/W2259762754","https://openalex.org/W2326856595","https://openalex.org/W2374208296","https://openalex.org/W4299882772","https://openalex.org/W6604104020","https://openalex.org/W6625692116","https://openalex.org/W6708928281"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4387220233","https://openalex.org/W2955496313","https://openalex.org/W4220924527","https://openalex.org/W3097024643","https://openalex.org/W3215481666","https://openalex.org/W4220732081","https://openalex.org/W3124446684","https://openalex.org/W3184066977","https://openalex.org/W2780303826","https://openalex.org/W2390482703"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Crime":[0,72],"forecasting":[1,43],"has":[2],"been":[3],"made":[4],"possible":[5],"by":[6],"criminological":[7],"theories":[8],"and":[9,33,62,94,123],"developments":[10],"in":[11,48],"computational":[12],"techniques/data":[13],"analytics":[14],"further":[15],"improved":[16],"the":[17,23,27,37,44,51,70,89,98,105,110,115,120,130],"technologies":[18],"of":[19,26,66,75,80,119],"forecasting.":[20,137],"It":[21],"helps":[22],"various":[24],"departments":[25],"police":[28],"to":[29,35,92,101],"make":[30],"a":[31,78],"decision":[32],"strategy":[34],"prevent":[36],"crime.":[38],"This":[39],"paper":[40],"focuses":[41],"on":[42],"annual":[45],"crime":[46,136],"rate":[47],"India":[49],"using":[50],"Time":[52],"Series":[53],"Models":[54],"such":[55],"as":[56],"Auto-Regressive":[57],"Integrated":[58],"Moving":[59],"Average":[60],"(ARIMA)":[61],"Exponential":[63],"Smoothing.":[64],"Source":[65],"data":[67,82,87,96,122],"is":[68,83],"from":[69],"National":[71],"Record":[73],"Bureau":[74],"India.":[76],"As":[77],"part":[79],"modeling,":[81],"divided":[84],"into":[85],"training":[86],"for":[88,97,135],"years":[90,99],"1953":[91],"2008":[93],"test":[95,121],"2009":[100],"2013.":[102],"By":[103],"examining":[104],"model,":[106],"it's":[107],"clear":[108],"that":[109],"forecast":[111],"values":[112],"are":[113,126],"within":[114],"95%":[116],"confidence":[117],"interval":[118],"accuracy":[124],"measurements":[125],"also":[127],"significant.":[128],"Hence":[129],"time":[131],"series":[132],"model":[133],"suitable":[134]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-03-25T13:04:00.132906","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}