{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2747035712","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/fuzz-ieee.2017.8015732","title":"Very short-term solar forecasting using fuzzy time series","display_name":"Very short-term solar forecasting using fuzzy time series","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-07-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2747035712","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/fuzz-ieee.2017.8015732","mag":"2747035712"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/fuzz-ieee.2017.8015732","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/fuzz-ieee.2017.8015732","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2017 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019178319","display_name":"Carlos Alberto Severiano","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9100-9013"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I140062455","display_name":"Instituto Federal de Educa\u00e7\u00e3o, Ci\u00eancia e Tecnologia de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0553w5c95","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293487690","https://openalex.org/I140062455","https://openalex.org/I2801200668"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Carlos A. Severiano","raw_affiliation_strings":["Instituto Federal de Minas Gerais, IFMG, Sabara, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Instituto Federal de Minas Gerais, IFMG, Sabara, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I140062455"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5069331818","display_name":"Petr\u00f4nio C\u00e2ndido de Lima e Silva","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1202-2552"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I140062455","display_name":"Instituto Federal de Educa\u00e7\u00e3o, Ci\u00eancia e Tecnologia de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0553w5c95","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1293487690","https://openalex.org/I140062455","https://openalex.org/I2801200668"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Petronio C. L. Silva","raw_affiliation_strings":["Instituto Federal de Minas Gerais, IFMG, Sabara, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Instituto Federal de Minas Gerais, IFMG, Sabara, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I140062455"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080841119","display_name":"Hossein Javedani Sadaei","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0848-9280"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I110200422","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hossein Javedani Sadaei","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical Engineering, UFMG, Belo Horizonte, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering, UFMG, Belo Horizonte, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5053773659","display_name":"Frederico Gadelha Guimar\u00e3es","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9238-8839"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I110200422","display_name":"Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais","ror":"https://ror.org/0176yjw32","country_code":"BR","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}],"countries":["BR"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Frederico Gadelha Guimaraes","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electrical Engineering, UFMG, Belo Horizonte, Brazil"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electrical Engineering, UFMG, Belo Horizonte, Brazil","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I110200422"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5019178319"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I140062455"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.1535,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":44,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.92362196,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"6"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9973000288009644,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9973000288009644,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11326","display_name":"Stock Market Forecasting Methods","score":0.9965000152587891,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11276","display_name":"Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics","score":0.9959999918937683,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-forecasting","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","score":0.6676846742630005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6628614664077759},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-irradiance","display_name":"Solar irradiance","score":0.646435558795929},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.6307093501091003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-energy","display_name":"Solar energy","score":0.529444694519043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/time-series","display_name":"Time series","score":0.4758871793746948},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/series","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","score":0.46763184666633606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/photovoltaic-system","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","score":0.41612616181373596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/fuzzy-logic","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","score":0.41298508644104004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/meteorology","display_name":"Meteorology","score":0.2956547439098358},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.21651601791381836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.2064579427242279},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.16307926177978516}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C122282355","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7246855","display_name":"Probabilistic forecasting","level":3,"score":0.6676846742630005},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6628614664077759},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C9695528","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7556707","display_name":"Solar irradiance","level":2,"score":0.646435558795929},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.6307093501091003},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C541104983","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q40015","display_name":"Solar energy","level":2,"score":0.529444694519043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.4758871793746948},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.46763184666633606},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41291067","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1897785","display_name":"Photovoltaic system","level":2,"score":0.41612616181373596},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C58166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q224821","display_name":"Fuzzy logic","level":2,"score":0.41298508644104004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C153294291","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25261","display_name":"Meteorology","level":1,"score":0.2956547439098358},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.21651601791381836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.2064579427242279},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.16307926177978516},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/fuzz-ieee.2017.8015732","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/fuzz-ieee.2017.8015732","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2017 IEEE International Conference on Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","score":0.49000000953674316,"display_name":"Climate action"},{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7","score":0.4099999964237213,"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":27,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1720804347","https://openalex.org/W1966808540","https://openalex.org/W1977653081","https://openalex.org/W2011227258","https://openalex.org/W2017954768","https://openalex.org/W2024787682","https://openalex.org/W2031939255","https://openalex.org/W2036357111","https://openalex.org/W2041716774","https://openalex.org/W2058580388","https://openalex.org/W2061684001","https://openalex.org/W2067019903","https://openalex.org/W2070826863","https://openalex.org/W2085752583","https://openalex.org/W2093303280","https://openalex.org/W2106030832","https://openalex.org/W2111072639","https://openalex.org/W2131453387","https://openalex.org/W2148861742","https://openalex.org/W2168577773","https://openalex.org/W2214106063","https://openalex.org/W2313296464","https://openalex.org/W2545119724","https://openalex.org/W4238530616","https://openalex.org/W4241443503","https://openalex.org/W4285719527","https://openalex.org/W6729275526"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2386968573","https://openalex.org/W2395064349","https://openalex.org/W2034374297","https://openalex.org/W2766130412","https://openalex.org/W3120444816","https://openalex.org/W2339636646","https://openalex.org/W4381188406","https://openalex.org/W2293150800","https://openalex.org/W4312680153","https://openalex.org/W2991412372"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Solar":[0,26],"Photovoltaics":[1],"is":[2,14,155],"a":[3,19,23,54],"source":[4],"of":[5,37,67,106,152],"energy":[6,42],"very":[7,15,55,115],"sensitive":[8],"to":[9,17,22,73,97,113,128,139,147],"climate":[10],"variations.":[11],"Therefore,":[12],"it":[13],"important":[16],"apply":[18],"forecasting":[20,27,58,93,111,118,133,141,150],"method":[21,88],"PV":[24],"system.":[25],"provides":[28],"extremely":[29],"useful":[30],"information":[31],"for":[32,53],"tasks":[33],"such":[34],"as":[35],"management":[36],"electricity":[38],"grids":[39],"and":[40,47,80,84,109,135],"solar":[41,99,117],"trading,":[43],"where":[44],"good":[45,48],"accuracy":[46,134],"performance":[49,105,136,151],"are":[50,89,126],"desirable":[51],"goals":[52],"short":[56],"term":[57],"model.":[59],"In":[60],"this":[61,74],"paper,":[62],"we":[63],"propose":[64],"the":[65,85,104,149],"use":[66],"fuzzy":[68],"time":[69],"series":[70],"(FTS)":[71],"techniques":[72,112],"problem.":[75],"Specifically,":[76],"Chen's":[77],"first":[78],"order":[79],"high-order":[81],"FTS":[82,87,107,124,153],"methods":[83,108,125],"Weighted":[86],"compared":[90,138],"with":[91],"other":[92,140],"models":[94,154],"widely":[95],"used":[96],"approach":[98],"irradiance":[100],"forecasting.":[101],"We":[102],"evaluate":[103],"different":[110],"solve":[114],"short-term":[116],"problems.":[119],"The":[120],"results":[121],"show":[122],"that":[123],"able":[127],"achieve":[129],"significant":[130],"improvements":[131],"in":[132],"if":[137],"methods.":[142],"A":[143],"discussion":[144],"on":[145],"how":[146],"improve":[148],"also":[156],"provided.":[157]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":6}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
