{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2616444123","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/cogsima.2017.7929587","title":"Decision-making involving low probability high consequence events under risk and uncertainty","display_name":"Decision-making involving low probability high consequence events under risk and uncertainty","publication_year":2017,"publication_date":"2017-03-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2616444123","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/cogsima.2017.7929587","mag":"2616444123"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/cogsima.2017.7929587","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/cogsima.2017.7929587","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2017 IEEE Conference on Cognitive and Computational Aspects of Situation Management (CogSIMA)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5022912549","display_name":"Roman Ilin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4922-2598"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4388482655","display_name":"U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory Sensors Directorate","ror":"https://ror.org/054yf8v46","country_code":null,"type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1280414376","https://openalex.org/I1330347796","https://openalex.org/I4210102105","https://openalex.org/I4388482655","https://openalex.org/I4389425425"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1280414376","display_name":"United States Air Force Research Laboratory","ror":"https://ror.org/02e2egq70","country_code":"US","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1280414376","https://openalex.org/I1330347796","https://openalex.org/I4210102105","https://openalex.org/I4389425425"]},{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2799950915","display_name":"Wright-Patterson Air Force Base","ror":"https://ror.org/0097e1k27","country_code":"US","type":"other","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1330347796","https://openalex.org/I2799950915","https://openalex.org/I4210089612","https://openalex.org/I4210102105"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Roman Ilin","raw_affiliation_strings":["AFRL/RYAT, Air Force Research Laboratory Sensors Directorate, WPAFB, OH, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"AFRL/RYAT, Air Force Research Laboratory Sensors Directorate, WPAFB, OH, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1280414376","https://openalex.org/I2799950915","https://openalex.org/I4388482655"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5013901360","display_name":"Galina L. Rogova","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5599-2508"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I63190737","display_name":"University at Buffalo, State University of New York","ror":"https://ror.org/01y64my43","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Galina L. Rogova","raw_affiliation_strings":["State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"State University of New York at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I63190737"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5022912549"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1280414376","https://openalex.org/I2799950915","https://openalex.org/I4388482655"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":1.55,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":10,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.84312092,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":97},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"5"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10050","display_name":"Multi-Criteria Decision Making","score":0.9926000237464905,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10050","display_name":"Multi-Criteria Decision Making","score":0.9926000237464905,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.9908999800682068,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10315","display_name":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","score":0.9728999733924866,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1800","display_name":"General Decision Sciences"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6783314943313599},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/core","display_name":"Core (optical fiber)","score":0.6042121648788452},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/quantile","display_name":"Quantile","score":0.5790826678276062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scheme","display_name":"Scheme (mathematics)","score":0.5531029105186462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/adaptation","display_name":"Adaptation (eye)","score":0.5183545351028442},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-theory","display_name":"Decision theory","score":0.51722252368927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/expected-utility-hypothesis","display_name":"Expected utility hypothesis","score":0.5099440813064575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probability-distribution","display_name":"Probability distribution","score":0.46910911798477173},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/optimal-decision","display_name":"Optimal decision","score":0.4255693256855011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.2921068072319031},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/decision-tree","display_name":"Decision tree","score":0.23137110471725464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.21980947256088257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.17418396472930908},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematical-economics","display_name":"Mathematical economics","score":0.08637383580207825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.0844486653804779}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6783314943313599},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2164484","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5170150","display_name":"Core (optical fiber)","level":2,"score":0.6042121648788452},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C118671147","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q578714","display_name":"Quantile","level":2,"score":0.5790826678276062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77618280","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1155772","display_name":"Scheme (mathematics)","level":2,"score":0.5531029105186462},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139807058","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q352374","display_name":"Adaptation (eye)","level":2,"score":0.5183545351028442},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C28901747","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q177571","display_name":"Decision theory","level":2,"score":0.51722252368927},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C205706631","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2319304","display_name":"Expected utility hypothesis","level":2,"score":0.5099440813064575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149441793","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q200726","display_name":"Probability distribution","level":2,"score":0.46910911798477173},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C150325174","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4335500","display_name":"Optimal decision","level":3,"score":0.4255693256855011},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.2921068072319031},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C84525736","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q831366","display_name":"Decision tree","level":2,"score":0.23137110471725464},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.21980947256088257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.17418396472930908},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144237770","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q747534","display_name":"Mathematical economics","level":1,"score":0.08637383580207825},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.0844486653804779},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C76155785","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q418","display_name":"Telecommunications","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C120665830","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14620","display_name":"Optics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C134306372","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7754","display_name":"Mathematical analysis","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/cogsima.2017.7929587","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/cogsima.2017.7929587","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2017 IEEE Conference on Cognitive and Computational Aspects of Situation Management (CogSIMA)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16","score":0.8100000023841858,"display_name":"Peace, Justice and strong institutions"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":10,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1484881229","https://openalex.org/W1981643872","https://openalex.org/W2013557727","https://openalex.org/W2027047704","https://openalex.org/W2033810643","https://openalex.org/W2034951582","https://openalex.org/W2041946752","https://openalex.org/W2070553286","https://openalex.org/W2338749009","https://openalex.org/W6659276465"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2063538022","https://openalex.org/W4233205444","https://openalex.org/W2127999608","https://openalex.org/W3139884056","https://openalex.org/W2375069121","https://openalex.org/W2153102461","https://openalex.org/W2478996177","https://openalex.org/W2069917210","https://openalex.org/W3121862555","https://openalex.org/W2518182700"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Research":[0],"in":[1,4,13,30,35,42,76],"progress":[2],"described":[3],"this":[5,43,96,119],"paper":[6,44],"addresses":[7],"the":[8,49,72,102,107,127],"problem":[9],"of":[10,48,95,101,118,129],"decision":[11,57,78],"making":[12,79],"situations":[14],"involving":[15],"low":[16,66],"probability":[17,67],"high":[18,68],"consequence":[19,69],"events.":[20],"The":[21,39,93],"traditional":[22],"Expected":[23],"Utility":[24],"Model":[25,52,110],"(EU)":[26],"has":[27,80],"significant":[28],"limitations":[29],"such":[31],"circumstances":[32],"as":[33,63,65],"documented":[34],"multiple":[36],"research":[37],"results.":[38],"models":[40],"discussed":[41],"is":[45,98,124],"an":[46],"adaptation":[47],"Multiple":[50,103],"Quantile":[51,104],"(MQT)":[53],"representing":[54],"a":[55,99],"rational":[56],"support":[58],"scheme":[59,97],"suited":[60],"to":[61,71,81],"regular":[62],"well":[64],"events":[70],"complex":[73],"dynamic":[74],"scenarios,":[75],"which":[77],"be":[82],"based":[83],"on":[84],"highly":[85],"uncertain,":[86],"often":[87],"unreliable":[88],"heterogeneous":[89],"data":[90],"and":[91,112,126],"information.":[92],"core":[94],"combination":[100],"Theory":[105],"with":[106,121],"Transferable":[108],"Belief":[109],"(TBM)":[111],"Anytime":[113],"Decision":[114],"making.":[115],"An":[116],"example":[117],"approach":[120],"numeric":[122],"simulations":[123],"given":[125],"directions":[128],"future":[130],"work":[131],"are":[132],"outlined.":[133]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
