{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2025276915","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/cbms.2012.6266409","title":"Forecasting long-term care demand with incomplete information: A grey modelling approach","display_name":"Forecasting long-term care demand with incomplete information: A grey modelling approach","publication_year":2012,"publication_date":"2012-06-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2025276915","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/cbms.2012.6266409","mag":"2025276915"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/cbms.2012.6266409","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/cbms.2012.6266409","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2012 25th IEEE International Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems (CBMS)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5108496375","display_name":"Philip Worrall","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I94951947","display_name":"University of Westminster","ror":"https://ror.org/04ycpbx82","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I94951947"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Philip Worrall","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Electronics & Computer Science, University of Westminster, London, UK","[School of Electronics and Computer Science, University of Westminster, London, UK]"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Electronics & Computer Science, University of Westminster, London, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I94951947"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"[School of Electronics and Computer Science, University of Westminster, London, UK]","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I94951947"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5075096076","display_name":"Thierry Chaussalet","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5507-6158"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I94951947","display_name":"University of Westminster","ror":"https://ror.org/04ycpbx82","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I94951947"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Thierry Chaussalet","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Electronics & Computer Science, University of Westminster, London, UK","[School of Electronics and Computer Science, University of Westminster, London, UK]"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Electronics & Computer Science, University of Westminster, London, UK","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I94951947"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"[School of Electronics and Computer Science, University of Westminster, London, UK]","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I94951947"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5108496375"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I94951947"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.0,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.17549644,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":"17","issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"6"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12781","display_name":"Global Health Care Issues","score":0.9933000206947327,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3600","display_name":"General Health Professions"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/36","display_name":"Health Professions"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12781","display_name":"Global Health Care Issues","score":0.9933000206947327,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3600","display_name":"General Health Professions"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/36","display_name":"Health Professions"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14509","display_name":"demographic modeling and climate adaptation","score":0.9588000178337097,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12011","display_name":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","score":0.9538000226020813,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3317","display_name":"Demography"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/scope","display_name":"Scope (computer science)","score":0.8245840072631836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.6459271311759949},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.6020026206970215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/long-term-care","display_name":"Long-term care","score":0.5806922912597656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/work","display_name":"Work (physics)","score":0.5656530261039734},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/commission","display_name":"Commission","score":0.5632632374763489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.4644598662853241},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.3768291473388672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.2422877550125122},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/medicine","display_name":"Medicine","score":0.153039813041687},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.13521066308021545},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.10356175899505615}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778012447","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1034415","display_name":"Scope (computer science)","level":2,"score":0.8245840072631836},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6459271311759949},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.6020026206970215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780233487","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6672123","display_name":"Long-term care","level":2,"score":0.5806922912597656},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C18762648","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q42213","display_name":"Work (physics)","level":2,"score":0.5656530261039734},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776034101","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1509347","display_name":"Commission","level":2,"score":0.5632632374763489},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.4644598662853241},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.3768291473388672},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.2422877550125122},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.153039813041687},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.13521066308021545},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.10356175899505615},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78519656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101333","display_name":"Mechanical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159110408","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q121176","display_name":"Nursing","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199360897","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9143","display_name":"Programming language","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/cbms.2012.6266409","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/cbms.2012.6266409","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2012 25th IEEE International Symposium on Computer-Based Medical Systems (CBMS)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:westminsterresearch.westminster.ac.uk:8z9z0","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/CBMS.2012.6266409","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400277","display_name":"WestminsterResearch (University of Westminster)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I94951947","host_organization_name":"University of Westminster","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I94951947"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"","raw_type":"book-chapter"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.4300000071525574,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":27,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1823114484","https://openalex.org/W1901653273","https://openalex.org/W1964585049","https://openalex.org/W1971885638","https://openalex.org/W1979954292","https://openalex.org/W1985405926","https://openalex.org/W1996658262","https://openalex.org/W2042569165","https://openalex.org/W2045673141","https://openalex.org/W2053888833","https://openalex.org/W2071565765","https://openalex.org/W2106415824","https://openalex.org/W2106999966","https://openalex.org/W2109436030","https://openalex.org/W2138373358","https://openalex.org/W2138568832","https://openalex.org/W2139996599","https://openalex.org/W2140010104","https://openalex.org/W2142792080","https://openalex.org/W2143369485","https://openalex.org/W2145608139","https://openalex.org/W2166208603","https://openalex.org/W2166479837","https://openalex.org/W2167457925","https://openalex.org/W2256897848","https://openalex.org/W4230960907","https://openalex.org/W6681329867"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4241523039","https://openalex.org/W2360028903","https://openalex.org/W4280543773","https://openalex.org/W178231042","https://openalex.org/W2366083136","https://openalex.org/W2387622493","https://openalex.org/W1932132538","https://openalex.org/W2357832196","https://openalex.org/W1566252468","https://openalex.org/W4200375594"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Long-term":[0],"care":[1],"(LTC)":[2],"consists":[3],"of":[4,34,57,70,81,123],"the":[5,55,68],"services":[6,47],"and":[7,23,31,37,108,125],"support":[8],"given":[9],"to":[10,16,27,77],"patients":[11],"with":[12],"complex":[13],"needs":[14],"due":[15],"illness,":[17],"disability":[18],"or":[19],"a":[20,72,121],"mental":[21],"condition":[22],"is":[24],"typically":[25],"provided":[26],"those":[28],"aged":[29],"65":[30],"above.":[32],"Projections":[33],"future":[35,79,129],"demand":[36],"cost":[38],"are":[39,95],"crucial":[40],"in":[41,91,102,120],"supporting":[42],"regional":[43],"LTC":[44,82,89,101],"planers":[45],"commission":[46],"yet":[48],"existing":[49],"methodologies":[50],"frequently":[51],"require":[52],"data":[53,87,98],"beyond":[54],"scope":[56],"local":[58],"datasets.":[59],"In":[60],"this":[61],"paper":[62],"we":[63],"present":[64],"an":[65],"investigation":[66],"into":[67],"suitability":[69],"using":[71,84],"Grey":[73],"inspired":[74],"forecasting":[75],"methodology":[76],"predict":[78],"levels":[80],"expenditure":[83],"routinely":[85],"collected":[86],"from":[88],"activity":[90],"London.":[92],"Our":[93],"results":[94],"based":[96],"on":[97,99],"formal":[100],"two":[103],"London":[104],"regions":[105],"between":[106],"2008":[107],"2009.":[109],"We":[110],"find":[111],"that":[112],"grey":[113],"modelling":[114],"can":[115],"outperform":[116],"traditional":[117],"industrial":[118],"techniques":[119],"number":[122],"cases":[124],"identify":[126],"areas":[127],"for":[128],"work.":[130]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2016-06-24T00:00:00"}
