{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4391381792","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/wsc60868.2023.10408324","title":"Using Simulation to Assess the Reliability of Forecasts in High-Tech Industry","display_name":"Using Simulation to Assess the Reliability of Forecasts in High-Tech Industry","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-12-10","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4391381792","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/wsc60868.2023.10408324"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/wsc60868.2023.10408324","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/wsc60868.2023.10408324","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2023 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://pure.tue.nl/ws/files/318840197/Using_Simulation_to_Assess_the_Reliability_of_Forecasts_in_High-Tech_Industry_1_.pdf","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5044676057","display_name":"Bhoomica M. Nataraja","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6204-0874"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I83019370","display_name":"Eindhoven University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02c2kyt77","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Bhoomica M. Nataraja","raw_affiliation_strings":["Eindhoven University of Technology,Dept. of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences,Eindhoven,The Netherlands,5600MB"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Eindhoven University of Technology,Dept. of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences,Eindhoven,The Netherlands,5600MB","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5009142622","display_name":"Nitish Singh","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0082-4136"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I83019370","display_name":"Eindhoven University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02c2kyt77","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nitish Singh","raw_affiliation_strings":["Eindhoven University of Technology,Dept. of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences,Eindhoven,The Netherlands,5600MB"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Eindhoven University of Technology,Dept. of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences,Eindhoven,The Netherlands,5600MB","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5064019139","display_name":"Ivo Adan","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4493-6367"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I83019370","display_name":"Eindhoven University of Technology","ror":"https://ror.org/02c2kyt77","country_code":"NL","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ivo Adan","raw_affiliation_strings":["Eindhoven University of Technology,Dept. of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences,Eindhoven,The Netherlands,5600MB"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Eindhoven University of Technology,Dept. of Industrial Engineering and Innovation Sciences,Eindhoven,The Netherlands,5600MB","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5001365462","display_name":"Tanmay Aggarwal","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210086225","display_name":"Lambda Instruments (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/00thhxf09","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210086225"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tanmay Aggarwal","raw_affiliation_strings":["Lambda Function, Inc.,California,USA,94513"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Lambda Function, Inc.,California,USA,94513","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210086225"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5050071614","display_name":"Koen Herps","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1621-9504"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210141603","display_name":"Brainport (Netherlands)","ror":"https://ror.org/0481b2b62","country_code":"NL","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210141603"]}],"countries":["NL"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Koen Herps","raw_affiliation_strings":["Brainport Industry Campus (BIC) 1,KMWE Headquarters,Eindhoven,The Netherlands,5657BX"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Brainport Industry Campus (BIC) 1,KMWE Headquarters,Eindhoven,The Netherlands,5657BX","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210141603"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":5,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5044676057"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I83019370"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.3283,"has_fulltext":true,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.68380315,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":94},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"817","last_page":"828"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10328","display_name":"Supply Chain and Inventory Management","score":0.9933000206947327,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1404","display_name":"Management Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10328","display_name":"Supply Chain and Inventory Management","score":0.9933000206947327,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1404","display_name":"Management Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10551","display_name":"Scheduling and Optimization Algorithms","score":0.9807999730110168,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2209","display_name":"Industrial and Manufacturing Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10164","display_name":"Quality and Supply Management","score":0.9735999703407288,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1404","display_name":"Management Information Systems"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reliability","display_name":"Reliability (semiconductor)","score":0.73715740442276},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/reliability-engineering","display_name":"Reliability engineering","score":0.62212735414505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/high-tech","display_name":"High tech","score":0.5804052352905273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5718601942062378},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.21966737508773804}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43214815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310987","display_name":"Reliability (semiconductor)","level":3,"score":0.73715740442276},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200601418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2193887","display_name":"Reliability engineering","level":1,"score":0.62212735414505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191920346","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q466410","display_name":"High tech","level":2,"score":0.5804052352905273},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5718601942062378},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.21966737508773804},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/wsc60868.2023.10408324","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/wsc60868.2023.10408324","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2023 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.tue.nl:publications/cef83157-3c9c-4284-97fd-2068c67dedfc","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.tue.nl/en/publications/cef83157-3c9c-4284-97fd-2068c67dedfc","pdf_url":"https://pure.tue.nl/ws/files/318840197/Using_Simulation_to_Assess_the_Reliability_of_Forecasts_in_High-Tech_Industry_1_.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Nataraja, B M, Aggarwal, T, Singh, N, Adan, I J B F & Herps, K 2024, Using simulation to assess the reliability of forecasts in high-tech industry. in C G Corlu, S R Hunter, H Lam, B S Onggo, J Shortle & B Biller (eds), 2023 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2023., 10408324, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, 2023 Winter Simulation Conference, San Antonio, Texas, United States, 10/12/23. https://doi.org/10.1109/WSC60868.2023.10408324","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion"},{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.tue.nl:openaire_cris_publications/cef83157-3c9c-4284-97fd-2068c67dedfc","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.tue.nl/files/318840197/Using_Simulation_to_Assess_the_Reliability_of_Forecasts_in_High-Tech_Industry_1_.pdf","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Nataraja, B M, Aggarwal, T, Singh, N, Adan, I J B F & Herps, K 2024, Using simulation to assess the reliability of forecasts in high-tech industry. in C G Corlu, S R Hunter, H Lam, B S Onggo, J Shortle & B Biller (eds), 2023 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2023., 10408324, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, 2023 Winter Simulation Conference, San Antonio, Texas, United States, 10/12/23. https://doi.org/10.1109/WSC60868.2023.10408324","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion"}],"best_oa_location":{"id":"pmh:oai:pure.tue.nl:publications/cef83157-3c9c-4284-97fd-2068c67dedfc","is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://research.tue.nl/en/publications/cef83157-3c9c-4284-97fd-2068c67dedfc","pdf_url":"https://pure.tue.nl/ws/files/318840197/Using_Simulation_to_Assess_the_Reliability_of_Forecasts_in_High-Tech_Industry_1_.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4406922641","display_name":"TU/e Research Portal","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":"Nataraja, B M, Aggarwal, T, Singh, N, Adan, I J B F & Herps, K 2024, Using simulation to assess the reliability of forecasts in high-tech industry. in C G Corlu, S R Hunter, H Lam, B S Onggo, J Shortle & B Biller (eds), 2023 Winter Simulation Conference, WSC 2023., 10408324, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers, 2023 Winter Simulation Conference, San Antonio, Texas, United States, 10/12/23. https://doi.org/10.1109/WSC60868.2023.10408324","raw_type":"info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion"},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","score":0.5799999833106995}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"grobid_xml":false,"pdf":true},"content_urls":{"pdf":"https://content.openalex.org/works/W4391381792.pdf"},"referenced_works_count":28,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1974243893","https://openalex.org/W2015673740","https://openalex.org/W2039240409","https://openalex.org/W2054134293","https://openalex.org/W2064675550","https://openalex.org/W2118294504","https://openalex.org/W2118379819","https://openalex.org/W2135123147","https://openalex.org/W2137226992","https://openalex.org/W2142505438","https://openalex.org/W2144777682","https://openalex.org/W2158138669","https://openalex.org/W2161909739","https://openalex.org/W2747599906","https://openalex.org/W2783843140","https://openalex.org/W2795594242","https://openalex.org/W2805849569","https://openalex.org/W2943921667","https://openalex.org/W2956111096","https://openalex.org/W3016366056","https://openalex.org/W3081326935","https://openalex.org/W3122132082","https://openalex.org/W3151757287","https://openalex.org/W4213450485","https://openalex.org/W4230275901","https://openalex.org/W4235203588","https://openalex.org/W4242263788","https://openalex.org/W6680532697"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2033512842","https://openalex.org/W4322734194","https://openalex.org/W4233600955","https://openalex.org/W2913665393","https://openalex.org/W2369695847","https://openalex.org/W3005535424","https://openalex.org/W2994319598","https://openalex.org/W2047067935","https://openalex.org/W1607054433","https://openalex.org/W2110842462"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"In":[0],"a":[1,20,29,41,67,88,125],"high-tech":[2],"production":[3,8,78,103],"environment,":[4],"capacity":[5],"investment":[6],"and":[7,31,133],"planning":[9],"are":[10,38],"often":[11],"based":[12,80],"on":[13,40,81],"the":[14,32,51,59,93,119,122],"demand":[15,35,62],"information":[16,27],"from":[17,28],"manufacturers":[18,99,132],"within":[19],"supply":[21],"chain.":[22],"A":[23],"supplier":[24],"solicits":[25],"forecast":[26,55,72],"manufacturer,":[30],"manufacturer":[33,52],"provides":[34,53],"forecasts":[36,96],"that":[37],"updated":[39],"rolling":[42],"horizon":[43],"basis.":[44],"Problems":[45],"arise":[46],"with":[47],"this":[48],"setup":[49],"if":[50],"volatile":[54],"quantities":[56,73],"due":[57],"to":[58,76,91,100],"market\u2019s":[60],"fluctuating":[61],"or":[63],"internal":[64],"bias.":[65],"As":[66],"result,":[68],"suppliers\u2019":[69],"mistrust":[70],"regarding":[71],"grows,":[74],"leading":[75],"adjusted":[77],"plans":[79],"planners\u2019":[82],"anecdotal":[83],"experience.":[84],"The":[85,105],"paper":[86],"presents":[87],"decision":[89],"model":[90],"determine":[92],"reliability":[94],"of":[95,114,121,142],"provided":[97],"by":[98],"facilitate":[101],"better":[102],"planning.":[104],"study":[106,127],"also":[107],"suggests":[108],"alternate":[109],"forecasting":[110],"techniques":[111],"in":[112],"case":[113],"low":[115],"reliability.":[116],"To":[117],"evaluate":[118],"effectiveness":[120],"proposed":[123],"approach,":[124],"simulation":[126],"is":[128],"conducted":[129],"for":[130],"different":[131],"scenarios.":[134],"Our":[135],"experiments":[136],"showed":[137],"an":[138],"average":[139],"cost":[140],"reduction":[141],"14%":[143],"across":[144],"all":[145],"instances.":[146]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-03-11T14:59:36.786465","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}