{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4243304821","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/wsc.2015.7408304","title":"Evaluating a Bayesian approach to demand forecasting with simulation","display_name":"Evaluating a Bayesian approach to demand forecasting with simulation","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-12-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4243304821","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/wsc.2015.7408304"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/wsc.2015.7408304","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/wsc.2015.7408304","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4363607791","display_name":"2015 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2015 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019838226","display_name":"Randolph L. Bradley","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1295339012","display_name":"Boeing (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/04sm5zn07","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1295339012"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Randolph L. Bradley","raw_affiliation_strings":["Supply Chain Management The Boeing Company, St. Louis, MO, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Supply Chain Management The Boeing Company, St. Louis, MO, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1295339012"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5064755994","display_name":"Jennifer J. Bergman","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76835614","display_name":"University of Missouri","ror":"https://ror.org/02ymw8z06","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76835614"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jennifer J. Bergman","raw_affiliation_strings":["Industrial and Mfg Systems Engineering University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Industrial and Mfg Systems Engineering University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76835614"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5021395892","display_name":"James S. Noble","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9870-7044"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I76835614","display_name":"University of Missouri","ror":"https://ror.org/02ymw8z06","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I76835614"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"James S. Noble","raw_affiliation_strings":["Industrial and Mfg Systems Engineering University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Industrial and Mfg Systems Engineering University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I76835614"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5090051002","display_name":"Ronald G. McGarvey","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8825-8553"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4777552","display_name":"University of Missouri System","ror":"https://ror.org/032va1j59","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4777552"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ronald G. McGarvey","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of Missouri System, Columbia, MO, US"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of Missouri System, Columbia, MO, US","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4777552"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":4,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":0.4059,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":6,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.62664714,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":89,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"20","issue":null,"first_page":"1868","last_page":"1879"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9929999709129333,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11918","display_name":"Forecasting Techniques and Applications","score":0.9929999709129333,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1803","display_name":"Management Science and Operations Research"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11443","display_name":"Advanced Statistical Process Monitoring","score":0.9883000254631042,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11890","display_name":"Scientific Measurement and Uncertainty Evaluation","score":0.9520000219345093,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/stock","display_name":"Stock (firearms)","score":0.6031345129013062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/bayesian-probability","display_name":"Bayesian probability","score":0.570949137210846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"Demand forecasting","score":0.5379000902175903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5007214546203613},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.46858474612236023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.4532129168510437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/industrial-engineering","display_name":"Industrial engineering","score":0.34585142135620117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.29272520542144775},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.21486222743988037},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.14776906371116638}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C204036174","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q909380","display_name":"Stock (firearms)","level":2,"score":0.6031345129013062},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.570949137210846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.5379000902175903},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5007214546203613},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.46858474612236023},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4532129168510437},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C13736549","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4489420","display_name":"Industrial engineering","level":1,"score":0.34585142135620117},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.29272520542144775},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.21486222743988037},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.14776906371116638},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78519656","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101333","display_name":"Mechanical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/wsc.2015.7408304","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/wsc.2015.7408304","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4363607791","display_name":"2015 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"conference"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"2015 Winter Simulation Conference (WSC)","raw_type":"proceedings-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.7699999809265137,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13","display_name":"Climate action"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":14,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1487263125","https://openalex.org/W1495951130","https://openalex.org/W1988637491","https://openalex.org/W2014163914","https://openalex.org/W2039310103","https://openalex.org/W2570136324","https://openalex.org/W3141589224","https://openalex.org/W3147804157","https://openalex.org/W4237717311","https://openalex.org/W4243661074","https://openalex.org/W6628935170","https://openalex.org/W6629494985","https://openalex.org/W6676322812","https://openalex.org/W6732046681"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2598381895","https://openalex.org/W1553072606","https://openalex.org/W1974733141","https://openalex.org/W2137040885","https://openalex.org/W2587703268","https://openalex.org/W3032409406","https://openalex.org/W3010139861","https://openalex.org/W2905528394","https://openalex.org/W2106281346","https://openalex.org/W3197957632"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"At":[0],"The":[1],"Boeing":[2],"Company,":[3],"stock":[4,38],"levels":[5,39],"for":[6],"maintenance":[7,46],"spares":[8],"with":[9],"substantial":[10],"lead":[11],"times":[12],"must":[13],"be":[14],"established":[15],"before":[16],"fielding":[17],"new":[18,64],"aircraft":[19,65],"designs.":[20],"Initial":[21],"calculations":[22],"use":[23],"mean":[24],"time":[25],"between":[26],"demand":[27,62],"estimates":[28,57],"developed":[29,53],"by":[30],"the":[31],"engineering":[32,56],"department.":[33],"After":[34],"sufficient":[35],"operating":[36],"hours,":[37],"are":[40],"recalculated":[41],"using":[42],"statistical":[43],"forecasts":[44],"of":[45,60],"history.":[47],"A":[48],"Bayesian":[49],"forecasting":[50],"method":[51],"was":[52],"to":[54],"revise":[55],"in":[58],"light":[59],"actual":[61],"on":[63],"programs.":[66]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-06-11T09:08:48.828518","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}