{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4402401999","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tvcg.2024.3456366","title":"The Backstory to \u201cSwaying the Public\u201d: A Design Chronicle of Election Forecast Visualizations","display_name":"The Backstory to \u201cSwaying the Public\u201d: A Design Chronicle of Election Forecast Visualizations","publication_year":2024,"publication_date":"2024-09-10","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4402401999","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tvcg.2024.3456366","pmid":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39255165"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tvcg.2024.3456366","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tvcg.2024.3456366","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S84775595","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics","issn_l":"1077-2626","issn":["1077-2626","1941-0506","2160-9306"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref","pubmed"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5019781916","display_name":"Fumeng Yang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8401-2580"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Fumeng Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8401-2580","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101264201","display_name":"Mandi Cai","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Mandi Cai","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5004299683","display_name":"Chloe Mortenson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7180-8291"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chloe Mortenson","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5092538664","display_name":"Hoda Fakhari","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Hoda Fakhari","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5049012090","display_name":"Ayse D. Lokmanoglu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1699-2684"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Ayse D. Lokmanoglu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5079222963","display_name":"Nicholas Diakopoulos","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5005-6123"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Nicholas Diakopoulos","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5030688487","display_name":"Erik C. Nisbet","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7030-6361"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Erik C. Nisbet","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5089605137","display_name":"Matthew Kay","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9446-0419"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I111979921","display_name":"Northwestern University","ror":"https://ror.org/000e0be47","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Matthew Kay","raw_affiliation_strings":["Northwestern University, USA"],"raw_orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9446-0419","affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Northwestern University, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":8,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5019781916"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I111979921"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":50.0672,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":5,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.99769474,"is_in_top_1_percent":true,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":98},"biblio":{"volume":"31","issue":"1","first_page":"426","last_page":"436"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13766","display_name":"Media, Journalism, and Communication History","score":0.5582000017166138,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1202","display_name":"History"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T13766","display_name":"Media, Journalism, and Communication History","score":0.5582000017166138,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1202","display_name":"History"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/12","display_name":"Arts and Humanities"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T14201","display_name":"Data Analysis and Archiving","score":0.5267999768257141,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3312","display_name":"Sociology and Political Science"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10133","display_name":"Media Studies and Communication","score":0.49959999322891235,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3315","display_name":"Communication"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7164036631584167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-visualization","display_name":"Data visualization","score":0.6022856831550598},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/visualization","display_name":"Visualization","score":0.5667837262153625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-science","display_name":"Data science","score":0.398425430059433},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-graphics","display_name":"Computer graphics (images)","score":0.38114938139915466},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human\u2013computer-interaction","display_name":"Human\u2013computer interaction","score":0.32592836022377014},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.20818015933036804}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7164036631584167},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C172367668","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6504956","display_name":"Data visualization","level":3,"score":0.6022856831550598},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C36464697","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q451553","display_name":"Visualization","level":2,"score":0.5667837262153625},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.398425430059433},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121684516","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7600677","display_name":"Computer graphics (images)","level":1,"score":0.38114938139915466},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107457646","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q207434","display_name":"Human\u2013computer interaction","level":1,"score":0.32592836022377014},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.20818015933036804}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tvcg.2024.3456366","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/tvcg.2024.3456366","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S84775595","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics","issn_l":"1077-2626","issn":["1077-2626","1941-0506","2160-9306"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Visualization and Computer Graphics","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmid:39255165","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/39255165","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306525036","display_name":"PubMed","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I1299303238","host_organization_name":"National Institutes of Health","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1299303238"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE transactions on visualization and computer graphics","raw_type":null},{"id":"pmh:oai:null:2144/50525","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10672524/authors#authors","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402384","display_name":"OpenBU (Boston University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I111088046","host_organization_name":"Boston University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I111088046"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Conference materials"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4019597227","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"2127309","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","funder_display_name":"National Science Foundation"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320306076","display_name":"National Science Foundation","ror":"https://ror.org/021nxhr62"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":35,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1513396528","https://openalex.org/W1970569592","https://openalex.org/W1980132109","https://openalex.org/W1986431494","https://openalex.org/W1992091432","https://openalex.org/W2030246490","https://openalex.org/W2047590700","https://openalex.org/W2069228960","https://openalex.org/W2081885108","https://openalex.org/W2113611987","https://openalex.org/W2149472792","https://openalex.org/W2292312835","https://openalex.org/W2299321574","https://openalex.org/W2398344594","https://openalex.org/W2581218977","https://openalex.org/W2787255222","https://openalex.org/W2799246381","https://openalex.org/W2958798669","https://openalex.org/W2960815402","https://openalex.org/W2972113768","https://openalex.org/W3009820143","https://openalex.org/W3092487423","https://openalex.org/W3099713642","https://openalex.org/W3123572850","https://openalex.org/W3153109663","https://openalex.org/W3177034858","https://openalex.org/W3202443572","https://openalex.org/W4225161352","https://openalex.org/W4296938090","https://openalex.org/W4297489900","https://openalex.org/W4366550099","https://openalex.org/W4387965650","https://openalex.org/W4388430708","https://openalex.org/W4396833136","https://openalex.org/W4396833479"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2013728941","https://openalex.org/W4225274103","https://openalex.org/W2579659702","https://openalex.org/W2154046714","https://openalex.org/W1965329638","https://openalex.org/W1574055964","https://openalex.org/W2923661510","https://openalex.org/W2189613078","https://openalex.org/W2586219255","https://openalex.org/W2547096368"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"A":[0],"year":[1],"ago,":[2],"we":[3,56,63,163,204,220],"submitted":[4],"an":[5],"IEEE":[6],"VIS":[7],"paper":[8,39],"entitled":[9],"\"Swaying":[10],"the":[11,24,34,74,111,117,170,229,233,243],"Public?":[12],"Impacts":[13],"of":[14,36,110,128,150,156,172,201],"Election":[15],"Forecast":[16],"Visualizations":[17],"on":[18],"Emotion,":[19],"Trust,":[20],"and":[21,59,103,115,148,192,209,217,239],"Intention":[22],"in":[23,66,175,188,228],"2022":[25,118],"U.S.":[26,119,177],"Midterms\"":[27],"[50],":[28],"which":[29],"was":[30],"later":[31],"bestowed":[32],"with":[33,105,160],"honor":[35],"a":[37,44,67,83,125,133,176,195],"best":[38],"award.":[40],"Yet,":[41],"studying":[42],"such":[43,92],"complex":[45],"phenomenon":[46],"required":[47],"us":[48],"to":[49,107,185,193,213,231,237],"explore":[50],"many":[51],"more":[52,61],"design":[53,134,210],"paths":[54],"than":[55,62],"could":[57,64,225],"count,":[58],"certainly":[60],"document":[65],"single":[68],"paper.":[69],"This":[70,122],"paper,":[71],"then,":[72],"is":[73],"unwritten":[75],"prequel-the":[76],"backstory.":[77],"It":[78],"chronicles":[79],"our":[80,183,189,222],"journey":[81,123],"from":[82],"simple":[84],"idea-to":[85],"study":[86,108],"visualizations":[87,174,241],"for":[88,136,242],"election":[89,138,178],"forecasts-through":[90],"obstacles":[91],"as":[93],"developing":[94],"meaningfully":[95],"different,":[96],"easy-to-understand":[97],"forecast":[98],"visualizations,":[99],"crafting":[100],"professional-looking":[101,196],"forecasts,":[102,139],"grappling":[104],"how":[106],"perceptions":[109],"forecasts":[112],"before,":[113],"during,":[114],"after":[116],"midterm":[120],"elections.":[121],"yielded":[124],"rich":[126],"set":[127],"original":[129],"knowledge.":[130],"We":[131],"formalized":[132],"space":[135],"two-party":[137],"navigating":[140],"through":[141],"dimensions":[142],"like":[143],"data":[144],"transformations,":[145],"visual":[146,190],"channels,":[147],"types":[149],"animated":[151],"narratives.":[152],"Through":[153],"qualitative":[154],"evaluation":[155],"ten":[157],"representative":[158],"prototypes":[159],"13":[161],"participants,":[162],"then":[164],"identified":[165],"six":[166],"core":[167],"insights":[168,181],"into":[169],"interpretation":[171],"uncertainty":[173],"context.":[179],"These":[180],"informed":[182],"revisions":[184],"remove":[186],"ambiguity":[187],"encodings":[191],"prepare":[194],"forecasting":[197],"website.":[198],"As":[199],"part":[200],"this":[202],"story,":[203],"also":[205],"distilled":[206],"challenges":[207],"faced":[208],"lessons":[211],"learned":[212],"inform":[214],"both":[215],"designers":[216],"practitioners.":[218],"Ultimately,":[219],"hope":[221],"methodical":[223],"approach":[224],"inspire":[226],"others":[227],"community":[230],"tackle":[232],"hard":[234],"problems":[235],"inherent":[236],"designing":[238],"evaluating":[240],"general":[244],"public.":[245]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-12-21T01:58:51.020947","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
