{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2220560459","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tsg.2015.2493205","title":"Incorporating Practice Theory in Sub-Profile Models for Short Term Aggregated Residential Load Forecasting","display_name":"Incorporating Practice Theory in Sub-Profile Models for Short Term Aggregated Residential Load Forecasting","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-11-09","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2220560459","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tsg.2015.2493205","mag":"2220560459"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tsg.2015.2493205","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tsg.2015.2493205","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S59604973","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid","issn_l":"1949-3053","issn":["1949-3053","1949-3061"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5025890766","display_name":"Bruce Stephen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7502-8129"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I181647926","display_name":"University of Strathclyde","ror":"https://ror.org/00n3w3b69","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bruce Stephen","raw_affiliation_strings":["Advanced Electrical Systems Research Group, Institute of Energy and Environment, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Advanced Electrical Systems Research Group, Institute of Energy and Environment, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101601752","display_name":"Xiaoqing Tang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9704-3282"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I181647926","display_name":"University of Strathclyde","ror":"https://ror.org/00n3w3b69","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xiaoqing Tang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5088764266","display_name":"Poppy Rowena Harvey","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I181647926","display_name":"University of Strathclyde","ror":"https://ror.org/00n3w3b69","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Poppy R. Harvey","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5063437022","display_name":"Stuart Galloway","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1978-993X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I181647926","display_name":"University of Strathclyde","ror":"https://ror.org/00n3w3b69","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Stuart Galloway","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5052873012","display_name":"Kyle Jennett","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I181647926","display_name":"University of Strathclyde","ror":"https://ror.org/00n3w3b69","country_code":"GB","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}],"countries":["GB"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kyle I. Jennett","raw_affiliation_strings":["Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Electronic and Electrical Engineering, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow, U.K","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":2.8882,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":176,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.91194725,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":90,"max":100},"biblio":{"volume":"8","issue":"4","first_page":"1591","last_page":"1598"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10603","display_name":"Smart Grid Energy Management","score":0.9990000128746033,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10121","display_name":"Building Energy and Comfort Optimization","score":0.9890999794006348,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/markov-chain","display_name":"Markov chain","score":0.6190332770347595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/load-profile","display_name":"Load profile","score":0.593928337097168},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.5854953527450562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.5693286657333374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-response","display_name":"Demand response","score":0.5540664196014404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/cluster-analysis","display_name":"Cluster analysis","score":0.5420525670051575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/markov-process","display_name":"Markov process","score":0.4419460594654083},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"Demand forecasting","score":0.4414512515068054},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/independence","display_name":"Independence (probability theory)","score":0.41952115297317505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.41638314723968506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/sampling","display_name":"Sampling (signal processing)","score":0.413139283657074},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.366812527179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.25151464343070984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.2071741223335266},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.17384222149848938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity","display_name":"Electricity","score":0.17092856764793396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.12578091025352478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.11743012070655823}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98763669","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176645","display_name":"Markov chain","level":2,"score":0.6190332770347595},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777908891","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1806775","display_name":"Load profile","level":3,"score":0.593928337097168},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.5854953527450562},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5693286657333374},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779438525","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5255048","display_name":"Demand response","level":3,"score":0.5540664196014404},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C73555534","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q622825","display_name":"Cluster analysis","level":2,"score":0.5420525670051575},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C159886148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q176645","display_name":"Markov process","level":2,"score":0.4419460594654083},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.4414512515068054},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C35651441","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q625303","display_name":"Independence (probability theory)","level":2,"score":0.41952115297317505},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.41638314723968506},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C140779682","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q210868","display_name":"Sampling (signal processing)","level":3,"score":0.413139283657074},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.366812527179718},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.25151464343070984},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.2071741223335266},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.17384222149848938},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206658404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12725","display_name":"Electricity","level":2,"score":0.17092856764793396},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.12578091025352478},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.11743012070655823},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C106131492","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3072260","display_name":"Filter (signal processing)","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C31972630","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q844240","display_name":"Computer vision","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tsg.2015.2493205","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tsg.2015.2493205","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S59604973","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid","issn_l":"1949-3053","issn":["1949-3053","1949-3061"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid","raw_type":"journal-article"},{"id":"pmh:oai:strathprints.strath.ac.uk:54676","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://strathprints.strath.ac.uk/view/author/128927.html>","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402226","display_name":"Strathprints: The University of Strathclyde institutional repository (University of Strathclyde)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I181647926","host_organization_name":"University of Strathclyde","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I181647926"],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"acceptedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":false,"raw_source_name":null,"raw_type":"Article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":33,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W79427069","https://openalex.org/W1551063595","https://openalex.org/W1964381995","https://openalex.org/W1968806673","https://openalex.org/W1985290489","https://openalex.org/W1985573826","https://openalex.org/W1989866797","https://openalex.org/W2001824190","https://openalex.org/W2005898567","https://openalex.org/W2008084603","https://openalex.org/W2019949418","https://openalex.org/W2032161710","https://openalex.org/W2035885854","https://openalex.org/W2042569829","https://openalex.org/W2044188978","https://openalex.org/W2051659868","https://openalex.org/W2057163202","https://openalex.org/W2078019988","https://openalex.org/W2081770709","https://openalex.org/W2145331597","https://openalex.org/W2151723954","https://openalex.org/W2151767444","https://openalex.org/W2170820890","https://openalex.org/W2201586674","https://openalex.org/W2494330206","https://openalex.org/W2537436678","https://openalex.org/W3123625224","https://openalex.org/W3126081667","https://openalex.org/W4255582690","https://openalex.org/W6603182422","https://openalex.org/W6681133986","https://openalex.org/W6687810761","https://openalex.org/W6728510257"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2379651310","https://openalex.org/W1541249122","https://openalex.org/W2113019827","https://openalex.org/W2367222340","https://openalex.org/W4205838918","https://openalex.org/W1998413294","https://openalex.org/W2785674290","https://openalex.org/W1989462081","https://openalex.org/W4319600855","https://openalex.org/W4383502979"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Aspirations":[0],"of":[1,29,88,96,128,141],"grid":[2],"independence":[3],"could":[4],"be":[5,25],"achieved":[6],"by":[7],"residential":[8,129],"power":[9],"systems":[10],"connected":[11],"only":[12],"to":[13,49,137],"small":[14],"highly":[15],"variable":[16],"loads":[17,130],"if":[18,151],"overall":[19,45],"demand":[20,72,124],"on":[21,33,51],"the":[22,30],"network":[23],"can":[24],"accurately":[26],"anticipated.":[27],"Absence":[28],"diversity":[31],"found":[32],"networks":[34],"with":[35,100],"larger":[36],"load":[37,46],"cohorts":[38],"or":[39,118],"consistent":[40],"industrial":[41],"customers":[42],"makes":[43],"such":[44],"profiles":[47],"difficult":[48],"anticipate":[50],"even":[52],"a":[53,74,94,98,126,132,139,147],"short":[54],"term":[55],"basis.":[56],"Here,":[57],"existing":[58],"forecasting":[59,71],"techniques":[60],"are":[61,135],"employed":[62],"alongside":[63],"enhanced":[64],"classification/clustering":[65],"models":[66],"in":[67,73,153],"proposed":[68,92,112],"methods":[69],"for":[70,125],"bottom":[75],"up":[76],"manner.":[77],"A":[78],"Markov":[79],"chain":[80],"based":[81],"sampling":[82],"technique":[83],"derived":[84],"from":[85],"practice":[86],"theory":[87],"human":[89],"behavior":[90],"is":[91],"as":[93,143,145],"means":[95],"providing":[97],"forecast":[99],"low":[101],"computational":[102],"effort":[103],"and":[104,122],"reduced":[105],"historical":[106],"data":[107],"requirements.":[108],"The":[109],"modeling":[110],"approach":[111],"does":[113],"not":[114],"require":[115],"seasonal":[116],"adjustments":[117],"environmental":[119],"data.":[120],"Forecast":[121],"actual":[123],"cohort":[127],"over":[131],"five-month":[133],"period":[134],"used":[136],"evaluate":[138],"number":[140],"models,":[142],"well":[144],"demonstrate":[146],"significant":[148],"performance":[149],"improvement":[150],"utilized":[152],"an":[154],"ensemble":[155],"forecast.":[156]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":4},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":15},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":17},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":28},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":14},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":25},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":36},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":19},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":12},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2026-08-08T01:25:22.217667","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}