{"id":"https://openalex.org/W2017387812","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tsg.2014.2388078","title":"Long-Term Retail Energy Forecasting With Consideration of Residential Customer Attrition","display_name":"Long-Term Retail Energy Forecasting With Consideration of Residential Customer Attrition","publication_year":2015,"publication_date":"2015-01-26","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W2017387812","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tsg.2014.2388078","mag":"2017387812"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tsg.2014.2388078","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tsg.2014.2388078","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S59604973","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid","issn_l":"1949-3053","issn":["1949-3053","1949-3061"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5061034744","display_name":"Jingrui Xie","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I122754148","display_name":"SAS Institute (United States)","ror":"https://ror.org/01093z329","country_code":"US","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I122754148"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jingrui Xie","raw_affiliation_strings":["SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I122754148"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083607419","display_name":"Tao Hong","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2421-7290"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I102149020","display_name":"University of North Carolina at Charlotte","ror":"https://ror.org/04dawnj30","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I102149020"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Tao Hong","raw_affiliation_strings":["University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, USA","Univ. of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, , USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102149020"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Univ. of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC, , USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I102149020"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5035832468","display_name":"Joshua Stroud","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210115349","display_name":"Ion Exchange (India)","ror":"https://ror.org/028x2z366","country_code":"IN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210115349"]}],"countries":["IN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Joshua Stroud","raw_affiliation_strings":["4Change Energy, Dallas, TX, USA",", 4Change Energy, Dallas, TX, USA"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"4Change Energy, Dallas, TX, USA","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210115349"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":", 4Change Energy, Dallas, TX, USA","institution_ids":[]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":3,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":3.8159,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":67,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.93709886,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"6","issue":"5","first_page":"2245","last_page":"2252"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11052","display_name":"Energy Load and Power Forecasting","score":0.9998999834060669,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10603","display_name":"Smart Grid Energy Management","score":0.9927999973297119,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10424","display_name":"Electric Power System Optimization","score":0.9887999892234802,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2208","display_name":"Electrical and Electronic Engineering"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/attrition","display_name":"Attrition","score":0.9225449562072754},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/deregulation","display_name":"Deregulation","score":0.8304697275161743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/demand-forecasting","display_name":"Demand forecasting","score":0.5265220403671265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/term","display_name":"Term (time)","score":0.5066779255867004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/order","display_name":"Order (exchange)","score":0.49639326333999634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electric-power-industry","display_name":"Electric power industry","score":0.4680114984512329},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/econometrics","display_name":"Econometrics","score":0.4205431342124939},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electric-utility","display_name":"Electric utility","score":0.4172786772251129},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/industrial-organization","display_name":"Industrial organization","score":0.3934589922428131},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/operations-research","display_name":"Operations research","score":0.3874938488006592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/business","display_name":"Business","score":0.37598657608032227},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/marketing","display_name":"Marketing","score":0.3695088028907776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/economics","display_name":"Economics","score":0.3659924864768982},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/electricity","display_name":"Electricity","score":0.2800080478191376},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering","display_name":"Engineering","score":0.2520250380039215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/finance","display_name":"Finance","score":0.1562890112400055}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780553607","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q684868","display_name":"Attrition","level":2,"score":0.9225449562072754},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C78780426","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q902410","display_name":"Deregulation","level":2,"score":0.8304697275161743},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C193809577","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3409300","display_name":"Demand forecasting","level":2,"score":0.5265220403671265},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C61797465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986","display_name":"Term (time)","level":2,"score":0.5066779255867004},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C182306322","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1779371","display_name":"Order (exchange)","level":2,"score":0.49639326333999634},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C170777988","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2316331","display_name":"Electric power industry","level":3,"score":0.4680114984512329},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C149782125","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039","display_name":"Econometrics","level":1,"score":0.4205431342124939},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777819126","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1326624","display_name":"Electric utility","level":2,"score":0.4172786772251129},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C40700","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1411783","display_name":"Industrial organization","level":1,"score":0.3934589922428131},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C42475967","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q194292","display_name":"Operations research","level":1,"score":0.3874938488006592},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.37598657608032227},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162853370","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39809","display_name":"Marketing","level":1,"score":0.3695088028907776},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.3659924864768982},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C206658404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12725","display_name":"Electricity","level":2,"score":0.2800080478191376},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.2520250380039215},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.1562890112400055},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C71924100","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190","display_name":"Medicine","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119599485","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43035","display_name":"Electrical engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C139719470","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q39680","display_name":"Macroeconomics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199343813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12128","display_name":"Dentistry","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tsg.2014.2388078","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tsg.2014.2388078","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S59604973","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid","issn_l":"1949-3053","issn":["1949-3053","1949-3061"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310319808","host_organization_name":"Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Affordable and clean energy","score":0.5199999809265137,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/7"}],"awards":[],"funders":[],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":26,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W79427069","https://openalex.org/W246181054","https://openalex.org/W1484221176","https://openalex.org/W1503025338","https://openalex.org/W1546647560","https://openalex.org/W1571132164","https://openalex.org/W1976442394","https://openalex.org/W1984931792","https://openalex.org/W1991414280","https://openalex.org/W1994797112","https://openalex.org/W2005755239","https://openalex.org/W2027092573","https://openalex.org/W2038594239","https://openalex.org/W2044186388","https://openalex.org/W2064650039","https://openalex.org/W2071258353","https://openalex.org/W2076313627","https://openalex.org/W2081770709","https://openalex.org/W2098207764","https://openalex.org/W2099271915","https://openalex.org/W2126603600","https://openalex.org/W2151767444","https://openalex.org/W2171518208","https://openalex.org/W3126081667","https://openalex.org/W6603182422","https://openalex.org/W6629026822"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2059531314","https://openalex.org/W47198905","https://openalex.org/W1542304040","https://openalex.org/W2138932478","https://openalex.org/W2053213235","https://openalex.org/W1983724472","https://openalex.org/W66455882","https://openalex.org/W2159229339","https://openalex.org/W2545357316","https://openalex.org/W109411471"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Deregulation":[0],"of":[1,119,124],"the":[2,19,23,34,37,65,74,112],"electric":[3],"power":[4],"industry":[5,135],"has":[6,103],"created":[7],"both":[8],"wholesale":[9,24],"markets":[10],"and":[11,45,84,91,127,129],"retail":[12,38,58],"markets.":[13],"Most":[14],"load":[15,80],"forecasting":[16,60],"studies":[17],"in":[18,61,111,117],"literature":[20],"are":[21,94],"on":[22,36],"side.":[25],"Minimal":[26],"research":[27],"efforts":[28],"have":[29],"been":[30,104],"devoted":[31],"to":[32,56,63,67,96],"tackling":[33],"challenges":[35],"side,":[39],"such":[40],"as":[41],"limited":[42],"data":[43],"history":[44],"high":[46],"customer":[47,82,87,140],"attrition":[48,141],"rate.":[49,142],"This":[50],"paper":[51],"proposes":[52],"a":[53,68,107,133],"comprehensive":[54],"solution":[55],"long-term":[57],"energy":[59,131],"order":[62],"feed":[64],"forecasts":[66],"conservative":[69],"trading":[70],"strategy.":[71],"We":[72],"dissect":[73],"problem":[75],"into":[76],"two":[77],"sub-problems:":[78],"1)":[79],"per":[81],"forecasting;":[83],"2)":[85],"tenured":[86],"forecasting.":[88],"Regression":[89],"analysis":[90,93],"survival":[92],"applied":[95],"each":[97],"sub-problem":[98],"respectively.":[99],"The":[100],"proposed":[101],"methodology":[102],"implemented":[105],"at":[106],"fast":[108],"growing":[109],"retailer":[110],"U.S.,":[113],"showing":[114],"superior":[115],"performance":[116],"terms":[118],"mean":[120],"absolute":[121],"percentage":[122],"error":[123],"hourly":[125],"demand":[126],"daily":[128],"monthly":[130],"over":[132],"common":[134],"practice":[136],"that":[137],"assumes":[138],"constant":[139]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":13},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2018,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":5},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":7},{"year":2015,"cited_by_count":2}],"updated_date":"2026-06-11T09:08:48.828518","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
