{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4407574873","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tkde.2025.3539680","title":"Spatio-Temporal Multivariate Probabilistic Modeling for Traffic Prediction","display_name":"Spatio-Temporal Multivariate Probabilistic Modeling for Traffic Prediction","publication_year":2025,"publication_date":"2025-02-14","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4407574873","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tkde.2025.3539680"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tkde.2025.3539680","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tkde.2025.3539680","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S30698027","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering","issn_l":"1041-4347","issn":["1041-4347","1558-2191","2326-3865"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320439","host_organization_name":"IEEE Computer Society","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320439","https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IEEE Computer Society","Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5110994152","display_name":"An Yang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0629-9440"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154099455","display_name":"Shandong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0207yh398","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Yang An","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100351559","display_name":"Zhibin Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4226-267X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I1292875679","display_name":"Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation","ror":"https://ror.org/03qn8fb07","country_code":"AU","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679","https://openalex.org/I2801453606","https://openalex.org/I4387156119"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zhibin Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Brisbane, QLD, Australia"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Brisbane, QLD, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I1292875679"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5083084103","display_name":"Xiaoyu Li","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-3006-3060"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154099455","display_name":"Shandong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0207yh398","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xiaoyu Li","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100431652","display_name":"Wei Liu","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6565-5815"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I114017466","display_name":"University of Technology Sydney","ror":"https://ror.org/03f0f6041","country_code":"AU","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I114017466"]}],"countries":["AU"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Wei Liu","raw_affiliation_strings":["Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW, Australia"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Technology Sydney, Ultimo, NSW, Australia","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I114017466"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034521535","display_name":"Xinghao Yang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6487-3183"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210162190","display_name":"China University of Petroleum, East China","ror":"https://ror.org/05gbn2817","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210162190"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Xinghao Yang","raw_affiliation_strings":["College of Control Science and Engineering, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"College of Control Science and Engineering, China University of Petroleum (East China), Qingdao, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210162190"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5038081609","display_name":"Haoliang Sun","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7715-5682"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154099455","display_name":"Shandong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0207yh398","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Haoliang Sun","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100357848","display_name":"Meng Chen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8645-8626"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154099455","display_name":"Shandong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0207yh398","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Meng Chen","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100681023","display_name":"Yu Zheng","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5224-4344"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I4210103986","display_name":"Jingdong (China)","ror":"https://ror.org/01dkjkq64","country_code":"CN","type":"company","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210103986"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yu Zheng","raw_affiliation_strings":["JD Intelligent Cities Research, Beijing, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"JD Intelligent Cities Research, Beijing, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I4210103986"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5040047825","display_name":"Yongshun Gong","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3948-4471"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154099455","display_name":"Shandong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0207yh398","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Yongshun Gong","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Software, Shandong University, Jinan, China","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":9,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5110994152"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":8.6178,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":9,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.97746505,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":96,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":"37","issue":"5","first_page":"2986","last_page":"3000"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11344","display_name":"Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques","score":0.9976999759674072,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11344","display_name":"Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques","score":0.9976999759674072,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2215","display_name":"Building and Construction"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10637","display_name":"Advanced Clustering Algorithms Research","score":0.9620000123977661,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11106","display_name":"Data Management and Algorithms","score":0.9480999708175659,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1711","display_name":"Signal Processing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.8147021532058716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/multivariate-statistics","display_name":"Multivariate statistics","score":0.6771947145462036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/probabilistic-logic","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","score":0.6164195537567139},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-modeling","display_name":"Data modeling","score":0.5111191868782043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.43028154969215393},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.40809571743011475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.27600932121276855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/database","display_name":"Database","score":0.09561210870742798}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.8147021532058716},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C161584116","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1952580","display_name":"Multivariate statistics","level":2,"score":0.6771947145462036},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.6164195537567139},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C67186912","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q367664","display_name":"Data modeling","level":2,"score":0.5111191868782043},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.43028154969215393},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.40809571743011475},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.27600932121276855},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C77088390","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8513","display_name":"Database","level":1,"score":0.09561210870742798}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tkde.2025.3539680","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tkde.2025.3539680","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S30698027","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering","issn_l":"1041-4347","issn":["1041-4347","1558-2191","2326-3865"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320439","host_organization_name":"IEEE Computer Society","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320439","https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IEEE Computer Society","Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G4524378006","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"ZR2021QF034","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324174","funder_display_name":"Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5783774562","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"tsqn202306066","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320326189","funder_display_name":"Taishan Scholar Project of Shandong Province"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G5968890584","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"62476154","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6604316187","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"62202270","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320324174","display_name":"Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province","ror":null},{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320326189","display_name":"Taishan Scholar Project of Shandong Province","ror":null}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":50,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W43001522","https://openalex.org/W1973943669","https://openalex.org/W1983883318","https://openalex.org/W1984113680","https://openalex.org/W2064675550","https://openalex.org/W2108196201","https://openalex.org/W2131774270","https://openalex.org/W2157331557","https://openalex.org/W2194775991","https://openalex.org/W2528639018","https://openalex.org/W2809366716","https://openalex.org/W2895799837","https://openalex.org/W2903871660","https://openalex.org/W2965341826","https://openalex.org/W2965806703","https://openalex.org/W2980994438","https://openalex.org/W2990955039","https://openalex.org/W2996847713","https://openalex.org/W2997848713","https://openalex.org/W3015553263","https://openalex.org/W3084616068","https://openalex.org/W3126367810","https://openalex.org/W3156972038","https://openalex.org/W3171958173","https://openalex.org/W3174022889","https://openalex.org/W3198543070","https://openalex.org/W4230512065","https://openalex.org/W4252475223","https://openalex.org/W4281763058","https://openalex.org/W4283739673","https://openalex.org/W4292973033","https://openalex.org/W4312529005","https://openalex.org/W4367016821","https://openalex.org/W4382239616","https://openalex.org/W4385245566","https://openalex.org/W4387846860","https://openalex.org/W4390100390","https://openalex.org/W4400146699","https://openalex.org/W6726873649","https://openalex.org/W6746015598","https://openalex.org/W6750411654","https://openalex.org/W6767610075","https://openalex.org/W6770847983","https://openalex.org/W6773967291","https://openalex.org/W6779823529","https://openalex.org/W6780221082","https://openalex.org/W6788328477","https://openalex.org/W6799025473","https://openalex.org/W6809727077","https://openalex.org/W6856708881"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2406638334","https://openalex.org/W1991765889","https://openalex.org/W1990068454","https://openalex.org/W2472172556","https://openalex.org/W2943623134","https://openalex.org/W2494523064","https://openalex.org/W1570805059","https://openalex.org/W2357266745","https://openalex.org/W1578824628","https://openalex.org/W4390961098"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Traffic":[0],"prediction":[1,95],"is":[2,21,135],"an":[3,34],"essential":[4],"task":[5],"in":[6,50,93],"intelligent":[7],"transportation":[8],"systems":[9],"dealing":[10],"with":[11,164],"complex":[12,62],"and":[13,48,68,161],"dynamic":[14],"spatio-temporal":[15,99,116,122],"correlations.":[16],"To":[17],"date,":[18],"most":[19,53],"work":[20],"focused":[22],"on":[23,90,170],"point":[24],"estimation":[25,92],"models,":[26],"which":[27],"only":[28],"output":[29],"a":[30,40,98,114],"single":[31],"value":[32],"w.r.t":[33],"attribute":[35],"of":[36,44,77,108,124,147,178],"traffic":[37,63,78,94,109,126,149,159,173],"data":[38,79,150],"at":[39,128],"time,":[41],"falling":[42],"short":[43],"depicting":[45],"diverse":[46],"situations":[47],"uncertainty":[49],"future.":[51],"Besides,":[52],"methods":[54],"are":[55,80],"not":[56],"flexible":[57],"enough":[58],"to":[59,104,120,137],"handle":[60],"real":[61],"scenarios,":[64],"involving":[65],"missing":[66,148],"values":[67],"non-uniformly":[69,165],"sampled":[70,166],"data.":[71,110,167],"The":[72,153],"interactions":[73],"among":[74],"different":[75,129],"attributes":[76,127],"also":[81],"rarely":[82],"explored":[83],"explicitly.":[84],"In":[85],"this":[86],"paper,":[87],"we":[88,112],"focus":[89],"probabilistic":[91,101],"tasks,":[96],"proposing":[97],"multivariate":[100,115],"predictive":[102],"model":[103,155,180],"estimate":[105,143],"the":[106,144,176,182],"distributions":[107,146],"Specifically,":[111],"devise":[113],"fusion":[117,133],"graph":[118],"block":[119],"extract":[121],"correlations":[123],"multiple":[125],"locations.":[130],"A":[131],"multi-graph":[132],"module":[134],"designed":[136],"capture":[138],"time-varying":[139],"spatial":[140],"relationships.":[141],"We":[142],"joint":[145],"using":[151],"copulas.":[152],"proposed":[154],"can":[156],"simultaneously":[157],"perform":[158],"forecasting":[160],"interpolation":[162],"tasks":[163],"Our":[168],"experiments":[169],"two":[171],"real-world":[172],"datasets":[174],"demonstrate":[175],"advantages":[177],"our":[179],"over":[181],"state-of-the-art<sup":[183],"xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"":[184],"xmlns:xlink=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink\">1</sup>.":[185]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":8}],"updated_date":"2026-04-09T08:11:56.329763","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}