{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4210820789","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tkde.2022.3148300","title":"Beyond The Limits of Predictability in Human Mobility Prediction: Context-Transition Predictability","display_name":"Beyond The Limits of Predictability in Human Mobility Prediction: Context-Transition Predictability","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4210820789","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tkde.2022.3148300"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"id":"doi:10.1109/tkde.2022.3148300","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tkde.2022.3148300","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S30698027","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering","issn_l":"1041-4347","issn":["1041-4347","1558-2191","2326-3865"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320439","host_organization_name":"IEEE Computer Society","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320439","https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IEEE Computer Society","Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"},"type":"article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":false,"oa_status":"closed","oa_url":null,"any_repository_has_fulltext":false},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100460297","display_name":"Chao Zhang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0009-0007-2579-8783"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154099455","display_name":"Shandong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0207yh398","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chao Zhang","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Software, Shandong University, 12589 Jinan, Shandong, China, (e-mail: 201800301086@mail.sdu.edu.cn)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Software, Shandong University, 12589 Jinan, Shandong, China, (e-mail: 201800301086@mail.sdu.edu.cn)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5101481095","display_name":"Kai Zhao","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1040-0211"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I181565077","display_name":"Georgia State University","ror":"https://ror.org/03qt6ba18","country_code":"US","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I181565077"]}],"countries":["US"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kai Zhao","raw_affiliation_strings":["Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, 1373 Atlanta, Georgia, United States, (e-mail: zhaokai_frank@hotmail.com)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University, 1373 Atlanta, Georgia, United States, (e-mail: zhaokai_frank@hotmail.com)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I181565077"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5100357859","display_name":"Meng Chen","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6633-9205"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I154099455","display_name":"Shandong University","ror":"https://ror.org/0207yh398","country_code":"CN","type":"education","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}],"countries":["CN"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Meng Chen","raw_affiliation_strings":["School of Software, Shandong University, 12589 Jinan, Shandong, China, (e-mail: mchen@sdu.edu.cn)"],"raw_orcid":null,"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"School of Software, Shandong University, 12589 Jinan, Shandong, China, (e-mail: mchen@sdu.edu.cn)","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I154099455"]}]}],"institutions":[],"countries_distinct_count":2,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":9.4625,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":39,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.98029725,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":99},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"1","last_page":"1"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"is_xpac":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11980","display_name":"Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11980","display_name":"Human Mobility and Location-Based Analysis","score":1.0,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10298","display_name":"Urban Transport and Accessibility","score":0.995199978351593,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10698","display_name":"Transportation Planning and Optimization","score":0.9945999979972839,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3313","display_name":"Transportation"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/33","display_name":"Social Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictability","display_name":"Predictability","score":0.9955474138259888},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science","display_name":"Computer science","score":0.7967033386230469},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/context","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","score":0.7216832637786865},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/transition","display_name":"Transition (genetics)","score":0.4473136365413666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/machine-learning","display_name":"Machine learning","score":0.43268224596977234},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/data-mining","display_name":"Data mining","score":0.4090172350406647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","score":0.4055735766887665},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/statistics","display_name":"Statistics","score":0.11707299947738647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics","display_name":"Mathematics","score":0.10270300507545471}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C197640229","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2534066","display_name":"Predictability","level":2,"score":0.9955474138259888},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.7967033386230469},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2779343474","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3109175","display_name":"Context (archaeology)","level":2,"score":0.7216832637786865},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C194232998","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1606712","display_name":"Transition (genetics)","level":3,"score":0.4473136365413666},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.43268224596977234},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.4090172350406647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.4055735766887665},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.11707299947738647},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.10270300507545471},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C104317684","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7187","display_name":"Gene","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C185592680","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2329","display_name":"Chemistry","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C55493867","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7094","display_name":"Biochemistry","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":1,"locations":[{"id":"doi:10.1109/tkde.2022.3148300","is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1109/tkde.2022.3148300","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S30698027","display_name":"IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering","issn_l":"1041-4347","issn":["1041-4347","1558-2191","2326-3865"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320439","host_organization_name":"IEEE Computer Society","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320439","https://openalex.org/P4310319808"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["IEEE Computer Society","Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers"],"type":"journal"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true,"raw_source_name":"IEEE Transactions on Knowledge and Data Engineering","raw_type":"journal-article"}],"best_oa_location":null,"sustainable_development_goals":[{"score":0.6000000238418579,"display_name":"Sustainable cities and communities","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/11"}],"awards":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/G6268967910","display_name":null,"funder_award_id":"61906107","funder_id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","funder_display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China"}],"funders":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/F4320321001","display_name":"National Natural Science Foundation of China","ror":"https://ror.org/01h0zpd94"}],"has_content":{"pdf":false,"grobid_xml":false},"content_urls":null,"referenced_works_count":45,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W111302912","https://openalex.org/W574900623","https://openalex.org/W800432607","https://openalex.org/W855132903","https://openalex.org/W1942925989","https://openalex.org/W1982300822","https://openalex.org/W1987228002","https://openalex.org/W2024877464","https://openalex.org/W2060590556","https://openalex.org/W2064675550","https://openalex.org/W2087692915","https://openalex.org/W2098461920","https://openalex.org/W2101409192","https://openalex.org/W2106251367","https://openalex.org/W2163997062","https://openalex.org/W2205235818","https://openalex.org/W2329660289","https://openalex.org/W2330318528","https://openalex.org/W2539781657","https://openalex.org/W2567312369","https://openalex.org/W2583189593","https://openalex.org/W2753140366","https://openalex.org/W2763916687","https://openalex.org/W2791723757","https://openalex.org/W2807264610","https://openalex.org/W2807855639","https://openalex.org/W2808425487","https://openalex.org/W2843323114","https://openalex.org/W2963028112","https://openalex.org/W2963084334","https://openalex.org/W2964352502","https://openalex.org/W2982844456","https://openalex.org/W2995444021","https://openalex.org/W3004798245","https://openalex.org/W3012916185","https://openalex.org/W3013594674","https://openalex.org/W3022136271","https://openalex.org/W3035098013","https://openalex.org/W3035308866","https://openalex.org/W3040157551","https://openalex.org/W3082790551","https://openalex.org/W3092846951","https://openalex.org/W3102356271","https://openalex.org/W3217016897","https://openalex.org/W6688089849"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W2726467123","https://openalex.org/W2064726690","https://openalex.org/W4254065731","https://openalex.org/W4252678288","https://openalex.org/W1607297154","https://openalex.org/W4210820789","https://openalex.org/W2913177154","https://openalex.org/W4237782192","https://openalex.org/W4235131201","https://openalex.org/W4232793539"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Urban":[0],"human":[1,62,74,124,133],"mobility":[2],"prediction":[3],"is":[4,12,149,187],"forecasting":[5,176],"how":[6],"people":[7,91],"move":[8],"in":[9,26,98],"cities.":[10],"It":[11],"crucial":[13],"for":[14,23,175],"many":[15],"smart":[16],"city":[17],"applications":[18],"including":[19],"route":[20],"optimization,":[21],"preparing":[22],"dramatic":[24],"shifts":[25],"modes":[27],"of":[28,35,51,73,88,111,123,132,143],"transportation,":[29],"or":[30,85],"mitigating":[31],"the":[32,43,48,70,78,83,86,120,129,177,182],"epidemic":[33],"spread":[34],"viruses":[36],"such":[37,81],"as":[38,82],"COVID-19.":[39],"Previous":[40],"research":[41],"propose":[42,107],"maximum":[44,66],"predictability":[45,67,144],"to":[46,172],"derive":[47],"theoretical":[49,109],"limits":[50,110],"accuracy":[52],"that":[53,90,147,158],"any":[54],"predictive":[55,170],"algorithm":[56,171],"could":[57],"achieve":[58],"on":[59,168],"predicting":[60,99],"urban":[61],"mobility.":[63],"However,":[64],"existing":[65,153],"only":[68,118],"considers":[69,128],"sequential":[71,121],"patterns":[72,122],"movements":[75],"and":[76,145],"neglects":[77],"contextual":[79,130,183],"information":[80,131],"time":[84],"types":[87],"places":[89],"visit,":[92],"which":[93,116,169],"plays":[94],"an":[95],"important":[96],"role":[97],"one's":[100],"next":[101,178],"location.":[102],"In":[103],"this":[104],"paper,":[105],"we":[106],"new":[108],"predictability,":[112],"namely":[113],"Context-Transition":[114,138,161],"Predictability,":[115],"not":[117],"captures":[119],"mobility,":[125],"but":[126],"also":[127,156],"behavior.":[134],"We":[135,155],"compare":[136],"our":[137,159],"Predictability":[139,162],"with":[140],"other":[141],"kinds":[142],"find":[146],"it":[148],"larger":[150],"than":[151],"these":[152],"ones.":[154],"show":[157],"proposed":[160],"provides":[163],"us":[164],"a":[165],"better":[166],"guidance":[167],"be":[173],"used":[174],"location":[179],"when":[180],"considering":[181],"information.":[184],"Source":[185],"code":[186],"at":[188],"https://github.com/zcfinal/ContextTransitionPredictability.":[189]},"counts_by_year":[{"year":2026,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":11},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":5}],"updated_date":"2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776","created_date":"2025-10-10T00:00:00"}
